Routine Fire Wx Fcst (With/Without 6-10 Day Outlook)
Issued by NWS Gaylord, MI

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FNUS53 KAPX 300954
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FIRE WEATHER PLANNING FORECAST FOR NORTHERN LOWER MICHIGAN
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE GAYLORD MI
554 AM EDT Sun Apr 30 2017

...A thorough soaking today and tonight...

.DISCUSSION...Low pressure will move north-northeast from the
southern plains. Periods of rain will continue as the system
approaches, with the heaviest rainfall this afternoon and
tonight. Rainfall totals of 1 to 3 inches are expected by midday
Monday.

Humidity levels will remain quite high. Easterly winds will be
seen through this evening, veering southerly late tonight and/or
on Monday.

MIZ016-017-019-021>023-302115-
EMMET...CHEBOYGAN...CHARLEVOIX...ANTRIM...OTSEGO AND MONTMORENCY
COUNTIES-
554 AM EDT Sun Apr 30 2017

.TODAY...
SKY/WEATHER.........CLOUDY (90-100 PERCENT). PERIODS OF RAIN
                    SHOWERS. PATCHY FOG AFTER 1200.
MAX TEMPERATURE.....40-45.
   24 HR TREND......13 DEGREES COOLER...EXCEPT 8 DEGREES COOLER
                    NEAR THE COAST.
MIN HUMIDITY........74-79 PERCENT.
   24 HR TREND......40 PERCENT WETTER...EXCEPT 21 PERCENT WETTER
                    ALONG THE COAST.
20-FOOT WINDS.......EAST WINDS AROUND 10 MPH WITH OCCASIONAL GUSTS
                    UP TO 24 MPH.
HAINES INDEX........2 OR VERY LOW POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME
                    DOMINATED FIRE GROWTH.
SMOKE DISPERSAL.....GOOD (530).
MIXING HEIGHT.......2400 FT AGL.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....EAST 21 TO 24 MPH.
PCPN AMOUNT.........0.37-0.74 IN.

.TONIGHT...
SKY/WEATHER.........CLOUDY (90-100 PERCENT). PATCHY FOG UNTIL 2100.
                    PERIODS OF RAIN SHOWERS. SLIGHT CHANCE OF
                    THUNDERSTORMS AFTER 0200.
MIN TEMPERATURE.....37-42.
   24 HR TREND......2 DEGREES WARMER.
MAX HUMIDITY........92-97 PERCENT...EXCEPT 81-86 PERCENT ALONG THE
                    COAST.
   24 HR TREND......6 PERCENT WETTER.
20-FOOT WINDS.......EAST WINDS AROUND 10 MPH WITH OCCASIONAL GUSTS
                    UP TO 24 MPH.
HAINES INDEX........2 OR VERY LOW POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME
                    DOMINATED FIRE GROWTH.
SMOKE DISPERSAL.....FAIR (200).
MIXING HEIGHT.......1100 FT AGL.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....EAST AROUND 21 MPH.
PCPN AMOUNT.........0.90-1.29 IN.

.MONDAY...
SKY/WEATHER.........CLOUDY (85-95 PERCENT). PERIODS OF RAIN SHOWERS
                    UNTIL 0800. RAIN SHOWERS LIKELY AFTER 0800.
MAX TEMPERATURE.....57-62...EXCEPT 48-53 NEAR THE COAST.
   24 HR TREND......17 DEGREES WARMER.
MIN HUMIDITY........60-65 PERCENT...EXCEPT 72-77 PERCENT ALONG THE
                    COAST.
   24 HR TREND......14 PERCENT DRIER...EXCEPT 8 PERCENT DRIER ALONG
                    THE COAST.
20-FOOT WINDS.......SOUTHEAST WINDS AROUND 10 MPH SHIFTING TO THE
                    SOUTH IN THE AFTERNOON. GUSTS UP TO 30 MPH.
HAINES INDEX........3 OR VERY LOW POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME
                    DOMINATED FIRE GROWTH.
SMOKE DISPERSAL.....FAIR (240).
MIXING HEIGHT.......1700 FT AGL.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....EAST AROUND 24 MPH BECOMING SOUTHEAST AROUND 12
                    MPH IN THE AFTERNOON.
PCPN AMOUNT.........0.26-0.41 IN.


$$

MIZ018-024-030-036-042-302115-
PRESQUE ISLE...ALPENA...ALCONA...IOSCO AND ARENAC
COUNTIES...INCLUDING EASTERN HURON NF-
554 AM EDT Sun Apr 30 2017

.TODAY...
SKY/WEATHER.........CLOUDY (90-100 PERCENT). PERIODS OF RAIN
                    SHOWERS. SLIGHT CHANCE OF
                    THUNDERSTORMS AFTER 1400. PATCHY FOG AFTER
                    1000.
MAX TEMPERATURE.....39-44.
   24 HR TREND......12 DEGREES COOLER.
MIN HUMIDITY........77-82 PERCENT...EXCEPT 89-94 PERCENT ALONG THE
                    COAST.
   24 HR TREND......35 PERCENT WETTER...EXCEPT 29 PERCENT WETTER
                    ALONG THE COAST.
20-FOOT WINDS.......EAST WINDS AROUND 10 MPH WITH OCCASIONAL GUSTS
                    UP TO 28 MPH.
HAINES INDEX........2 OR VERY LOW POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME
                    DOMINATED FIRE GROWTH.
SMOKE DISPERSAL.....GOOD (450).
MIXING HEIGHT.......1900 FT AGL.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....EAST AROUND 24 MPH.
PCPN AMOUNT.........0.50-0.82 IN.

.TONIGHT...
SKY/WEATHER.........CLOUDY (95-100 PERCENT). PATCHY FOG UNTIL 2100.
                    SLIGHT CHANCE OF THUNDERSTORMS UNTIL 2000.
                    PERIODS OF RAIN SHOWERS. SLIGHT CHANCE OF
                    THUNDERSTORMS AFTER 0200.
MIN TEMPERATURE.....38-43.
   24 HR TREND......1 DEGREE WARMER.
MAX HUMIDITY........94-99 PERCENT.
   24 HR TREND......9 PERCENT WETTER.
20-FOOT WINDS.......EAST WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH WITH OCCASIONAL GUSTS UP
                    TO 20 MPH.
HAINES INDEX........2 OR VERY LOW POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME
                    DOMINATED FIRE GROWTH.
SMOKE DISPERSAL.....FAIR (190).
MIXING HEIGHT.......1000 FT AGL.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....EAST AROUND 21 MPH.
PCPN AMOUNT.........0.98-1.29 IN.

.MONDAY...
SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY CLOUDY (80-90 PERCENT). PERIODS OF RAIN
                    SHOWERS UNTIL 0800. RAIN SHOWERS LIKELY AFTER
                    0800 UNTIL 1400, THEN CHANCE OF RAIN SHOWERS.
MAX TEMPERATURE.....59-64...EXCEPT 49-54 NEAR THE COAST.
   24 HR TREND......21 DEGREES WARMER.
MIN HUMIDITY........57-62 PERCENT...EXCEPT 74-79 PERCENT ALONG THE
                    COAST.
   24 HR TREND......20 PERCENT DRIER...EXCEPT 15 PERCENT DRIER
                    ALONG THE COAST.
20-FOOT WINDS.......SOUTHEAST WINDS AROUND 10 MPH SHIFTING TO THE
                    SOUTH IN THE AFTERNOON. GUSTS UP TO 30 MPH.
HAINES INDEX........2 OR VERY LOW POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME
                    DOMINATED FIRE GROWTH.
SMOKE DISPERSAL.....FAIR (210).
MIXING HEIGHT.......1500 FT AGL.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....EAST AROUND 21 MPH SHIFTING TO THE SOUTH AROUND
                    12 MPH IN THE AFTERNOON.
PCPN AMOUNT.........0.28-0.41 IN.


$$

MIZ020-025>027-302115-
LEELANAU...BENZIE...GRAND TRAVERSE AND KALKASKA
COUNTIES...INCLUDING THE SLEEPING BEAR DUNES NL-
554 AM EDT Sun Apr 30 2017

.TODAY...
SKY/WEATHER.........CLOUDY (90-100 PERCENT). PERIODS OF RAIN
                    SHOWERS. PATCHY FOG AFTER 1100.
MAX TEMPERATURE.....43-48...EXCEPT AROUND 40 NEAR THE COAST.
   24 HR TREND......10 DEGREES COOLER...EXCEPT 4 DEGREES COOLER
                    NEAR THE COAST.
MIN HUMIDITY........77-82 PERCENT.
   24 HR TREND......31 PERCENT WETTER.
20-FOOT WINDS.......EAST WINDS AROUND 10 MPH WITH OCCASIONAL GUSTS
                    UP TO 28 MPH.
HAINES INDEX........2 OR VERY LOW POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME
                    DOMINATED FIRE GROWTH.
SMOKE DISPERSAL.....GOOD (370).
MIXING HEIGHT.......1900 FT AGL.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....EAST 21 TO 24 MPH.
PCPN AMOUNT.........0.28-0.78 IN.

.TONIGHT...
SKY/WEATHER.........CLOUDY (90-100 PERCENT). PATCHY FOG UNTIL 2100.
                    PERIODS OF RAIN SHOWERS UNTIL 0500. SLIGHT
                    CHANCE OF THUNDERSTORMS AFTER 0200. NUMEROUS
                    RAIN SHOWERS AFTER 0500.
MIN TEMPERATURE.....39-44.
   24 HR TREND......3 DEGREES WARMER.
MAX HUMIDITY........92-97 PERCENT...EXCEPT 81-86 PERCENT ALONG THE
                    COAST.
   24 HR TREND......7 PERCENT WETTER.
20-FOOT WINDS.......EAST WINDS AROUND 5 MPH WITH OCCASIONAL GUSTS
                    UP TO 20 MPH.
HAINES INDEX........2 OR VERY LOW POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME
                    DOMINATED FIRE GROWTH.
SMOKE DISPERSAL.....FAIR (150).
MIXING HEIGHT.......700 FT AGL.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....EAST 18 TO 21 MPH.
PCPN AMOUNT.........0.87-1.29 IN.

.MONDAY...
SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY CLOUDY (80-90 PERCENT). NUMEROUS RAIN
                    SHOWERS UNTIL 0800, THEN CHANCE OF RAIN
                    SHOWERS.
MAX TEMPERATURE.....53-58...EXCEPT 43-48 NEAR THE COAST.
   24 HR TREND......14 DEGREES WARMER.
MIN HUMIDITY........55-60 PERCENT...EXCEPT 74-79 PERCENT ALONG THE
                    COAST.
   24 HR TREND......23 PERCENT DRIER.
20-FOOT WINDS.......SOUTH WINDS AROUND 10 MPH WITH OCCASIONAL GUSTS
                    UP TO 28 MPH.
HAINES INDEX........3 OR VERY LOW POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME
                    DOMINATED FIRE GROWTH.
SMOKE DISPERSAL.....GOOD (430).
MIXING HEIGHT.......2200 FT AGL.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....EAST AROUND 21 MPH SHIFTING TO THE SOUTH AROUND
                    15 MPH IN THE AFTERNOON.
PCPN AMOUNT.........0.18-0.29 IN.


$$

MIZ031>033-302115-
MANISTEE...WEXFORD AND MISSAUKEE COUNTIES...INCLUDING THE
NORTHERN QUARTER OF MANISTEE NF-
554 AM EDT Sun Apr 30 2017

.TODAY...
SKY/WEATHER.........CLOUDY (90-100 PERCENT). PERIODS OF RAIN
                    SHOWERS. PATCHY FOG AFTER 1000.
MAX TEMPERATURE.....44-49.
   24 HR TREND......9 DEGREES COOLER...EXCEPT 3 DEGREES COOLER NEAR
                    THE COAST.
MIN HUMIDITY........82-87 PERCENT.
   24 HR TREND......38 PERCENT WETTER.
20-FOOT WINDS.......EAST WINDS AROUND 10 MPH WITH OCCASIONAL GUSTS
                    UP TO 24 MPH.
HAINES INDEX........2 OR VERY LOW POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME
                    DOMINATED FIRE GROWTH.
SMOKE DISPERSAL.....GOOD (400).
MIXING HEIGHT.......1700 FT AGL.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....EAST 21 TO 24 MPH.
PCPN AMOUNT.........0.60-0.88 IN.

.TONIGHT...
SKY/WEATHER.........CLOUDY (90-100 PERCENT). PATCHY FOG UNTIL 2100.
                    PERIODS OF RAIN SHOWERS UNTIL 0500. SLIGHT
                    CHANCE OF THUNDERSTORMS AFTER 2300. NUMEROUS
                    RAIN SHOWERS AFTER 0500.
MIN TEMPERATURE.....40-45.
   24 HR TREND......3 DEGREES WARMER.
MAX HUMIDITY........94-99 PERCENT...EXCEPT 84-89 PERCENT ALONG THE
                    COAST.
   24 HR TREND......6 PERCENT WETTER.
20-FOOT WINDS.......EAST WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH WITH OCCASIONAL GUSTS UP
                    TO 20 MPH.
HAINES INDEX........2 OR VERY LOW POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME
                    DOMINATED FIRE GROWTH.
SMOKE DISPERSAL.....POOR (100).
MIXING HEIGHT.......500 FT AGL.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....EAST AROUND 18 MPH.
PCPN AMOUNT.........0.97-1.27 IN.

.MONDAY...
SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY CLOUDY (80-90 PERCENT). NUMEROUS RAIN
                    SHOWERS UNTIL 0800, THEN CHANCE OF RAIN SHOWERS
                    UNTIL 1400, THEN RAIN SHOWERS LIKELY.
MAX TEMPERATURE.....55-60.
   24 HR TREND......14 DEGREES WARMER...EXCEPT 8 DEGREES WARMER
                    NEAR THE COAST.
MIN HUMIDITY........57-62 PERCENT...EXCEPT 66-71 PERCENT ALONG THE
                    COAST.
   24 HR TREND......24 PERCENT DRIER.
20-FOOT WINDS.......SOUTH WINDS 10 TO 15 MPH WITH OCCASIONAL GUSTS
                    UP TO 28 MPH.
HAINES INDEX........3 OR VERY LOW POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME
                    DOMINATED FIRE GROWTH.
SMOKE DISPERSAL.....GOOD (360).
MIXING HEIGHT.......2000 FT AGL.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....SOUTHEAST AROUND 18 MPH SHIFTING TO THE SOUTH
                    AROUND 15 MPH IN THE AFTERNOON.
PCPN AMOUNT.........0.16-0.29 IN.


$$

MIZ028-029-034-035-041-302115-
CRAWFORD...OSCODA...ROSCOMMON...OGEMAW AND GLADWIN
COUNTIES...INCLUDING WESTERN HURON NF-
554 AM EDT Sun Apr 30 2017

.TODAY...
SKY/WEATHER.........CLOUDY (95-100 PERCENT). PERIODS OF RAIN
                    SHOWERS. SLIGHT CHANCE OF
                    THUNDERSTORMS AFTER 1400. PATCHY FOG AFTER
                    1000.
MAX TEMPERATURE.....40-45.
   24 HR TREND......13 DEGREES COOLER.
MIN HUMIDITY........80-85 PERCENT.
   24 HR TREND......46 PERCENT WETTER.
20-FOOT WINDS.......EAST WINDS AROUND 10 MPH WITH OCCASIONAL GUSTS
                    UP TO 24 MPH.
HAINES INDEX........2 OR VERY LOW POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME
                    DOMINATED FIRE GROWTH.
SMOKE DISPERSAL.....GOOD (320).
MIXING HEIGHT.......1400 FT AGL.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....EAST AROUND 21 MPH.
PCPN AMOUNT.........0.68-0.87 IN.

.TONIGHT...
SKY/WEATHER.........CLOUDY (90-100 PERCENT). PATCHY FOG UNTIL 2100.
                    SLIGHT CHANCE OF THUNDERSTORMS UNTIL 2400.
                    PERIODS OF RAIN SHOWERS. CHANCE OF
                    THUNDERSTORMS AFTER 2400.
MIN TEMPERATURE.....40-45.
   24 HR TREND......2 DEGREES WARMER.
MAX HUMIDITY........94-99 PERCENT.
   24 HR TREND......8 PERCENT WETTER.
20-FOOT WINDS.......EAST WINDS AROUND 5 MPH WITH OCCASIONAL GUSTS
                    UP TO 20 MPH.
HAINES INDEX........2 OR VERY LOW POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME
                    DOMINATED FIRE GROWTH.
SMOKE DISPERSAL.....POOR (90).
MIXING HEIGHT.......700 FT AGL.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....EAST AROUND 15 MPH.
PCPN AMOUNT.........0.99-1.29 IN.

.MONDAY...
SKY/WEATHER.........CLOUDY (85-95 PERCENT). PERIODS OF RAIN SHOWERS
                    UNTIL 0800. CHANCE OF RAIN SHOWERS AFTER 0800
                    UNTIL 1400, THEN RAIN SHOWERS LIKELY.
MAX TEMPERATURE.....58-63.
   24 HR TREND......19 DEGREES WARMER.
MIN HUMIDITY........57-62 PERCENT.
   24 HR TREND......24 PERCENT DRIER.
20-FOOT WINDS.......SOUTHEAST WINDS AROUND 10 MPH SHIFTING TO THE
                    SOUTH IN THE AFTERNOON. GUSTS UP TO 30 MPH.
HAINES INDEX........3 OR VERY LOW POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME
                    DOMINATED FIRE GROWTH.
SMOKE DISPERSAL.....FAIR (200).
MIXING HEIGHT.......1900 FT AGL.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....EAST AROUND 15 MPH SHIFTING TO THE SOUTH AROUND
                    9 MPH IN THE AFTERNOON.
PCPN AMOUNT.........0.27-0.34 IN.


$$

.EXTENDED...

.TUESDAY...SHOWERS LIKELY. LOWS IN THE UPPER 30S. HIGHS IN THE
LOWER 50S. SOUTHWEST WINDS AROUND 10 MPH.
.WEDNESDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE MID 30S. HIGHS IN THE
LOWER 50S. NORTHWEST WINDS AROUND 10 MPH.
.THURSDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE LOWER 30S. HIGHS IN THE
UPPER 50S. EAST WINDS AROUND 5 MPH.
.FRIDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE UPPER 30S. HIGHS IN THE
UPPER 50S. NORTH WINDS AROUND 5 MPH.
.SATURDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE UPPER 30S. HIGHS AROUND
60. NORTH WINDS AROUND 10 MPH.

$$

JZ



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