Drought Information Statement
Issued by NWS Atlanta, GA

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AXUS72 KFFC 151718
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DROUGHT INFORMATION STATEMENT FOR NORTH AND CENTRAL GEORGIA
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE PEACHTREE CITY GA
115 PM EDT THU SEP 15 2016

...TROPICAL STORM HERMINE IMPROVES THE DROUGHT CONDITIONS OVER
EAST CENTRAL GEORGIA...
...A SHORT-TERM...SEVERE TO EXTREME DROUGHT CONTINUES OVER
PORTIONS OF NORTH AND WEST CENTRAL GEORGIA INCLUDING THE ATLANTA
METRO AREA...

PERIODS OF HEAVY RAIN ASSOCIATED WITH TROPICAL STORM HERMINE
ON SEPTEMBER 1 BROUGHT WELCOME RELIEF TO THE DROUGHT CONDITIONS
ACROSS EAST CENTRAL GEORGIA DURING THE PAST 14 DAYS. RAINFALL
AMOUNTS OF 2 TO 6 INCHES WERE COMMON EAST OF A LINE FROM CORDELE
THROUGH MACON TO WARRENTON.

HOWEVER...ONLY A FEW DAYS OF SCATTERED SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS
BROUGHT SOME MINOR RELIEF TO THE SHORT-TERM DROUGHT CONDITIONS
ACROSS NORTH AND WEST CENTRAL GEORGIA. RAINFALL AMOUNTS OF 0.5
TO 1.5 INCHES PREVAILED WITH SOME ISOLATED SPOTS RECEIVING 2
INCHES IN THE ATLANTA AREA. THIS HAS ALLOWED RAINFALL DEFICITS
TO GRADUALLY WORSEN IN MANY LOCATIONS DURING THE PAST SIX MONTHS.

DUE TO CONSISTENT VERY WARM TEMPERATURES IN THE 80S AND 90S WITH
HIGH EVAPORATION RATES...THE SOIL MOISTURE CONTINUES TO DECLINE IN
AREAS THAT RECEIVED LESS THAN 2 INCHES OF RAIN ACROSS NORTH AND
WEST CENTRAL GEORGIA DURING THE PAST TWO WEEKS. CONSEQUENTLY...A
SEVERE TO EXTREME DROUGHT PREVAILS OVER NORTH AND WEST CENTRAL
GEORGIA WHICH INCLUDES THE ATLANTA METRO AREA. THE DRIEST AREAS
WERE FROM SUMMERVILLE TO DALTON...CANTON TO MARIETTA AND LAGRANGE
THROUGH BARNESVILLE AND MCDONOUGH TO MADISON.  ABNORMALLY DRY TO
SEVERE DROUGHT CONDITIONS PERSIST OVER PORTIONS OF CENTRAL GEORGIA.

SOME MINOR HYDROLOGICAL IMPACTS TO WATER SUPPLY...STREAM FLOWS AND
GROUND WATER TABLES ARE CONTINUING TO OCCUR OVER MOST OF NORTH
AND WEST CENTRAL GEORGIA.  THIS INCLUDES THE LAKE LANIER POOL
ELEVATION WHICH HAS FALLEN THREE QUARTERS OF A FOOT DURING THE
PAST TWO WEEKS.

SEE HTTP://WWW.SRH.NOAA.GOV/FFC/?N=RAINDEF FOR THE LATEST
U.S. DROUGHT MONITOR IMAGE AND OTHER DROUGHT RELATED INFORMATION.

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CLIMATE IMPACTS

GENERALLY ZERO TO 90 PERCENT OF NORMAL RAINFALL OCCURRED OVER NORTH
AND WEST CENTRAL GEORGIA DURING THE PAST 14 DAYS. THE ISOLATED 2
INCH RAINFALL AMOUNTS IN THE ATLANTA AREA WERE 150 PERCENT OF NORMAL.

LOCATION   TOTAL RAINFALL    NORMAL    DEPARTURE     PERCENT
            LAST 180 DAYS    VALUE     FROM NORMAL   OF NORMAL

ATLANTA         17.61        24.14       -6.53         73%
ATHENS          21.72        21.75       -0.03        100%
COLUMBUS        18.36        22.72       -4.36         81%
MACON           18.84        22.42       -3.58         84%
CARTERSVILLE    17.13        23.81       -6.68         72%
NE ATLANTA      15.96        25.66       -9.70         62%
WEST ATLANTA    13.80        25.11      -11.31         55%
GAINESVILLE     15.19        25.13       -9.94         60%
PEACHTREE CITY  11.96        24.28      -12.32         49%
ROME            16.43        24.11       -7.68         68%

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RESERVOIRS/STREAM LEVELS

CURRENT LAKE LEVELS AT USACE PROJECTS WERE MAINLY BELOW SUMMER
POOL LEVELS FROM AROUND 2 FEET AT ALLATOONA TO 6 FEET AT LANIER.
THE POOL LEVELS ARE PROJECTED TO SLOWLY FALL DURING THE NEXT
FOUR WEEKS.

LAKE        SUMMER POOL  CURRENT LEVEL    DEPARTURE
                                           IN FEET
ALLATOONA       840          837.89         -2.11
CARTERS        1074         1069.72         -4.28
HARTWELL        660          654.80         -5.20
LANIER         1071         1065.10         -5.90
THURMOND        330          324.70         -5.30
WEST POINT      635          630.65         -4.35

AVERAGE STREAM LEVELS FOR THE PAST 14 DAYS WERE GENERALLY 1 TO 60
PERCENT OF NORMAL FLOW IN MOST OF NORTH AND CENTRAL GEORGIA DUE TO
AREAS OF RECENT RAINFALL OR THE LACK THEREOF.

PLEASE NOTE THAT CREEKS AND SMALLER RIVERS CAN CHANGE QUICKLY DUE TO
RUNOFF FROM HEAVY RAIN IF IT OCCURS.

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FIRE DANGER LEVELS

THE LATEST FIRE DANGER ASSESSMENT INDICATES A HIGH RISK ACROSS
NORTH GEORGIA AND A MODERATE RISK ACROSS CENTRAL GEORGIA.

PLEASE NOTE THAT THIS ASSESSMENT CAN CHANGE RAPIDLY DUE TO CHANGES
IN MOISTURE LEVELS AND RAINFALL RECEIVED.

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TEMPERATURE AND PRECIPITATION OUTLOOK

FOR OCTOBER...THE OUTLOOK FOR NORTH AND CENTRAL GEORGIA...ABOVE
NORMAL TEMPERATURE AND BELOW NORMAL RAINFALL IS EXPECTED. THE
DROUGHT CONDITIONS WILL PERSIST OVER NORTH AND CENTRAL GEORGIA.

90 DAY OUTLOOK...FOR OCTOBER THROUGH DECEMBER...EQUAL CHANCES OF
ABOVE OR BELOW NORMAL TEMPERATURE AND BELOW NORMAL RAINFALL IS
EXPECTED.

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THIS DATA WAS FURNISHED BY THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN
COOPERATION WITH THE U.S. GEOLOGICAL SURVEY...THE GEORGIA STATE
CLIMATOLOGIST IN ATLANTA...THE GEORGIA ENVIRONMENTAL PROTECTION
DIVISION...AND THE U.S. ARMY CORPS OF ENGINEERS. CURRENT FIRE DANGER
ASSESSMENTS WERE PROVIDED BY THE GEORGIA FORESTRY COMMISSION.

THE NEXT DROUGHT INFORMATION STATEMENT IS SCHEDULED FOR THURSDAY
...SEPTEMBER 29 2016.

$$

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