234
FNUS53 KDTX 031950
FWFDTX

Fire Weather Planning Forecast for Southeast Michigan
National Weather Service Detroit/Pontiac MI
350 PM EDT Fri May 3 2024

.DISCUSSION...A broken line of showers and a few embedded
thunderstorms track slowly across the area this evening. Drier
conditions prevail Saturday with fog across the Tri Cities and Thumb
to start the day. MinRH Saturday and Sunday generally fall between
50 and 60 percent, owing to transient moisture advection throughout
the day. Winds veer as high pressure builds overhead.

MIZ047-048-053-060-061-032115-
Midland-Bay-Saginaw-Shiawassee-Genesee-
Including the cities of Midland-Bay City-Saginaw-Owosso-Flint
350 PM EDT Fri May 3 2024

.TONIGHT...
Sky/weather.........Partly cloudy (45-55 percent) until 2 am, then
                    mostly cloudy (60-70 percent). Patchy fog after
                    2 am.
Min temperature.....46-50.
   24 hr trend......6 degrees cooler.
Max humidity........90-100 percent.
   24 hr trend......5 percent drier.
20-foot winds.......Northeast 5 to 10 mph.
Haines Index........4 or low potential for large plume dominated
                    fire growth.
Mixing height.......900-1100 ft agl.
Transport winds.....Northeast around 10 mph.
Smoke dispersal.....Poor (24).
Pcpn amount.........None.

.SATURDAY...
Sky/weather.........Partly cloudy (55-65 percent).
Max temperature.....66-72.
   24 hr trend......6 degrees warmer.
Min humidity........50-60 percent.
   24 hr trend......14 percent drier.
20-foot winds.......East 5 to 10 mph becoming southeast early in
                    the afternoon.
Haines Index........3 or very low potential for large plume
                    dominated fire growth.
Mixing height.......3940-4440 ft agl.
Transport winds.....East around 10 mph becoming southeast in the
                    late morning and afternoon.
Smoke dispersal.....Good (427).
Pcpn amount.........None.

.SATURDAY NIGHT...
Sky/weather.........Partly cloudy (50-60 percent) until 2 am, then
                    cloudy (75-85 percent). Chance of showers.
                    Chance of precipitation 50 percent.
Min temperature.....54-58.
   24 hr trend......8 degrees warmer.
Max humidity........90-100 percent.
   24 hr trend......4 percent drier.
20-foot winds.......Southeast around 5 mph becoming southwest after
                    midnight.
Haines Index........3 or very low potential for large plume
                    dominated fire growth.
Mixing height.......900-1100 ft agl.
Transport winds.....South around 10 mph becoming west after
                    midnight.
Smoke dispersal.....Poor (22).
Pcpn amount.........0.06-0.10 in.

.SUNDAY...
Sky/weather.........Partly cloudy (40-50 percent). Chance of rain
                    showers until 2 pm. Chance of precipitation 30
                    percent.
Max temperature.....64-68.
   24 hr trend......6 degrees cooler.
Min humidity........40-50 percent.
   24 hr trend......3 percent drier.
20-foot winds.......Northwest 10 to 15 mph becoming north early in
                    the afternoon.
Haines Index........4 or low potential for large plume dominated
                    fire growth.
Mixing height.......3650-4150 ft agl.
Transport winds.....North 10 to 15 mph.
Smoke dispersal.....Good (381).
Pcpn amount.........0.01-0.05 in.


$$

MIZ049-054-055-062-032115-
Huron-Tuscola-Sanilac-Lapeer-
Including the cities of Bad Axe-Caro-Sandusky-Lapeer
350 PM EDT Fri May 3 2024

.TONIGHT...
Sky/weather.........Mostly cloudy (60-70 percent). Patchy fog after
                    2 am.
Min temperature.....44-48.
   24 hr trend......1 degree cooler.
Max humidity........94-100 percent.
   24 hr trend......11 percent wetter.
20-foot winds.......Northeast 5 to 10 mph.
Haines Index........3 or very low potential for large plume
                    dominated fire growth.
Mixing height.......820-1020 ft agl.
Transport winds.....Northeast around 10 mph.
Smoke dispersal.....Poor (22).
Pcpn amount.........0.01-0.05 in.

.SATURDAY...
Sky/weather.........Partly cloudy (55-65 percent).
Max temperature.....64-68.
   24 hr trend......5 degrees warmer.
Min humidity........55-65 percent.
   24 hr trend......13 percent drier.
20-foot winds.......East around 5 mph becoming southeast 10 to 15
                    mph in the late morning and afternoon.
Haines Index........3 or very low potential for large plume
                    dominated fire growth.
Mixing height.......2780-3280 ft agl.
Transport winds.....East around 10 mph becoming southeast in the
                    late morning and afternoon.
Smoke dispersal.....Good (416).
Pcpn amount.........None.

.SATURDAY NIGHT...
Sky/weather.........Partly cloudy (55-65 percent) until 2 am, then
                    mostly cloudy (75-85 percent). Chance of rain
                    showers after 2 am. Chance of precipitation 50
                    percent.
Min temperature.....50-56.
   24 hr trend......9 degrees warmer.
Max humidity........92-100 percent.
   24 hr trend......2 percent drier.
20-foot winds.......Southeast 10 to 15 mph becoming south after
                    midnight.
Haines Index........3 or very low potential for large plume
                    dominated fire growth.
Mixing height.......860-1060 ft agl.
Transport winds.....South around 15 mph decreasing to around 10 mph
                    after midnight.
Smoke dispersal.....Poor (14).
Pcpn amount.........0.06-0.10 in.

.SUNDAY...
Sky/weather.........Partly cloudy (45-55 percent). Chance of rain
                    showers until 2 pm. Chance of precipitation 50
                    percent.
Max temperature.....62-66.
   24 hr trend......7 degrees cooler.
Min humidity........50-60 percent.
   24 hr trend......6 percent drier.
20-foot winds.......West around 10 mph becoming north in the late
                    morning and afternoon.
Haines Index........4 or low potential for large plume dominated
                    fire growth.
Mixing height.......2700-3200 ft agl.
Transport winds.....Northwest around 10 mph becoming north in the
                    late morning and afternoon.
Smoke dispersal.....Good (316).
Pcpn amount.........0.01-0.05 in.


$$

MIZ063-068>070-075-076-082-083-032115-
St Clair-Livingston-Oakland-Macomb-Washtenaw-Wayne-Lenawee-Monroe-
Including the cities of Port Huron-Howell-Pontiac-Warren-Ann
Arbor-Detroit-Adrian-Monroe
350 PM EDT Fri May 3 2024

.TONIGHT...
Sky/weather.........Mostly cloudy (70-80 percent).
Min temperature.....50-56.
   24 hr trend......Unchanged.
Max humidity........90-100 percent.
   24 hr trend......5 percent wetter.
20-foot winds.......Northeast 5 to 10 mph.
Haines Index........3 or very low potential for large plume
                    dominated fire growth.
Mixing height.......900-1100 ft agl.
Transport winds.....Northeast around 10 mph.
Smoke dispersal.....Poor (18).
Pcpn amount.........0.01-0.05 in.

.SATURDAY...
Sky/weather.........Partly cloudy (50-60 percent).
Max temperature.....70-76.
   24 hr trend......4 degrees warmer.
Min humidity........49-59 percent.
   24 hr trend......8 percent drier.
20-foot winds.......East 5 to 10 mph becoming southeast early in
                    the afternoon.
Haines Index........3 or very low potential for large plume
                    dominated fire growth.
Mixing height.......3290-3790 ft agl.
Transport winds.....East around 10 mph becoming southeast early in
                    the afternoon.
Smoke dispersal.....Good (384).
Pcpn amount.........0.01-0.05 in.

.SATURDAY NIGHT...
Sky/weather.........Partly cloudy (50-60 percent) until 2 am, then
                    mostly cloudy (70-80 percent). Chance of rain
                    showers. Chance of precipitation 40 percent.
Min temperature.....56-61.
   24 hr trend......3 degrees warmer.
Max humidity........90-100 percent.
   24 hr trend......1 percent wetter.
20-foot winds.......Southeast 5 to 10 mph becoming southwest after
                    midnight.
Haines Index........3 or very low potential for large plume
                    dominated fire growth.
Mixing height.......660-860 ft agl.
Transport winds.....Southeast around 10 mph becoming southwest
                    after midnight.
Smoke dispersal.....Poor (9).
Pcpn amount.........0.06-0.10 in.

.SUNDAY...
Sky/weather.........Partly cloudy (55-65 percent). Chance of rain
                    showers. Chance of precipitation 50 percent.
Max temperature.....68-74.
   24 hr trend......2 degrees cooler.
Min humidity........53-63 percent.
   24 hr trend......2 percent drier.
20-foot winds.......West around 5 mph becoming north 10 to 15 mph
                    in the late morning and afternoon.
Haines Index........4 or low potential for large plume dominated
                    fire growth.
Mixing height.......3290-3790 ft agl.
Transport winds.....Northwest around 10 mph becoming north early in
                    the afternoon.
Smoke dispersal.....Good (366).
Pcpn amount.........0.06-0.10 in.


$$


.FORECAST DAYS 3 THROUGH 7...

.MONDAY...Partly cloudy. Lows in the upper 40s. Highs in the upper
60s. Northeast winds around 10 mph.
.TUESDAY...Partly cloudy. Showers likely. Lows in the upper 40s.
Highs in the lower 70s. East winds around 10 mph.
.WEDNESDAY...Partly cloudy. Showers likely and chance of
thunderstorms. Lows in the upper 50s. Highs in the upper 70s.
Southwest winds around 15 mph.
.THURSDAY...Mostly cloudy. Showers likely. Lows in the mid 50s.
Highs in the lower 70s.
.FRIDAY...Partly cloudy. Chance of showers. Lows in the lower 50s.
Highs in the mid 60s.

$$

MV