Routine Fire Wx Fcst (With/Without 6-10 Day Outlook)
Issued by NWS Detroit/Pontiac, MI

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000
FNUS53 KDTX 220745
FWFDTX

Fire Weather Planning Forecast for Southeast Michigan
National Weather Service Detroit/Pontiac MI
345 AM EDT Tue Aug 22 2017

.DISCUSSION...Warm and humid conditions occuring ahead of a strong
cold front will fuel showers and thunderstorms today. The front will
move through SE Michigan during the afternoon and sweep rain out of
the region by early evening. Much cooler and less humid air will
move in behind the front Wednesday and last through Friday.

MIZ047-048-053-060-061-221915-
Midland-Bay-Saginaw-Shiawassee-Genesee-
Including the cities of Midland-Bay City-Saginaw-Owosso-Flint
345 AM EDT Tue Aug 22 2017

.TODAY...
Sky/weather.........Mostly cloudy (70-80 percent) until 4 pm then
                    partly cloudy (45-55 percent). Chance of showers
                    and thunderstorms until 6 am then showers
                    with thunderstorms likely until 2 pm then
                    chance of showers and thunderstorms. Chance of
                    precipitation 80 percent.
Max temperature.....74-79.
   24 hr trend......10 degrees cooler.
Min humidity........54-62 percent.
   24 hr trend......9 percent wetter.
20-foot winds.......Southwest winds 10 to 15 mph becoming west
                    around 20 mph early in the afternoon.
Haines Index........3 or very low potential for large plume
                    dominated fire growth.
Mixing height.......6220-6720 ft agl.
Transport winds.....Southwest 20 to 25 mph becoming west early in
                    the afternoon.
Smoke dispersal.....Excellent (1610).
Pcpn amount.........0.51-0.75 in.

.TONIGHT...
Sky/weather.........Mostly clear (25-35 percent). Chance of showers
                    and thunderstorms until 8 pm. Chance of
                    precipitation 40 percent.
Min temperature.....52-57.
   24 hr trend......16 degrees cooler.
Max humidity........93-98 percent.
   24 hr trend......6 percent wetter.
20-foot winds.......Northwest winds around 15 mph becoming west 5
                    to 10 mph in the late evening and overnight.
Haines Index........3 or very low potential for large plume
                    dominated fire growth.
Mixing height.......100-300 ft agl.
Transport winds.....Northwest around 25 mph becoming west 5 to 10
                    mph in the late evening and overnight.
Smoke dispersal.....Poor (0).
Pcpn amount.........0.01-0.05 in.

.WEDNESDAY...
Sky/weather.........Mostly sunny (30-40 percent).
Max temperature.....Around 71.
   24 hr trend......5 degrees cooler.
Min humidity........51 percent.
   24 hr trend......9 percent drier.
20-foot winds.......Northwest winds 5 to 10 mph.
Haines Index........3 or very low potential for large plume
                    dominated fire growth.
Mixing height.......7360-7860 ft agl.
Transport winds.....West around 10 mph becoming northwest 15 to 20
                    mph in the late morning and afternoon.
Smoke dispersal.....Excellent (1470).
Pcpn amount.........None.


$$

MIZ049-054-055-062-221915-
Huron-Tuscola-Sanilac-Lapeer-
Including the cities of Bad Axe-Caro-Sandusky-Lapeer
345 AM EDT Tue Aug 22 2017

.TODAY...
Sky/weather.........Mostly cloudy (75-85 percent) until 4 pm then
                    partly cloudy (55-65 percent). Chance of showers
                    and thunderstorms until 6 am then showers
                    with thunderstorms likely until 2 pm then
                    chance of showers and thunderstorms. Chance of
                    precipitation 80 percent.
Max temperature.....74-79.
   24 hr trend......9 degrees cooler.
Min humidity........60-70 percent.
   24 hr trend......8 percent wetter.
20-foot winds.......Southwest winds 10 to 15 mph becoming west
                    20 to 25 mph in the late morning and afternoon.
Haines Index........3 or very low potential for large plume
                    dominated fire growth.
Mixing height.......5540-6040 ft agl.
Transport winds.....Southwest 20 to 25 mph becoming west early in
                    the afternoon.
Smoke dispersal.....Excellent (1500).
Pcpn amount.........0.51-0.75 in.

.TONIGHT...
Sky/weather.........Mostly clear (25-35 percent). Chance of showers
                    and thunderstorms until 8 pm. Chance of
                    precipitation 70 percent.
Min temperature.....52-57.
   24 hr trend......16 degrees cooler.
Max humidity........87-97 percent.
   24 hr trend......5 percent wetter.
20-foot winds.......Northwest winds 10 to 15 mph becoming west
                    around 5 mph after midnight.
Haines Index........3 or very low potential for large plume
                    dominated fire growth.
Mixing height.......100-300 ft agl.
Transport winds.....Northwest around 25 mph becoming west 10 to 15
                    mph in the late evening and overnight.
Smoke dispersal.....Poor (0).
Pcpn amount.........0.01-0.05 in.

.WEDNESDAY...
Sky/weather.........Mostly sunny (30-40 percent). A slight chance
                    of. Chance of precipitation 20 percent.
Max temperature.....Around 70.
   24 hr trend......7 degrees cooler.
Min humidity........52-60 percent.
   24 hr trend......8 percent drier.
20-foot winds.......Northwest winds 10 to 15 mph.
Haines Index........3 or very low potential for large plume
                    dominated fire growth.
Mixing height.......7080-7580 ft agl.
Transport winds.....Northwest 15 to 20 mph.
Smoke dispersal.....Excellent (1360).
Pcpn amount.........0.01-0.05 in.


$$

MIZ063-068>070-075-076-082-083-221915-
St Clair-Livingston-Oakland-Macomb-Washtenaw-Wayne-Lenawee-Monroe-
Including the cities of Port Huron-Howell-Pontiac-Warren-Ann
Arbor-Detroit-Adrian-Monroe
345 AM EDT Tue Aug 22 2017

.TODAY...
Sky/weather.........Mostly cloudy (75-85 percent). Chance of
                    showers and thunderstorms until 5 am then
                    showers and thunderstorms likely. Chance of
                    precipitation 80 percent.
Max temperature.....Around 80.
   24 hr trend......7 degrees cooler.
Min humidity........60-67 percent.
   24 hr trend......10 percent wetter.
20-foot winds.......Southwest winds 10 to 15 mph becoming west
                    around 20 mph early in the afternoon.
Haines Index........3 or very low potential for large plume
                    dominated fire growth.
Mixing height.......5030-5530 ft agl.
Transport winds.....Southwest 20 to 25 mph becoming west around 30
                    mph early in the afternoon.
Smoke dispersal.....Excellent (1450).
Pcpn amount.........0.26-0.50 in.

.TONIGHT...
Sky/weather.........Partly cloudy (35-45 percent) until 10 pm then
                    clear (5-15 percent). Showers and thunderstorms
                    likely until 8 pm. Chance of precipitation 70
                    percent.
Min temperature.....53-58.
   24 hr trend......17 degrees cooler.
Max humidity........88-98 percent.
   24 hr trend......5 percent wetter.
20-foot winds.......Northwest winds 10 to 15 mph becoming west
                    around 5 mph after midnight.
Haines Index........3 or very low potential for large plume
                    dominated fire growth.
Mixing height.......100-300 ft agl.
Transport winds.....Northwest around 25 mph becoming west around 10
                    mph in the late evening and overnight.
Smoke dispersal.....Poor (0).
Pcpn amount.........0.01-0.05 in.

.WEDNESDAY...
Sky/weather.........Mostly sunny (30-40 percent). Chance of
                    precipitation 20 percent.
Max temperature.....70-75.
   24 hr trend......4 degrees cooler.
Min humidity........45-55 percent.
   24 hr trend......14 percent drier.
20-foot winds.......Northwest winds 5 to 10 mph.
Haines Index........3 or very low potential for large plume
                    dominated fire growth.
Mixing height.......7830-8330 ft agl.
Transport winds.....West around 10 mph becoming northwest
                    around 20 mph in the late morning and
                    afternoon.
Smoke dispersal.....Excellent (1580).
Pcpn amount.........0.01-0.05 in.


$$


.FORECAST DAYS 3 THROUGH 7...

.THURSDAY...Partly cloudy. Lows around 50. Highs around 70.
Northwest winds around 5 mph.
.FRIDAY...Mostly clear. Lows in the upper 40s. Highs in the lower
70s. North winds around 5 mph.
.SATURDAY...Clear. Lows in the upper 40s. Highs in the mid 70s.
Northeast winds around 5 mph.
.SUNDAY...Mostly clear. Lows in the lower 50s. Highs in the mid 70s.
.MONDAY...Partly cloudy. Lows in the mid 50s. Highs in the mid 70s.

$$

SP



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