Routine Fire Wx Fcst (With/Without 6-10 Day Outlook)
Issued by NWS Wilmington, NC

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FNUS52 KILM 162045
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Fire Weather Planning Forecast
for Northeast South Carolina and Southeast North Carolina
National Weather Service Wilmington NC
345 PM EST Sat Dec 16 2017

.DISCUSSION...
A cold front will move into the area and stall Mon through Mon
night. Low pressure from the Gulf coast states will push across
the area Wed through Thu with a chance for substantial rainfall.
High pressure will follow for the late week period. Another cold
front may arrive Saturday.

Fog potential for tonight...Low

NCZ105>110-171245-
Inland Pender-Coastal Pender-Inland New Hanover-Coastal New Hanover-
Inland Brunswick-Coastal Brunswick-
Including the cities of Burgaw, Surf City, Wilmington, Masonboro,
Myrtle Grove, Ogden, Carolina Beach, Seagate, Boiling Spring Lakes,
Leland, Shallotte, Oak Island, Long Beach, Southport,
and Sunset Beach
345 PM EST Sat Dec 16 2017

                      Tonight      Sun          Sun Night    Mon

Cloud amount          MClear       PCldy        MCldy        PCldy
Precip chc (%)        0            0            0            0
Precip type           None         None         None         None
LAL                   1            1            1            1
Min/Max Temp          30           60           44           62
Wnd20ft/early(mph)    SW  3        LGT/VAR      SE  3        W  3
Wnd20ft/late(mph)     LGT/VAR      S  3         W  3         SW  5
Precip amount         0.00         0.00         0.00         0.00
Precip duration
Inversion             1700         51/1100      1700         55/1000
Dispersion            Very Poor                 Poor
Max/Min RH (%)        98           40           86           60
DSI                                1                         1
Haines Index          4            4            2            2
Mixing hgt (ft-AGL)                2930                      2150
Transport wnd (mph)                SW 12                     SW  6
Ventilation rate                   35160                     12900
ADI early             2 Very poor  15 Gen poor  4 Very poor  5 Very poor
ADI late              1 Very poor  41 Gen good  3 Very poor  10 poor
Max LVORI early       5            8            4            5
Max LVORI late        7            2            5            4

Remarks...None.

.FORECAST FOR DAYS 3 THROUGH 7...
.MONDAY NIGHT...Mostly cloudy. Lows around 50. Maximum RH
98 percent. Southwest winds 10 to 15 mph.
.TUESDAY...Mostly cloudy with a 20 percent chance of rain. Highs in
the mid 60s. Minimum RH 67 percent. West winds 5 to 10 mph.
.TUESDAY NIGHT...Mostly cloudy with a 40 percent chance of rain.
Lows in the upper 40s. Maximum RH 100 percent. West winds 5 to
10 mph.
.WEDNESDAY...Mostly cloudy with a 50 percent chance of rain. Highs
around 60. Minimum RH 55 percent. North winds 5 to 10 mph.
.WEDNESDAY NIGHT...Mostly cloudy with rain likely. Lows in the mid
40s. Maximum RH 90 percent. Chance of rain 70 percent. Northeast
winds 5 to 10 mph.
.THURSDAY...Partly sunny with a 30 percent chance of rain. Highs in
the upper 50s. Minimum RH 60 percent. Northeast winds 5 to 10 mph.
.THURSDAY NIGHT...Mostly cloudy with a 20 percent chance of rain.
Lows in the lower 40s. Maximum RH 100 percent. East winds 5 to
10 mph.
.FRIDAY...Partly sunny with a 20 percent chance of rain. Highs in
the mid 60s. Minimum RH 61 percent. South winds around 5 mph.
.FRIDAY NIGHT...Mostly cloudy with a 30 percent chance of rain. Lows
in the mid 40s. Maximum RH 100 percent. South winds around 5 mph.
.SATURDAY...Mostly cloudy with a 30 percent chance of showers. Highs
in the lower 60s. Minimum RH 60 percent. South winds 5 to 10 mph.

$$

NCZ087-096-099-171245-
Robeson-Bladen-Columbus-
Including the cities of Lumberton, Elizabethtown, Bladenboro,
Whiteville, Tabor City, Chadbourn, and Lake Waccamaw
345 PM EST Sat Dec 16 2017

                      Tonight      Sun          Sun Night    Mon

Cloud amount          MClear       PCldy        MCldy        PCldy
Precip chc (%)        0            0            0            0
Precip type           None         None         None         None
LAL                   1            1            1            1
Min/Max Temp          30           60           44           62
Wnd20ft/early(mph)    LGT/VAR      LGT/VAR      S  3         SW  3
Wnd20ft/late(mph)     LGT/VAR      S  4         W  3         SW  5
Precip amount         0.00         0.00         0.00         0.00
Precip duration
Inversion             1700         50/1100      1700         54/1000
Dispersion            Very Poor                 Very Poor
Max/Min RH (%)        98           40           84           60
DSI                                1                         1
Haines Index          4            4            2            2
Mixing hgt (ft-AGL)                2710                      2540
Transport wnd (mph)                S 14                      SW  6
Ventilation rate                   37940                     15240
ADI early             2 Very poor  18 Gen poor  4 Very poor  6 Very poor
ADI late              1 Very poor  40 Fair      3 Very poor  14 Gen poor
Max LVORI early       4            9            4            5
Max LVORI late        8            2            5            3

Remarks...None.

.FORECAST FOR DAYS 3 THROUGH 7...
.MONDAY NIGHT...Mostly cloudy. Lows in the upper 40s. Maximum RH
97 percent. Southwest winds 5 to 10 mph.
.TUESDAY...Mostly cloudy with a 20 percent chance of rain. Highs in
the upper 60s. Minimum RH 63 percent. West winds 5 to 10 mph.
.TUESDAY NIGHT...Mostly cloudy with a 40 percent chance of rain.
Lows in the upper 40s. Maximum RH 100 percent. West winds around
5 mph.
.WEDNESDAY...Mostly cloudy with a 50 percent chance of rain. Highs
in the upper 50s. Minimum RH 55 percent. North winds around 5 mph.
.WEDNESDAY NIGHT...Mostly cloudy with rain likely. Lows in the lower
40s. Maximum RH 89 percent. Chance of rain 70 percent. Northeast
winds 5 to 10 mph.
.THURSDAY...Partly sunny with a 20 percent chance of rain. Highs in
the mid 50s. Minimum RH 61 percent. Northeast winds 5 to 10 mph.
.THURSDAY NIGHT...Mostly cloudy with a 20 percent chance of rain.
Lows in the lower 40s. Maximum RH 100 percent. East winds around
5 mph.
.FRIDAY...Partly sunny with a 20 percent chance of rain. Highs in
the mid 60s. Minimum RH 59 percent. South winds around 5 mph.
.FRIDAY NIGHT...Mostly cloudy with a 30 percent chance of rain. Lows
in the mid 40s. Maximum RH 100 percent. South winds around 5 mph.
.SATURDAY...Mostly cloudy with a 40 percent chance of showers. Highs
around 60. Minimum RH 58 percent. Southeast winds around 5 mph.

$$

SCZ054>056-058-171245-
Coastal Horry-Inland Georgetown-Coastal Georgetown-Central Horry-
Including the cities of Myrtle Beach, Socastee, North Myrtle Beach,
Garden City, Little River, Andrews, Georgetown, Murrells Inlet,
Conway, Longs, and Bucksport
345 PM EST Sat Dec 16 2017

                      Tonight      Sun          Sun Night    Mon

Cloud amount          MClear       PCldy        MCldy        MCldy
Precip chc (%)        0            0            0            0
Precip type           None         None         None         None
LAL                   1            1            1            1
Min/Max Temp          33           63           46           63
Wnd20ft/early(mph)    LGT/VAR      LGT/VAR      E  3         LGT/VAR
Wnd20ft/late(mph)     LGT/VAR      SE  3        SW  5        SW  3
Precip amount         0.00         0.00         0.00         0.00
Precip duration
Inversion             1700         53/1100      1700         57/0900
Dispersion            Very Poor                 Poor
Max/Min RH (%)        99           46           85           67
DSI                                1                         1
Haines Index          4            4            2            2
Mixing hgt (ft-AGL)                2910                      1670
Transport wnd (mph)                S 13                      SW  5
Ventilation rate                   37830                     8350
ADI early             1 Very poor  23 Fair      4 Very poor  3 Very poor
ADI late              1 Very poor  40 Fair      4 Very poor  6 Very poor
Max LVORI early       6            9            5            5
Max LVORI late        8            2            5            5

Remarks...None.

.FORECAST FOR DAYS 3 THROUGH 7...
.MONDAY NIGHT...Cloudy. Lows in the mid 50s. Maximum RH 94 percent.
Southwest winds 5 to 10 mph.
.TUESDAY...Mostly cloudy with a 20 percent chance of rain. Highs in
the mid 60s. Minimum RH 69 percent. West winds 5 to 10 mph.
.TUESDAY NIGHT...Mostly cloudy with a 40 percent chance of rain.
Lows in the lower 50s. Maximum RH 100 percent. West winds 5 to
10 mph.
.WEDNESDAY...Mostly cloudy with a 50 percent chance of rain. Highs
in the lower 60s. Minimum RH 60 percent. North winds around 5 mph.
.WEDNESDAY NIGHT...Mostly cloudy with rain likely. Lows in the mid
40s. Maximum RH 92 percent. Chance of rain 70 percent. Northeast
winds 5 to 10 mph.
.THURSDAY...Partly sunny with a 20 percent chance of rain. Highs in
the upper 50s. Minimum RH 65 percent. Northeast winds 5 to 10 mph.
.THURSDAY NIGHT...Mostly cloudy with a 20 percent chance of rain.
Lows in the mid 40s. Maximum RH 100 percent. East winds 5 to 10 mph.
.FRIDAY...Partly sunny with a 20 percent chance of rain. Highs in
the mid 60s. Minimum RH 63 percent. South winds around 5 mph.
.FRIDAY NIGHT...Mostly cloudy with a 20 percent chance of rain. Lows
in the upper 40s. Maximum RH 100 percent. South winds around 5 mph.
.SATURDAY...Mostly cloudy with a 30 percent chance of showers. Highs
in the lower 60s. Minimum RH 62 percent. Southeast winds 5 to
10 mph.

$$

SCZ032-033-039-059-171245-
Florence-Marion-Williamsburg-Northern Horry-
Including the cities of Florence, Marion, Mullins, Kingstree, Loris,
Green Sea, and Aynor
345 PM EST Sat Dec 16 2017

                      Tonight      Sun          Sun Night    Mon

Cloud amount          MClear       PCldy        MCldy        MCldy
Precip chc (%)        0            0            0            0
Precip type           None         None         None         None
LAL                   1            1            1            1
Min/Max Temp          32           62           45           63
Wnd20ft/early(mph)    LGT/VAR      LGT/VAR      SE  4        LGT/VAR
Wnd20ft/late(mph)     LGT/VAR      S  4         SW  3        SW  4
Precip amount         0.00         0.00         0.00         0.00
Precip duration
Inversion             1700         51/1100      1700         55/0900
Dispersion            Very Poor                 Poor
Max/Min RH (%)        97           41           86           64
DSI                                1                         1
Haines Index          4            4            2            2
Mixing hgt (ft-AGL)                2760                      2190
Transport wnd (mph)                S 14                      S  3
Ventilation rate                   38640                     6570
ADI early             2 Very poor  25 Fair      5 Very poor  3 Very poor
ADI late              1 Very poor  42 Gen good  3 Very poor  7 poor
Max LVORI early       5            9            4            5
Max LVORI late        8            2            5            4

Remarks...None.

.FORECAST FOR DAYS 3 THROUGH 7...
.MONDAY NIGHT...Cloudy. Lows in the lower 50s. Maximum RH
93 percent. Southwest winds 5 to 10 mph.
.TUESDAY...Mostly cloudy with a 20 percent chance of rain. Highs in
the upper 60s. Minimum RH 64 percent. West winds 5 to 10 mph.
.TUESDAY NIGHT...Mostly cloudy with a 40 percent chance of rain.
Lows in the lower 50s. Maximum RH 100 percent. West winds around
5 mph.
.WEDNESDAY...Mostly cloudy with a 50 percent chance of rain. Highs
in the lower 60s. Minimum RH 59 percent. North winds around 5 mph.
.WEDNESDAY NIGHT...Mostly cloudy with rain likely. Lows in the mid
40s. Maximum RH 91 percent. Chance of rain 70 percent. Northeast
winds around 5 mph.
.THURSDAY...Partly sunny with a 20 percent chance of rain. Highs in
the upper 50s. Minimum RH 64 percent. Northeast winds around 5 mph.
.THURSDAY NIGHT...Mostly cloudy with a 20 percent chance of rain.
Lows in the lower 40s. Maximum RH 100 percent. East winds around
5 mph.
.FRIDAY...Partly sunny with a 20 percent chance of rain. Highs in
the mid 60s. Minimum RH 60 percent. Light and variable wind.
.FRIDAY NIGHT...Mostly cloudy with a 30 percent chance of rain. Lows
in the upper 40s. Maximum RH 100 percent. Light and variable wind.
.SATURDAY...Mostly cloudy with a 30 percent chance of showers. Highs
in the lower 60s. Minimum RH 61 percent. Southeast winds around
5 mph.

$$

SCZ017-023-024-171245-
Marlboro-Darlington-Dillon-
Including the cities of Bennettsville, McColl, Hartsville,
Darlington, North Hartsville, and Dillon
345 PM EST Sat Dec 16 2017

                      Tonight      Sun          Sun Night    Mon

Cloud amount          MClear       PCldy        MCldy        MCldy
Precip chc (%)        0            0            0            0
Precip type           None         None         None         None
LAL                   1            1            1            1
Min/Max Temp          31           60           44           64
Wnd20ft/early(mph)    LGT/VAR      LGT/VAR      S  3         SW  3
Wnd20ft/late(mph)     LGT/VAR      S  5         LGT/VAR      SW  5
Precip amount         0.00         0.00         0.00         0.00
Precip duration
Inversion             1700         49/1100      1700         53/0900
Dispersion            Very Poor                 Very Poor
Max/Min RH (%)        98           38           82           60
DSI                                1                         1
Haines Index          4            4            2            2
Mixing hgt (ft-AGL)                2670                      2400
Transport wnd (mph)                W 10                      W  6
Ventilation rate                   26700                     14400
ADI early             2 Very poor  22 Fair      4 Very poor  6 Very poor
ADI late              1 Very poor  32 Fair      2 Very poor  15 Gen poor
Max LVORI early       4            9            3            5
Max LVORI late        8            2            5            3

Remarks...None.

.FORECAST FOR DAYS 3 THROUGH 7...
.MONDAY NIGHT...Mostly cloudy. Lows in the upper 40s. Maximum RH
95 percent. Southwest winds 5 to 10 mph.
.TUESDAY...Mostly cloudy with a 20 percent chance of rain. Highs in
the upper 60s. Minimum RH 60 percent. West winds 5 to 10 mph.
.TUESDAY NIGHT...Mostly cloudy with a 40 percent chance of rain.
Lows around 50. Maximum RH 100 percent. West winds around 5 mph.
.WEDNESDAY...Mostly cloudy with a 50 percent chance of rain. Highs
around 60. Minimum RH 57 percent. North winds around 5 mph.
.WEDNESDAY NIGHT...Mostly cloudy with rain likely. Lows in the lower
40s. Maximum RH 90 percent. Chance of rain 60 percent. Northeast
winds around 5 mph.
.THURSDAY...Partly sunny with a 20 percent chance of rain. Highs in
the mid 50s. Minimum RH 61 percent. Northeast winds around 5 mph.
.THURSDAY NIGHT...Mostly cloudy with a 20 percent chance of rain.
Lows in the lower 40s. Maximum RH 100 percent. East winds around
5 mph.
.FRIDAY...Partly sunny with a 30 percent chance of rain. Highs in
the mid 60s. Minimum RH 58 percent. Light and variable wind.
.FRIDAY NIGHT...Mostly cloudy with a 30 percent chance of rain. Lows
in the mid 40s. Maximum RH 100 percent. South winds around 5 mph.
.SATURDAY...Mostly cloudy with a 30 percent chance of showers. Highs
around 60. Minimum RH 59 percent. Southeast winds around 5 mph.

$$

.OUTLOOK 8 TO 14 DAYS...
Temperatures near normal.  Precipitation above normal.

$$


     SC USERS                               NC USERS
===================================================================
VENTILATION RATE         BURN CATEGORY  VENTILATION RATE
===================================================================
    0 TO 17249                 1             0 TO 33499
17250 TO 34499                 2         33500 TO 44999
34500 TO 51749                 3         45000 TO 59999
51750 TO 68999                 4         60000 TO 111999
69000 OR GREATER               5        112000 OR GREATER

     SC USERS                               NC USERS
===================================================================
FORECAST SURFACE WIND    DISPERSION    FORECAST SURFACE WIND
===================================================================
                         STAGNANT       NEAR CALM
CALM                     VERY POOR      2 TO 4 MPH
2 TO 5 MPH                 POOR         5 TO 8 MPH
6 TO 8 MPH                 FAIR         9 TO 12 MPH
9 TO 13 MPH                GOOD         GREATER THAN 12 MPH
14 MPH OR MORE           EXCELLENT

ADI is Atmospheric Dispersion Index by LAVDAS.
LVORI is Low Visibility Occurrence Risk Index.

$$

8


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