Routine Space Environment Product (Daily)
Issued by NWS

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000
FXXX10 KWNP 300031
DAYTDF

:Product: 3-Day Forecast
:Issued: 2014 Aug 30 0030 UTC
# Prepared by the US Dept. of Commerce, NOAA, Space Weather Prediction Center
# Product description and SWPC contact on the Web
# http://www.swpc.noaa.gov/wwire.html
#
#             3-Day Forecast
#
A. NOAA Geomagnetic Activity Observation and Forecast

The greatest observed 3 hr Kp over the past 24 hours was 5 (NOAA Scale
G1).
The greatest expected 3 hr Kp for Aug 30-Sep 01 2014 is 4 (below NOAA
Scale levels).

NOAA Kp index breakdown Aug 30-Sep 01 2014

            Aug 30     Aug 31     Sep 01
00-03UT        3          2          3
03-06UT        2          4          4
06-09UT        2          3          3
09-12UT        2          3          3
12-15UT        2          3          2
15-18UT        1          2          2
18-21UT        1          2          1
21-00UT        2          3          2

Rationale: No G1 (Minor) or greater geomagnetic storms are expected.
Days two and three (Aug 31-Sep 01) should remain at quiet to unsettled
with a chance for isolated active (Below G1-Minor) periods due to
coronal hole high speed stream effects.

B. NOAA Solar Radiation Activity Observation and Forecast

Solar radiation, as observed by NOAA GOES-13 over the past 24 hours, was
below S-scale storm level thresholds.

Solar Radiation Storm Forecast for Aug 30-Sep 01 2014

              Aug 30  Aug 31  Sep 01
S1 or greater    1%      1%      1%

Rationale: No S1 (Minor) or greater solar radiation storms are expected.
No significant active region activity favorable for radiation storm
production is forecast.

C. NOAA Radio Blackout Activity and Forecast

No radio blackouts were observed over the past 24 hours.

Radio Blackout Forecast for Aug 30-Sep 01 2014

              Aug 30        Aug 31        Sep 01
R1-R2           10%           10%           10%
R3 or greater    1%            1%            1%

Rationale: No R1 (Minor) or greater radio blackouts are expected.  No
significant active region flare activity is forecast.


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