Routine Fire Wx Fcst (With/Without 6-10 Day Outlook)
Issued by NWS Detroit/Pontiac, MI

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FNUS53 KDTX 270718
FWFDTX

FIRE WEATHER PLANNING FORECAST FOR SOUTHEAST MICHIGAN
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE DETROIT/PONTIAC MI
318 AM EDT SAT AUG 27 2016

.DISCUSSION...INCREASING MOISTURE TODAY WILL ALLOW FOR NUMEROUS
SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS THIS AFTERNOON. DRY CONDITIONS EXPECTED
SUNDAY AND MONDAY WITH HIGHS IN THE LOW TO MID 80S, BUT HIGH HUMIDITY
PERSISTS ON SUNDAY.

MIZ047-048-053-060-061-272115-
MIDLAND-BAY-SAGINAW-SHIAWASSEE-GENESEE-
INCLUDING THE CITY OF...MIDLAND-BAY CITY-SAGINAW-OWOSSO-FLINT
318 AM EDT SAT AUG 27 2016

.TODAY...
SKY/WEATHER.........PARTLY CLOUDY (55-65 PERCENT) UNTIL 8 AM...THEN
                    MOSTLY CLOUDY (80-90 PERCENT). A SLIGHT CHANCE
                    OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS UNTIL 8 AM...THEN
                    CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS UNTIL
                    2 PM...THEN SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS LIKELY.
                    POP...60 PERCENT.
MAX TEMPERATURE.....76-81.
   24 HR TREND......2 DEGREES COOLER.
MIN HUMIDITY........59-69 PERCENT.
   24 HR TREND......21 PERCENT WETTER.
20-FOOT WINDS.......NORTHEAST AROUND 5 MPH...BECOMING SOUTHEAST.
HAINES INDEX........4 OR LOW POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME DOMINATED
                    FIRE GROWTH.
MIXING HEIGHT.......4880-5380 FT AGL.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....NORTHEAST AROUND 5 MPH...BECOMING SOUTH 10 TO
                    15 MPH.
VENTILATION INDEX...`EXCELLENT` (780).
PCPN AMOUNT.........0.26-0.50 IN.

.TONIGHT...
SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY CLOUDY (70-80 PERCENT) UNTIL 10 PM...THEN
                    PARTLY CLOUDY (60-70 PERCENT) UNTIL MIDNIGHT...THEN
                    MOSTLY CLOUDY (75-85 PERCENT). CHANCE OF
                    SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS UNTIL 7 AM...THEN A
                    SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS.
                    POP...30 PERCENT.
MIN TEMPERATURE.....65-70.
   24 HR TREND......7 DEGREES WARMER.
MAX HUMIDITY........99 PERCENT.
   24 HR TREND......6 PERCENT WETTER.
20-FOOT WINDS.......SOUTH 10 TO 15 MPH...BECOMING SOUTHWEST AROUND
                    5 MPH LATE.
HAINES INDEX........3 OR VERY LOW POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME
                    DOMINATED FIRE GROWTH.
MIXING HEIGHT.......680-880 FT AGL.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....SOUTH AROUND 10 MPH...INCREASING TO SOUTHWEST
                    AROUND 20 MPH LATE.
VENTILATION INDEX...`POOR` (10).
PCPN AMOUNT.........0.26-0.50 IN.

.SUNDAY...
SKY/WEATHER.........PARTLY SUNNY (50-60 PERCENT). A SLIGHT CHANCE
                    OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS UNTIL 9 AM.
                    POP...20 PERCENT.
MAX TEMPERATURE.....79-84.
   24 HR TREND......5 DEGREES WARMER.
MIN HUMIDITY........56-64 PERCENT.
   24 HR TREND......13 PERCENT DRIER.
20-FOOT WINDS.......WEST 10 TO 15 MPH...BECOMING NORTHWEST AROUND 5
                    MPH LATE.
HAINES INDEX........5 OR MODERATE POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME
                    DOMINATED FIRE GROWTH.
MIXING HEIGHT.......5000-5500 FT AGL.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....NORTHWEST 10 TO 15 MPH.
VENTILATION INDEX...`EXCELLENT` (630).
PCPN AMOUNT.........NONE.


$$

MIZ049-054-055-062-272115-
HURON-TUSCOLA-SANILAC-LAPEER-
INCLUDING THE CITY OF...BAD AXE-CARO-SANDUSKY-LAPEER
318 AM EDT SAT AUG 27 2016

.TODAY...
SKY/WEATHER.........PARTLY CLOUDY (50-60 PERCENT) UNTIL 10 AM...THEN
                    MOSTLY CLOUDY (75-85 PERCENT). CHANCE OF
                    SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS AFTER 8 AM UNTIL
                    2 PM...THEN SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS LIKELY.
                    POP...70 PERCENT.
MAX TEMPERATURE.....75-80.
   24 HR TREND......UNCHANGED.
MIN HUMIDITY........59-69 PERCENT.
   24 HR TREND......12 PERCENT WETTER.
20-FOOT WINDS.......SOUTHEAST 5 TO 10 MPH.
HAINES INDEX........4 OR LOW POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME DOMINATED
                    FIRE GROWTH.
MIXING HEIGHT.......4560-5060 FT AGL.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....SOUTHEAST 5 TO 10 MPH...BECOMING SOUTH AROUND
                    15 MPH BY AFTERNOON.
VENTILATION INDEX...`EXCELLENT` (770).
PCPN AMOUNT.........0.11-0.25 IN.

.TONIGHT...
SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY CLOUDY (80-90 PERCENT) UNTIL 10 PM...THEN
                    PARTLY CLOUDY (65-75 PERCENT) UNTIL 2 AM...THEN
                    MOSTLY CLOUDY (70-80 PERCENT). CHANCE OF
                    SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS UNTIL 7 AM...THEN A
                    SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS.
                    POP...50 PERCENT.
MIN TEMPERATURE.....65-70.
   24 HR TREND......7 DEGREES WARMER.
MAX HUMIDITY........98 PERCENT.
   24 HR TREND......2 PERCENT WETTER.
20-FOOT WINDS.......SOUTHEAST 10 TO 15 MPH...BECOMING SOUTHWEST
                    AROUND 5 MPH LATE.
HAINES INDEX........3 OR VERY LOW POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME
                    DOMINATED FIRE GROWTH.
MIXING HEIGHT.......120-320 FT AGL.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....SOUTHEAST AROUND 10 MPH...BECOMING SOUTHWEST
                    LATE.
VENTILATION INDEX...`POOR` (0).
PCPN AMOUNT.........0.26-0.50 IN.

.SUNDAY...
SKY/WEATHER.........PARTLY SUNNY (50-60 PERCENT). A SLIGHT CHANCE
                    OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS UNTIL 9 AM.
                    POP...20 PERCENT.
MAX TEMPERATURE.....77-82.
   24 HR TREND......2 DEGREES WARMER.
MIN HUMIDITY........61-71 PERCENT.
   24 HR TREND......7 PERCENT DRIER.
20-FOOT WINDS.......WEST 10 TO 15 MPH...BECOMING NORTHWEST LATE.
HAINES INDEX........5 OR MODERATE POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME
                    DOMINATED FIRE GROWTH.
MIXING HEIGHT.......3690-4190 FT AGL.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....NORTHWEST 15 TO 20 MPH...DECREASING TO AROUND
                    10 MPH LATE.
VENTILATION INDEX...`GOOD` (590).
PCPN AMOUNT.........0.01-0.05 IN.


$$

MIZ063-068>070-075-076-082-083-272115-
ST CLAIR-LIVINGSTON-OAKLAND-MACOMB-WASHTENAW-WAYNE-LENAWEE-MONROE-
INCLUDING THE CITY OF...
PORT HURON-HOWELL-PONTIAC-WARREN-ANN ARBOR-DETROIT-ADRIAN-MONROE
318 AM EDT SAT AUG 27 2016

.TODAY...
SKY/WEATHER.........PARTLY SUNNY (60-70 PERCENT) UNTIL NOON...THEN
                    MOSTLY CLOUDY (70-80 PERCENT). CHANCE OF
                    SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS AFTER 8 AM UNTIL
                    2 PM...THEN SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS LIKELY.
                    POP...60 PERCENT.
MAX TEMPERATURE.....80-85.
   24 HR TREND......UNCHANGED.
MIN HUMIDITY........51-61 PERCENT.
   24 HR TREND......9 PERCENT WETTER.
20-FOOT WINDS.......SOUTHEAST 5 TO 10 MPH.
HAINES INDEX........3 OR VERY LOW POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME
                    DOMINATED FIRE GROWTH.
MIXING HEIGHT.......5820-6320 FT AGL.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....SOUTHEAST 5 TO 10 MPH...BECOMING SOUTH AROUND
                    15 MPH IN THE AFTERNOON...THEN...BECOMING
                    SOUTHWEST LATE.
VENTILATION INDEX...`EXCELLENT` (1070).
PCPN AMOUNT.........0.51-0.75 IN.

.TONIGHT...
SKY/WEATHER.........PARTLY CLOUDY (60-70 PERCENT) UNTIL 2 AM...THEN
                    MOSTLY CLOUDY (75-85 PERCENT). CHANCE OF
                    SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS UNTIL 7 AM...THEN A
                    SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS.
                    POP...50 PERCENT.
MIN TEMPERATURE.....66-71.
   24 HR TREND......4 DEGREES WARMER.
MAX HUMIDITY........98 PERCENT.
   24 HR TREND......8 PERCENT WETTER.
20-FOOT WINDS.......SOUTHEAST 5 TO 10 MPH...BECOMING SOUTHWEST
                    LATE.
HAINES INDEX........4 OR LOW POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME DOMINATED
                    FIRE GROWTH.
MIXING HEIGHT.......800-1000 FT AGL.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....SOUTH AROUND 10 MPH...BECOMING SOUTHWEST LATE.
VENTILATION INDEX...`POOR` (0).
PCPN AMOUNT.........0.26-0.50 IN.

.SUNDAY...
SKY/WEATHER.........PARTLY SUNNY (55-65 PERCENT). A SLIGHT CHANCE
                    OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS UNTIL 10 AM.
                    POP...20 PERCENT.
MAX TEMPERATURE.....81-86.
   24 HR TREND......1 DEGREE WARMER.
MIN HUMIDITY........57-67 PERCENT.
   24 HR TREND......3 PERCENT WETTER.
20-FOOT WINDS.......WEST 5 TO 10 MPH...BECOMING NORTHWEST LATE.
HAINES INDEX........4 OR LOW POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME DOMINATED
                    FIRE GROWTH.
MIXING HEIGHT.......4310-4810 FT AGL.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....NORTHWEST 10 TO 15 MPH.
VENTILATION INDEX...`GOOD` (510).
PCPN AMOUNT.........0.01-0.05 IN.


$$


.FORECAST DAYS 3 THROUGH 7...

.MONDAY...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE MID 60S. HIGHS IN THE LOWER
80S. NORTHEAST WINDS AROUND 5 MPH.
.TUESDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS.
LOWS IN THE MID 60S. HIGHS IN THE LOWER 80S. SOUTHWEST WINDS
AROUND 5 MPH.
.WEDNESDAY...MOSTLY CLEAR. A SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND
THUNDERSTORMS. LOWS IN THE LOWER 60S. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 70S.
NORTHWEST WINDS AROUND 5 MPH.
.THURSDAY...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE UPPER 50S. HIGHS IN THE MID
70S.
.FRIDAY...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE MID 50S. HIGHS IN THE MID
70S.

$$

SC



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