Routine Fire Wx Fcst (With/Without 6-10 Day Outlook)
Issued by NWS Grand Rapids, MI

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000
FNUS53 KGRR 172005
FWFGRR

Fire Weather Planning Forecast for Southwest Lower Michigan
National Weather Service Grand Rapids MI
405 PM EDT Tue Oct 17 2017

...Quiet days ahead...

.DISCUSSION...Sunny skies are anticipated for several days. It
will be breezy on Wednesday but with moist soils and min RH
values holding above 30% for most locations, not expecting
a threat for fire weather conditions.


MIZ037>039-043>045-180830-
Mason-Lake-Osceola-Oceana-Newaygo-Mecosta-
Including the cities of Ludington, Baldwin, Reed City, Hart,
Fremont, and Big Rapids
405 PM EDT Tue Oct 17 2017

.TONIGHT...
Sky/weather.........Clear (0-10 percent).
Min temperature.....44-49.
   24 hr trend......12 degrees warmer.
Max humidity........91-96 percent.
   24 hr trend......Unchanged.
20-foot winds.......Southwest winds 5 to 9 mph.
Haines Index........5 or moderate potential for large plume
                    dominated fire growth.
Mixing height.......800-1300 ft AGL.
Transport winds.....Southwest around 10 mph.
Smoke dispersal.....100-200 (poor to fair).
Pcpn Amount.........None.

.WEDNESDAY...
Sky/weather.........Sunny (0-10 percent).
Max temperature.....64-69.
   24 hr trend......3 degrees warmer.
Min humidity........54-59 percent near Lake Michigan and 45-50
                    percent Inland.
   24 hr trend......Unchanged near Lake Michigan and 4 percent
                    drier Inland.
20-foot winds.......Southwest winds 10 to 15 mph with higher gusts.
Haines Index........5 or moderate potential for large plume
                    dominated fire growth.
Mixing height.......2300-2800 ft AGL near Lake Michigan and
                    3300-3800 ft AGL inland.
Transport winds.....Southwest 25 to 30 mph.
Smoke dispersal.....1100-1200 (excellent).
Pcpn Amount.........None.

.WEDNESDAY NIGHT...
Sky/weather.........Mostly clear (15-25 percent).
Min temperature.....46-51.
   24 hr trend......1 degree cooler.
Max humidity........88-93 percent.
   24 hr trend......Unchanged.
20-foot winds.......Southwest winds 8 to 13 mph. Gusts up to 22 mph
                    in the evening.
Haines Index........4 or low potential for large plume dominated
                    fire growth.
Mixing height.......1100-1600 ft AGL.
Transport winds.....Southwest 15 to 20 mph.
Smoke dispersal.....200-300 (fair to good).
Pcpn Amount.........None.

.THURSDAY...
Sky/weather.........Sunny (15-25 percent).
Max temperature.....60-65.
   24 hr trend......3 degrees cooler.
Min humidity........41-46 percent near Lake Michigan and 32-37
                    percent Inland.
   24 hr trend......16 percent drier near Lake Michigan and 14
                    percent drier Inland.
20-foot winds.......West winds 6 to 11 mph.
Haines Index........5 or moderate potential for large plume
                    dominated fire growth.
Mixing height.......2900-3400 ft AGL near Lake Michigan and
                    3700-4200 ft AGL inland.
Transport winds.....West around 15 mph.
Smoke dispersal.....900-1000 (excellent).
Pcpn Amount.........None.


$$

MIZ040-046-180830-
Clare-Isabella-
Including the cities of Clare and Mount Pleasant
405 PM EDT Tue Oct 17 2017

.TONIGHT...
Sky/weather.........Mostly clear (5-15 percent).
Min temperature.....Around 46.
   24 hr trend......5 degrees warmer.
Max humidity........91-96 percent.
   24 hr trend......Unchanged.
20-foot winds.......Southwest winds 5 to 9 mph.
Haines Index........5 or moderate potential for large plume
                    dominated fire growth.
Mixing height.......0-300 ft AGL.
Transport winds.....Southwest around 10 mph.
Smoke dispersal.....0 (poor).
Pcpn Amount.........None.

.WEDNESDAY...
Sky/weather.........Sunny (0-5 percent).
Max temperature.....Around 68.
   24 hr trend......3 degrees warmer.
Min humidity........39-44 percent.
   24 hr trend......5 percent drier.
20-foot winds.......Southwest winds 9 to 14 mph. Gusts up to 23 mph
                    in the afternoon.
Haines Index........5 or moderate potential for large plume
                    dominated fire growth.
Mixing height.......3300-3800 ft AGL.
Transport winds.....Southwest 20 to 25 mph.
Smoke dispersal.....1000-1100 (excellent).
Pcpn Amount.........None.

.WEDNESDAY NIGHT...
Sky/weather.........Mostly clear (15-25 percent).
Min temperature.....46-51.
   24 hr trend......1 degree warmer.
Max humidity........88-93 percent.
   24 hr trend......Unchanged.
20-foot winds.......Southwest winds 7 to 12 mph.
Haines Index........4 or low potential for large plume dominated
                    fire growth.
Mixing height.......100-600 ft AGL.
Transport winds.....Southwest around 15 mph.
Smoke dispersal.....100 (poor).
Pcpn Amount.........None.

.THURSDAY...
Sky/weather.........Sunny (15-25 percent).
Max temperature.....Around 66.
   24 hr trend......3 degrees cooler.
Min humidity........29-34 percent.
   24 hr trend......9 percent drier.
20-foot winds.......West winds 6 to 11 mph.
Haines Index........5 or moderate potential for large plume
                    dominated fire growth.
Mixing height.......4100-4600 ft AGL.
Transport winds.....West 15 to 20 mph.
Smoke dispersal.....900-1000 (excellent).
Pcpn Amount.........None.


$$

MIZ050-056-064-071-180830-
Muskegon-Ottawa-Allegan-Van Buren-
Including the cities of Muskegon, Grand Haven, Jenison, Holland,
and South Haven
405 PM EDT Tue Oct 17 2017

.TONIGHT...
Sky/weather.........Mostly clear (5-15 percent).
Min temperature.....44-49.
   24 hr trend......10 degrees warmer.
Max humidity........88-93 percent.
   24 hr trend......Unchanged.
20-foot winds.......Southwest winds 6 to 11 mph.
Haines Index........5 or moderate potential for large plume
                    dominated fire growth.
Mixing height.......900-1400 ft AGL near Lake Michigan and 0-500 ft
                    AGL inland.
Transport winds.....Southwest around 10 mph.
Smoke dispersal.....100 (poor).
Pcpn Amount.........None.

.WEDNESDAY...
Sky/weather.........Sunny (0-10 percent).
Max temperature.....64-69.
   24 hr trend......3 degrees warmer.
Min humidity........40-45 percent.
   24 hr trend......13 percent drier.
20-foot winds.......South winds 9 to 14 mph. Gusts up to 22 mph in
                    the afternoon.
Haines Index........4 or low potential for large plume dominated
                    fire growth.
Mixing height.......2600-3100 ft AGL.
Transport winds.....Southwest 20 to 25 mph.
Smoke dispersal.....800-900 (excellent).
Pcpn Amount.........None.

.WEDNESDAY NIGHT...
Sky/weather.........Mostly clear (10-20 percent).
Min temperature.....49-54.
   24 hr trend......1 degree cooler.
Max humidity........88-93 percent.
   24 hr trend......Unchanged.
20-foot winds.......Southwest winds 7 to 12 mph. Gusts up to 20 mph
                    in the evening.
Haines Index........4 or low potential for large plume dominated
                    fire growth.
Mixing height.......1600-2100 ft AGL.
Transport winds.....Southwest around 15 mph.
Smoke dispersal.....200-400 (fair to good).
Pcpn Amount.........None.

.THURSDAY...
Sky/weather.........Sunny (15-25 percent).
Max temperature.....62-67.
   24 hr trend......3 degrees cooler.
Min humidity........37-42 percent.
   24 hr trend......5 percent wetter.
20-foot winds.......West winds 6 to 11 mph.
Haines Index........5 or moderate potential for large plume
                    dominated fire growth.
Mixing height.......3500-4000 ft AGL.
Transport winds.....West around 15 mph.
Smoke dispersal.....600-700 (excellent).
Pcpn Amount.........None.


$$

MIZ051-052-057>059-180830-
Montcalm-Gratiot-Kent-Ionia-Clinton-
Including the cities of Greenville, Alma, Grand Rapids, Ionia,
and St. Johns
405 PM EDT Tue Oct 17 2017

.TONIGHT...
Sky/weather.........Mostly clear (5-15 percent).
Min temperature.....45-50.
   24 hr trend......6 degrees warmer.
Max humidity........91-96 percent.
   24 hr trend......Unchanged.
20-foot winds.......Southwest winds 6 to 11 mph.
Haines Index........4 or low potential for large plume dominated
                    fire growth.
Mixing height.......0-400 ft AGL.
Transport winds.....Southwest around 10 mph.
Smoke dispersal.....0 (poor).
Pcpn Amount.........None.

.WEDNESDAY...
Sky/weather.........Sunny (0-10 percent).
Max temperature.....Around 68.
   24 hr trend......2 degrees warmer.
Min humidity........39-44 percent.
   24 hr trend......10 percent drier.
20-foot winds.......Southwest winds 10 to 15 mph. Gusts up to 23
                    mph in the afternoon.
Haines Index........4 or low potential for large plume dominated
                    fire growth.
Mixing height.......2900-3400 ft AGL.
Transport winds.....Southwest 20 to 25 mph.
Smoke dispersal.....700-900 (excellent).
Pcpn Amount.........None.

.WEDNESDAY NIGHT...
Sky/weather.........Mostly clear (15-25 percent).
Min temperature.....48-53.
   24 hr trend......4 degrees warmer.
Max humidity........88-93 percent.
   24 hr trend......Unchanged.
20-foot winds.......Southwest winds 8 to 13 mph. Gusts up to 20 mph
                    in the evening.
Haines Index........4 or low potential for large plume dominated
                    fire growth.
Mixing height.......0-500 ft AGL.
Transport winds.....Southwest around 15 mph.
Smoke dispersal.....100 (poor).
Pcpn Amount.........None.

.THURSDAY...
Sky/weather.........Sunny (15-25 percent).
Max temperature.....Around 66.
   24 hr trend......1 degree cooler.
Min humidity........34-39 percent.
   24 hr trend......2 percent drier.
20-foot winds.......West winds 7 to 12 mph.
Haines Index........5 or moderate potential for large plume
                    dominated fire growth.
Mixing height.......3900-4400 ft AGL.
Transport winds.....West around 15 mph.
Smoke dispersal.....800-900 (excellent).
Pcpn Amount.........None.


$$

MIZ065>067-072>074-180830-
Barry-Eaton-Ingham-Kalamazoo-Calhoun-Jackson-
Including the cities of Hastings, Charlotte, Lansing, Kalamazoo,
Battle Creek, and Jackson
405 PM EDT Tue Oct 17 2017

.TONIGHT...
Sky/weather.........Mostly clear (5-15 percent).
Min temperature.....42-47.
   24 hr trend......4 degrees warmer.
Max humidity........84-89 percent.
   24 hr trend......Unchanged.
20-foot winds.......Southwest winds 5 to 10 mph.
Haines Index........5 or moderate potential for large plume
                    dominated fire growth.
Mixing height.......0-300 ft AGL.
Transport winds.....Southwest around 10 mph.
Smoke dispersal.....0 (poor).
Pcpn Amount.........None.

.WEDNESDAY...
Sky/weather.........Sunny (0-5 percent).
Max temperature.....Around 68.
   24 hr trend......2 degrees warmer.
Min humidity........38-43 percent.
   24 hr trend......6 percent drier.
20-foot winds.......Southwest winds 9 to 14 mph.
Haines Index........4 or low potential for large plume dominated
                    fire growth.
Mixing height.......2800-3300 ft AGL.
Transport winds.....Southwest 20 to 25 mph.
Smoke dispersal.....600-800 (excellent).
Pcpn Amount.........None.

.WEDNESDAY NIGHT...
Sky/weather.........Mostly clear (10-20 percent).
Min temperature.....Around 49.
   24 hr trend......4 degrees warmer.
Max humidity........88-93 percent.
   24 hr trend......Unchanged.
20-foot winds.......Southwest winds 7 to 12 mph.
Haines Index........4 or low potential for large plume dominated
                    fire growth.
Mixing height.......0-500 ft AGL.
Transport winds.....Southwest around 15 mph.
Smoke dispersal.....0-100 (poor).
Pcpn Amount.........None.

.THURSDAY...
Sky/weather.........Sunny (15-25 percent).
Max temperature.....Around 68.
   24 hr trend......Unchanged.
Min humidity........40-45 percent.
   24 hr trend......3 percent wetter.
20-foot winds.......West winds 7 to 12 mph.
Haines Index........5 or moderate potential for large plume
                    dominated fire growth.
Mixing height.......3800-4300 ft AGL.
Transport winds.....West around 15 mph.
Smoke dispersal.....800-900 (excellent).
Pcpn Amount.........None.


$$

.FORECAST FOR DAYS 3 THROUGH 7...

.THURSDAY NIGHT...Clear. Lows in the lower 40s. Southwest winds 5 to
6 mph.
.FRIDAY...Sunny. Highs in the lower 70s. South winds 6 to 11 mph.
.FRIDAY NIGHT...Partly cloudy. Lows in the lower 50s. South winds
5 to 10 mph.
.SATURDAY...Mostly sunny. Highs in the lower 70s. South winds 8 to
13 mph.
.SATURDAY NIGHT...Partly cloudy with a chance of showers. Lows in
the mid 50s. South winds 6 to 11 mph.
.SUNDAY...Partly sunny with a chance of showers. Highs in the mid
60s. Southwest winds 6 to 11 mph.
.SUNDAY NIGHT...Partly cloudy with a chance of showers. Lows around
50.
.MONDAY...Partly sunny with a chance of showers. Highs in the lower
60s.
.MONDAY NIGHT...Partly cloudy with a chance of showers. Lows in the
mid 40s.
.TUESDAY...Mostly cloudy with showers likely. Highs in the lower
50s.

$$


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