Routine Fire Wx Fcst (With/Without 6-10 Day Outlook)
Issued by NWS Detroit/Pontiac, MI

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000
FNUS53 KDTX 181939
FWFDTX

FIRE WEATHER PLANNING FORECAST FOR SOUTHEAST MICHIGAN
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE DETROIT/PONTIAC MI
340 PM EDT THU SEP 18 2014

.DISCUSSION...
.HIGH PRESSURE WILL REMAIN IN PLACE OVER THE REGION THROUGH FRIDAY
NIGHT...HOWEVER...RH VALUES WILL REMAIN GENERALLY ABOVE 50 PERCENT.
THE NEXT LOW PRESSURE SYSTEM AND CHANCE OF RAIN WILL RETURN ON
SATURDAY AND LAST INTO SUNDAY. HIGH PRESSURE AND DRY WEATHER RETURNS
ONCE AGAIN FOR THE BEGINNING OF NEXT WEEK.

MIZ047-048-053-060-061-191400-
MIDLAND-BAY-SAGINAW-SHIAWASSEE-GENESEE-
INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...MIDLAND-BAY CITY-SAGINAW-OWOSSO-FLINT
340 PM EDT THU SEP 18 2014

.TONIGHT...

SKY/WEATHER.........PARTLY CLOUDY (45-55 PERCENT).
MIN TEMPERATURE.....40-45.
   24 HR TREND......5 DEGREES COOLER.
MAX HUMIDITY........90-100 PERCENT.
   24 HR TREND......1 PERCENT DRIER.
20-FOOT WINDS.......EAST 5 TO 10 MPH THROUGH MIDNIGHT...BECOMING
                    LIGHT OVERNIGHT.
HAINES INDEX........2 OR VERY LOW POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME
                    DOMINATED FIRE GROWTH.
MIXING HEIGHT.......920-1120 FT AGL.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....EAST 5 TO 10 MPH.
VENTILATION INDEX...`POOR` (0).
PCPN AMOUNT.........NONE.

.FRIDAY...
SKY/WEATHER.........PARTLY CLOUDY (40-50 PERCENT).
MAX TEMPERATURE.....65-70.
   24 HR TREND......8 DEGREES WARMER.
MIN HUMIDITY........53 PERCENT.
   24 HR TREND......12 PERCENT DRIER.
20-FOOT WINDS.......SOUTH 5 TO 10 MPH.
HAINES INDEX........3 OR VERY LOW POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME
                    DOMINATED FIRE GROWTH.
MIXING HEIGHT.......4800-5300 FT AGL.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....SOUTH 5 TO 10 MPH.
VENTILATION INDEX...`EXCELLENT` (680).
PCPN AMOUNT.........NONE.

.FRIDAY NIGHT...
SKY/WEATHER.........PARTLY CLOUDY (45-55 PERCENT). CHANCE OF RAIN
                    SHOWERS. POP...40 PERCENT.
MIN TEMPERATURE.....52-57.
   24 HR TREND......15 DEGREES WARMER.
MAX HUMIDITY........78-87 PERCENT.
   24 HR TREND......17 PERCENT DRIER.
20-FOOT WINDS.......SOUTH 10 TO 15 MPH.
HAINES INDEX........4 OR LOW POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME DOMINATED
                    FIRE GROWTH.
MIXING HEIGHT.......840-1040 FT AGL.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....SOUTH 10 TO 15 MPH.
VENTILATION INDEX...`POOR` (30).
PCPN AMOUNT.........0.06-0.10 IN.

.SATURDAY...
SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY CLOUDY (75-85 PERCENT). CHANCE OF RAIN
                    SHOWERS. A SLIGHT CHANCE OF THUNDERSTORMS AFTER
                    4 PM. POP...70 PERCENT.
MAX TEMPERATURE.....72-77.
   24 HR TREND......7 DEGREES WARMER.
MIN HUMIDITY........59-69 PERCENT.
   24 HR TREND......14 PERCENT WETTER.
20-FOOT WINDS.......SOUTHWEST 15 TO 20 MPH.
HAINES INDEX........2 OR VERY LOW POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME
                    DOMINATED FIRE GROWTH.
MIXING HEIGHT.......3400-3900 FT AGL.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....SOUTHWEST AROUND 15 MPH...INCREASING TO 25 TO
                    30 MPH BY AFTERNOON.
VENTILATION INDEX...`EXCELLENT` (1130).
PCPN AMOUNT.........0.26-0.50 IN.


$$

MIZ049-054-055-062-191400-
HURON-TUSCOLA-SANILAC-LAPEER-
INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...BAD AXE-CARO-SANDUSKY-LAPEER
340 PM EDT THU SEP 18 2014

.TONIGHT...

SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY CLEAR (25-35 PERCENT). PATCHY FROST
                    AFTER 2 AM.
MIN TEMPERATURE.....37-42.
   24 HR TREND......9 DEGREES COOLER.
MAX HUMIDITY........90-100 PERCENT.
   24 HR TREND......UNCHANGED.
20-FOOT WINDS.......NORTHEAST AROUND 5 MPH...BECOMING SOUTH UP TO 5
                    MPH AFTER MIDNIGHT.
HAINES INDEX........4 OR LOW POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME DOMINATED
                    FIRE GROWTH.
MIXING HEIGHT.......700-900 FT AGL.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....NORTHEAST AROUND 5 MPH...BECOMING EAST LATE.
VENTILATION INDEX...`POOR` (0).
PCPN AMOUNT.........NONE.

.FRIDAY...
SKY/WEATHER.........PARTLY CLOUDY (35-45 PERCENT).
MAX TEMPERATURE.....62-67.
   24 HR TREND......9 DEGREES WARMER.
MIN HUMIDITY........51-61 PERCENT.
   24 HR TREND......10 PERCENT DRIER.
20-FOOT WINDS.......SOUTH 5 TO 10 MPH.
HAINES INDEX........4 OR LOW POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME DOMINATED
                    FIRE GROWTH.
MIXING HEIGHT.......3350-3850 FT AGL.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....SOUTH 5 TO 10 MPH...INCREASING TO AROUND 15 MPH
                    LATE.
VENTILATION INDEX...`EXCELLENT` (600).
PCPN AMOUNT.........NONE.

.FRIDAY NIGHT...
SKY/WEATHER.........PARTLY CLOUDY (45-55 PERCENT). CHANCE OF RAIN
                    SHOWERS. POP...40 PERCENT.
MIN TEMPERATURE.....50-55.
   24 HR TREND......18 DEGREES WARMER.
MAX HUMIDITY........81-86 PERCENT.
   24 HR TREND......16 PERCENT DRIER.
20-FOOT WINDS.......SOUTH 10 TO 15 MPH.
HAINES INDEX........4 OR LOW POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME DOMINATED
                    FIRE GROWTH.
MIXING HEIGHT.......900-1100 FT AGL.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....SOUTH 10 TO 15 MPH.
VENTILATION INDEX...`POOR` (20).
PCPN AMOUNT.........0.01-0.05 IN.

.SATURDAY...
SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY CLOUDY (75-85 PERCENT). CHANCE OF RAIN
                    SHOWERS. A SLIGHT CHANCE OF THUNDERSTORMS AFTER
                    4 PM. POP...60 PERCENT.
MAX TEMPERATURE.....72-77.
   24 HR TREND......9 DEGREES WARMER.
MIN HUMIDITY........61-67 PERCENT.
   24 HR TREND......9 PERCENT WETTER.
20-FOOT WINDS.......SOUTHWEST 15 TO 20 MPH.
HAINES INDEX........3 OR VERY LOW POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME
                    DOMINATED FIRE GROWTH.
MIXING HEIGHT.......3410-3910 FT AGL.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....SOUTHWEST AROUND 15 MPH...INCREASING TO 25 TO
                    30 MPH BY AFTERNOON.
VENTILATION INDEX...`EXCELLENT` (1190).
PCPN AMOUNT.........0.26-0.50 IN.


$$

MIZ063-068>070-075-076-082-083-191400-
ST CLAIR-LIVINGSTON-OAKLAND-MACOMB-WASHTENAW-WAYNE-LENAWEE-MONROE-
INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...
PORT HURON-HOWELL-PONTIAC-WARREN-ANN ARBOR-DETROIT-ADRIAN-MONROE
340 PM EDT THU SEP 18 2014

.TONIGHT...

SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY CLEAR (35-45 PERCENT). PATCHY FOG AFTER
                    2 AM.
MIN TEMPERATURE.....38-43.
   24 HR TREND......2 DEGREES COOLER.
MAX HUMIDITY........91-100 PERCENT.
   24 HR TREND......3 PERCENT WETTER.
20-FOOT WINDS.......NORTHEAST 5 TO 10 MPH THROUGH
                    MIDNIGHT...BECOMING LIGHT OVERNIGHT.
HAINES INDEX........3 OR VERY LOW POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME
                    DOMINATED FIRE GROWTH.
MIXING HEIGHT.......780-980 FT AGL.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....EAST 5 TO 10 MPH.
VENTILATION INDEX...`POOR` (0).
PCPN AMOUNT.........NONE.

.FRIDAY...
SKY/WEATHER.........PARTLY CLOUDY (35-45 PERCENT). PATCHY FOG UNTIL
                    10 AM.
MAX TEMPERATURE.....64-69.
   24 HR TREND......UNCHANGED.
MIN HUMIDITY........45-55 PERCENT.
   24 HR TREND......2 PERCENT WETTER.
20-FOOT WINDS.......EAST AROUND 5 MPH...BECOMING SOUTHEAST BY
                    AFTERNOON.
HAINES INDEX........4 OR LOW POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME DOMINATED
                    FIRE GROWTH.
MIXING HEIGHT.......4370-4870 FT AGL.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....EAST AROUND 5 MPH...BECOMING SOUTHEAST BY
                    AFTERNOON.
VENTILATION INDEX...`GOOD` (510).
PCPN AMOUNT.........NONE.

.FRIDAY NIGHT...
SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY CLEAR (30-40 PERCENT). A SLIGHT CHANCE
                    OF SHOWERS. POP...20 PERCENT.
MIN TEMPERATURE.....50-55.
   24 HR TREND......12 DEGREES WARMER.
MAX HUMIDITY........84-94 PERCENT.
   24 HR TREND......12 PERCENT DRIER.
20-FOOT WINDS.......SOUTH 5 TO 10 MPH.
HAINES INDEX........4 OR LOW POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME DOMINATED
                    FIRE GROWTH.
MIXING HEIGHT.......640-840 FT AGL.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....SOUTH 5 TO 10 MPH.
VENTILATION INDEX...`POOR` (10).
PCPN AMOUNT.........0.01-0.05 IN.

.SATURDAY...
SKY/WEATHER.........PARTLY CLOUDY (60-70 PERCENT). A SLIGHT CHANCE
                    OF SHOWERS UNTIL 4 PM...THEN CHANCE OF
                    SHOWERS AND A SLIGHT CHANCE OF
                    THUNDERSTORMS. POP...50 PERCENT.
MAX TEMPERATURE.....75-80.
   24 HR TREND......10 DEGREES WARMER.
MIN HUMIDITY........51-61 PERCENT.
   24 HR TREND......7 PERCENT WETTER.
20-FOOT WINDS.......SOUTHWEST 15 TO 20 MPH.
HAINES INDEX........3 OR VERY LOW POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME
                    DOMINATED FIRE GROWTH.
MIXING HEIGHT.......3510-4010 FT AGL.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....SOUTHWEST 15 TO 20 MPH...INCREASING TO AROUND
                    25 MPH LATE.
VENTILATION INDEX...`EXCELLENT` (1110).
PCPN AMOUNT.........0.11-0.25 IN.


$$


.FORECAST DAYS 3 THROUGH 7...

.SUNDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SHOWERS LIKELY AND A SLIGHT CHANCE OF
THUNDERSTORMS. LOWS AROUND 60. HIGHS AROUND 70. WEST WINDS AROUND
15 MPH.
.MONDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE UPPER 40S. HIGHS IN THE
LOWER 60S. NORTHWEST WINDS AROUND 10 MPH.
.TUESDAY...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE MID 40S. HIGHS IN THE MID
60S. NORTHWEST WINDS AROUND 10 MPH.
.WEDNESDAY...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE MID 40S. HIGHS IN THE MID
60S.
.THURSDAY...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE UPPER 40S. HIGHS IN THE
UPPER 60S.

$$

SF






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