Spot Forecast
Issued by NWS Rapid City, SD

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FNUS73 KUNR 231150
FWSUNR

Spot Forecast for Schenk Canyon Rx...USFS
National Weather Service Rapid City SD
550 AM MDT Tue Apr 23 2024

Forecast is based on ignition time of 0600 MDT on April 23.
If conditions become unrepresentative, contact the National Weather
Service.

.DISCUSSION...Dry and warm conditions will continue today and Wednesday
Winds will remain northwesterly through today today, with the strongest
winds this morning through early afternoon. While the winds will be
northwesterly, terrain effects may cause some erratic winds this
afternoon. Light winds are expected tonight. Winds will be southeasterly
Wednesday morning, then shift to the southwest Wednesday afternoon.
The chance for wetting rains increase Thursday with scattered showers and
thunderstorms.

.TODAY...

Sky/weather.........Sunny (10-20 percent).
Max temperature.....Around 58.
Min humidity........20 percent.
Wind (20 ft)........Northwest winds 10 to 15 mph with gusts to
                    around 20 mph.
CWR.................0 percent.
LAL.................1.
Haines Index........4 or low potential for large plume dominated
                    fire growth.
Mixing height.......8700 to 9200 ft agl.
Transport winds.....Northwest around 25 mph decreasing to around 20
                    mph in the afternoon.
Smoke dispersal.....Very good.

.TONIGHT...

Sky/weather.........Partly cloudy (30-40 percent).
Min temperature.....Around 40.
Max humidity........55 percent.
Wind (20 ft)........Variable winds 5 to 10 mph.
CWR.................0 percent.
LAL.................1.
Haines Index........3 or very low potential for large plume
                    dominated fire growth.
Mixing height.......500 to 1000 ft agl.
Transport winds.....East 10 to 15 mph.
Smoke dispersal.....Poor.

.WEDNESDAY...

Sky/weather.........Mostly sunny (25-35 percent).
Max temperature.....Around 69.
Min humidity........20 percent.
Wind (20 ft)........Southeast winds 10 to 15 mph shifting to the
                    southwest in the afternoon. Gusts up to 20 mph.
CWR.................0 percent.
LAL.................1.
Haines Index........4 or low potential for large plume dominated
                    fire growth.
Mixing height.......8500 to 9000 ft agl.
Transport winds.....Southeast around 20 mph shifting to the west in
                    the afternoon.
Smoke dispersal.....Very good.

$$
Forecaster...KC
Requested by...Josh Behlings
Type of request...PRESCRIBED
.TAG 2411916.0/UNR
.DELDT 04/23/24
.FormatterVersion 2.0.0
.EMAIL Joshua.behlings@usda.gov


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