Routine Fire Wx Fcst (With/Without 6-10 Day Outlook)
Issued by NWS Grand Rapids, MI

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000
FNUS53 KGRR 191901
FWFGRR

Fire Weather Planning Forecast for Southwest Lower Michigan
National Weather Service Grand Rapids MI
301 PM EDT Sat Aug 19 2017

...Fair weather through the weekend...

.DISCUSSION...High pressure will continue to bring pleasant weather
through the weekend. The next system will bring showers and thunderstorms
mainly from Monday night into Tuesday with cooler weather to follow for
mid to late week.


MIZ037>039-043>045-200815-
Mason-Lake-Osceola-Oceana-Newaygo-Mecosta-
Including the cities of Ludington, Baldwin, Reed City, Hart,
Fremont, and Big Rapids
301 PM EDT Sat Aug 19 2017

.TONIGHT...
Sky/weather.........Mostly clear (15-25 percent). Patchy fog after
                    0400.
Min temperature.....56-61.
   24 hr trend......3 degrees warmer.
Max humidity........95-100 percent.
   24 hr trend......Unchanged.
20-foot winds.......Southwest winds 5 to 6 mph.
Haines Index........5 or moderate potential for large plume
                    dominated fire growth.
Mixing height.......200-700 ft AGL near Lake Michigan and 1500-2000
                    ft AGL inland.
Transport winds.....Southwest around 5 mph.
Smoke dispersal.....0-100 (poor).
Pcpn Amount.........None.

.SUNDAY...
Sky/weather.........Mostly sunny (20-30 percent).
Max temperature.....80-85.
   24 hr trend......5 degrees warmer.
Min humidity........56-61 percent near Lake Michigan and 43-48
                    percent Inland.
   24 hr trend......Unchanged near Lake Michigan and 4 percent
                    drier Inland.
20-foot winds.......Southwest winds 6 to 11 mph.
Haines Index........5 or moderate potential for large plume
                    dominated fire growth.
Mixing height.......3500-4000 ft AGL near Lake Michigan and
                    5400-5900 ft AGL inland.
Transport winds.....Southwest 10 to 15 mph.
Smoke dispersal.....900-1100 (excellent).
Pcpn Amount.........None.

.SUNDAY NIGHT...
Sky/weather.........Partly cloudy (35-45 percent). Chance of
                    showers and thunderstorms after 0200.
Chance of pcpn......30 percent overnight.
Min temperature.....63-68.
   24 hr trend......7 degrees warmer.
Max humidity........95-100 percent.
   24 hr trend......Unchanged.
20-foot winds.......South winds 5 to 8 mph.
Haines Index........5 or moderate potential for large plume
                    dominated fire growth.
Mixing height.......100-600 ft AGL near Lake Michigan and 1500-2000
                    ft AGL inland.
Transport winds.....Southwest 5 to 10 mph.
Smoke dispersal.....0-200 (poor to fair).
Pcpn Amount.........none to 0.05 in.

.MONDAY...
Sky/weather.........Partly sunny (55-65 percent). Chance of showers
                    and thunderstorms.
Chance of pcpn......30 percent.
Max temperature.....76-81 near Lake Michigan and around 84 inland.
   24 hr trend......
   24 hr trend......Unchanged.
   24 hr trend......
Min humidity........67-72 percent near Lake Michigan and 53-58
                    percent Inland.
   24 hr trend......7 percent wetter near Lake Michigan and 13
                    percent wetter Inland.
20-foot winds.......Southwest winds 5 to 10 mph.
Haines Index........4 or low potential for large plume dominated
                    fire growth.
Mixing height.......2000-2500 ft AGL near Lake Michigan and
                    5500-6000 ft AGL inland.
Transport winds.....West around 10 mph.
Smoke dispersal.....500-700 (good to excellent).
Pcpn Amount.........none to 0.04 in.


$$

MIZ040-046-200815-
Clare-Isabella-
Including the cities of Clare and Mount Pleasant
301 PM EDT Sat Aug 19 2017

.TONIGHT...
Sky/weather.........Mostly clear (10-20 percent). Patchy fog after
                    0400.
Min temperature.....Around 58.
   24 hr trend......Unchanged.
Max humidity........95-100 percent.
   24 hr trend......Unchanged.
20-foot winds.......West winds 5 to 6 mph.
Haines Index........5 or moderate potential for large plume
                    dominated fire growth.
Mixing height.......5200-5700 ft AGL decreasing to 0-400 ft AGL
                    overnight.
Transport winds.....West around 5 mph.
Smoke dispersal.....0-200 (poor to fair).
Pcpn Amount.........None.

.SUNDAY...
Sky/weather.........Sunny (10-20 percent).
Max temperature.....Around 84.
   24 hr trend......4 degrees warmer.
Min humidity........46 percent.
   24 hr trend......1 percent wetter.
20-foot winds.......Southwest winds 6 to 11 mph.
Haines Index........5 or moderate potential for large plume
                    dominated fire growth.
Mixing height.......6400-6900 ft AGL.
Transport winds.....Southwest 10 to 15 mph.
Smoke dispersal.....800-1200 (excellent).
Pcpn Amount.........None.

.SUNDAY NIGHT...
Sky/weather.........Partly cloudy (35-45 percent).
Min temperature.....Around 63.
   24 hr trend......5 degrees warmer.
Max humidity........95-100 percent.
   24 hr trend......Unchanged.
20-foot winds.......Southwest winds 5 to 7 mph.
Haines Index........5 or moderate potential for large plume
                    dominated fire growth.
Mixing height.......2800-3300 ft AGL decreasing to 0-400 ft AGL
                    overnight.
Transport winds.....Southwest around 5 mph.
Smoke dispersal.....0-200 (poor to fair).
Pcpn Amount.........none to 0.02 in.

.MONDAY...
Sky/weather.........Partly sunny (55-65 percent). Chance of showers
                    and thunderstorms.
Chance of pcpn......30 percent.
Max temperature.....Around 86.
   24 hr trend......1 degree warmer.
Min humidity........55 percent.
   24 hr trend......9 percent wetter.
20-foot winds.......Southwest winds 5 to 10 mph.
Haines Index........4 or low potential for large plume dominated
                    fire growth.
Mixing height.......6600-7100 ft AGL.
Transport winds.....West around 15 mph.
Smoke dispersal.....400-800 (good to excellent).
Pcpn Amount.........none to 0.04 in.


$$

MIZ050-056-064-071-200815-
Muskegon-Ottawa-Allegan-Van Buren-
Including the cities of Muskegon, Grand Haven, Jenison, Holland,
and South Haven
301 PM EDT Sat Aug 19 2017

.TONIGHT...
Sky/weather.........Mostly clear (5-15 percent).
Min temperature.....57-62.
   24 hr trend......Unchanged.
Max humidity........95-100 percent.
   24 hr trend......Unchanged.
20-foot winds.......South winds 5 to 6 mph.
Haines Index........5 or moderate potential for large plume
                    dominated fire growth.
Mixing height.......1000-1500 ft AGL.
Transport winds.....Southwest around 5 mph shifting to the
                    southeast overnight.
Smoke dispersal.....0-100 (poor).
Pcpn Amount.........None.

.SUNDAY...
Sky/weather.........Sunny (15-25 percent).
Max temperature.....82-87.
   24 hr trend......6 degrees warmer.
Min humidity........45-50 percent.
   24 hr trend......4 percent drier.
20-foot winds.......South winds 5 to 10 mph.
Haines Index........5 or moderate potential for large plume
                    dominated fire growth.
Mixing height.......5100-5600 ft AGL near Lake Michigan and
                    6300-6800 ft AGL inland.
Transport winds.....Southwest 5 to 10 mph.
Smoke dispersal.....700-900 (excellent).
Pcpn Amount.........None.

.SUNDAY NIGHT...
Sky/weather.........Partly cloudy (35-45 percent).
Min temperature.....Around 67.
   24 hr trend......7 degrees warmer.
Max humidity........95-100 percent.
   24 hr trend......Unchanged.
20-foot winds.......South winds 5 to 8 mph.
Haines Index........5 or moderate potential for large plume
                    dominated fire growth.
Mixing height.......Near Lake Michigan, 1500-2000 ft AGL.
Mixing height....... inland, 3600-4100 ft AGL decreasing to 0-300
                    ft AGL overnight.
Transport winds.....South around 5 mph.
Smoke dispersal.....0-200 (poor to fair).
Pcpn Amount.........none to 0.02 in.

.MONDAY...
Sky/weather.........Partly sunny (55-65 percent).
Max temperature.....84-89.
   24 hr trend......2 degrees warmer.
Min humidity........48-53 percent.
   24 hr trend......5 percent wetter.
20-foot winds.......Southwest winds 6 to 11 mph.
Haines Index........4 or low potential for large plume dominated
                    fire growth.
Mixing height.......2200-2700 ft AGL near Lake Michigan and
                    5300-5800 ft AGL inland.
Transport winds.....West 10 to 15 mph.
Smoke dispersal.....200 (fair) increasing to 800 (excellent) in the
                    afternoon.
Pcpn Amount.........None.


$$

MIZ051-052-057>059-200815-
Montcalm-Gratiot-Kent-Ionia-Clinton-
Including the cities of Greenville, Alma, Grand Rapids, Ionia,
and St. Johns
301 PM EDT Sat Aug 19 2017

.TONIGHT...
Sky/weather.........Mostly clear (5-15 percent).
Min temperature.....Around 59.
   24 hr trend......2 degrees cooler.
Max humidity........95-100 percent.
   24 hr trend......Unchanged.
20-foot winds.......Southwest winds 5 to 6 mph.
Haines Index........5 or moderate potential for large plume
                    dominated fire growth.
Mixing height.......2900-3400 ft AGL decreasing to 0-200 ft AGL
                    overnight.
Transport winds.....Southwest around 5 mph.
Smoke dispersal.....0-100 (poor).
Pcpn Amount.........None.

.SUNDAY...
Sky/weather.........Sunny (10-20 percent).
Max temperature.....Around 86.
   24 hr trend......5 degrees warmer.
Min humidity........41-46 percent.
   24 hr trend......4 percent drier.
20-foot winds.......Southwest winds 5 to 10 mph.
Haines Index........5 or moderate potential for large plume
                    dominated fire growth.
Mixing height.......7200-7700 ft AGL.
Transport winds.....Southwest around 5 mph increasing to around 15
                    mph in the afternoon.
Smoke dispersal.....700-1000 (excellent).
Pcpn Amount.........None.

.SUNDAY NIGHT...
Sky/weather.........Partly cloudy (30-40 percent).
Min temperature.....Around 65.
   24 hr trend......6 degrees warmer.
Max humidity........95-100 percent.
   24 hr trend......Unchanged.
20-foot winds.......South winds 5 to 8 mph.
Haines Index........5 or moderate potential for large plume
                    dominated fire growth.
Mixing height.......2600-3100 ft AGL decreasing to 0-200 ft AGL
                    overnight.
Transport winds.....South around 5 mph.
Smoke dispersal.....0-100 (poor).
Pcpn Amount.........none to 0.01 in.

.MONDAY...
Sky/weather.........Partly sunny (55-65 percent).
Max temperature.....Around 87.
   24 hr trend......1 degree warmer.
Min humidity........48-53 percent.
   24 hr trend......10 percent wetter.
20-foot winds.......Southwest winds 6 to 11 mph.
Haines Index........4 or low potential for large plume dominated
                    fire growth.
Mixing height.......7200-7700 ft AGL.
Transport winds.....West 15 to 20 mph.
Smoke dispersal.....600-800 (excellent).
Pcpn Amount.........None.


$$

MIZ065>067-072>074-200815-
Barry-Eaton-Ingham-Kalamazoo-Calhoun-Jackson-
Including the cities of Hastings, Charlotte, Lansing, Kalamazoo,
Battle Creek, and Jackson
301 PM EDT Sat Aug 19 2017

.TONIGHT...
Sky/weather.........Mostly clear (5-15 percent).
Min temperature.....Around 58.
   24 hr trend......4 degrees cooler.
Max humidity........95-100 percent.
   24 hr trend......Unchanged.
20-foot winds.......Southwest winds up to 5 mph.
Haines Index........5 or moderate potential for large plume
                    dominated fire growth.
Mixing height.......4800-5300 ft AGL decreasing to 0-200 ft AGL
                    overnight.
Transport winds.....West around 5 mph shifting to the south
                    overnight.
Smoke dispersal.....0-200 (poor to fair).
Pcpn Amount.........None.

.SUNDAY...
Sky/weather.........Sunny (10-20 percent).
Max temperature.....Around 86.
   24 hr trend......5 degrees warmer.
Min humidity........40-45 percent.
   24 hr trend......5 percent drier.
20-foot winds.......Southwest winds 5 to 9 mph.
Haines Index........5 or moderate potential for large plume
                    dominated fire growth.
Mixing height.......7400-7900 ft AGL.
Transport winds.....Southwest 5 to 10 mph.
Smoke dispersal.....500-800 (good to excellent).
Pcpn Amount.........None.

.SUNDAY NIGHT...
Sky/weather.........Partly cloudy (30-40 percent).
Min temperature.....Around 65.
   24 hr trend......8 degrees warmer.
Max humidity........95-100 percent.
   24 hr trend......Unchanged.
20-foot winds.......South winds 5 to 7 mph.
Haines Index........5 or moderate potential for large plume
                    dominated fire growth.
Mixing height.......5300-5800 ft AGL decreasing to 0-200 ft AGL
                    overnight.
Transport winds.....South around 5 mph.
Smoke dispersal.....0-200 (poor to fair).
Pcpn Amount.........none to 0.01 in.

.MONDAY...
Sky/weather.........Partly sunny (50-60 percent).
Max temperature.....Around 89.
   24 hr trend......3 degrees warmer.
Min humidity........47-52 percent.
   24 hr trend......7 percent wetter.
20-foot winds.......Southwest winds 6 to 11 mph.
Haines Index........5 or moderate potential for large plume
                    dominated fire growth.
Mixing height.......8300-8800 ft AGL.
Transport winds.....West 10 to 15 mph.
Smoke dispersal.....800-1100 (excellent).
Pcpn Amount.........None.


$$

.FORECAST FOR DAYS 3 THROUGH 7...

.MONDAY NIGHT...Mostly cloudy. Chance of showers and thunderstorms
in the evening, then showers and thunderstorms overnight. Lows in
the upper 60s. Southwest winds 5 to 9 mph.
.TUESDAY...Mostly cloudy. Widespread showers and thunderstorms until
midday, then scattered showers and thunderstorms in the afternoon.
Highs in the mid 70s. West winds 7 to 12 mph.
.TUESDAY NIGHT...Cooler. Partly cloudy. Lows in the mid 50s.
Northwest winds 5 to 10 mph.
.WEDNESDAY...Mostly sunny. Highs in the lower 70s. Northwest winds
6 to 11 mph.
.WEDNESDAY NIGHT...Mostly clear. Lows in the upper 40s. North winds
5 to 9 mph.
.THURSDAY...Sunny. Highs in the lower 70s. North winds 5 to 9 mph.
.THURSDAY NIGHT...Mostly clear. Lows in the upper 40s.
.FRIDAY...Sunny. Highs in the mid 70s.
.FRIDAY NIGHT...Mostly clear. Lows in the lower 50s.
.SATURDAY...Sunny. Highs in the mid 70s.

$$



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