Routine Fire Wx Fcst (With/Without 6-10 Day Outlook)
Issued by NWS Wilmington, NC

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000
FNUS52 KILM 202040
FWFILM

FIRE WEATHER PLANNING FORECAST
FOR NORTHEAST SOUTH CAROLINA AND SOUTHEAST NORTH CAROLINA
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE WILMINGTON NC
340 PM EST FRI JAN 20 2017

.DISCUSSION...
A FRONT WILL REMAIN IN CLOSE PROXIMITY THROUGH THE WEEKEND. WAVES
OF LOW PRESSURE WILL MOVE ALONG THIS BOUNDARY WITH THE LAST AND
DEEPEST SUNDAY NIGHT AND MONDAY. THIS WILL RESULT IN A WET
WEEKEND WITH TOTAL RAINFALL AMOUNTS OF ONE TO THREE INCHES.
THUNDERSTORMS WILL HAVE THE POTENTIAL TO PRODUCE SEVERE WEATHER
SUNDAY AND SUNDAY NIGHT. AS THE DEEP LOW DEPARTS, HIGH PRESSURE
WILL BUILD IN TUESDAY AND WEDNESDAY. A WEAK COLD FRONT WILL STALL
IN THE REGION ON THURSDAY.

FOG POTENTIAL FOR TONIGHT...MODERATE TO HIGH

NCZ105>110-211245-
INLAND PENDER-COASTAL PENDER-INLAND NEW HANOVER-COASTAL NEW HANOVER-
INLAND BRUNSWICK-COASTAL BRUNSWICK-
INCLUDING THE CITIES OF BURGAW, SURF CITY, WILMINGTON, MASONBORO,
MYRTLE GROVE, OGDEN, CAROLINA BEACH, SEAGATE, BOILING SPRING LAKES,
LELAND, SHALLOTTE, OAK ISLAND, LONG BEACH, SOUTHPORT,
AND SUNSET BEACH
340 PM EST FRI JAN 20 2017

                      TONIGHT      SAT          SAT NIGHT    SUN

CLOUD AMOUNT          PCLDY        CLOUDY       MCLDY        MCLDY
PRECIP CHC (%)        0            80           60           90
PRECIP TYPE           NONE         TSTMS        TSTMS        TSTMS
LAL                   1            2            2            3
MIN/MAX TEMP          52           70           57           71
WND20FT/EARLY(MPH)    W  3         SE  3        S  4         S  7
WND20FT/LATE(MPH)     LGT/VAR      S  4         SW  5        S 12 G24
PRECIP AMOUNT         0.00         0.22         0.27         0.30
PRECIP DURATION                    6            7            12
INVERSION             1700         58/0900      1700         60/0700
MAX/MIN RH (%)        100          75           100          74
DSI                                1                         2
HAINES INDEX          3            3            3            3
MIXING HGT (FT-AGL)                2820                      2530
TRANSPORT WND (MPH)                S  8                      S 20
VENTILATION RATE                   22560                     50600
ADI EARLY             6 VERY POOR  7 POOR       5 VERY POOR  15 GEN POOR
ADI LATE              1 VERY POOR  18 GEN POOR  5 VERY POOR  39 FAIR
MAX LVORI EARLY       10           10           10           9
MAX LVORI LATE        10           4            9            4

REMARKS...NONE.

.FORECAST FOR DAYS 3 THROUGH 7...
.SUNDAY NIGHT...SHOWERS AND A SLIGHT CHANCE OF THUNDERSTORMS. LOWS
IN THE LOWER 50S. MAXIMUM RH 98 PERCENT. CHANCE OF PRECIPITATION
NEAR 100 PERCENT. SOUTH WINDS 15 TO 20 MPH.
.MONDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY WITH A CHANCE OF SHOWERS WITH ISOLATED
THUNDERSTORMS. HIGHS IN THE LOWER 60S. MINIMUM RH 63 PERCENT. CHANCE
OF PRECIPITATION 40 PERCENT. SOUTHWEST WINDS 15 TO 20 MPH.
.MONDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY WITH A 20 PERCENT CHANCE OF SHOWERS.
LOWS IN THE MID 40S. MAXIMUM RH 85 PERCENT. WEST WINDS 10 TO 15 MPH.
.TUESDAY...SUNNY. HIGHS AROUND 60. MINIMUM RH 53 PERCENT. NORTHWEST
WINDS 10 TO 15 MPH.
.TUESDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE LOWER 40S. MAXIMUM RH
93 PERCENT. WEST WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH.
.WEDNESDAY...SUNNY. HIGHS IN THE MID 60S. MINIMUM RH 51 PERCENT.
SOUTHWEST WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH.
.WEDNESDAY NIGHT...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE LOWER 50S. MAXIMUM RH
94 PERCENT. SOUTHWEST WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH.
.THURSDAY...PARTLY SUNNY WITH A 30 PERCENT CHANCE OF SHOWERS. HIGHS
IN THE MID 60S. MINIMUM RH 54 PERCENT. WEST WINDS 10 TO 15 MPH.
.THURSDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY WITH A 20 PERCENT CHANCE OF SHOWERS.
LOWS IN THE LOWER 40S. MAXIMUM RH 84 PERCENT. WEST WINDS 10 TO
15 MPH.
.FRIDAY...PARTLY SUNNY. COOLER. HIGHS IN THE MID 50S. MINIMUM RH
48 PERCENT. WEST WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH.

$$

NCZ087-096-099-211245-
ROBESON-BLADEN-COLUMBUS-
INCLUDING THE CITIES OF LUMBERTON, ELIZABETHTOWN, BLADENBORO,
WHITEVILLE, TABOR CITY, CHADBOURN, AND LAKE WACCAMAW
340 PM EST FRI JAN 20 2017

                      TONIGHT      SAT          SAT NIGHT    SUN

CLOUD AMOUNT          PCLDY        CLOUDY       MCLDY        MCLDY
PRECIP CHC (%)        0            80           80           90
PRECIP TYPE           NONE         TSTMS        TSTMS        TSTMS
LAL                   1            2            2            3
MIN/MAX TEMP          52           71           58           72
WND20FT/EARLY(MPH)    LGT/VAR      LGT/VAR      S  4         S  8
WND20FT/LATE(MPH)     LGT/VAR      S  3         S  5         S 12 G23
PRECIP AMOUNT         0.00         0.27         0.30         0.40
PRECIP DURATION                    6            7            12
INVERSION             1700         58/0900      1700         60/0600
MAX/MIN RH (%)        100          74           100          71
DSI                                2                         2
HAINES INDEX          3            3            3            3
MIXING HGT (FT-AGL)                2730                      2820
TRANSPORT WND (MPH)                S  9                      S 18
VENTILATION RATE                   24570                     50760
ADI EARLY             5 VERY POOR  5 VERY POOR  5 VERY POOR  20 GEN POOR
ADI LATE              1 VERY POOR  22 FAIR      5 VERY POOR  45 GEN GOOD
MAX LVORI EARLY       8            10           10           8
MAX LVORI LATE        10           4            9            3

REMARKS...NONE.

.FORECAST FOR DAYS 3 THROUGH 7...
.SUNDAY NIGHT...SHOWERS AND A SLIGHT CHANCE OF THUNDERSTORMS. LOWS
IN THE LOWER 50S. MAXIMUM RH 99 PERCENT. CHANCE OF PRECIPITATION
NEAR 100 PERCENT. SOUTH WINDS 10 TO 15 MPH.
.MONDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY WITH A CHANCE OF SHOWERS WITH ISOLATED
THUNDERSTORMS. HIGHS IN THE LOWER 60S. MINIMUM RH 62 PERCENT. CHANCE
OF PRECIPITATION 50 PERCENT. SOUTHWEST WINDS 10 TO 15 MPH.
.MONDAY NIGHT...PARTLY CLOUDY WITH A 20 PERCENT CHANCE OF SHOWERS.
LOWS IN THE MID 40S. MAXIMUM RH 85 PERCENT. WEST WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH.
.TUESDAY...SUNNY. HIGHS IN THE LOWER 60S. MINIMUM RH 51 PERCENT.
NORTHWEST WINDS 10 TO 15 MPH.
.TUESDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE LOWER 40S. MAXIMUM RH
95 PERCENT. WEST WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH.
.WEDNESDAY...SUNNY. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 60S. MINIMUM RH 48 PERCENT.
SOUTHWEST WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH.
.WEDNESDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY WITH A 20 PERCENT CHANCE OF
SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE LOWER 50S. MAXIMUM RH 95 PERCENT. SOUTHWEST
WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH.
.THURSDAY...PARTLY SUNNY WITH A 30 PERCENT CHANCE OF SHOWERS. HIGHS
IN THE MID 60S. MINIMUM RH 50 PERCENT. WEST WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH.
.THURSDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY WITH A 20 PERCENT CHANCE OF SHOWERS.
LOWS IN THE LOWER 40S. MAXIMUM RH 85 PERCENT. WEST WINDS 5 TO
10 MPH.
.FRIDAY...PARTLY SUNNY. COOLER. HIGHS IN THE LOWER 50S. MINIMUM RH
47 PERCENT. WEST WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH.

$$

SCZ053>056-211245-
INLAND HORRY-COASTAL HORRY-INLAND GEORGETOWN-COASTAL GEORGETOWN-
INCLUDING THE CITIES OF CONWAY, RED HILL, MYRTLE BEACH, SOCASTEE,
NORTH MYRTLE BEACH, GARDEN CITY, LITTLE RIVER, ANDREWS, GEORGETOWN,
AND MURRELLS INLET
340 PM EST FRI JAN 20 2017

                      TONIGHT      SAT          SAT NIGHT    SUN

CLOUD AMOUNT          PCLDY        CLOUDY       MCLDY        MCLDY
PRECIP CHC (%)        20           90           70           90
PRECIP TYPE           NONE         TSTMS        TSTMS        TSTMS
LAL                   1            2            2            3
MIN/MAX TEMP          55           71           58           73
WND20FT/EARLY(MPH)    SW  3        LGT/VAR      S  5         S 10 G21
WND20FT/LATE(MPH)     LGT/VAR      SW  5        S  6         SW 14 G24
PRECIP AMOUNT         0.00         0.41         0.43         0.35
PRECIP DURATION       0            6            7            12
INVERSION             1700         60/0900      1700         62/0900
MAX/MIN RH (%)        99           76           100          73
DSI                                2                         2
HAINES INDEX          4            3            3            3
MIXING HGT (FT-AGL)                3010                      3210
TRANSPORT WND (MPH)                SW  9                     S 23
VENTILATION RATE                   27090                     73830
ADI EARLY             5 VERY POOR  8 POOR       6 VERY POOR  21 FAIR
ADI LATE              2 VERY POOR  21 FAIR      5 VERY POOR  53 GEN GOOD
MAX LVORI EARLY       8            10           9            8
MAX LVORI LATE        9            5            9            3

REMARKS...NONE.

.FORECAST FOR DAYS 3 THROUGH 7...
.SUNDAY NIGHT...SHOWERS AND A SLIGHT CHANCE OF THUNDERSTORMS. LOWS
IN THE LOWER 50S. MAXIMUM RH 99 PERCENT. CHANCE OF PRECIPITATION
90 PERCENT. SOUTHWEST WINDS 15 TO 20 MPH.
.MONDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY WITH A CHANCE OF SHOWERS WITH ISOLATED
THUNDERSTORMS. HIGHS IN THE LOWER 60S. MINIMUM RH 61 PERCENT. CHANCE
OF PRECIPITATION 40 PERCENT. SOUTHWEST WINDS 15 TO 20 MPH.
.MONDAY NIGHT...PARTLY CLOUDY WITH A 20 PERCENT CHANCE OF SHOWERS.
LOWS IN THE MID 40S. MAXIMUM RH 84 PERCENT. WEST WINDS 15 TO 20 MPH.
.TUESDAY...SUNNY. HIGHS IN THE LOWER 60S. MINIMUM RH 52 PERCENT.
WEST WINDS 10 TO 15 MPH.
.TUESDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE MID 40S. MAXIMUM RH
93 PERCENT. WEST WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH.
.WEDNESDAY...SUNNY. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 60S. MINIMUM RH 49 PERCENT.
SOUTHWEST WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH.
.WEDNESDAY NIGHT...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE LOWER 50S. MAXIMUM RH
95 PERCENT. SOUTHWEST WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH.
.THURSDAY...PARTLY SUNNY WITH A 30 PERCENT CHANCE OF SHOWERS. HIGHS
IN THE MID 60S. MINIMUM RH 53 PERCENT. WEST WINDS 10 TO 15 MPH.
.THURSDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY WITH A 20 PERCENT CHANCE OF SHOWERS.
LOWS IN THE MID 40S. MAXIMUM RH 83 PERCENT. WEST WINDS 10 TO 15 MPH.
.FRIDAY...PARTLY SUNNY. COOLER. HIGHS IN THE MID 50S. MINIMUM RH
49 PERCENT. WEST WINDS 10 TO 15 MPH.

$$

SCZ023-032-039-211245-
DARLINGTON-FLORENCE-WILLIAMSBURG-
INCLUDING THE CITIES OF HARTSVILLE, DARLINGTON, NORTH HARTSVILLE,
FLORENCE, AND KINGSTREE
340 PM EST FRI JAN 20 2017

                      TONIGHT      SAT          SAT NIGHT    SUN

CLOUD AMOUNT          PCLDY        CLOUDY       MCLDY        MCLDY
PRECIP CHC (%)        0            90           80           100
PRECIP TYPE           NONE         TSTMS        TSTMS        TSTMS
LAL                   1            2            2            3
MIN/MAX TEMP          54           71           58           72
WND20FT/EARLY(MPH)    SW  3        LGT/VAR      S  5         S 10 G21
WND20FT/LATE(MPH)     LGT/VAR      SW  5        S  5         S 13 G24
PRECIP AMOUNT         0.00         0.52         0.54         0.40
PRECIP DURATION                    8            8            12
INVERSION             1700         60/0900      1700         61/0900
MAX/MIN RH (%)        100          76           100          72
DSI                                2                         2
HAINES INDEX          4            3            3            3
MIXING HGT (FT-AGL)                4060                      3470
TRANSPORT WND (MPH)                SW 10                     SW 22
VENTILATION RATE                   40600                     76340
ADI EARLY             5 VERY POOR  7 POOR       4 VERY POOR  28 FAIR
ADI LATE              2 VERY POOR  28 FAIR      5 VERY POOR  60 GEN GOOD
MAX LVORI EARLY       10           10           9            8
MAX LVORI LATE        10           4            9            3

REMARKS...NONE.

.FORECAST FOR DAYS 3 THROUGH 7...
.SUNDAY NIGHT...SHOWERS AND A SLIGHT CHANCE OF THUNDERSTORMS. LOWS
IN THE LOWER 50S. MAXIMUM RH 97 PERCENT. CHANCE OF PRECIPITATION
NEAR 100 PERCENT. SOUTHWEST WINDS AROUND 10 MPH.
.MONDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY WITH A CHANCE OF SHOWERS WITH ISOLATED
THUNDERSTORMS. HIGHS IN THE LOWER 60S. MINIMUM RH 58 PERCENT. CHANCE
OF PRECIPITATION 50 PERCENT. WEST WINDS 10 TO 15 MPH.
.MONDAY NIGHT...PARTLY CLOUDY WITH A 20 PERCENT CHANCE OF SHOWERS.
LOWS IN THE MID 40S. MAXIMUM RH 86 PERCENT. WEST WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH.
.TUESDAY...SUNNY. HIGHS IN THE LOWER 60S. MINIMUM RH 49 PERCENT.
WEST WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH.
.TUESDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE LOWER 40S. MAXIMUM RH
95 PERCENT. WEST WINDS AROUND 5 MPH.
.WEDNESDAY...SUNNY. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 60S. MINIMUM RH 47 PERCENT.
SOUTHWEST WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH.
.WEDNESDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY WITH A 20 PERCENT CHANCE OF
SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE LOWER 50S. MAXIMUM RH 91 PERCENT. SOUTHWEST
WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH.
.THURSDAY...PARTLY SUNNY WITH A 20 PERCENT CHANCE OF SHOWERS. HIGHS
IN THE MID 60S. MINIMUM RH 50 PERCENT. WEST WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH.
.THURSDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY WITH A 20 PERCENT CHANCE OF SHOWERS.
LOWS IN THE LOWER 40S. MAXIMUM RH 83 PERCENT. WEST WINDS 5 TO
10 MPH.
.FRIDAY...MOSTLY SUNNY. COOLER. HIGHS IN THE MID 50S. MINIMUM RH
45 PERCENT. WEST WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH.

$$

SCZ017-024-033-211245-
MARLBORO-DILLON-MARION-
INCLUDING THE CITIES OF BENNETTSVILLE, MCCOLL, DILLON, MARION,
AND MULLINS
340 PM EST FRI JAN 20 2017

                      TONIGHT      SAT          SAT NIGHT    SUN

CLOUD AMOUNT          PCLDY        CLOUDY       MCLDY        MCLDY
PRECIP CHC (%)        0            90           80           100
PRECIP TYPE           NONE         TSTMS        TSTMS        TSTMS
LAL                   1            2            2            3
MIN/MAX TEMP          53           71           59           72
WND20FT/EARLY(MPH)    LGT/VAR      LGT/VAR      S  4         S  9 G20
WND20FT/LATE(MPH)     LGT/VAR      SW  3        S  4         S 12 G23
PRECIP AMOUNT         0.00         0.41         0.42         0.43
PRECIP DURATION                    6            7            12
INVERSION             1700         59/0900      1700         61/0900
MAX/MIN RH (%)        100          73           100          72
DSI                                2                         2
HAINES INDEX          3            3            3            3
MIXING HGT (FT-AGL)                4380                      3310
TRANSPORT WND (MPH)                SW 10                     S 21
VENTILATION RATE                   43800                     69510
ADI EARLY             5 VERY POOR  3 VERY POOR  4 VERY POOR  27 FAIR
ADI LATE              1 VERY POOR  37 FAIR      4 VERY POOR  60 GEN GOOD
MAX LVORI EARLY       9            10           8            8
MAX LVORI LATE        10           4            9            3

REMARKS...NONE.

.FORECAST FOR DAYS 3 THROUGH 7...
.SUNDAY NIGHT...SHOWERS AND A SLIGHT CHANCE OF THUNDERSTORMS. LOWS
IN THE LOWER 50S. MAXIMUM RH 99 PERCENT. CHANCE OF PRECIPITATION
NEAR 100 PERCENT. SOUTH WINDS AROUND 10 MPH.
.MONDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY WITH A CHANCE OF SHOWERS WITH ISOLATED
THUNDERSTORMS. HIGHS IN THE LOWER 60S. MINIMUM RH 60 PERCENT. CHANCE
OF PRECIPITATION 50 PERCENT. SOUTHWEST WINDS 10 TO 15 MPH.
.MONDAY NIGHT...PARTLY CLOUDY WITH A 20 PERCENT CHANCE OF SHOWERS.
LOWS IN THE MID 40S. MAXIMUM RH 85 PERCENT. WEST WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH.
.TUESDAY...SUNNY. HIGHS IN THE LOWER 60S. MINIMUM RH 50 PERCENT.
WEST WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH.
.TUESDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE LOWER 40S. MAXIMUM RH
95 PERCENT. WEST WINDS AROUND 5 MPH.
.WEDNESDAY...SUNNY. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 60S. MINIMUM RH 47 PERCENT.
SOUTHWEST WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH.
.WEDNESDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY WITH A 20 PERCENT CHANCE OF
SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE LOWER 50S. MAXIMUM RH 92 PERCENT. SOUTHWEST
WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH.
.THURSDAY...PARTLY SUNNY WITH A 20 PERCENT CHANCE OF SHOWERS. HIGHS
IN THE MID 60S. MINIMUM RH 49 PERCENT. WEST WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH.
.THURSDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY WITH A 20 PERCENT CHANCE OF SHOWERS.
LOWS IN THE LOWER 40S. MAXIMUM RH 84 PERCENT. WEST WINDS 5 TO
10 MPH.
.FRIDAY...MOSTLY SUNNY. COOLER. HIGHS IN THE LOWER 50S. MINIMUM RH
46 PERCENT. WEST WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH.

$$

.OUTLOOK 8 TO 14 DAYS...
TEMPERATURES BELOW NORMAL.  PRECIPITATION BELOW NORMAL.

$$


     SC USERS                               NC USERS
===================================================================
VENTILATION RATE         BURN CATEGORY  VENTILATION RATE
===================================================================
    0 TO 17249                 1             0 TO 33499
17250 TO 34499                 2         33500 TO 44999
34500 TO 51749                 3         45000 TO 59999
51750 TO 68999                 4         60000 TO 111999
69000 OR GREATER               5        112000 OR GREATER

     SC USERS                               NC USERS
===================================================================
FORECAST SURFACE WIND    DISPERSION    FORECAST SURFACE WIND
===================================================================
                         STAGNANT       NEAR CALM
CALM                     VERY POOR      2 TO 4 MPH
2 TO 5 MPH                 POOR         5 TO 8 MPH
6 TO 8 MPH                 FAIR         9 TO 12 MPH
9 TO 13 MPH                GOOD         GREATER THAN 12 MPH
14 MPH OR MORE           EXCELLENT

ADI IS ATMOSPHERIC DISPERSION INDEX BY LAVDAS.
LVORI IS LOW VISIBILITY OCCURRENCE RISK INDEX.

$$

8



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