Area Forecast Discussion
Issued by NWS Dallas/Fort Worth, TX

Home | Current Version | Previous Version | Text Only | Print | Product List | Glossary On
Versions: 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 17 18 19 20 21 22 23 24 25 26 27 28 29 30 31 32 33 34 35 36 37 38 39 40 41 42 43 44 45 46 47 48 49 50
000
FXUS64 KFWD 021719 AAB
AFDFWD

AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION...UPDATED
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE FORT WORTH TX
1219 PM CDT SUN AUG 2 2015

.AVIATION...
/18Z TAFS/

VFR CONDITIONS ARE EXPECTED TO PREVAIL THROUGH THE PERIOD. THE
TAF WILL PREVAIL A SOUTHEAST WIND DIRECTION THROUGH THE PERIOD
BUT THE DIRECTION MAY ACTUALLY BE MORE EAST OR SOUTH AT TIMES.
WIND SPEEDS WILL CONTINUE BELOW 10 KTS FOR MOST OF THE PERIOD BUT
SOME WIND GUSTS UP TO 15 KTS OUT OF THE SOUTH WILL BE POSSIBLE
AT THE DFW AIRPORTS THROUGH THE AFTERNOON. A MIX OF MID AND HIGH
LEVEL CLOUDS WILL RESULT IN SCT- BKN SKIES AT THE DFW TAF SITES
BUT KACT WILL LIKELY REMAIN IN THE SKC- FEW CATEGORIES. SOME RAIN
ACTIVITY MAY OCCUR NORTH OR NORTHWEST OF THE DFW METROPLEX MONDAY
MORNING.

JLDUNN

&&

.UPDATE...FORECAST IS GENERALLY ON TRACK BUT HAVE LOWERED HIGH
TEMPS A FEW DEGREES OVER THE NORTHWEST ZONES WHERE MID LEVEL
CLOUDS MAY STEAL AN HOUR OR TWO OF PEAK INSOLATION. MOST OF THE
MORNING SHOWER ACTIVITY HAS ALSO DIMINISHED...BUT ISOLATED LIGHT
SHOWERS ARE POSSIBLE ACROSS MONTAGUE AND JACK COUNTIES THIS
AFTERNOON. TR.92

&&

.PREV DISCUSSION... /ISSUED 257 AM CDT SUN AUG 2 2015/
MORNING WATER VAPOR IMAGERY AND REGIONAL RADAR DATA ARE VERY
SIMILAR TO YESTERDAY MORNING WITH AN UPPER RIDGE STILL CENTERED
JUST TO THE WEST OF NORTH TEXAS. A CLUSTER OF SHOWERS AND
THUNDERSTORMS IS ONGOING ACROSS PARTS OF THE PANHANDLE AND WILL
MOVE INTO WESTERN OKLAHOMA AND NORTHWEST TEXAS OVER THE NEXT FEW
HOURS. SOME CLOUD COVER HAS SPREAD INTO NORTH TEXAS AND THIS WILL
LIKELY LINGER THROUGH MIDDAY. A FEW SCATTERED SHOWERS OR ISOLATED
THUNDERSTORMS WILL BE POSSIBLE ACROSS OUR NORTHWEST COUNTIES
MAINLY THROUGH THE LATE MORNING HOURS. TODAY WILL BE SIMILAR TO
YESTERDAY WITH RESPECT TO TEMPERATURES WITH HIGHS IN THE MID TO
UPPER 90S AND DEWPOINTS WILL ONCE AGAIN MIX INTO THE MID/UPPER
50S.

LOW LEVEL FLOW WILL GRADUALLY BECOME MORE SOUTHERLY LATER TODAY
AND ON MONDAY. THIS WILL EVENTUALLY ALLOW BETTER SURFACE MOISTURE
TO SPREAD NORTHWARD AND WILL BE MOST EVIDENT BY TUESDAY MORNING.
THE UPPER PATTERN CHANGES LITTLE OVER THE NEXT FEW DAYS WITH THE
RIDGE ACTUALLY STAYING CENTERED JUST TO OUR WEST. NORTH TEXAS WILL
STILL BE HOT WITH HIGHS RIGHT AROUND 100 DEGREES BUT THE SLIGHT
NORTHWEST FLOW AROUND THE RIDGE MAY ALLOW A FEW ISOLATED STORMS
NEAR THE RED RIVER TUESDAY AND WEDNESDAY. THE CANADIAN GUIDANCE
ACTUALLY HAS A RATHER STRONG SHORTWAVE MOVING THROUGH THE SOUTHERN
PLAINS ON WEDNESDAY AND INDICATES BETTER CHANCES FOR THUNDERSTORMS
LATE WEDNESDAY. FOR NOW...WILL MAINTAIN 10 PERCENT POPS TUESDAY
AND WEDNESDAY AND MONITOR THE POTENTIAL FOR ANY PRECIPITATION.

OTHERWISE...RIDGING APPEARS TO DOMINATE THROUGH THE FORECAST
PERIOD WITH HIGHS NEAR 100 EACH AFTERNOON THROUGH NEXT WEEK.

DUNN



&&


.PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS...
DALLAS-FT. WORTH, TX  97  77  99  79  99 /  10   5   5   0   5
WACO, TX              98  73  99  76  99 /   5   5   5   0   5
PARIS, TX             98  71  98  74  97 /   5   5   5   0  10
DENTON, TX            96  71  99  76  99 /  10   5   5   0  10
MCKINNEY, TX          98  70  98  76  98 /   5   5   5   0  10
DALLAS, TX            98  78 100  81  99 /   5   5   5   0   5
TERRELL, TX           98  72  98  76  98 /   5   5   5   0   5
CORSICANA, TX         98  74  99  77  98 /   5   5   5   0   5
TEMPLE, TX            99  71  99  74  99 /   5   5   5   0   5
MINERAL WELLS, TX     94  72  98  73  98 /  20   5   5   0   5

&&

.FWD WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
NONE.

&&

$$

82/92



USA.gov is the U.S. government's official web portal to all federal, state and local government web resources and services.