Routine Fire Wx Fcst (With/Without 6-10 Day Outlook)
Issued by NWS Wilmington, NC

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000
FNUS52 KILM 140816
FWFILM

FIRE WEATHER PLANNING FORECAST
FOR NORTHEAST SOUTH CAROLINA AND SOUTHEAST NORTH CAROLINA
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE WILMINGTON NC
416 AM EDT MON JUL 14 2014

.DISCUSSION...
HOT AND HUMID CONDITIONS EXPECTED TODAY AND TUESDAY. A STRONG
COLD FRONT WILL APPROACH TUESDAY ACCOMPANIED BY A GOOD CHANCE OF
SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS. THE COLD FRONT WILL MOVE OFFSHORE
WEDNESDAY AND THURSDAY WITH COOLER BUT STILL UNSETTLED CONDITIONS.
LOW PRESSURE WEST OF THE AREA WILL LIFT THE FRONT BACK NORTH
FRIDAY THROUGH THE WEEKEND. TEMPERATURES WILL RETURN TO SEASONABLE
BUT SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS WILL REMAIN POSSIBLE.

WIND PROFILE ANALYSIS/FIRE CONTROL OVER FLAT TERRAIN IS FAVORABLE.

FOG POTENTIAL FOR TONIGHT...NONE

NCZ105>110-150030-
INLAND PENDER-COASTAL PENDER-INLAND NEW HANOVER-COASTAL NEW HANOVER-
INLAND BRUNSWICK-COASTAL BRUNSWICK-
INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...BURGAW...SURF CITY...TOPSAIL BEACH...
WILMINGTON...CAROLINA BEACH...WRIGHTSVILLE BEACH...LELAND...
BOLIVIA...SHALLOTTE...OCEAN ISLE BEACH...HOLDEN BEACH...OAK ISLAND...
SOUTHPORT
416 AM EDT MON JUL 14 2014

                      TODAY        TONIGHT      TUE

CLOUD AMOUNT          PCLDY        PCLDY        PCLDY
PRECIP CHC (%)        30           20           70
PRECIP TYPE           TSTMS        TSTMS        TSTMS
LAL                   3            2            4
MAX/MIN TEMP          92           75           93
WND20FT2MIN/EARLY(MPH)SW  6        SW 10        SW 10 G20
WND20FT2MIN/LATE(MPH) S 11         SW  8        SW 14 G23
PRECIP AMOUNT         0.03         0.03         0.34
PRECIP DURATION       1            1            4
INVERSION             80/0900      2300         80/0800
MIN/MAX RH (%)        52           96           52
DSI                   3                         3
HAINES INDEX          3            3            3
MIXING HGT (FT-AGL)   4140                      4890
TRANSPORT WND (MPH)   SW 15                     SW 18
VENTILATION RATE      62100                     88020
ADI EARLY             27 FAIR      40 FAIR      36 FAIR
ADI LATE              41 GEN GOOD  23 FAIR      57 GEN GOOD
MAX LVORI EARLY       6            3            5
MAX LVORI LATE        2            5            1

REMARKS...NONE.

.FORECAST FOR DAYS 3 THROUGH 7...
.TUESDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY WITH SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS
LIKELY. LOWS IN THE MID 70S. MAXIMUM RH 91 PERCENT. CHANCE OF
PRECIPITATION 70 PERCENT. SOUTHWEST WINDS 15 TO 20 MPH.
.WEDNESDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY WITH SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS LIKELY.
HIGHS IN THE MID 80S. MINIMUM RH 62 PERCENT. CHANCE OF PRECIPITATION
70 PERCENT. SOUTHWEST WINDS 10 TO 15 MPH.
.WEDNESDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY WITH A 30 PERCENT CHANCE OF SHOWERS
AND THUNDERSTORMS. LOWS AROUND 70. MAXIMUM RH 99 PERCENT. WEST WINDS
10 TO 15 MPH.
.THURSDAY...PARTLY SUNNY WITH A 20 PERCENT CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND
THUNDERSTORMS. HIGHS IN THE MID 80S. MINIMUM RH 59 PERCENT. EAST
WINDS AROUND 5 MPH.
.THURSDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY WITH A 20 PERCENT CHANCE OF SHOWERS
AND THUNDERSTORMS. LOWS IN THE LOWER 70S. MAXIMUM RH 98 PERCENT.
SOUTHEAST WINDS AROUND 5 MPH.
.FRIDAY...PARTLY SUNNY WITH A 20 PERCENT CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND
THUNDERSTORMS. HIGHS IN THE MID 80S. MINIMUM RH 62 PERCENT.
SOUTHEAST WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH.
.FRIDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY WITH A 30 PERCENT CHANCE OF SHOWERS
AND THUNDERSTORMS. LOWS IN THE LOWER 70S. MAXIMUM RH 95 PERCENT.
SOUTH WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH.
.SATURDAY...PARTLY SUNNY WITH A 40 PERCENT CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND
THUNDERSTORMS. HIGHS IN THE MID 80S. MINIMUM RH 64 PERCENT.
SOUTHWEST WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH.
.SATURDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY WITH A 20 PERCENT CHANCE OF SHOWERS
AND THUNDERSTORMS. LOWS IN THE LOWER 70S. MAXIMUM RH 95 PERCENT.
SOUTHWEST WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH.
.SUNDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY WITH A 40 PERCENT CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND
THUNDERSTORMS. HIGHS IN THE MID 80S. MINIMUM RH 61 PERCENT.
SOUTHWEST WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH.

$$

SCZ053>056-150030-
INLAND HORRY-COASTAL HORRY-INLAND GEORGETOWN-COASTAL GEORGETOWN-
INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...CONWAY...MYRTLE BEACH...
NORTH MYRTLE BEACH...GARDEN CITY...ANDREWS...GEORGETOWN...
MURRELLS INLET
416 AM EDT MON JUL 14 2014

                      TODAY        TONIGHT      TUE

CLOUD AMOUNT          PCLDY        PCLDY        PCLDY
PRECIP CHC (%)        30           20           70
PRECIP TYPE           TSTMS        TSTMS        TSTMS
LAL                   2            3            4
MAX/MIN TEMP          94           75           93
WND20FT2MIN/EARLY(MPH)SW  6        SW 10        SW 10
WND20FT2MIN/LATE(MPH) SW 11        SW  8        SW 14 G22
PRECIP AMOUNT         0.03         0.02         0.36
PRECIP DURATION       1            1            4
INVERSION             79/0900      2300         78/0800
MIN/MAX RH (%)        51           96           53
DSI                   3                         3
HAINES INDEX          3            3            3
MIXING HGT (FT-AGL)   4800                      5520
TRANSPORT WND (MPH)   SW 15                     SW 15
VENTILATION RATE      72000                     82800
ADI EARLY             34 FAIR      41 GEN GOOD  24 FAIR
ADI LATE              45 GEN GOOD  25 FAIR      55 GEN GOOD
MAX LVORI EARLY       6            3            5
MAX LVORI LATE        2            4            2

REMARKS...NONE.

.FORECAST FOR DAYS 3 THROUGH 7...
.TUESDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY WITH SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS
LIKELY. LOWS IN THE MID 70S. MAXIMUM RH 96 PERCENT. CHANCE OF
PRECIPITATION 70 PERCENT. SOUTHWEST WINDS 15 TO 20 MPH.
.WEDNESDAY...PARTLY SUNNY WITH SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS LIKELY.
HIGHS IN THE MID 80S. MINIMUM RH 63 PERCENT. CHANCE OF PRECIPITATION
70 PERCENT. SOUTHWEST WINDS 10 TO 15 MPH.
.WEDNESDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY WITH A 30 PERCENT CHANCE OF SHOWERS
AND THUNDERSTORMS. LOWS AROUND 70. MAXIMUM RH 99 PERCENT. SOUTHWEST
WINDS 10 TO 15 MPH.
.THURSDAY...MOSTLY SUNNY WITH A 20 PERCENT CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND
THUNDERSTORMS. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 80S. MINIMUM RH 58 PERCENT.
SOUTHWEST WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH.
.THURSDAY NIGHT...PARTLY CLOUDY WITH A 20 PERCENT CHANCE OF SHOWERS
AND THUNDERSTORMS. LOWS IN THE LOWER 70S. MAXIMUM RH 100 PERCENT.
SOUTH WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH.
.FRIDAY...PARTLY SUNNY WITH A 20 PERCENT CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND
THUNDERSTORMS. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 80S. MINIMUM RH 61 PERCENT. SOUTH
WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH.
.FRIDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY WITH A 30 PERCENT CHANCE OF SHOWERS
AND THUNDERSTORMS. LOWS IN THE LOWER 70S. MAXIMUM RH 99 PERCENT.
SOUTH WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH.
.SATURDAY...PARTLY SUNNY WITH A 30 PERCENT CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND
THUNDERSTORMS. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 80S. MINIMUM RH 61 PERCENT.
SOUTHWEST WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH.
.SATURDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY WITH A 30 PERCENT CHANCE OF SHOWERS
AND THUNDERSTORMS. LOWS IN THE LOWER 70S. MAXIMUM RH 99 PERCENT.
SOUTHWEST WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH.
.SUNDAY...PARTLY SUNNY WITH A 40 PERCENT CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND
THUNDERSTORMS. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 80S. MINIMUM RH 59 PERCENT.
SOUTHWEST WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH.

$$

NCZ087-096-099-150030-
ROBESON-BLADEN-COLUMBUS-
INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...LUMBERTON...ELIZABETHTOWN...WHITEVILLE
416 AM EDT MON JUL 14 2014

                      TODAY        TONIGHT      TUE

CLOUD AMOUNT          PCLDY        PCLDY        PCLDY
PRECIP CHC (%)        20           20           70
PRECIP TYPE           TSTMS        TSTMS        TSTMS
LAL                   2            3            4
MAX/MIN TEMP          94           74           93
WND20FT2MIN/EARLY(MPH)SW  6        S  8         SW  9
WND20FT2MIN/LATE(MPH) SW  9        SW  7        SW 12
PRECIP AMOUNT         0.02         0.02         0.37
PRECIP DURATION       0            1            4
INVERSION             79/0900      2300         78/0800
MIN/MAX RH (%)        48           96           49
DSI                   3                         3
HAINES INDEX          3            3            3
MIXING HGT (FT-AGL)   5540                      6110
TRANSPORT WND (MPH)   SW 13                     SW 17
VENTILATION RATE      72020                     103870
ADI EARLY             38 FAIR      44 GEN GOOD  32 FAIR
ADI LATE              48 GEN GOOD  28 FAIR      62 GOOD
MAX LVORI EARLY       6            3            5
MAX LVORI LATE        1            4            1

REMARKS...NONE.

.FORECAST FOR DAYS 3 THROUGH 7...
.TUESDAY NIGHT...CLOUDY WITH SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS LIKELY. LOWS
IN THE LOWER 70S. MAXIMUM RH 94 PERCENT. CHANCE OF PRECIPITATION
70 PERCENT. SOUTHWEST WINDS 10 TO 15 MPH.
.WEDNESDAY...PARTLY SUNNY WITH A 50 PERCENT CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND
THUNDERSTORMS. HIGHS IN THE MID 80S. MINIMUM RH 57 PERCENT. WEST
WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH.
.WEDNESDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY WITH A 30 PERCENT CHANCE OF SHOWERS
AND THUNDERSTORMS. LOWS IN THE UPPER 60S. MAXIMUM RH 100 PERCENT.
SOUTH WINDS AROUND 5 MPH.
.THURSDAY...MOSTLY SUNNY WITH A 20 PERCENT CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND
THUNDERSTORMS. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 80S. MINIMUM RH 52 PERCENT. EAST
WINDS AROUND 5 MPH.
.THURSDAY NIGHT...PARTLY CLOUDY WITH A 20 PERCENT CHANCE OF SHOWERS
AND THUNDERSTORMS. LOWS IN THE UPPER 60S. MAXIMUM RH 100 PERCENT.
SOUTHEAST WINDS AROUND 5 MPH.
.FRIDAY...PARTLY SUNNY WITH A 20 PERCENT CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND
THUNDERSTORMS. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 80S. MINIMUM RH 56 PERCENT.
SOUTHEAST WINDS AROUND 5 MPH.
.FRIDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY WITH A 30 PERCENT CHANCE OF SHOWERS
AND THUNDERSTORMS. LOWS AROUND 70. MAXIMUM RH 100 PERCENT. SOUTH
WINDS AROUND 5 MPH.
.SATURDAY...PARTLY SUNNY WITH A 30 PERCENT CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND
THUNDERSTORMS. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 80S. MINIMUM RH 56 PERCENT.
SOUTHWEST WINDS AROUND 5 MPH.
.SATURDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY WITH A 30 PERCENT CHANCE OF SHOWERS
AND THUNDERSTORMS. LOWS IN THE LOWER 70S. MAXIMUM RH 98 PERCENT.
SOUTHWEST WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH.
.SUNDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY WITH A 40 PERCENT CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND
THUNDERSTORMS. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 80S. MINIMUM RH 56 PERCENT.
SOUTHWEST WINDS AROUND 5 MPH.

$$

SCZ017-023-024-032-033-039-150030-
MARLBORO-DARLINGTON-DILLON-FLORENCE-MARION-WILLIAMSBURG-
INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...BENNETTSVILLE...DARLINGTON...DILLON...
FLORENCE...MARION...KINGSTREE
416 AM EDT MON JUL 14 2014

                      TODAY        TONIGHT      TUE

CLOUD AMOUNT          PCLDY        PCLDY        PCLDY
PRECIP CHC (%)        20           20           70
PRECIP TYPE           TSTMS        TSTMS        TSTMS
LAL                   3            3            4
MAX/MIN TEMP          94           74           93
WND20FT2MIN/EARLY(MPH)SW  7        S  8         SW  9
WND20FT2MIN/LATE(MPH) SW  9        SW  7        SW 12
PRECIP AMOUNT         0.02         0.02         0.38
PRECIP DURATION       0            1            4
INVERSION             79/0900      2300         78/0800
MIN/MAX RH (%)        45           94           49
DSI                   3                         3
HAINES INDEX          3            4            3
MIXING HGT (FT-AGL)   5720                      6290
TRANSPORT WND (MPH)   SW 14                     SW 17
VENTILATION RATE      80080                     106930
ADI EARLY             44 GEN GOOD  50 GEN GOOD  33 FAIR
ADI LATE              52 GEN GOOD  29 FAIR      66 GOOD
MAX LVORI EARLY       5            3            5
MAX LVORI LATE        1            5            1

REMARKS...NONE.

.FORECAST FOR DAYS 3 THROUGH 7...
.TUESDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY WITH SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS
LIKELY. LOWS IN THE LOWER 70S. MAXIMUM RH 97 PERCENT. CHANCE OF
PRECIPITATION 70 PERCENT. SOUTHWEST WINDS 10 TO 15 MPH.
.WEDNESDAY...PARTLY SUNNY WITH A 50 PERCENT CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND
THUNDERSTORMS. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 80S. MINIMUM RH 57 PERCENT. WEST
WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH.
.WEDNESDAY NIGHT...PARTLY CLOUDY WITH A 20 PERCENT CHANCE OF SHOWERS
AND THUNDERSTORMS. LOWS IN THE UPPER 60S. MAXIMUM RH 100 PERCENT.
SOUTH WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH.
.THURSDAY...MOSTLY SUNNY WITH A 20 PERCENT CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND
THUNDERSTORMS. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 80S. MINIMUM RH 50 PERCENT. EAST
WINDS AROUND 5 MPH.
.THURSDAY NIGHT...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE UPPER 60S. MAXIMUM RH
100 PERCENT. SOUTHEAST WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH.
.FRIDAY...PARTLY SUNNY WITH A 20 PERCENT CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND
THUNDERSTORMS. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 80S. MINIMUM RH 55 PERCENT.
SOUTHEAST WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH.
.FRIDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY WITH A 30 PERCENT CHANCE OF SHOWERS
AND THUNDERSTORMS. LOWS AROUND 70. MAXIMUM RH 100 PERCENT. SOUTH
WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH.
.SATURDAY...PARTLY SUNNY WITH A 30 PERCENT CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND
THUNDERSTORMS. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 80S. MINIMUM RH 55 PERCENT.
SOUTHWEST WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH.
.SATURDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY WITH A 40 PERCENT CHANCE OF SHOWERS
AND THUNDERSTORMS. LOWS IN THE LOWER 70S. MAXIMUM RH 100 PERCENT.
SOUTHWEST WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH.
.SUNDAY...PARTLY SUNNY WITH A 40 PERCENT CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND
THUNDERSTORMS. HIGHS AROUND 90. MINIMUM RH 54 PERCENT. SOUTHWEST
WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH.

$$

.OUTLOOK 8 TO 14 DAYS...
TEMPERATURES ABOVE NORMAL.  PRECIPITATION ABOVE NORMAL.

$$


     SC USERS                               NC USERS
===================================================================
VENTILATION RATE         BURN CATEGORY  VENTILATION RATE
===================================================================
    0 TO 17249                 1             0 TO 33499
17250 TO 34499                 2         33500 TO 44999
34500 TO 51749                 3         45000 TO 59999
51750 TO 68999                 4         60000 TO 111999
69000 OR GREATER               5        112000 OR GREATER

     SC USERS                               NC USERS
===================================================================
FORECAST SURFACE WIND    DISPERSION    FORECAST SURFACE WIND
===================================================================
                         STAGNANT       NEAR CALM
CALM                     VERY POOR      2 TO 4 MPH
2 TO 5 MPH                 POOR         5 TO 8 MPH
6 TO 8 MPH                 FAIR         9 TO 12 MPH
9 TO 13 MPH                GOOD         GREATER THAN 12 MPH
14 MPH OR MORE           EXCELLENT

ADI IS ATMOSPHERIC DISPERSION INDEX BY LAVDAS.
LVORI IS LOW VISIBILITY OCCURRENCE RISK INDEX.

$$

III






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