843
FNUS75 KREV 040453
FWSREV

Spot Forecast for Bliss 10 RX...US Forest Service
National Weather Service Reno NV
953 PM PDT Fri May 3 2024

Forecast is based on ignition time of 0900 PDT on May 04.
If conditions become unrepresentative...contact the National
Weather Service in Reno.

.DISCUSSION...

* A quick-hitting cold storm will bring strong winds, rain and
  snow, as well as cooler temperatures through Saturday night.
  Winds will quickly increase from the south-southwest this
  morning bringing gusts approaching 50 mph.

* Rain will turn to snow after 1400 PDT with total snowfall
  accumulations of 3 to 5" possible through midnight. Light snow
  showers are expected through Sunday morning.

* Beyond Sunday, there will be a slow warming trend with low
  chances for precipitation.

.SATURDAY...

Sky/Weather.........Cloudy. Rain likely in the late morning
                    changing to snow after 1400 PDT.
Temperature.........42 at ignition...Max 46-49.
RH..................79% at ignition...Min 69-74%.
20-Foot Winds.......Winds southwest at 30 mph with gusts to 45 mph
                    increasing to 35 mph with gusts to 50 mph by
                    1000 PDT. Winds will gradually taper through
                    the afternoon but will remain elevated from
                    the south around 20-25 mph with gusts 30-35
                    mph.
LAL.................1.
Chc Wetting Rain....15% increasing to 85% in the afternoon.
Mixing Height.......2800-3800 ft agl.
Transport Winds.....Southwest 35-40 mph decreasing to around 30 mph
                    late in the afternoon.
Ventilation.........Excellent.
Haines Index........2.

.SATURDAY NIGHT...

Sky/Weather.........Mostly cloudy. Snow showers likely in the
                    evening, then slight chance of snow showers
                    overnight.
Temperature.........Min 22-25.
RH..................Max 75-80%.
20-Foot Winds.......Southwest winds 20-25 mph with gusts to 35 mph
                    decreasing to 10-15 mph after 0300 PDT.
LAL.................1.
Chc Wetting Rain....55% decreasing to 10% overnight.
Mixing Height.......1700-2400 ft agl.
Transport Winds.....Southwest 20-25 mph.
Ventilation.........Good in the evening becoming fair overnight.
Haines Index........2.

.SUNDAY...

Sky/Weather.........Mostly cloudy then becoming partly cloudy.
                    Slight chance of snow showers in the morning.
Temperature.........Max 38-41.
RH..................Min 50-55%.
20-Foot Winds.......West winds 8-13 mph.
LAL.................1.
Chc Wetting Rain....5%.
Mixing Height.......4700-5700 ft agl.
Transport Winds.....West 15-20 mph.
Ventilation.........Fair to very good.
Haines Index........3.

$$
Forecaster...Johnston
Requested by...David de Leon
Type of request...PRESCRIBED
.TAG 2412722.0/REV
.DELDT 05/04/24
.FormatterVersion 2.0.0
.EMAIL david.deleon@usda.gov