Routine Fire Wx Fcst (With/Without 6-10 Day Outlook)
Issued by NWS Grand Rapids, MI

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000
FNUS53 KGRR 232015
FWFGRR

Fire Weather Planning Forecast for Southwest Lower Michigan
National Weather Service Grand Rapids MI
415 PM EDT Fri Jun 23 2017

...Turning Colder with Scattered Showers...

.DISCUSSION...Colder than normal temperatures can be expected
this weekend through early next week, with widely scattered
showers and thunderstorms. Rainfall will not be excessive.


MIZ037>039-043>045-240815-
Mason-Lake-Osceola-Oceana-Newaygo-Mecosta-
Including the cities of Ludington, Baldwin, Reed City, Hart,
Fremont, and Big Rapids
415 PM EDT Fri Jun 23 2017

.TONIGHT...
Sky/weather.........Partly cloudy (40-50 percent).
Min temperature.....51-56.
   24 hr trend......10 degrees cooler.
Max humidity........95-100 percent.
   24 hr trend......Unchanged.
20-foot winds.......West winds 5 to 9 mph.
Haines Index........4 or low potential for large plume dominated
                    fire growth.
Mixing height.......500-1000 ft AGL near Lake Michigan and
                    2400-2900 ft AGL inland.
Transport winds.....Northwest around 10 mph.
Smoke dispersal.....600 (excellent) decreasing to 100 (poor)
                    overnight.
Pcpn Amount.........None.

.SATURDAY...
Sky/weather.........Partly sunny (60-70 percent). Chance of rain
                    showers. chance of thunderstorms after 1400.
Chance of pcpn......30 percent.
Max temperature.....67-72.
   24 hr trend......9 degrees cooler.
Min humidity........55-60 percent near Lake Michigan and 46-51
                    percent Inland.
   24 hr trend......2 percent wetter near Lake Michigan and 4
                    percent wetter Inland.
20-foot winds.......West winds 8 to 13 mph.
Haines Index........4 or low potential for large plume dominated
                    fire growth.
Mixing height.......4900-5400 ft AGL near Lake Michigan and
                    5800-6300 ft AGL inland.
Transport winds.....West 15 to 20 mph.
Smoke dispersal.....1100-1300 (excellent).
Pcpn Amount.........None to 0.11 in.

.SATURDAY NIGHT...
Sky/weather.........Partly cloudy (60-70 percent) until 0400, then
                    mostly cloudy (65-75 percent). Chance of
                    thunderstorms until 0200. chance of rain
                    showers.
Chance of pcpn......30 percent.
Min temperature.....49-54.
   24 hr trend......3 degrees cooler.
Max humidity........95-100 percent.
   24 hr trend......Unchanged.
20-foot winds.......West winds 5 to 9 mph.
Haines Index........3 or very low potential for large plume
                    dominated fire growth.
Mixing height.......4100-4600 ft AGL decreasing to 2100-2600 ft AGL
                    overnight.
Transport winds.....West 10 to 15 mph.
Smoke dispersal.....900 (excellent) decreasing to 300 (good)
                    overnight.
Pcpn Amount.........None to 0.17 in.

.SUNDAY...
Sky/weather.........Mostly cloudy (65-75 percent). Chance of rain
                    showers. chance of thunderstorms after 1400.
Chance of pcpn......40 percent.
Max temperature.....64-69.
   24 hr trend......2 degrees cooler.
Min humidity........58-63 percent near Lake Michigan and 49-54
                    percent Inland.
   24 hr trend......4 percent wetter near Lake Michigan and 5
                    percent wetter Inland.
20-foot winds.......West winds 7 to 12 mph.
Haines Index........4 or low potential for large plume dominated
                    fire growth.
Mixing height.......5000-5500 ft AGL near Lake Michigan and
                    6200-6700 ft AGL inland.
Transport winds.....Northwest around 15 mph.
Smoke dispersal.....1200 (excellent).
Pcpn Amount.........None to 0.11 in.


$$

MIZ040-046-240815-
Clare-Isabella-
Including the cities of Clare and Mount Pleasant
415 PM EDT Fri Jun 23 2017

.TONIGHT...
Sky/weather.........Partly cloudy (40-50 percent).
Min temperature.....51-56.
   24 hr trend......10 degrees cooler.
Max humidity........95-100 percent.
   24 hr trend......Unchanged.
20-foot winds.......West winds 5 to 9 mph.
Haines Index........5 or moderate potential for large plume
                    dominated fire growth.
Mixing height.......3400-3900 ft AGL decreasing to 600-1100 ft AGL
                    overnight.
Transport winds.....Northwest around 10 mph.
Smoke dispersal.....600 (excellent) decreasing to 100 (poor)
                    overnight.
Pcpn Amount.........None.

.SATURDAY...
Sky/weather.........Partly sunny (55-65 percent). Chance of rain
                    showers. chance of thunderstorms after 1400.
Chance of pcpn......30 percent.
Max temperature.....Around 71.
   24 hr trend......7 degrees cooler.
Min humidity........47-52 percent.
   24 hr trend......3 percent wetter.
20-foot winds.......West winds 9 to 14 mph.
Haines Index........4 or low potential for large plume dominated
                    fire growth.
Mixing height.......5500-6000 ft AGL.
Transport winds.....West 15 to 20 mph.
Smoke dispersal.....1100-1200 (excellent).
Pcpn Amount.........none to 0.09 in.

.SATURDAY NIGHT...
Sky/weather.........Partly cloudy (55-65 percent) until 0500, then
                    mostly cloudy (65-75 percent). Chance of
                    thunderstorms until 0200. chance of rain
                    showers.
Chance of pcpn......30 percent.
Min temperature.....Around 51.
   24 hr trend......2 degrees cooler.
Max humidity........95-100 percent.
   24 hr trend......Unchanged.
20-foot winds.......West winds 5 to 9 mph.
Haines Index........4 or low potential for large plume dominated
                    fire growth.
Mixing height.......3800-4300 ft AGL decreasing to 1200-1700 ft AGL
                    overnight.
Transport winds.....West around 15 mph.
Smoke dispersal.....800 (excellent) decreasing to 300 (good)
                    overnight.
Pcpn Amount.........none to 0.02 in.

.SUNDAY...
Sky/weather.........Mostly cloudy (75-85 percent). Chance of rain
                    showers. chance of thunderstorms after 1400.
Chance of pcpn......50 percent.
Max temperature.....Around 67.
   24 hr trend......4 degrees cooler.
Min humidity........50-55 percent.
   24 hr trend......1 percent wetter.
20-foot winds.......West winds 8 to 13 mph.
Haines Index........4 or low potential for large plume dominated
                    fire growth.
Mixing height.......5600-6100 ft AGL.
Transport winds.....Northwest around 15 mph.
Smoke dispersal.....1000-1100 (excellent).
Pcpn Amount.........0.03-0.14 in.


$$

MIZ050-056-064-071-240815-
Muskegon-Ottawa-Allegan-Van Buren-
Including the cities of Muskegon, Grand Haven, Jenison, Holland,
and South Haven
415 PM EDT Fri Jun 23 2017

.TONIGHT...
Sky/weather.........Partly cloudy (30-40 percent).
Min temperature.....55-60.
   24 hr trend......9 degrees cooler.
Max humidity........91-96 percent.
   24 hr trend......Unchanged.
20-foot winds.......West winds 6 to 11 mph.
Haines Index........4 or low potential for large plume dominated
                    fire growth.
Mixing height.......1400-1900 ft AGL.
Transport winds.....West around 10 mph.
Smoke dispersal.....100-200 (poor to fair).
Pcpn Amount.........None.

.SATURDAY...
Sky/weather.........Partly sunny (50-60 percent).
Max temperature.....Around 71.
   24 hr trend......4 degrees cooler.
Min humidity........46-51 percent.
   24 hr trend......1 percent drier.
20-foot winds.......West winds 10 to 15 mph.
Haines Index........4 or low potential for large plume dominated
                    fire growth.
Mixing height.......5800-6300 ft AGL.
Transport winds.....West 15 to 20 mph.
Smoke dispersal.....1100-1400 (excellent).
Pcpn Amount.........None.

.SATURDAY NIGHT...
Sky/weather.........Partly cloudy (45-55 percent).
Min temperature.....52-57.
   24 hr trend......4 degrees cooler.
Max humidity........91-96 percent.
   24 hr trend......Unchanged.
20-foot winds.......West winds 5 to 10 mph.
Haines Index........4 or low potential for large plume dominated
                    fire growth.
Mixing height.......Near Lake Michigan, 5100-5600 ft AGL.
Mixing height....... inland, 4800-5300 ft AGL decreasing to
                    2000-2500 ft AGL overnight.
Transport winds.....West around 20 mph decreasing to around 10 mph
                    overnight.
Smoke dispersal.....1300 (excellent) decreasing to 700 (excellent)
                    overnight.
Pcpn Amount.........none to 0.01 in.

.SUNDAY...
Sky/weather.........Partly sunny (50-60 percent).
Max temperature.....64-69.
   24 hr trend......4 degrees cooler.
Min humidity........45-50 percent.
   24 hr trend......2 percent wetter.
20-foot winds.......West winds 9 to 14 mph.
Haines Index........3 or very low potential for large plume
                    dominated fire growth.
Mixing height.......5100-5600 ft AGL near Lake Michigan and
                    6100-6600 ft AGL inland.
Transport winds.....West around 15 mph.
Smoke dispersal.....1100 (excellent).
Pcpn Amount.........None.


$$

MIZ051-052-057>059-240815-
Montcalm-Gratiot-Kent-Ionia-Clinton-
Including the cities of Greenville, Alma, Grand Rapids, Ionia,
and St. Johns
415 PM EDT Fri Jun 23 2017

.TONIGHT...
Sky/weather.........Partly cloudy (35-45 percent).
Min temperature.....54-59.
   24 hr trend......9 degrees cooler.
Max humidity........95-100 percent.
   24 hr trend......Unchanged.
20-foot winds.......West winds 5 to 10 mph.
Haines Index........5 or moderate potential for large plume
                    dominated fire growth.
Mixing height.......2000-2500 ft AGL.
Transport winds.....West around 10 mph.
Smoke dispersal.....100-200 (poor to fair).
Pcpn Amount.........None.

.SATURDAY...
Sky/weather.........Partly sunny (50-60 percent). Slight chance of
                    rain showers. slight chance of thunderstorms
                    after 1400.
Chance of pcpn......20 percent.
Max temperature.....Around 72.
   24 hr trend......5 degrees cooler.
Min humidity........44-49 percent.
   24 hr trend......1 percent wetter.
20-foot winds.......West winds 11 to 16 mph.
Haines Index........4 or low potential for large plume dominated
                    fire growth.
Mixing height.......5900-6400 ft AGL.
Transport winds.....West around 15 mph increasing to around 25 mph
                    in the afternoon.
Smoke dispersal.....1300-1500 (excellent).
Pcpn Amount.........None to 0.11 in.

.SATURDAY NIGHT...
Sky/weather.........Partly cloudy (50-60 percent).
Min temperature.....Around 53.
   24 hr trend......4 degrees cooler.
Max humidity........91-96 percent.
   24 hr trend......Unchanged.
20-foot winds.......West winds 5 to 10 mph.
Haines Index........4 or low potential for large plume dominated
                    fire growth.
Mixing height.......4100-4600 ft AGL decreasing to 1300-1800 ft AGL
                    overnight.
Transport winds.....West 10 to 15 mph.
Smoke dispersal.....1000 (excellent) decreasing to 300 (good)
                    overnight.
Pcpn Amount.........None.

.SUNDAY...
Sky/weather.........Partly sunny (60-70 percent). Chance of rain
                    showers. chance of thunderstorms after 1400.
Chance of pcpn......30 percent.
Max temperature.....Around 69.
   24 hr trend......4 degrees cooler.
Min humidity........47-52 percent.
   24 hr trend......Unchanged.
20-foot winds.......West winds 10 to 15 mph.
Haines Index........4 or low potential for large plume dominated
                    fire growth.
Mixing height.......6100-6600 ft AGL.
Transport winds.....West around 20 mph.
Smoke dispersal.....1200 (excellent).
Pcpn Amount.........None to 0.13 in.


$$

MIZ065>067-072>074-240815-
Barry-Eaton-Ingham-Kalamazoo-Calhoun-Jackson-
Including the cities of Hastings, Charlotte, Lansing, Kalamazoo,
Battle Creek, and Jackson
415 PM EDT Fri Jun 23 2017

.TONIGHT...
Sky/weather.........Partly cloudy (30-40 percent).
Min temperature.....Around 58.
   24 hr trend......13 degrees cooler.
Max humidity........91-96 percent.
   24 hr trend......Unchanged.
20-foot winds.......West winds 5 to 10 mph.
Haines Index........5 or moderate potential for large plume
                    dominated fire growth.
Mixing height.......2400-2900 ft AGL.
Transport winds.....West around 10 mph.
Smoke dispersal.....100-400 (poor to good).
Pcpn Amount.........None.

.SATURDAY...
Sky/weather.........Partly sunny (50-60 percent).
Max temperature.....Around 73.
   24 hr trend......4 degrees cooler.
Min humidity........44-49 percent.
   24 hr trend......2 percent drier.
20-foot winds.......West winds 11 to 16 mph. Gusts up to 25 mph in
                    the afternoon.
Haines Index........4 or low potential for large plume dominated
                    fire growth.
Mixing height.......5800-6300 ft AGL.
Transport winds.....West around 15 mph increasing to around 25 mph
                    in the afternoon.
Smoke dispersal.....1300-1500 (excellent).
Pcpn Amount.........None.

.SATURDAY NIGHT...
Sky/weather.........Partly cloudy (35-45 percent).
Min temperature.....Around 53.
   24 hr trend......5 degrees cooler.
Max humidity........88-93 percent.
   24 hr trend......Unchanged.
20-foot winds.......West winds 5 to 10 mph.
Haines Index........4 or low potential for large plume dominated
                    fire growth.
Mixing height.......4500-5000 ft AGL decreasing to 1700-2200 ft AGL
                    overnight.
Transport winds.....West 10 to 15 mph.
Smoke dispersal.....1100 (excellent) decreasing to 200 (fair)
                    overnight.
Pcpn Amount.........None.

.SUNDAY...
Sky/weather.........Partly sunny (50-60 percent). Chance of rain
                    showers.
Chance of pcpn......30 percent.
Max temperature.....Around 69.
   24 hr trend......5 degrees cooler.
Min humidity........45-50 percent.
   24 hr trend......1 percent wetter.
20-foot winds.......West winds 10 to 15 mph.
Haines Index........4 or low potential for large plume dominated
                    fire growth.
Mixing height.......6400-6900 ft AGL.
Transport winds.....West around 20 mph.
Smoke dispersal.....1300-1500 (excellent).
Pcpn Amount.........None.


$$

.FORECAST FOR DAYS 3 THROUGH 7...

.SUNDAY NIGHT...Partly cloudy with a slight chance of showers. Lows
in the lower 50s. West winds 5 to 10 mph.
.MONDAY...Mostly cloudy. Chance of showers until midday, then a
chance of showers and thunderstorms in the afternoon. Highs in the
mid 60s. Northwest winds 7 to 12 mph.
.MONDAY NIGHT...Partly cloudy. Lows in the upper 40s. Northwest
winds 5 to 10 mph.
.TUESDAY...Sunny. Highs in the lower 70s. West winds 5 to 10 mph.
.TUESDAY NIGHT...Partly cloudy. Lows in the mid 50s. Southwest winds
5 to 9 mph.
.WEDNESDAY...Partly sunny. Chance of showers in the afternoon. Highs
in the upper 70s. South winds 9 to 14 mph.
.WEDNESDAY NIGHT...Mostly cloudy with a chance of showers and
thunderstorms. Lows in the lower 60s.
.THURSDAY...Mostly cloudy with a chance of showers. Highs in the
upper 70s.
.THURSDAY NIGHT...Partly cloudy with a chance of showers. Lows in
the lower 60s.
.FRIDAY...Partly sunny with a chance of showers. Highs in the upper
70s.

$$


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