Routine Fire Wx Fcst (With/Without 6-10 Day Outlook)
Issued by NWS Wilmington, NC

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000
FNUS52 KILM 122045
FWFILM

FIRE WEATHER PLANNING FORECAST
FOR NORTHEAST SOUTH CAROLINA AND SOUTHEAST NORTH CAROLINA
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE WILMINGTON NC
345 PM EST FRI FEB 12 2016

.DISCUSSION...
AN ARCTIC COLD FRONT WILL CROSS THE AREA LATE TONIGHT AND BRING
THE COLDEST AND DRIEST AIR OF THE SEASON THIS WEEKEND. GUSTY
NORTHERLY WINDS ARE EXPECTED SATURDAY AS MINIMUM RELATIVE HUMIDITY
VALUES DROP TO NEAR 25 PERCENT. SIMILAR RELATIVE HUMIDITY LEVELS
ARE EXPECTED SUNDAY. A WARMUP WILL BEGIN MONDAY WITH TEMPERATURES
REBOUNDING TO NORMAL VALUES AHEAD OF A STRONG LOW PRESSURE SYSTEM
WHICH WILL BRING GOOD RAIN CHANCES ON TUESDAY. SEASONABLE WEATHER
WILL FOLLOW THROUGH LATE WEEK.

FOG POTENTIAL FOR TONIGHT...NONE.

NCZ105>110-131245-
INLAND PENDER-COASTAL PENDER-INLAND NEW HANOVER-COASTAL NEW HANOVER-
INLAND BRUNSWICK-COASTAL BRUNSWICK-
INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...BURGAW...SURF CITY...TOPSAIL BEACH...
WILMINGTON...CAROLINA BEACH...WRIGHTSVILLE BEACH...LELAND...
BOLIVIA...SHALLOTTE...OCEAN ISLE BEACH...HOLDEN BEACH...OAK ISLAND...
SOUTHPORT
345 PM EST FRI FEB 12 2016

                      TONIGHT      SAT          SAT NIGHT    SUN

CLOUD AMOUNT          PCLDY        CLEAR        CLEAR        PCLDY
PRECIP CHC (%)        0            0            0            0
PRECIP TYPE           NONE         NONE         NONE         NONE
LAL                   1            1            1            1
MIN/MAX TEMP          26           40           16           34
WND20FT2MIN/EARLY(MPH)NW  4        N 15 G31     N 10 G20     N  9
WND20FT2MIN/LATE(MPH) NW  7        N 18 G30     N 11 G21     NE  5
PRECIP AMOUNT         0.00         0.00         0.00         0.00
PRECIP DURATION
INVERSION             CONTINUED    28/0600      NONE         NONE
MAX/MIN RH (%)        88           24           63           26
DSI                                3                         1
HAINES INDEX          3            5            5            4
MIXING HGT (FT-AGL)                4260                      2800
TRANSPORT WND (MPH)                NW 22                     NE  7
VENTILATION RATE                   93720                     19600
ADI EARLY             4 VERY POOR  61 GOOD      27 FAIR      41 GEN GOOD
ADI LATE              9 POOR       65 GOOD      17 GEN POOR  26 FAIR
MAX LVORI EARLY       6            4            2            1
MAX LVORI LATE        5            1            2            2

REMARKS...NONE.

.FORECAST FOR DAYS 3 THROUGH 7...
.SUNDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE MID 20S. MAXIMUM RH
100 PERCENT. EAST WINDS 10 TO 15 MPH.
.WASHINGTONS BIRTHDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY WITH A 40 PERCENT CHANCE OF
RAIN SHOWERS. HIGHS IN THE LOWER 50S. MINIMUM RH 71 PERCENT.
SOUTHEAST WINDS 10 TO 15 MPH.
.MONDAY NIGHT...CLOUDY WITH SHOWERS LIKELY. WARMER. LOWS AROUND 50.
MAXIMUM RH 97 PERCENT. CHANCE OF SHOWERS 70 PERCENT. SOUTH WINDS
15 TO 20 MPH.
.TUESDAY...PARTLY SUNNY WITH SHOWERS LIKELY. HIGHS AROUND 60.
MINIMUM RH 55 PERCENT. CHANCE OF SHOWERS 60 PERCENT. SOUTHWEST WINDS
15 TO 20 MPH.
.TUESDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLEAR WITH A 20 PERCENT CHANCE OF SHOWERS.
COLDER. LOWS IN THE UPPER 30S. MAXIMUM RH 88 PERCENT. WEST WINDS
10 TO 15 MPH.
.WEDNESDAY...SUNNY. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 50S. MINIMUM RH 46 PERCENT.
WEST WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH.
.WEDNESDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE UPPER 30S. MAXIMUM RH
78 PERCENT. NORTHWEST WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH.
.THURSDAY...SUNNY. HIGHS IN THE MID 50S. MINIMUM RH 47 PERCENT.
NORTH WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH.
.THURSDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE UPPER 30S. MAXIMUM RH
97 PERCENT. EAST WINDS AROUND 5 MPH.
.FRIDAY...SUNNY. HIGHS AROUND 60. MINIMUM RH 56 PERCENT. SOUTHEAST
WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH.

$$

NCZ087-096-099-131245-
ROBESON-BLADEN-COLUMBUS-
INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...LUMBERTON...ELIZABETHTOWN...WHITEVILLE
345 PM EST FRI FEB 12 2016

                      TONIGHT      SAT          SAT NIGHT    SUN

CLOUD AMOUNT          PCLDY        CLEAR        CLEAR        PCLDY
PRECIP CHC (%)        0            0            0            0
PRECIP TYPE           NONE         NONE         NONE         NONE
LAL                   1            1            1            1
MIN/MAX TEMP          26           38           16           34
WND20FT2MIN/EARLY(MPH)NW  3        N 14 G31     N 10         NE 10
WND20FT2MIN/LATE(MPH) NW  7        NW 16 G30    N 12         NE  6
PRECIP AMOUNT         0.00         0.00         0.00         0.00
PRECIP DURATION
INVERSION             CONTINUED    27/0600      NONE         NONE
MAX/MIN RH (%)        86           26           64           25
DSI                                3                         1
HAINES INDEX          3            5            5            4
MIXING HGT (FT-AGL)                4270                      2800
TRANSPORT WND (MPH)                NW 20                     NE  7
VENTILATION RATE                   85400                     19600
ADI EARLY             3 VERY POOR  56 GEN GOOD  30 FAIR      29 FAIR
ADI LATE              9 POOR       56 GEN GOOD  26 FAIR      25 FAIR
MAX LVORI EARLY       5            4            2            2
MAX LVORI LATE        5            1            2            2

REMARKS...NONE.

.FORECAST FOR DAYS 3 THROUGH 7...
.SUNDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE MID 20S. MAXIMUM RH
100 PERCENT. EAST WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH.
.WASHINGTONS BIRTHDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY WITH A 40 PERCENT CHANCE OF
RAIN SHOWERS. HIGHS AROUND 50. MINIMUM RH 64 PERCENT. EAST WINDS
5 TO 10 MPH.
.MONDAY NIGHT...CLOUDY WITH SHOWERS LIKELY. NOT AS COOL. LOWS IN THE
UPPER 40S. MAXIMUM RH 100 PERCENT. CHANCE OF SHOWERS 70 PERCENT.
SOUTHEAST WINDS 10 TO 15 MPH.
.TUESDAY...PARTLY SUNNY WITH SHOWERS LIKELY. HIGHS AROUND 60.
MINIMUM RH 52 PERCENT. CHANCE OF SHOWERS 60 PERCENT. SOUTHWEST WINDS
15 TO 20 MPH.
.TUESDAY NIGHT...PARTLY CLOUDY WITH A 20 PERCENT CHANCE OF SHOWERS.
COLDER. LOWS IN THE UPPER 30S. MAXIMUM RH 93 PERCENT. WEST WINDS
5 TO 10 MPH.
.WEDNESDAY...SUNNY. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 50S. MINIMUM RH 45 PERCENT.
WEST WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH.
.WEDNESDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE MID 30S. MAXIMUM RH
78 PERCENT. NORTHWEST WINDS AROUND 5 MPH.
.THURSDAY...SUNNY. HIGHS IN THE MID 50S. MINIMUM RH 46 PERCENT.
NORTH WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH.
.THURSDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE MID 30S. MAXIMUM RH
95 PERCENT. EAST WINDS AROUND 5 MPH.
.FRIDAY...SUNNY. HIGHS IN THE LOWER 60S. MINIMUM RH 53 PERCENT.
SOUTHEAST WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH.

$$

SCZ053>056-131245-
INLAND HORRY-COASTAL HORRY-INLAND GEORGETOWN-COASTAL GEORGETOWN-
INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...CONWAY...MYRTLE BEACH...
NORTH MYRTLE BEACH...GARDEN CITY...ANDREWS...GEORGETOWN...
MURRELLS INLET
345 PM EST FRI FEB 12 2016

                      TONIGHT      SAT          SAT NIGHT    SUN

CLOUD AMOUNT          MCLEAR       CLEAR        CLEAR        PCLDY
PRECIP CHC (%)        0            0            0            0
PRECIP TYPE           NONE         NONE         NONE         NONE
LAL                   1            1            1            1
MIN/MAX TEMP          29           42           18           36
WND20FT2MIN/EARLY(MPH)N  3         N 14 G30     N 11 G20     NE 12 G21
WND20FT2MIN/LATE(MPH) NW  7        N 17 G29     NE 12 G22    E  7
PRECIP AMOUNT         0.00         0.00         0.00         0.00
PRECIP DURATION
INVERSION             CONTINUED    31/0600      NONE         NONE
MAX/MIN RH (%)        87           27           63           27
DSI                                2                         1
HAINES INDEX          3            5            4            4
MIXING HGT (FT-AGL)                4260                      2720
TRANSPORT WND (MPH)                NW 20                     NE  8
VENTILATION RATE                   85200                     21760
ADI EARLY             4 VERY POOR  55 GEN GOOD  28 FAIR      31 FAIR
ADI LATE              10 POOR      55 GEN GOOD  26 FAIR      27 FAIR
MAX LVORI EARLY       5            3            2            2
MAX LVORI LATE        4            1            2            2

REMARKS...NONE.

.FORECAST FOR DAYS 3 THROUGH 7...
.SUNDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE UPPER 20S. MAXIMUM RH
100 PERCENT. EAST WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH.
.WASHINGTONS BIRTHDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY WITH A 40 PERCENT CHANCE OF
RAIN SHOWERS. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 50S. MINIMUM RH 69 PERCENT.
SOUTHEAST WINDS 10 TO 15 MPH.
.MONDAY NIGHT...CLOUDY WITH SHOWERS LIKELY. WARMER. LOWS IN THE
LOWER 50S. MAXIMUM RH 92 PERCENT. CHANCE OF SHOWERS 70 PERCENT.
SOUTH WINDS 15 TO 20 MPH.
.TUESDAY...BREEZY. PARTLY SUNNY WITH A 50 PERCENT CHANCE OF SHOWERS.
HIGHS IN THE LOWER 60S. MINIMUM RH 50 PERCENT. SOUTHWEST WINDS 20 TO
25 MPH.
.TUESDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLEAR. COLDER. LOWS IN THE UPPER 30S.
MAXIMUM RH 90 PERCENT. WEST WINDS 10 TO 15 MPH.
.WEDNESDAY...SUNNY. HIGHS AROUND 60. MINIMUM RH 47 PERCENT. WEST
WINDS 10 TO 15 MPH.
.WEDNESDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS AROUND 40. MAXIMUM RH
76 PERCENT. NORTHWEST WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH.
.THURSDAY...SUNNY. HIGHS IN THE MID 50S. MINIMUM RH 48 PERCENT.
NORTHEAST WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH.
.THURSDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS AROUND 40. MAXIMUM RH
93 PERCENT. EAST WINDS AROUND 5 MPH.
.FRIDAY...SUNNY. HIGHS IN THE LOWER 60S. MINIMUM RH 58 PERCENT.
SOUTHEAST WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH.

$$

SCZ017-023-024-032-033-039-131245-
MARLBORO-DARLINGTON-DILLON-FLORENCE-MARION-WILLIAMSBURG-
INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...BENNETTSVILLE...DARLINGTON...DILLON...
FLORENCE...MARION...KINGSTREE
345 PM EST FRI FEB 12 2016

                      TONIGHT      SAT          SAT NIGHT    SUN

CLOUD AMOUNT          MCLEAR       CLEAR        CLEAR        PCLDY
PRECIP CHC (%)        0            0            0            0
PRECIP TYPE           NONE         NONE         NONE         NONE
LAL                   1            1            1            1
MIN/MAX TEMP          27           42           18           37
WND20FT2MIN/EARLY(MPH)LGT/VAR      N 12 G27     N 10 G20     NE 10
WND20FT2MIN/LATE(MPH) NW  8        N 15 G26     NE 10        E  6
PRECIP AMOUNT         0.00         0.00         0.00         0.00
PRECIP DURATION
INVERSION             CONTINUED    29/0600      NONE         NONE
MAX/MIN RH (%)        80           25           61           26
DSI                                3                         1
HAINES INDEX          3            5            4            4
MIXING HGT (FT-AGL)                4260                      2770
TRANSPORT WND (MPH)                NW 17                     E  8
VENTILATION RATE                   72420                     22160
ADI EARLY             2 VERY POOR  51 GEN GOOD  26 FAIR      30 FAIR
ADI LATE              10 POOR      50 GEN GOOD  23 FAIR      28 FAIR
MAX LVORI EARLY       5            4            2            2
MAX LVORI LATE        4            1            2            2

REMARKS...NONE.

.FORECAST FOR DAYS 3 THROUGH 7...
.SUNDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE MID 20S. MAXIMUM RH
100 PERCENT. EAST WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH.
.WASHINGTONS BIRTHDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY WITH A 50 PERCENT CHANCE OF
RAIN SHOWERS. HIGHS IN THE MID 50S. MINIMUM RH 63 PERCENT. EAST
WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH.
.MONDAY NIGHT...SHOWERS. NOT AS COOL. LOWS IN THE UPPER 40S. MAXIMUM
RH 97 PERCENT. CHANCE OF SHOWERS 80 PERCENT. SOUTHEAST WINDS 10 TO
15 MPH.
.TUESDAY...PARTLY SUNNY WITH A 50 PERCENT CHANCE OF SHOWERS. HIGHS
AROUND 60. MINIMUM RH 48 PERCENT. SOUTHWEST WINDS 15 TO 20 MPH.
.TUESDAY NIGHT...PARTLY CLOUDY. COLDER. LOWS IN THE UPPER 30S.
MAXIMUM RH 95 PERCENT. WEST WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH.
.WEDNESDAY...SUNNY. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 50S. MINIMUM RH 45 PERCENT.
WEST WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH.
.WEDNESDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE UPPER 30S. MAXIMUM RH
77 PERCENT. NORTHWEST WINDS AROUND 5 MPH.
.THURSDAY...SUNNY. HIGHS IN THE MID 50S. MINIMUM RH 45 PERCENT.
NORTHEAST WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH.
.THURSDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE UPPER 30S. MAXIMUM RH
92 PERCENT. EAST WINDS AROUND 5 MPH.
.FRIDAY...SUNNY. HIGHS IN THE LOWER 60S. MINIMUM RH 54 PERCENT.
SOUTHEAST WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH.

$$

.OUTLOOK 8 TO 14 DAYS...
TEMPERATURES ABOVE NORMAL.  PRECIPITATION NEAR NORMAL.

$$


     SC USERS                               NC USERS
===================================================================
VENTILATION RATE         BURN CATEGORY  VENTILATION RATE
===================================================================
    0 TO 17249                 1             0 TO 33499
17250 TO 34499                 2         33500 TO 44999
34500 TO 51749                 3         45000 TO 59999
51750 TO 68999                 4         60000 TO 111999
69000 OR GREATER               5        112000 OR GREATER

     SC USERS                               NC USERS
===================================================================
FORECAST SURFACE WIND    DISPERSION    FORECAST SURFACE WIND
===================================================================
                         STAGNANT       NEAR CALM
CALM                     VERY POOR      2 TO 4 MPH
2 TO 5 MPH                 POOR         5 TO 8 MPH
6 TO 8 MPH                 FAIR         9 TO 12 MPH
9 TO 13 MPH                GOOD         GREATER THAN 12 MPH
14 MPH OR MORE           EXCELLENT

ADI IS ATMOSPHERIC DISPERSION INDEX BY LAVDAS.
LVORI IS LOW VISIBILITY OCCURRENCE RISK INDEX.

$$

27


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