Area Forecast Discussion
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410
FXUS64 KEPZ 061049
AFDEPZ

AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE EL PASO TX/SANTA TERESA NM
349 AM MST SAT FEB 6 2016

.SYNOPSIS...
DRY CONDITIONS WITH A WARMING TREND IS ON TAP FOR THE NEXT SEVERAL
DAYS. HIGH TEMPERATURES COULD REACH THE LOWER 70S IN THE LOWLANDS
BY LATE NEXT WEEK. WINDS WILL BE ON THE LIGHT SIDE FOR THE MOST
PART...BECOMING BREEZY NEXT WEEKEND.

&&

.DISCUSSION...
STILL SITUATED BETWEEN A WEST COAST UPPER RIDGE AND AN
INTENSIFYING UPPER TROUGH OVER THE MIDWEST. THE RESULTING
NORTHWEST FLOW IS QUITE DRY AND SLOW TO WARM. OTHER THAN A SLIGHT
INTERRUPTION TO OUR WARMING TREND MONDAY DUE TO SURFACE RIDGING
NOSING IN FROM THE NORTH...THE DRY AND WARMING SCENARIO WILL
CONTINUE THROUGH LATE NEXT WEEK. EVEN THOUGH THE MIDWESTERN TROUGH
WILL BE QUITE IMPRESSIVE AND DEEP EARLY IN THE COMING WEEK...THERE
WILL BE LITTLE IF ANY INFLUENCE ON OUR WEATHER AS THE WEST COAST
RIDGE BUILDS STRONGER AND MOVES IN OUR DIRECTION. MEANWHILE A WEAK
UPPER LOW WILL SLIDE BY HARMLESSLY TO THE SOUTH ACROSS NORTHERN
MEXICO. SURE WILL BE NICE TO GET BACK INTO THE LOWER 70S IN THE
LOWER ELEVATIONS BY LATE WEEK.

NEXT WEEKEND THE PATTERN LOOKS TO BECOME A LITTLE MORE ACTIVE
WITH A COUPLE OF PACIFIC SYSTEMS LINING UP. THAT IS BEYOND THIS
FORECAST PERIOD BUT BEARS WATCHING CONSIDERING THE BIG LOCAL EVENT
THE FOLLOWING WEEK.

&&

.AVIATION...VALID 06/12Z-07/12Z... P6SM SKC WITH E TO SE WINDS AOB
12KTS.

&&

.FIRE WEATHER...NORTHWEST FLOW WILL KEEP CONDITIONS DRY ACROSS THE
REGION FOR THE NEXT WEEK. TEMPERATURES WILL BE WARMING TO NEAR
NORMAL BY SUNDAY AND THEN GOING ABOUT 5 TO 8 DEGREES ABOVE NORMAL BY
THE MIDDLE OF NEXT WEEK. RELATIVE HUMIDITIES WILL CONTINUE TO FALL
INTO THE TEENS LOWLANDS AND SOME 20S IN THE MOUNTAINS...BUT WINDS
WILL REMAIN LIGHT AND VENT RATES POOR TO FAIR.

&&

.PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS...
EL PASO                 57  29  63  33 /   0   0   0   0
SIERRA BLANCA           55  27  61  27 /   0   0   0   0
LAS CRUCES              55  25  62  28 /   0   0   0   0
ALAMOGORDO              55  26  62  29 /   0   0   0   0
CLOUDCROFT              41  23  46  21 /   0   0   0   0
TRUTH OR CONSEQUENCES   55  27  61  30 /   0   0   0   0
SILVER CITY             52  25  59  27 /   0   0   0   0
DEMING                  56  24  62  28 /   0   0   0   0
LORDSBURG               57  24  62  27 /   0   0   0   0
WEST EL PASO METRO      57  31  63  34 /   0   0   0   0
DELL CITY               57  25  64  25 /   0   0   0   0
FORT HANCOCK            59  28  64  30 /   0   0   0   0
LOMA LINDA              54  30  60  30 /   0   0   0   0
FABENS                  58  27  63  30 /   0   0   0   0
SANTA TERESA            56  26  63  29 /   0   0   0   0
WHITE SANDS HQ          55  29  62  32 /   0   0   0   0
JORNADA RANGE           55  21  62  25 /   0   0   0   0
HATCH                   56  24  62  28 /   0   0   0   0
COLUMBUS                56  25  62  29 /   0   0   0   0
OROGRANDE               55  28  62  31 /   0   0   0   0
MAYHILL                 51  30  55  25 /   0   0   0   0
MESCALERO               49  24  54  23 /   0   0   0   0
TIMBERON                47  28  53  26 /   0   0   0   0
WINSTON                 52  24  57  26 /   0   0   0   0
HILLSBORO               55  25  61  27 /   0   0   0   0
SPACEPORT               56  24  61  27 /   0   0   0   0
LAKE ROBERTS            54  19  59  21 /   0   0   0   0
HURLEY                  53  23  59  26 /   0   0   0   0
CLIFF                   57  21  63  23 /   0   0   0   0
MULE CREEK              57  20  62  21 /   0   0   0   0
FAYWOOD                 53  24  60  27 /   0   0   0   0
ANIMAS                  58  23  63  28 /   0   0   0   0
HACHITA                 57  21  62  27 /   0   0   0   0
ANTELOPE WELLS          58  23  62  27 /   0   0   0   0
CLOVERDALE              57  26  62  30 /   0   0   0   0

&&

.EPZ WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
NM...NONE.
TX...NONE.
&&

$$

01 FAUSETT



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