Routine Fire Wx Fcst (With/Without 6-10 Day Outlook)
Issued by NWS Knoxville/Tri Cities, TN

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FNUS54 KMRX 101950
FWFMRX

Fire Weather Planning Forecast for East Tennessee...Southwest
Virginia...and Extreme Southwest North Carolina
National Weather Service Morristown TN
250 PM EST Sun Dec 10 2017

.DISCUSSION...
Seasonal temperatures with clear to partly cloudy
skies expected through Monday evening. A reinforcing shot of cold
air with increasing chance of precipitation is expected reach across
the area by Tuesday morning.



VAZ001-002-005-006-008-112100-
Jefferson National Forest/Virginia District 6-
250 PM EST Sun Dec 10 2017

                      Tonight      Mon          Mon Night    Tue

Cloud cover           MClear       MClear       PCldy        MCldy
Temp (24h trend)      22-27 (+2)   44-49 (+10)  29-34        31-36
RH % (24h trend)      90-95 (+10)  48-53 (+3)   95-100       57-62
20ft Wind-AM(mph)                  SW  6 G15                 W 12 G26
20ft Wind-PM(mph)     SW  9 G23    S  7 G19     SW  8 G23    NW 12 G28
Precip type           NONE         NONE         snow showers snow showers
Chance precip (%)     0            0            20           40
Precip duration                                 1            1
Precip begin                                    1 AM         Continuing
Precip end                                      Continuing   Continuing
Precip amount         0.00         0.00         0.02         0.08
LAL                   1            1            1            1
LASI/Haines                        4                         3
Mixing hgt(ft-MSL)                 4100                      5900
Mixing hgt(ft-AGL)*                2100                      3900
Transport wnd (mph)                SW 15                     NW 23
Dispersion                         26 Fair                   78 Good
33ft wind-AM(mph)                  SW  7 G15                 W 15 G26
33ft wind-PM(mph)     SW 11 G23    S  9 G19     SW 11 G23    NW 16 G28

Remarks...None.

.TUESDAY NIGHT...Mostly cloudy. Slight chance of snow showers.
Lows 13 to 20. Northwest winds 5 to 15 mph.
.WEDNESDAY...Mostly sunny. Highs in the mid 20s to upper 30s.
West winds 5 to 10 mph.
.WEDNESDAY NIGHT...Mostly cloudy. Lows in the lower to mid 20s.
Southwest winds less than 10 mph.
.THURSDAY...Mostly cloudy. Chance of snow showers and slight
chance of showers. Highs in the 30s to mid 40s. West winds up to
10 mph.
.FRIDAY...Mostly cloudy. Slight chance of snow showers. Lows in
the mid 20s. Highs in the upper 20s to lower 40s. West winds up
to 10 mph.
.SATURDAY...Partly cloudy. Slight chance of showers. Not as cool.
Lows in the lower 30s. Highs in the 40s to lower 50s. Southwest
winds up to 10 mph.
.SUNDAY...Partly cloudy. Chance of showers. Lows in the lower
30s. Highs in the mid 40s to lower 50s. Southwest winds up to
10 mph.


*The AGL Mixing Height is calculated from an average elevation for
the entire Forecast Zone and should only be used as a guide.
For a specific AGL Mixing Height a Spot Forecast will be needed.

$$

TNZ018-041-043-045-047-112100-
Northern Cherokee National Forest-
250 PM EST Sun Dec 10 2017

                      Tonight      Mon          Mon Night    Tue

Cloud cover           MClear       Clear        PCldy        MCldy
Temp (24h trend)      22-27 (+5)   44-49 (+13)  28-33        30-35
RH % (24h trend)      90-95 (+7)   53-58 (+7)   92-97        62-67
20ft Wind-AM(mph)                  W  6 G18                  W 14 G33
20ft Wind-PM(mph)     W  8 G26     SW  5        SW  9 G28    NW 15 G36
Precip type           NONE         NONE         snow showers snow showers
Chance precip (%)     0            0            20           40
Precip duration                                 1            1
Precip begin                                    1 AM         Continuing
Precip end                                      Continuing   Continuing
Precip amount         0.00         0.00         0.01         0.07
LAL                   1            1            1            1
LASI/Haines                        5                         3
Mixing hgt(ft-MSL)                 4200                      6100
Mixing hgt(ft-AGL)*                1400                      3400
Transport wnd (mph)                SW 10                     NW 29
Dispersion                         13 Gen poor               82 Good
33ft wind-AM(mph)                  W  7 G18                  W 18 G33
33ft wind-PM(mph)     W 10 G26     SW  6        SW 11 G28    NW 19 G36

Remarks...None.

.TUESDAY NIGHT...Mostly cloudy. Slight chance of snow showers.
Lows 10 to 20. Northwest winds 5 to 15 mph.
.WEDNESDAY...Mostly sunny. Highs in the 20s to 30s. West winds
5 to 15 mph.
.WEDNESDAY NIGHT...Partly cloudy. Lows 19 to 24. West winds less
than 10 mph.
.THURSDAY...Mostly cloudy. Chance of snow showers and slight
chance of showers. Not as cool. Highs in the mid 30s to upper
40s. West winds up to 10 mph.
.FRIDAY...Mostly cloudy. Chance of snow showers. Lows in the mid
20s. Highs in the 30s to lower 40s. West winds up to 10 mph.
.SATURDAY...Partly cloudy. Slight chance of showers and snow
showers. Not as cool. Lows around 30. Highs in the 40s to lower
50s. Southwest winds up to 10 mph.
.SUNDAY...Partly cloudy. Chance of showers. Lows in the lower
30s. Highs in the 40s to mid 50s. West winds up to 10 mph.


*The AGL Mixing Height is calculated from an average elevation for
the entire Forecast Zone and should only be used as a guide.
For a specific AGL Mixing Height a Spot Forecast will be needed.

$$

TNZ072-074-112100-
Tennessee Portion Of The Great Smoky Mountain National Park-
250 PM EST Sun Dec 10 2017

                      Tonight      Mon          Mon Night    Tue

Cloud cover           Clear        Clear        PCldy        MCldy
Temp (24h trend)      22-27 (+7)   46-51 (+14)  29-34        31-36
RH % (24h trend)      91-96 (+10)  51-56 (+7)   87-92        56-61
20ft Wind-AM(mph)                  SW  5 G16                 W 12 G29
20ft Wind-PM(mph)     SW 11 G30    SW  7 G24    SW 13 G36    NW 14 G36
Precip type           NONE         NONE         snow showers snow showers
Chance precip (%)     0            0            20           30
Precip duration                                 1            1
Precip begin                                    1 AM         Continuing
Precip end                                      Continuing   Continuing
Precip amount         0.00         0.00         0.01         0.07
LAL                   1            1            1            1
LASI/Haines                        4                         3
Mixing hgt(ft-MSL)                 4300                      5400
Mixing hgt(ft-AGL)*                1300                      2400
Transport wnd (mph)                SW 13                     NW 22
Dispersion                         13 Gen poor               42 Gen good
33ft wind-AM(mph)                  SW  6 G16                 W 15 G29
33ft wind-PM(mph)     SW 13 G30    SW  9 G24    SW 16 G36    NW 18 G36

Remarks...None.

.TUESDAY NIGHT...Partly cloudy. Slight chance of snow showers.
Lows 11 to 20. Northwest winds 5 to 15 mph.
.WEDNESDAY...Sunny. Highs in the upper 20s to lower 40s. West
winds 5 to 15 mph.
.WEDNESDAY NIGHT...Partly cloudy. Lows in the 20s. Southwest
winds up to 10 mph.
.THURSDAY...Mostly cloudy. Chance of snow showers and slight
chance of showers. Highs in the mid 30s to upper 40s. West winds
up to 10 mph.
.FRIDAY...Partly cloudy. Chance of snow showers. Lows in the mid
20s. Highs in the upper 20s to lower 40s. West winds up to
10 mph.
.SATURDAY...Partly cloudy. Chance of showers. Not as cool. Lows
in the lower 30s. Highs in the mid 40s to lower 50s. Southwest
winds up to 10 mph.
.SUNDAY...Mostly cloudy. Chance of showers. Lows in the lower
30s. Highs in the 40s to mid 50s. West winds up to 10 mph.


*The AGL Mixing Height is calculated from an average elevation for
the entire Forecast Zone and should only be used as a guide.
For a specific AGL Mixing Height a Spot Forecast will be needed.

$$

TNZ087-102-112100-
Southern Cherokee National Forest-
250 PM EST Sun Dec 10 2017

                      Tonight      Mon          Mon Night    Tue

Cloud cover           Clear        Clear        PCldy        PCldy
Temp (24h trend)      23-28 (+7)   48-53 (+12)  30-35        35-40
RH % (24h trend)      90-95 (+5)   48-53 (+6)   88-93        52-57
20ft Wind-AM(mph)                  LGT/VAR                   NW 11 G26
20ft Wind-PM(mph)     SW  6 G17    SW  7 G19    S 10 G25     NW 13 G29
Precip type           NONE         NONE         NONE         snow showers
Chance precip (%)     0            0            0            10
Precip duration                                              1
Precip begin                                                 7 AM
Precip end                                                   7 PM
Precip amount         0.00         0.00         0.00         0.01
LAL                   1            1            1            1
LASI/Haines                        4                         3
Mixing hgt(ft-MSL)                 3700                      4700
Mixing hgt(ft-AGL)*                1700                      2700
Transport wnd (mph)                SW 12                     NW 21
Dispersion                         16 Gen poor               46 Gen good
33ft wind-AM(mph)                  LGT/VAR                   NW 15 G26
33ft wind-PM(mph)     SW  8 G17    SW  8 G19    S 12 G25     NW 16 G29

Remarks...None.

.TUESDAY NIGHT...Mostly clear. Lows 16 to 23. Northwest winds
5 to 15 mph.
.WEDNESDAY...Sunny. Highs in the 30s to lower 40s. West winds up
to 10 mph.
.WEDNESDAY NIGHT...Partly cloudy. Lows in the mid to upper 20s.
Southwest winds less than 10 mph.
.THURSDAY...Partly cloudy. Slight chance of snow showers. Highs
in the upper 30s to lower 50s. Northwest winds up to 10 mph.
.FRIDAY...Partly cloudy. Lows in the upper 20s. Highs in the
lower 30s to mid 40s. Southwest winds less than 10 mph.
.SATURDAY...Partly cloudy. Chance of showers. Not as cool. Lows
in the mid 30s. Highs in the mid 40s to lower 50s. Southwest
winds up to 10 mph.
.SUNDAY...Mostly cloudy. Chance of showers. Lows in the mid 30s.
Highs in the upper 40s to mid 50s. Southwest winds up to 10 mph.


*The AGL Mixing Height is calculated from an average elevation for
the entire Forecast Zone and should only be used as a guide.
For a specific AGL Mixing Height a Spot Forecast will be needed.

$$

NCZ060-061-112100-
Nantahala National Forest-
250 PM EST Sun Dec 10 2017

                      Tonight      Mon          Mon Night    Tue

CLOUD COVER           Clear        Clear        PCldy        PCldy
TEMP (24H TREND)      21-26 (+6)   49-54 (+13)  30-35        35-40
RH % (24H TREND)      95-100 (+7)  48-53 (+4)   90-95        55-60
20FT WIND-AM(MPH)                  LGT/VAR                   NW 12 G28
20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     SW  5 G16    SW  5        SW  7 G20    NW 14 G33
PRECIP TYPE           NONE         NONE         NONE         snow showers
CHANCE PRECIP (%)     0            0            0            20
PRECIP DURATION                                              1
PRECIP BEGIN                                                 7 AM
PRECIP END                                                   1 PM
PRECIP AMOUNT         0.00         0.00         0.00         0.01
LAL                   1            1            1            1
LASI/Haines                        4                         3
MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)                 4000                      5000
MIXING HGT(FT-AGL)*                1700                      2700
TRANSPORT WND (MPH)                SW  9                     NW 23
DISPERSION                         13 Gen poor               53 Gen good
MAX LVORI                          5                         4
33FT WIND-AM(MPH)                  LGT/VAR                   NW 16 G28
33FT WIND-PM(MPH)     SW  5 G16    SW  6        SW  8 G20    NW 18 G33

Remarks...None.

.TUESDAY NIGHT...Mostly clear. Lows 17 to 22. Northwest winds
5 to 15 mph.
.WEDNESDAY...Sunny. Highs in the 30s to lower 40s. Northwest
winds up to 10 mph.
.WEDNESDAY NIGHT...Partly cloudy. Lows in the 20s. Southwest
winds less than 10 mph.
.THURSDAY...Partly cloudy. Highs in the upper 30s to lower 50s.
Northwest winds less than 10 mph.
.FRIDAY...Partly cloudy. Lows in the mid 20s. Highs in the 30s to
mid 40s. Northwest winds up to 10 mph.
.SATURDAY...Partly cloudy. Chance of showers. Warmer. Lows in the
lower 30s. Highs near 50. Southwest winds less than 10 mph.
.SUNDAY...Mostly cloudy. Chance of showers. Lows in the lower
30s. Highs in the upper 40s to mid 50s. West winds less than
10 mph.


*The AGL Mixing Height is calculated from an average elevation for
the entire Forecast Zone and should only be used as a guide.
For a specific AGL Mixing Height a Spot Forecast will be needed.

$$

TNZ015>017-038>040-042-044-046-070-112100-
East Tennessee District East-
250 PM EST Sun Dec 10 2017

                      Tonight      Mon          Mon Night    Tue

Cloud cover           MClear       Clear        PCldy        MCldy
Temp (24h trend)      22-27 (+2)   47-52 (+11)  30-35        34-39
RH % (24h trend)      95-100 (+17) 49-54 (+6)   93-98        53-58
20ft Wind-AM(mph)                  LGT/VAR                   W 12 G27
20ft Wind-PM(mph)     SW  6 G16    SW  5        SW  6 G18    W 14 G28
Precip type           NONE         NONE         snow showers showers
Chance precip (%)     0            0            20           30
Precip duration                                 1            1
Precip begin                                    1 AM         Continuing
Precip end                                      Continuing   7 PM
Precip amount         0.00         0.00         0.01         0.04
LAL                   1            1            1            1
LASI/Haines                        4                         4
Mixing hgt(ft-MSL)                 3700                      5600
Mixing hgt(ft-AGL)*                2200                      4100
Transport wnd (mph)                SW 13                     NW 22
Dispersion                         24 Fair                   78 Good
33ft wind-AM(mph)                  SW  6                     W 15 G27
33ft wind-PM(mph)     SW  8 G16    SW  6        SW  7 G18    W 17 G28

Remarks...None.

.TUESDAY NIGHT...Partly cloudy. Lows 12 to 21. Northwest winds
5 to 10 mph.
.WEDNESDAY...Mostly sunny. Highs in the mid 20s to upper 30s.
West winds 5 to 10 mph.
.WEDNESDAY NIGHT...Partly cloudy. Lows in the 20s. Southwest
winds less than 10 mph.
.THURSDAY...Mostly cloudy. Slight chance of showers and snow
showers. Not as cool. Highs in the mid 30s to lower 50s. West
winds up to 10 mph.
.FRIDAY...Mostly cloudy. Slight chance of snow showers. Lows in
the mid 20s. Highs in the lower 30s to mid 40s. West winds up to
10 mph.
.SATURDAY...Partly cloudy. Slight chance of showers. Not as cool.
Lows in the lower 30s. Highs in the mid 40s to lower 50s.
Southwest winds less than 10 mph.
.SUNDAY...Partly cloudy. Chance of showers. Lows in the lower
30s. Highs in the 40s to mid 50s. Southwest winds less than
10 mph.


*The AGL Mixing Height is calculated from an average elevation for
the entire Forecast Zone and should only be used as a guide.
For a specific AGL Mixing Height a Spot Forecast will be needed.

$$

TNZ012>014-035>037-067>069-071-073-086-112100-
East Tennessee District West-
250 PM EST Sun Dec 10 2017

                      Tonight      Mon          Mon Night    Tue

Cloud cover           Clear        Clear        PCldy        PCldy
Temp (24h trend)      26-31 (+7)   47-52 (+9)   31-36        34-39
RH % (24h trend)      84-89 (+6)   48-53 (+10)  89-94        50-55
20ft Wind-AM(mph)                  SW  5                     W 11 G25
20ft Wind-PM(mph)     SW  8 G21    SW  8 G19    SW  9 G23    NW 12 G27
Precip type           NONE         NONE         snow showers showers
Chance precip (%)     0            0            20           30
Precip duration                                 1            1
Precip begin                                    1 AM         Continuing
Precip end                                      Continuing   7 PM
Precip amount         0.00         0.00         0.01         0.03
LAL                   1            1            1            1
LASI/Haines                        4                         4
Mixing hgt(ft-MSL)                 3500                      5200
Mixing hgt(ft-AGL)*                2300                      3900
Transport wnd (mph)                SW 14                     NW 20
Dispersion                         27 Fair                   67 Good
33ft wind-AM(mph)                  SW  6                     W 13 G25
33ft wind-PM(mph)     SW 10 G21    SW  9 G19    SW 12 G23    NW 15 G27

Remarks...None.

.TUESDAY NIGHT...Mostly clear. Lows 16 to 22. Northwest winds up
to 10 mph.
.WEDNESDAY...Sunny. Highs in the 30s to lower 40s. West winds
less than 10 mph.
.WEDNESDAY NIGHT...Partly cloudy. Lows in the 20s to lower 30s.
Southwest winds less than 10 mph.
.THURSDAY...Mostly cloudy. Slight chance of showers and snow
showers. Highs in the 40s to lower 50s. West winds up to 10 mph.
.FRIDAY...Partly cloudy. Slight chance of snow showers. Lows in
the upper 20s. Highs in the 30s to mid 40s. Southwest winds less
than 10 mph.
.SATURDAY...Partly cloudy. Chance of showers. Not as cool. Lows
in the mid 30s. Highs in the mid 40s to lower 50s. Southwest
winds up to 10 mph.
.SUNDAY...Mostly cloudy. Chance of showers. Lows in the mid 30s.
Highs in the 40s to upper 50s. Southwest winds up to 10 mph.


*The AGL Mixing Height is calculated from an average elevation for
the entire Forecast Zone and should only be used as a guide.
For a specific AGL Mixing Height a Spot Forecast will be needed.

$$

TNZ077-079>085-097>101-112100-
Cumberland District South-
250 PM EST Sun Dec 10 2017 /150 PM CST Sun Dec 10 2017/

                      Tonight      Mon          Mon Night    Tue

Cloud cover           Clear        Clear        PCldy        PCldy
Temp (24h trend)      27-32 (+8)   48-53 (+8)   30-35        37-42
RH % (24h trend)      83-88 (+7)   48-53 (+13)  88-93        43-48
20ft Wind-AM(mph)                  LGT/VAR                   NW 11 G26
20ft Wind-PM(mph)     SW  7 G17    SW  8 G20    SW  9 G22    NW 12 G27
Precip type           NONE         NONE         NONE         snow showers
Chance precip (%)     0            0            0            20
Precip duration                                              1
Precip begin                                                 7 AM
Precip end                                                   1 PM
Precip amount         0.00         0.00         0.00         0.01
LAL                   1            1            1            1
LASI/Haines                        4                         3
Mixing hgt(ft-MSL)                 3500                      4600
Mixing hgt(ft-AGL)*                2400                      3400
Transport wnd (mph)                SW 14                     NW 21
Dispersion                         29 Fair                   61 Good
33ft wind-AM(mph)                  SW  5                     NW 14 G26
33ft wind-PM(mph)     SW  9 G17    SW  9 G20    SW 11 G22    NW 15 G27

Remarks...None.

.TUESDAY NIGHT...Mostly clear. Lows 18 to 26. Northwest winds up
to 10 mph.
.WEDNESDAY...Sunny. Highs in the upper 30s to mid 40s. West winds
less than 10 mph.
.WEDNESDAY NIGHT...Partly cloudy. Lows near 30. Southwest winds
less than 10 mph.
.THURSDAY...Partly cloudy. Highs in the mid 40s to lower 50s.
Northwest winds less than 10 mph.
.FRIDAY...Partly cloudy. Lows in the upper 20s. Highs in the 40s.
Southwest winds less than 10 mph.
.SATURDAY...Partly cloudy. Chance of showers. Lows in the mid
30s. Highs in the upper 40s to mid 50s. Southwest winds up to
10 mph.
.SUNDAY...Mostly cloudy. Chance of showers. Lows in the mid 30s.
Highs in the 50s. Southwest winds up to 10 mph.


*The AGL Mixing Height is calculated from an average elevation for
the entire Forecast Zone and should only be used as a guide.
For a specific AGL Mixing Height a Spot Forecast will be needed.

$$


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