Routine Fire Wx Fcst (With/Without 6-10 Day Outlook)
Issued by NWS Knoxville/Tri Cities, TN

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000
FNUS54 KMRX 230806
FWFMRX

Fire Weather Planning Forecast for East Tennessee...Southwest
Virginia...and Extreme Southwest North Carolina
National Weather Service Morristown TN
306 AM EST Fri Feb 23 2018

.DISCUSSION...

Unseasonably warm air continues to dominate the Tennessee Valley
through Saturday. Isolated showers today will increase in coverage
with isolated thunderstorms possible on Saturday ahead of the cold
front expected early Sunday. Temperatures to remain about seven
degrees above normal behind the front on Monday.



VAZ001-002-005-006-008-240915-
Jefferson National Forest/Virginia District 6-
306 AM EST Fri Feb 23 2018

                      Today        Tonight      Sat

Cloud cover           PCldy        PCldy        MCldy
Temp (24h trend)      71-76 (-3)   52-57 (-1)   66-71
RH % (24h trend)      53-58 (+3)   95-100 (+5)  61-66
20ft Wind-AM(mph)     S  7 G20                  SW  9 G23
20ft Wind-PM(mph)     SW  9 G21    S  5 G15     SW 11 G24
Precip type           showers      showers      showers
Chance precip (%)     20           30           40
Precip duration       1            1            1
Precip begin          1 PM         Continuing   Continuing
Precip end            Continuing   Continuing   Continuing
Precip amount         0.01         0.09         0.27
LAL                   2            2            1
LASI/Haines           3                         3
Mixing hgt(ft-MSL)    5100                      4200
Mixing hgt(ft-AGL)*   3100                      2100
Transport wnd (mph)   SW 17                     SW 22
Dispersion            44 Gen good               40 Fair
33ft wind-AM(mph)     S  8 G20                  SW 11 G23
33ft wind-PM(mph)     SW 11 G21    S  7 G15     SW 14 G24

Remarks...None.

.SATURDAY NIGHT...Showers likely and slight chance of
thunderstorms. Lows in the 50s. South winds 5 to 15 mph.
.SUNDAY...Showers. Highs in the upper 50s to mid 60s. West winds
5 to 15 mph.
.SUNDAY NIGHT...Mostly cloudy. Chance of showers. Colder. Lows in
the 40s. West winds less than 10 mph.
.MONDAY...Partly cloudy. Chance of showers. Highs in the upper
40s to lower 60s. Northeast winds less than 10 mph.
.TUESDAY...Partly cloudy. Slight chance of showers. Lows in the
lower 40s. Highs in the 50s to lower 60s. South winds less than
10 mph.
.WEDNESDAY...Showers likely. Lows in the upper 40s. Highs in the
50s to lower 60s. South winds up to 10 mph.
.THURSDAY...Mostly cloudy. Chance of showers. Lows in the upper
30s. Highs in the 50s to lower 60s. West winds 5 to 10 mph.


*The AGL Mixing Height is calculated from an average elevation for
the entire Forecast Zone and should only be used as a guide.
For a specific AGL Mixing Height a Spot Forecast will be needed.

$$

TNZ018-041-043-045-047-240915-
Northern Cherokee National Forest-
306 AM EST Fri Feb 23 2018

                      Today        Tonight      Sat

Cloud cover           PCldy        PCldy        MCldy
Temp (24h trend)      68-73 (-7)   50-55 (-2)   65-70
RH % (24h trend)      52-57 (+7)   95-100 (+9)  60-65
20ft Wind-AM(mph)     S  7 G20                  SW 10 G25
20ft Wind-PM(mph)     S  7 G20     S  6 G15     SW 12 G25
Precip type           showers      showers      showers
Chance precip (%)     20           30           40
Precip duration       1            1            1
Precip begin          1 PM         Continuing   Continuing
Precip end            Continuing   Continuing   Continuing
Precip amount         0.01         0.05         0.18
LAL                   1            1            1
LASI/Haines           3                         4
Mixing hgt(ft-MSL)    5600                      4900
Mixing hgt(ft-AGL)*   2800                      2200
Transport wnd (mph)   S 13                      SW 18
Dispersion            31 Fair                   34 Fair
33ft wind-AM(mph)     S 10 G20                  SW 12 G25
33ft wind-PM(mph)     S  9 G20     S  8 G15     SW 15 G25

Remarks...None.

.SATURDAY NIGHT...Showers likely and slight chance of
thunderstorms. Lows in the 50s. South winds 5 to 15 mph.
.SUNDAY...Showers. Highs in the upper 50s to mid 60s. Southwest
winds 5 to 15 mph.
.SUNDAY NIGHT...Mostly cloudy. Chance of showers. Colder. Lows in
the 30s to upper 40s. West winds less than 10 mph.
.MONDAY...Partly cloudy. Chance of showers. Highs in the upper
40s to lower 60s. Northeast winds less than 10 mph.
.TUESDAY...Partly cloudy. Slight chance of showers. Lows in the
lower 40s. Highs in the upper 40s to mid 60s. South winds less
than 10 mph.
.WEDNESDAY...Showers likely. Lows in the mid 40s. Highs in the
50s to lower 60s. Southwest winds up to 10 mph.
.THURSDAY...Mostly cloudy. Chance of showers. Lows in the upper
30s. Highs in the 50s to lower 60s. Northwest winds 5 to 15 mph.


*The AGL Mixing Height is calculated from an average elevation for
the entire Forecast Zone and should only be used as a guide.
For a specific AGL Mixing Height a Spot Forecast will be needed.

$$

TNZ072-074-240915-
Tennessee Portion Of The Great Smoky Mountain National Park-
306 AM EST Fri Feb 23 2018

                      Today        Tonight      Sat

Cloud cover           PCldy        PCldy        MCldy
Temp (24h trend)      66-71 (-7)   50-55 (-2)   63-68
RH % (24h trend)      51-56 (+2)   95-100 (+6)  64-69
20ft Wind-AM(mph)     S 10 G24                  S 12 G31
20ft Wind-PM(mph)     S  9 G24     S  8 G23     S 13 G31
Precip type           showers      showers      tstms
Chance precip (%)     20           30           40
Precip duration       1            1            1
Precip begin          1 PM         Continuing   Continuing
Precip end            Continuing   Continuing   Continuing
Precip amount         0.01         0.12         0.21
LAL                   1            1            2
LASI/Haines           3                         4
Mixing hgt(ft-MSL)    5700                      4700
Mixing hgt(ft-AGL)*   2700                      1700
Transport wnd (mph)   SW 17                     S 24
Dispersion            38 Fair                   33 Fair
33ft wind-AM(mph)     S 12 G24                  S 15 G31
33ft wind-PM(mph)     S 11 G24     S 10 G23     S 17 G31

Remarks...None.

.SATURDAY NIGHT...Showers likely and slight chance of
thunderstorms. Lows in the 40s to upper 50s. South winds 10 to
20 mph.
.SUNDAY...Showers. Highs in the mid 50s to upper 60s. Southwest
winds 5 to 20 mph.
.SUNDAY NIGHT...Mostly cloudy. Chance of showers. Colder. Lows in
the 30s to upper 40s. West winds up to 10 mph.
.MONDAY...Partly cloudy. Chance of showers. Highs in the upper
40s to lower 60s. East winds up to 10 mph.
.TUESDAY...Partly cloudy. Slight chance of showers. Lows in the
lower 40s. Highs in the lower 50s to mid 60s. South winds up to
10 mph.
.WEDNESDAY...Showers likely. Lows in the mid 40s. Highs in the
50s to lower 60s. Southwest winds 5 to 10 mph.
.THURSDAY...Showers likely. Lows in the upper 30s. Highs in the
upper 40s to lower 60s. Northwest winds 5 to 15 mph.


*The AGL Mixing Height is calculated from an average elevation for
the entire Forecast Zone and should only be used as a guide.
For a specific AGL Mixing Height a Spot Forecast will be needed.

$$

TNZ087-102-240915-
Southern Cherokee National Forest-
306 AM EST Fri Feb 23 2018

                      Today        Tonight      Sat

Cloud cover           PCldy        MCldy        MCldy
Temp (24h trend)      70-75 (-7)   53-58 (0)    68-73
RH % (24h trend)      49-54 (+1)   95-100 (+3)  60-65
20ft Wind-AM(mph)     S  8 G21                  S 11 G26
20ft Wind-PM(mph)     S  9 G22     S  8 G20     S 12 G26
Precip type           showers      showers      tstms
Chance precip (%)     20           30           40
Precip duration       1            1            1
Precip begin          1 PM         Continuing   Continuing
Precip end            Continuing   Continuing   Continuing
Precip amount         0.01         0.11         0.15
LAL                   1            1            2
LASI/Haines           3                         4
Mixing hgt(ft-MSL)    5400                      4400
Mixing hgt(ft-AGL)*   3400                      2300
Transport wnd (mph)   S 17                      S 23
Dispersion            50 Gen good               46 Gen good
33ft wind-AM(mph)     S 11 G21                  S 13 G26
33ft wind-PM(mph)     S 11 G22     S 10 G20     S 15 G26

Remarks...None.

.SATURDAY NIGHT...Showers likely and slight chance of
thunderstorms. Lows in the 50s to lower 60s. South winds 10 to
15 mph.
.SUNDAY...Showers. Highs in the 50s to upper 60s. Southwest winds
5 to 15 mph.
.SUNDAY NIGHT...Mostly cloudy. Chance of showers. Colder. Lows in
the 40s. Southwest winds less than 10 mph.
.MONDAY...Partly cloudy. Chance of showers. Highs in the lower
50s to mid 60s. Northeast winds up to 10 mph.
.TUESDAY...Showers likely. Lows in the mid 40s. Highs in the
lower 50s to mid 60s. South winds up to 10 mph.
.WEDNESDAY...Showers likely. Lows in the upper 40s. Highs in the
mid 50s to lower 60s. Southwest winds 5 to 10 mph.
.THURSDAY...Showers likely. Lows around 40. Highs in the 50s to
lower 60s. Northwest winds 5 to 10 mph.


*The AGL Mixing Height is calculated from an average elevation for
the entire Forecast Zone and should only be used as a guide.
For a specific AGL Mixing Height a Spot Forecast will be needed.

$$

NCZ060-061-240915-
Nantahala National Forest-
306 AM EST Fri Feb 23 2018

                      Today        Tonight      Sat

CLOUD COVER           PCldy        MCldy        MCldy
TEMP (24H TREND)      68-73 (-6)   52-57 (+1)   66-71
RH % (24H TREND)      53-58 (0)    95-100 (+2)  63-68
20FT WIND-AM(MPH)     S  7 G19                  S 10 G25
20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     S  8 G19     S  6 G16     S 12 G25
PRECIP TYPE           showers      showers      tstms
CHANCE PRECIP (%)     20           30           40
PRECIP DURATION       1            1            1
PRECIP BEGIN          1 PM         Continuing   Continuing
PRECIP END            Continuing   Continuing   Continuing
PRECIP AMOUNT         0.01         0.09         0.12
LAL                   1            1            2
LASI/Haines           3                         3
MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)    5600                      4700
MIXING HGT(FT-AGL)*   3400                      2500
TRANSPORT WND (MPH)   S 15                      S 20
DISPERSION            44 Gen good               41 Gen good
MAX LVORI             4                         4
33FT WIND-AM(MPH)     S  8 G19                  S 12 G25
33FT WIND-PM(MPH)     S 10 G19     S  8 G16     S 15 G25

Remarks...None.

.SATURDAY NIGHT...Showers likely and slight chance of
thunderstorms. Lows in the 50s to lower 60s. South winds 10 to
15 mph.
.SUNDAY...Showers. Highs in the 50s to upper 60s. Southwest winds
5 to 15 mph.
.SUNDAY NIGHT...Showers likely. Colder. Lows in the 40s to lower
50s. Southwest winds less than 10 mph.
.MONDAY...Partly cloudy. Chance of showers. Highs in the 50s to
lower 60s. Northeast winds less than 10 mph.
.TUESDAY...Showers likely. Lows in the mid 40s. Highs in the
lower 50s to mid 60s. Southeast winds less than 10 mph.
.WEDNESDAY...Showers likely. Lows in the upper 40s. Highs in the
mid 50s to lower 60s. South winds 5 to 10 mph.
.THURSDAY...Showers likely. Lows around 40. Highs in the mid 50s
to lower 60s. Northwest winds 5 to 10 mph.


*The AGL Mixing Height is calculated from an average elevation for
the entire Forecast Zone and should only be used as a guide.
For a specific AGL Mixing Height a Spot Forecast will be needed.

$$

TNZ015>017-038>040-042-044-046-070-240915-
East Tennessee District East-
306 AM EST Fri Feb 23 2018

                      Today        Tonight      Sat

Cloud cover           PCldy        PCldy        MCldy
Temp (24h trend)      73-78 (-4)   53-58 (0)    68-73
RH % (24h trend)      52-57 (+6)   95-100 (+8)  60-65
20ft Wind-AM(mph)     S  5 G16                  S  8 G23
20ft Wind-PM(mph)     SW  7 G18    LGT/VAR      S 11 G23
Precip type           showers      showers      showers
Chance precip (%)     20           30           30
Precip duration       1            1            1
Precip begin          1 PM         Continuing   Continuing
Precip end            Continuing   Continuing   Continuing
Precip amount         0.01         0.10         0.23
LAL                   1            1            1
LASI/Haines           3                         4
Mixing hgt(ft-MSL)    4700                      4200
Mixing hgt(ft-AGL)*   3200                      2700
Transport wnd (mph)   SW 13                     SW 20
Dispersion            36 Fair                   47 Gen good
33ft wind-AM(mph)     S  7 G16                  S 10 G23
33ft wind-PM(mph)     SW  9 G18    S  6         S 13 G23

Remarks...None.

.SATURDAY NIGHT...Showers likely and slight chance of
thunderstorms. Lows in the 50s. South winds 5 to 10 mph.
.SUNDAY...Showers. Highs in the 60s. West winds 5 to 10 mph.
.SUNDAY NIGHT...Mostly cloudy. Chance of showers. Colder. Lows in
the 40s. West winds less than 10 mph.
.MONDAY...Partly cloudy. Chance of showers. Highs in the 50s to
lower 60s. Northeast winds less than 10 mph.
.TUESDAY...Partly cloudy. Chance of showers. Lows in the mid 40s.
Highs in the 50s to mid 60s. South winds less than 10 mph.
.WEDNESDAY...Showers likely. Lows in the upper 40s. Highs in the
mid 50s to lower 60s. South winds less than 10 mph.
.THURSDAY...Showers likely. Lows around 40. Highs in the 50s to
lower 60s. West winds 5 to 10 mph.


*The AGL Mixing Height is calculated from an average elevation for
the entire Forecast Zone and should only be used as a guide.
For a specific AGL Mixing Height a Spot Forecast will be needed.

$$

TNZ012>014-035>037-067>069-071-073-086-240915-
East Tennessee District West-
306 AM EST Fri Feb 23 2018

                      Today        Tonight      Sat

Cloud cover           PCldy        MCldy        MCldy
Temp (24h trend)      73-78 (-2)   55-60 (-1)   69-74
RH % (24h trend)      52-57 (-1)   95-100 (+5)  61-66
20ft Wind-AM(mph)     S  6 G19                  S 10 G26
20ft Wind-PM(mph)     SW  8 G20    S  6 G15     S 12 G26
Precip type           tstms        tstms        tstms
Chance precip (%)     20           40           40
Precip duration       1            1            1
Precip begin          1 PM         Continuing   Continuing
Precip end            Continuing   Continuing   Continuing
Precip amount         0.01         0.20         0.25
LAL                   2            2            2
LASI/Haines           3                         3
Mixing hgt(ft-MSL)    4700                      3700
Mixing hgt(ft-AGL)*   3500                      2500
Transport wnd (mph)   SW 21                     SW 25
Dispersion            61 Good                   53 Gen good
33ft wind-AM(mph)     S  8 G19                  S 12 G26
33ft wind-PM(mph)     SW 10 G20    S  8 G15     S 15 G26

Remarks...None.

.SATURDAY NIGHT...Showers likely and slight chance of
thunderstorms. Lows in the mid 50s to lower 60s. South winds 5 to
15 mph.
.SUNDAY...Showers. Highs in the 60s. West winds 5 to 15 mph.
.SUNDAY NIGHT...Mostly cloudy. Chance of showers. Colder. Lows in
the 40s to lower 50s. Northwest winds less than 10 mph.
.MONDAY...Partly cloudy. Chance of showers. Highs in the mid 50s
to lower 60s. Northeast winds less than 10 mph.
.TUESDAY...Partly cloudy. Slight chance of showers. Lows in the
upper 40s. Highs in the 50s to mid 60s. South winds less than
10 mph.
.WEDNESDAY...Showers likely. Lows around 50. Highs near 60.
Southwest winds up to 10 mph.
.THURSDAY...Mostly cloudy. Chance of showers. Lows in the upper
30s. Highs in the mid 50s to lower 60s. West winds 5 to 10 mph.


*The AGL Mixing Height is calculated from an average elevation for
the entire Forecast Zone and should only be used as a guide.
For a specific AGL Mixing Height a Spot Forecast will be needed.

$$

TNZ077-079>085-097>101-240915-
Cumberland District South-
306 AM EST Fri Feb 23 2018 /206 AM CST Fri Feb 23 2018/

                      Today        Tonight      Sat

Cloud cover           PCldy        MCldy        MCldy
Temp (24h trend)      72-77 (-3)   56-61 (0)    71-76
RH % (24h trend)      52-57 (-3)   95-100 (+4)  59-64
20ft Wind-AM(mph)     S  7 G20                  S 10 G24
20ft Wind-PM(mph)     S  8 G20     S  6         S 12 G24
Precip type           tstms        tstms        tstms
Chance precip (%)     20           50           40
Precip duration       1            1            1
Precip begin          1 PM         Continuing   Continuing
Precip end            Continuing   Continuing   Continuing
Precip amount         0.01         0.20         0.15
LAL                   2            2            2
LASI/Haines           3                         3
Mixing hgt(ft-MSL)    4400                      3900
Mixing hgt(ft-AGL)*   3300                      2700
Transport wnd (mph)   S 20                      S 26
Dispersion            54 Gen good               61 Good
33ft wind-AM(mph)     S  9 G20                  S 12 G24
33ft wind-PM(mph)     S 10 G20     S  8         S 15 G24

Remarks...None.

.SATURDAY NIGHT...Showers likely and slight chance of
thunderstorms. Lows in the upper 50s. South winds 5 to 15 mph.
.SUNDAY...Showers. Highs in the 60s. West winds up to 10 mph.
.SUNDAY NIGHT...Mostly cloudy. Chance of showers. Colder. Lows in
the 40s to lower 50s. Northwest winds less than 10 mph.
.MONDAY...Partly cloudy. Chance of showers. Highs in the upper
50s to mid 60s. Northeast winds less than 10 mph.
.TUESDAY...Showers likely. Lows in the upper 40s. Highs in the
upper 50s to mid 60s. South winds up to 10 mph.
.WEDNESDAY...Showers likely. Lows in the lower 50s. Highs in the
upper 50s to mid 60s. Southwest winds 5 to 10 mph.
.THURSDAY...Showers likely. Lows in the lower 40s. Highs in the
upper 50s to mid 60s. Northwest winds 5 to 10 mph.


*The AGL Mixing Height is calculated from an average elevation for
the entire Forecast Zone and should only be used as a guide.
For a specific AGL Mixing Height a Spot Forecast will be needed.

$$


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