Area Forecast Discussion
Issued by NWS Shreveport, LA

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000
FXUS64 KSHV 012046
AFDSHV

AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE SHREVEPORT LA
346 PM CDT FRI AUG 1 2014

.DISCUSSION...
IMPRESSIVE VIS SATELLITE IMAGERY THIS AFTN SHOWS WELL-DEFINED SFC
CIRCULATION CENTERED ACROSS W CENTRAL LA. THIS HAS KEPT A NEAR-SOLID
CLOUD SHIELD OVER OUR REGION WITH LIGHT RAIN AND DRIZZLE COVERING
A LARGE PORTION OF N LA AND SRN AR. CLOUDS WILL LIKELY HOLD ON
DURING THE OVERNIGHT HOURS...WITH SOME REDEVELOPMENT OF DRIZZLE
TOWARDS DAYBREAK. HOWEVER...WILL PROBABLY SEE SOME BREAKS IN THE
CLOUDS WITH DAYTIME HEATING...AND WILL THUS HEAT UP A BIT MORE.
HAVE CONTINUED TO HANG BELOW THE TRADITIONAL GFS/NAM MOS NUMBERS
FOR SATURDAY AS HEATING WILL BE INHIBITED FOR MUCH OF THE FIRST
HALF OF THE DAY.

STALLED FRONTAL BOUNDARY IS FCST TO PARK ITSELF ACROSS CENTRAL LA
FOR THE NEXT SEVERAL DAYS AS THE UPPER TROF CONTINUES TO LINGER
OVER THE ERN U.S. THIS WILL KEEP CHANCES FOR MAINLY DIURNALLY
DRIVEN CONVECTION IN THROUGH THE END OF THE FCST PD.

WITH THE ABSENCE OF WIDESPREAD RAINFALL AND FALL-LIKE COLD
FRONTS...MAX TEMPS WILL FINALLY BEGIN TO WARM BACK INTO THE 90S
AREAWIDE BY THE EARLY TO MIDDLE PART OF NEXT WEEK. /12/

&&

.PREV DISCUSSION... /ISSUED 1226 PM CDT FRI AUG 1 2014/

AVIATION...
LIGHT NORTHEAST WINDS TO PREVAIL THROUGHOUT THE TERMINAL FORECAST
PERIOD AS A SURFACE LOW REMAINS IN PLACE ACROSS SOUTHEAST TEXAS
AND WEST-CENTRAL LOUISIANA. MVFR CEILINGS TO MAINLY PREVAIL
THROUGH THE AFTERNOON HOURS WITH IFR/LIFR CEILINGS AND
VISIBILITIES RETURNING ACROSS AREA TERMINALS BY 02/06Z.
OTHERWISE... CONDITIONS TO IMPROVE TO MVFR AFTER 02/15Z. /05/

&&

.PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS...
SHV  68  80  70  85  70 /  20  20  10  20  10
MLU  68  84  69  86  68 /  30  30  20  30  20
DEQ  66  83  67  86  66 /  10  10  10  10  10
TXK  66  79  68  86  67 /  10  10  10  10  10
ELD  66  82  67  86  66 /  20  20  10  20  10
TYR  69  82  71  86  71 /  10  10  10  10  10
GGG  68  80  70  86  70 /  10  10  10  10  10
LFK  71  88  72  89  72 /  20  20  10  20  10

&&

.SHV WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
AR...NONE.
LA...NONE.
OK...NONE.
TX...NONE.
&&

$$

12




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