Hazardous Weather Outlook
Issued by NWS Springfield, MO

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FLUS43 KSGF 270938
HWOSGF

Hazardous Weather Outlook
National Weather Service Springfield MO
438 AM CDT Sat Apr 27 2024

KSZ073-097-101-MOZ055>058-066>071-077>083-088>098-101>106-280945-
Bourbon-Crawford-Cherokee-Benton-Morgan-Miller-Maries-Vernon-
St. Clair-Hickory-Camden-Pulaski-Phelps-Barton-Cedar-Polk-Dallas-
Laclede-Texas-Dent-Jasper-Dade-Greene-Webster-Wright-Newton-
Lawrence-Christian-Douglas-Howell-Shannon-McDonald-Barry-Stone-
Taney-Ozark-Oregon-
438 AM CDT Sat Apr 27 2024

This Hazardous Weather Outlook is for portions of the Missouri
Ozarks and extreme southeast Kansas.

.DAY ONE...Today and Tonight.

Weather hazards expected...

  Elevated tornado risk.
  Significant hail risk.
  Elevated thunderstorm wind damage risk.
  Significant lightning risk.
  Significant excessive rainfall risk
  Limited non thunderstorm wind risk.

DISCUSSION...

An east to west gradient of incraesing severe risk exists for our
CWA tonight (generally after 8 PM). Springfield is within a
Slight (2/5) risk, Mount Vernon and Nevada are within an Enhanced
(3/5) risk, and Joplin and Pittsburg, KS are within a Moderate
(4/5) risk. For areas generally along and west of I-49,
significant severe weather is expected with strong tornadoes, hail
up to the size of baseballs, and wind gusts up to 70 mph all
possible.

Initial storms in this region will likely be training supercells
bringing all hazards before another round of storms comes through
as a line bringing mainly wind gusts and a spinup tornado or two.
This line of storms will move eastward and impact Springfield in
the early morning hours (generally between 1-4 AM).

With the training nature of storms, high amounts of moisture, and
multiple rounds of rain, significant area, river, and flash flooding
is also expected, especially in areas that have already received
3-6 inches of rain. This includes locations along and west of
Highway 65. A Moderate (3/4) risk for excessive rainfall exists
for this area.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...Sunday through Friday.

There is a Slight (2/5) risk for severe weather Sunday as well.
All hazards will be possible for both days. Heavy rainfall and
flooding will also be possible with the storms. Portions of our
CWA are in a Slight (2/4) risk for excessive rainfall and flooding
Sunday.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

  Spotter activation may be needed later today or tonight for
locations west of Highway 65.

&&

More detailed information can be accessed at:
http://www.weather.gov/sgf/dsspacket

This product in graphical format...along with other weather...
hydrological and climate information...at
http://www.weather.gov/sgf

$$

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