Routine Fire Wx Fcst (With/Without 6-10 Day Outlook)
Issued by NWS Detroit/Pontiac, MI

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000
FNUS53 KDTX 231331 AAA
FWFDTX

FIRE WEATHER PLANNING FORECAST FOR SOUTHEAST MICHIGAN...UPDATED
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE DETROIT/PONTIAC MI
928 AM EDT WED APR 23 2014

UPDATED TO LOWER MIN HUMIDITY TODAY

.DISCUSSION...
HIGH PRESSURE BUILDING INTO THE AREA WILL PRODUCE LIGHT WINDS AND
PLENTY OF SUNSHINE TODAY. DRY AIR WILL HOLD OVER THE AREA INTO
THURSDAY PRODUCING MIN RH VALUES FROM THE MID 20S TO NEAR 40 PERCENT
TODAY (HIGHEST NEAR THE GREAT LAKES)...AND AROUND 30 PERCENT
THURSDAY. THE NEXT LOW PRESSURE SYSTEM WILL WORK THROUGH THE STATE
THURSDAY NIGHT BRINGING A PERIOD OF SHOWERS. THE SYSTEM WILL EXIT TO
THE EAST EARLY FRIDAY WITH DRY AIR RAPIDLY FILLING IN BEHIND IT
AGAIN.

MIZ047-048-053-060-061-232100-
MIDLAND-BAY-SAGINAW-SHIAWASSEE-GENESEE-
INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...MIDLAND-BAY CITY-SAGINAW-OWOSSO-FLINT
928 AM EDT WED APR 23 2014

.REST OF TODAY...
SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY SUNNY (30-40 PERCENT).
MAX TEMPERATURE.....48-53.
   24 HR TREND......3 DEGREES WARMER.
MIN HUMIDITY........25-35 PERCENT.
   24 HR TREND......32 PERCENT DRIER.
20-FOOT WINDS.......NORTH 10 TO 15 MPH...BECOMING NORTHEAST AROUND
                    5 MPH LATE.
HAINES INDEX........5 OR MODERATE POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME
                    DOMINATED FIRE GROWTH.
MIXING HEIGHT.......6140-6640 FT AGL.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....NORTH 15 TO 20 MPH...DECREASING TO AROUND 10
                    MPH LATE.
VENTILATION INDEX...`EXCELLENT` (890).
PCPN AMOUNT.........NONE.

.TONIGHT...
SKY/WEATHER.........PARTLY CLOUDY (35-45 PERCENT).
MIN TEMPERATURE.....30-35.
   24 HR TREND......2 DEGREES WARMER.
MAX HUMIDITY........73-82 PERCENT.
   24 HR TREND......12 PERCENT DRIER.
20-FOOT WINDS.......LIGHT WINDS...BECOMING SOUTHEAST 5 TO 10 MPH
                    AFTER MIDNIGHT.
HAINES INDEX........4 OR LOW POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME DOMINATED
                    FIRE GROWTH.
MIXING HEIGHT.......740-940 FT AGL.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....NORTHEAST AROUND 5 MPH...BECOMING EAST AFTER
                    MIDNIGHT.
VENTILATION INDEX...`POOR` (20).
PCPN AMOUNT.........NONE.

.THURSDAY...
SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY CLOUDY (65-75 PERCENT). A SLIGHT CHANCE
                    OF SHOWERS AFTER 1 PM. POP...20 PERCENT.
MAX TEMPERATURE.....53-58.
   24 HR TREND......6 DEGREES WARMER.
MIN HUMIDITY........33-43 PERCENT.
   24 HR TREND......6 PERCENT WETTER.
20-FOOT WINDS.......SOUTHEAST 10 TO 15 MPH.
HAINES INDEX........4 OR LOW POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME DOMINATED
                    FIRE GROWTH.
MIXING HEIGHT.......3610-4110 FT AGL.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....SOUTHEAST AROUND 10 MPH...INCREASING TO AROUND
                    20 MPH LATE.
VENTILATION INDEX...`EXCELLENT` (810).
PCPN AMOUNT.........NONE.


$$

MIZ049-054-055-062-232100-
HURON-TUSCOLA-SANILAC-LAPEER-
INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...BAD AXE-CARO-SANDUSKY-LAPEER
928 AM EDT WED APR 23 2014

.REST OF TODAY...
SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY SUNNY (30-40 PERCENT).
MAX TEMPERATURE.....43-48.
   24 HR TREND......1 DEGREE WARMER.
MIN HUMIDITY........27-37 PERCENT.
   24 HR TREND......38 PERCENT DRIER.
20-FOOT WINDS.......NORTH 15 TO 20 MPH...BECOMING NORTHEAST AROUND
                    10 MPH LATE.
HAINES INDEX........4 OR LOW POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME DOMINATED
                    FIRE GROWTH.
MIXING HEIGHT.......5820-6320 FT AGL.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....NORTH 15 TO 20 MPH.
VENTILATION INDEX...`EXCELLENT` (760).
PCPN AMOUNT.........NONE.

.TONIGHT...
SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY CLEAR (20-30 PERCENT).
MIN TEMPERATURE.....26-31.
   24 HR TREND......4 DEGREES COOLER.
MAX HUMIDITY........90-100 PERCENT.
   24 HR TREND......5 PERCENT WETTER.
20-FOOT WINDS.......NORTHEAST AROUND 5 MPH IN THE
                    EVENING...BECOMING LIGHT...THEN...BECOMING EAST
                    AROUND 5 MPH LATE.
HAINES INDEX........4 OR LOW POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME DOMINATED
                    FIRE GROWTH.
MIXING HEIGHT.......610-810 FT AGL.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....NORTHEAST AROUND 5 MPH.
VENTILATION INDEX...`POOR` (10).
PCPN AMOUNT.........NONE.

.THURSDAY...
SKY/WEATHER.........PARTLY CLOUDY (55-65 PERCENT).
MAX TEMPERATURE.....49-54.
   24 HR TREND......6 DEGREES WARMER.
MIN HUMIDITY........33-43 PERCENT.
   24 HR TREND......6 PERCENT WETTER.
20-FOOT WINDS.......SOUTHEAST 5 TO 10 MPH.
HAINES INDEX........4 OR LOW POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME DOMINATED
                    FIRE GROWTH.
MIXING HEIGHT.......3560-4060 FT AGL.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....SOUTHEAST 5 TO 10 MPH...INCREASING TO AROUND 15
                    MPH LATE.
VENTILATION INDEX...`GOOD` (580).
PCPN AMOUNT.........NONE.


$$

MIZ063-068>070-075-076-082-083-232100-
ST CLAIR-LIVINGSTON-OAKLAND-MACOMB-WASHTENAW-WAYNE-LENAWEE-MONROE-
INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...
PORT HURON-HOWELL-PONTIAC-WARREN-ANN ARBOR-DETROIT-ADRIAN-MONROE
928 AM EDT WED APR 23 2014

.REST OF TODAY...
SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY SUNNY (30-40 PERCENT).
MAX TEMPERATURE.....49-54.
   24 HR TREND......5 DEGREES WARMER.
MIN HUMIDITY........26-35 PERCENT.
   24 HR TREND......28 PERCENT DRIER.
20-FOOT WINDS.......NORTH 10 TO 15 MPH...DIMINISHING TO AROUND 5
                    MPH LATE.
HAINES INDEX........5 OR MODERATE POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME
                    DOMINATED FIRE GROWTH.
MIXING HEIGHT.......6460-6960 FT AGL.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....NORTH 15 TO 20 MPH.
VENTILATION INDEX...`EXCELLENT` (1110).
PCPN AMOUNT.........NONE.

.TONIGHT...
SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY CLEAR (35-45 PERCENT).
MIN TEMPERATURE.....30-35.
   24 HR TREND......2 DEGREES WARMER.
MAX HUMIDITY........80-90 PERCENT.
   24 HR TREND......13 PERCENT DRIER.
20-FOOT WINDS.......NORTHEAST AROUND 5 MPH...BECOMING EAST AFTER
                    MIDNIGHT.
HAINES INDEX........5 OR MODERATE POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME
                    DOMINATED FIRE GROWTH.
MIXING HEIGHT.......500-700 FT AGL.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....NORTHEAST AROUND 10 MPH...BECOMING EAST AFTER
                    MIDNIGHT.
VENTILATION INDEX...`POOR` (0).
PCPN AMOUNT.........NONE.

.THURSDAY...
SKY/WEATHER.........PARTLY CLOUDY (55-65 PERCENT). POP...20 PERCENT.
MAX TEMPERATURE.....55-60.
   24 HR TREND......2 DEGREES WARMER.
MIN HUMIDITY........32-42 PERCENT.
   24 HR TREND......6 PERCENT WETTER.
20-FOOT WINDS.......SOUTHEAST 10 TO 15 MPH.
HAINES INDEX........4 OR LOW POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME DOMINATED
                    FIRE GROWTH.
MIXING HEIGHT.......3330-3830 FT AGL.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....SOUTHEAST 5 TO 10 MPH...INCREASING TO AROUND 15
                    MPH LATE.
VENTILATION INDEX...`EXCELLENT` (790).
PCPN AMOUNT.........NONE.


$$


.FORECAST DAYS 3 THROUGH 7...

.FRIDAY...SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE LOWER 40S. HIGHS IN THE MID 60S.
SOUTHWEST WINDS AROUND 15 MPH.
.SATURDAY...COOLER. PARTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE
UPPER 30S. HIGHS IN THE LOWER 50S. NORTHWEST WINDS AROUND 15 MPH.
.SUNDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. A SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE
LOWER 30S. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 40S. NORTHEAST WINDS AROUND 10 MPH.
.MONDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE LOWER
30S. HIGHS IN THE MID 40S.
.TUESDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE MID 30S.
HIGHS IN THE MID 40S.

$$

HLO/DG/DRK





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