Routine Fire Wx Fcst (With/Without 6-10 Day Outlook)
Issued by NWS Jackson, KY

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000
FNUS53 KJKL 260959
FWFJKL

FIRE WEATHER PLANNING FORECAST FOR EASTERN KENTUCKY
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE JACKSON KY
559 AM EDT SAT JUL 26 2014

.DISCUSSION...

A STRONG COLD FRONT WILL SHIFT SOUTHWARD TOWARDS THE OHIO RIVER
VALLEY TONIGHT AND SUNDAY...BRINGING WITH IT A SIGNIFICANT INCREASE
IN TEMPERATURES...HUMIDITY...AND INSTABILITY. THE COMBINATION OF
THESE FACTORS WILL ALLOW FOR AN ENVIRONMENT CAPABLE OF PRODUCING
STRONG TO SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS LATE TONIGHT AND ESPECIALLY SUNDAY
INTO SUNDAY EVENING. THE MAIN THREAT WITH ANY THUNDERSTORMS THAT
DEVELOP LATE TONIGHT WILL BE DAMAGING WIND GUSTS AS WELL AS LOCALLY
HEAVY RAINFALL. LARGE HAIL...DAMAGING WIND GUSTS...LOCALIZED FLASH
FLOODING...AS WELL AS ISOLATED TORNADOES WILL BE POSSIBLE WITH ANY
STORMS THAT DEVELOP SUNDAY THROUGH SUNDAY EVENING.

KYZ044-050>052-058>060-068-069-079-080-083>088-104-106>120-270300-
FLEMING-MONTGOMERY-BATH-ROWAN-ESTILL-POWELL-MENIFEE-ROCKCASTLE-
JACKSON-PULASKI-LAUREL-WAYNE-MCCREARY-WHITLEY-KNOX-BELL-HARLAN-
ELLIOTT-MORGAN-JOHNSON-WOLFE-MAGOFFIN-FLOYD-LEE-BREATHITT-KNOTT-
OWSLEY-PERRY-CLAY-LESLIE-LETCHER-MARTIN-PIKE-
INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...FLEMINGSBURG...MOUNT STERLING...
OWINGSVILLE...MOREHEAD...IRVINE...STANTON...FRENCHBURG...
MOUNT VERNON...MCKEE...SOMERSET...LONDON...MONTICELLO...
WHITLEY CITY...CORBIN...WILLIAMSBURG...BARBOURVILLE...MIDDLESBORO...
PINEVILLE...HARLAN...SANDY HOOK...WEST LIBERTY...PAINTSVILLE...
CAMPTON...SALYERSVILLE...PRESTONSBURG...BEATTYVILLE...JACKSON...
HINDMAN...BOONEVILLE...HAZARD...MANCHESTER...HYDEN...WHITESBURG...
INEZ...PIKEVILLE
559 AM EDT SAT JUL 26 2014

.TODAY...
SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY SUNNY.
MAX TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 88.
   24 HR TREND......7 DEGREES WARMER.
MIN HUMIDITY........40-48 PERCENT.
   24 HR TREND......1 PERCENT WETTER.
WIND (20 FT)........SOUTHWEST WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH.
LAL.................2.
HAINES INDEX........5 OR MODERATE POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME
                    DOMINATED FIRE GROWTH.
MIXING HEIGHT.......4700 FT AGL.
TRANSPORT WIND......SOUTHWEST AROUND 10 MPH.
DISPERSION INDEX....62.
VENT RATE...........GOOD (61900 KNOT-FT).
PROB OF PRECIP......10 PERCENT.
QPF (INCHES)........NONE.

.TONIGHT...
SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY CLOUDY. SCATTERED THUNDERSTORMS.
MIN TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 70.
   24 HR TREND......9 DEGREES WARMER.
MAX HUMIDITY........88-98 PERCENT.
   24 HR TREND......7 PERCENT DRIER.
WIND (20 FT)........SOUTHWEST WINDS AROUND 5 MPH.
LAL.................4.
HAINES INDEX........4 OR LOW POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME DOMINATED
                    FIRE GROWTH.
PROB OF PRECIP......40 PERCENT.
QPF (INCHES)........0.07 - 0.68 INCHES.

.SUNDAY...
SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF THUNDERSTORMS IN THE
                    MORNING...THEN THUNDERSTORMS LIKELY IN THE
                    AFTERNOON.
MAX TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 87.
   24 HR TREND......2 DEGREES COOLER.
MIN HUMIDITY........54-64 PERCENT.
   24 HR TREND......18 PERCENT WETTER.
WIND (20 FT)........SOUTHWEST WINDS 5 TO 15 MPH.
LAL.................4.
HAINES INDEX........4 OR LOW POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME DOMINATED
                    FIRE GROWTH.
MIXING HEIGHT.......4400 FT AGL.
TRANSPORT WIND......SOUTHWEST AROUND 20 MPH.
DISPERSION INDEX....134.
VENT RATE...........EXCELLENT (133700 KNOT-FT).
PROB OF PRECIP......70 PERCENT.
QPF (INCHES)........0.13 - 0.83 INCHES.

$$

.FORECAST DAYS 3 THROUGH 7...

.SUNDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY WITH A CHANCE OF THUNDERSTORMS. LOWS
IN THE MID 60S. WEST WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH.
.MONDAY...PARTLY SUNNY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF THUNDERSTORMS IN THE
AFTERNOON. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 70S. WEST WINDS AROUND 10 MPH.
.MONDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF THUNDERSTORMS EARLY.
LOWS IN THE UPPER 50S. NORTHWEST WINDS AROUND 5 MPH.
.TUESDAY...MOSTLY SUNNY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF THUNDERSTORMS IN THE
AFTERNOON. HIGHS IN THE LOWER 70S. NORTH WINDS AROUND 5 MPH.
.TUESDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE MID 50S. NORTH WINDS
AROUND 5 MPH EARLY BECOMING LIGHT.
.WEDNESDAY...SUNNY. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 70S. NORTH WINDS AROUND
5 MPH.
.WEDNESDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE MID 50S. NORTHEAST
WINDS AROUND 5 MPH EARLY BECOMING LIGHT.
.THURSDAY...MOSTLY SUNNY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF THUNDERSTORMS IN THE
AFTERNOON. HIGHS IN THE LOWER 80S. NORTHEAST WINDS AROUND 5 MPH.
.THURSDAY NIGHT...PARTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF THUNDERSTORMS
EARLY. LOWS AROUND 60. EAST WINDS AROUND 5 MPH EARLY BECOMING LIGHT.
.FRIDAY...PARTLY SUNNY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF THUNDERSTORMS IN THE
MORNING...THEN A CHANCE OF THUNDERSTORMS IN THE AFTERNOON. HIGHS IN
THE LOWER 80S. SOUTHEAST WINDS AROUND 5 MPH.

$$
JMW





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