Routine Fire Wx Fcst (With/Without 6-10 Day Outlook)
Issued by NWS Detroit/Pontiac, MI

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000
FNUS53 KDTX 220737
FWFDTX

Fire Weather Planning Forecast for Southeast Michigan
National Weather Service Detroit/Pontiac MI
337 AM EDT Sun Oct 22 2017

.DISCUSSION...Well above normal temperatures through the weekend. A gradual
increase in moisture will lead to showers by Sunday evening, as a
cold front moves through. Min RH in the 40s today and 50s on Sunday.
Southerly winds will also increase each day, with gusts topping out
at or above 25 mph on Sunday. Chilly and damp conditions take over
for midweek.

MIZ047-048-053-060-061-221915-
Midland-Bay-Saginaw-Shiawassee-Genesee-
Including the cities of Midland-Bay City-Saginaw-Owosso-Flint
337 AM EDT Sun Oct 22 2017

.TODAY...
Sky/weather.........Partly cloudy (45-55 percent). A slight chance
                    of. Chance of precipitation 30 percent.
Max temperature.....75-80.
   24 hr trend......3 degrees warmer.
Min humidity........41-46 percent.
   24 hr trend......6 percent wetter.
20-foot winds.......South winds 5 to 10 mph increasing to 15 to 20
                    mph in the late morning and afternoon.
Haines Index........3 or very low potential for large plume
                    dominated fire growth.
Mixing height.......3000-3500 ft agl.
Transport winds.....South 5 to 10 mph increasing to 25 to 30 mph in
                    the late morning and afternoon.
Smoke dispersal.....Excellent (1010).
Pcpn amount.........0.01-0.05 in.

.TONIGHT...
Sky/weather.........Partly cloudy (60-70 percent) until 10 pm then
                    mostly cloudy (70-80 percent). Chance of
                    showers after 8 pm until 2 am then showers
                    likely. Chance of precipitation 70 percent.
Min temperature.....53-58.
   24 hr trend......1 degree cooler.
Max humidity........90-99 percent.
   24 hr trend......18 percent wetter.
20-foot winds.......South winds 10 to 15 mph.
Haines Index........3 or very low potential for large plume
                    dominated fire growth.
Mixing height.......780-980 ft agl.
Transport winds.....South 25 to 30 mph becoming southwest around 20
                    mph after midnight.
Smoke dispersal.....Poor (110).
Pcpn amount.........0.26-0.50 in.

.MONDAY...
Sky/weather.........Cloudy (85-95 percent). Showers likely until
                    8 am then rain. Chance of precipitation 90
                    near percent.
Max temperature.....59-64.
   24 hr trend......17 degrees cooler.
Min humidity........66-75 percent.
   24 hr trend......30 percent wetter.
20-foot winds.......West winds 5 to 10 mph.
Haines Index........2 or very low potential for large plume
                    dominated fire growth.
Mixing height.......1640-2140 ft agl.
Transport winds.....Northwest around 10 mph.
Smoke dispersal.....Good (370).
Pcpn amount.........0.51-0.75 in.


$$

MIZ049-054-055-062-221915-
Huron-Tuscola-Sanilac-Lapeer-
Including the cities of Bad Axe-Caro-Sandusky-Lapeer
337 AM EDT Sun Oct 22 2017

.TODAY...
Sky/weather.........Partly cloudy (40-50 percent).
Max temperature.....72-77.
   24 hr trend......2 degrees warmer.
Min humidity........42-52 percent.
   24 hr trend......2 percent wetter.
20-foot winds.......South winds 5 to 10 mph increasing to 15 to 20
                    mph in the late morning and afternoon.
Haines Index........3 or very low potential for large plume
                    dominated fire growth.
Mixing height.......2570-3070 ft agl.
Transport winds.....South 5 to 10 mph increasing to 25 to 30 mph in
                    the late morning and afternoon.
Smoke dispersal.....Excellent (860).
Pcpn amount.........None.

.TONIGHT...
Sky/weather.........Partly cloudy (50-60 percent) until 2 am then
                    mostly cloudy (70-80 percent). A slight chance
                    of until 2 am. Chance of showers after 2 am.
                    Chance of precipitation 50 percent.
Min temperature.....55-60.
   24 hr trend......3 degrees warmer.
Max humidity........86-92 percent.
   24 hr trend......3 percent wetter.
20-foot winds.......South winds 10 to 15 mph.
Haines Index........3 or very low potential for large plume
                    dominated fire growth.
Mixing height.......680-880 ft agl.
Transport winds.....South around 25 mph.
Smoke dispersal.....Poor (20).
Pcpn amount.........0.11-0.25 in.

.MONDAY...
Sky/weather.........Mostly cloudy (85-95 percent). Chance of
                    showers until 8 am then rain. Chance of
                    precipitation 90 near percent.
Max temperature.....60-65.
   24 hr trend......13 degrees cooler.
Min humidity........74-80 percent.
   24 hr trend......34 percent wetter.
20-foot winds.......Southwest winds 5 to 10 mph.
Haines Index........2 or very low potential for large plume
                    dominated fire growth.
Mixing height.......1330-1830 ft agl.
Transport winds.....Southwest around 15 mph becoming northwest
                    early in the afternoon.
Smoke dispersal.....Good (400).
Pcpn amount.........0.51-0.75 in.


$$

MIZ063-068>070-075-076-082-083-221915-
St Clair-Livingston-Oakland-Macomb-Washtenaw-Wayne-Lenawee-Monroe-
Including the cities of Port Huron-Howell-Pontiac-Warren-Ann
Arbor-Detroit-Adrian-Monroe
337 AM EDT Sun Oct 22 2017

.TODAY...
Sky/weather.........Partly cloudy (40-50 percent) until 10 am then
                    mostly sunny (35-45 percent) until noon then
                    partly cloudy (35-45 percent).
Max temperature.....73-78.
   24 hr trend......3 degrees warmer.
Min humidity........41-47 percent.
   24 hr trend......4 percent wetter.
20-foot winds.......South winds 5 to 10 mph increasing to around 15
                    mph early in the afternoon.
Haines Index........4 or low potential for large plume dominated
                    fire growth.
Mixing height.......3880-4380 ft agl.
Transport winds.....South around 5 mph increasing to around 30 mph.
Smoke dispersal.....Excellent (1240).
Pcpn amount.........None.

.TONIGHT...
Sky/weather.........Partly cloudy (55-65 percent) until 4 am then
                    mostly cloudy (65-75 percent). Chance of
                    showers after 2 am. Chance of precipitation 50
                    percent.
Min temperature.....56-61.
   24 hr trend......2 degrees warmer.
Max humidity........84-92 percent.
   24 hr trend......10 percent wetter.
20-foot winds.......South winds 10 to 15 mph.
Haines Index........3 or very low potential for large plume
                    dominated fire growth.
Mixing height.......320-520 ft agl.
Transport winds.....South around 20 mph.
Smoke dispersal.....Poor (0).
Pcpn amount.........0.11-0.25 in.

.MONDAY...
Sky/weather.........Mostly cloudy (80-90 percent). Chance of
                    showers until 8 am then rain. Chance of
                    precipitation 90 near percent.
Max temperature.....61-66.
   24 hr trend......13 degrees cooler.
Min humidity........73-78 percent.
   24 hr trend......35 percent wetter.
20-foot winds.......Southwest winds 5 to 10 mph.
Haines Index........3 or very low potential for large plume
                    dominated fire growth.
Mixing height.......1190-1690 ft agl.
Transport winds.....South 15 to 20 mph becoming west around 10 mph
                    early in the afternoon.
Smoke dispersal.....Good (430).
Pcpn amount.........0.51-0.75 in.


$$


.FORECAST DAYS 3 THROUGH 7...

.TUESDAY...Rain. Lows in the upper 40s. Highs in the upper 50s. West
winds around 10 mph.
.WEDNESDAY...Showers likely and chance of thunderstorms. Lows around
40. Highs around 50. West winds around 10 mph.
.THURSDAY...Partly cloudy. Chance of showers. Lows in the mid 30s.
Highs in the lower 50s. West winds around 5 mph.
.FRIDAY...Partly cloudy. Chance of showers. Lows in the lower 40s.
Highs in the mid 50s.
.SATURDAY...Mostly cloudy with chance of showers. Lows in the lower
40s. Highs in the lower 50s.

$$

SC



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