Routine Fire Wx Fcst (With/Without 6-10 Day Outlook)
Issued by NWS Knoxville/Tri Cities, TN

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000
FNUS54 KMRX 291246
FWFMRX

FIRE WEATHER PLANNING FORECAST FOR EAST TENNESSEE...SOUTHWEST
VIRGINIA...AND EXTREME SOUTHWEST NORTH CAROLINA
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MORRISTOWN TN
746 AM EST THU JAN 29 2015

.DISCUSSION...
WARMER TEMPERATURES AND A FEW BANDS OF LIGHT RAIN
SHOWERS CAN BE ANTICIPATED TODAY. A COLD FRONT WILL MOVE THROUGH THE
SOUTHERN APPALACHIAN REGION TONIGHT...BRINGING WITH IT ANOTHER BAND
OF SCATTERED LIGHT SHOWERS. AS TEMPERATURES COOL
OVERNIGHT...PRECIPITATION WILL CHANCE TO SNOW. LITTLE OR NO
ACCUMULATION IS EXPECTED ACROSS THE TN VALLEY.  SNOW SHOWERS WILL
LINGER LINGER OVER THE MOUNTAINS INTO WEDNESDAY WHERE 1 TO 2 INCHES
OF ACCUMULATIONS IS POSSIBLE.


VAZ001-002-005-006-008-301400-
JEFFERSON NATIONAL FOREST/VIRGINIA DISTRICT 6-
746 AM EST THU JAN 29 2015

                      TODAY        TONIGHT      FRI

CLOUD COVER           MCLDY        MCLDY        PCLDY
TEMP (24H TREND)      44-49 (+8)   23-28 (+2)   31-36
RH % (24H TREND)      49-54 (+14)  91-96 (+19)  45-50
20FT WIND-AM(MPH)     S  7 G17                  NW  9 G18
20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     SW 10 G19    W  8         NW  9 G18
PRECIP TYPE           SHOWERS      SHOWERS      SNOW SHOWERS
CHANCE PRECIP (%)     50           50           20
PRECIP DURATION       1            2            1
PRECIP BEGIN          9 AM         CONTINUING   CONTINUING
PRECIP END            CONTINUING   CONTINUING   4 PM
PRECIP AMOUNT         0.04         0.07         0.01
LAL                   1            1            1
LASI                  3                         4
MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)    3400                      4500
TRANSPORT WND (MPH)   SW 21                     NW 23
DISPERSION            25 FAIR                   49 GEN GOOD
33FT WIND-AM(MPH)     S  9 G21                  NW 12 G23
33FT WIND-PM(MPH)     SW 13 G24    W 10 G18     NW 11 G22

REMARKS...NONE.

.FRIDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS 13 TO 20. NORTHWEST WINDS UP
TO 10 MPH.
.SATURDAY...MOSTLY SUNNY. HIGHS IN THE MID 30S TO UPPER 40S.
SOUTHWEST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH.
.SATURDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE MID 20S TO LOWER
30S. SOUTHWEST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH.
.SUNDAY...SNOW LIKELY OR CHANCE OF RAIN. HIGHS IN THE MID 30S TO
LOWER 40S. SOUTHWEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH.
.MONDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SNOW SHOWERS. LOWS AROUND 13.
HIGHS IN THE MID 20S TO LOWER 30S. NORTHWEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH.
.TUESDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE LOWER 20S. HIGHS IN THE 20S
TO UPPER 30S. SOUTH WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH.
.WEDNESDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS OR SNOW
SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE UPPER 20S. HIGHS IN THE 30S TO LOWER 40S.
WEST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH.

$$

TNZ018-041-043-045-047-301400-
NORTHERN CHEROKEE NATIONAL FOREST-
746 AM EST THU JAN 29 2015

                      TODAY        TONIGHT      FRI

CLOUD COVER           MCLDY        MCLDY        PCLDY
TEMP (24H TREND)      43-48 (+9)   22-27 (+4)   30-35
RH % (24H TREND)      48-53 (+13)  91-96 (+19)  43-48
20FT WIND-AM(MPH)     S 10 G22                  NW 12 G22
20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     SW 12 G25    W  8 G18     NW 11 G22
PRECIP TYPE           SHOWERS      SHOWERS      SNOW SHOWERS
CHANCE PRECIP (%)     40           60           30
PRECIP DURATION       1            3            1
PRECIP BEGIN          9 AM         CONTINUING   CONTINUING
PRECIP END            CONTINUING   CONTINUING   4 PM
PRECIP AMOUNT         0.02         0.06         0.02
LAL                   1            1            1
LASI                  4                         3
MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)    3400                      4500
TRANSPORT WND (MPH)   SW 14                     NW 25
DISPERSION            8 POOR                    37 FAIR
33FT WIND-AM(MPH)     S 12 G27                  NW 15 G28
33FT WIND-PM(MPH)     SW 15 G32    W 11 G22     NW 14 G27

REMARKS...NONE.

.FRIDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS 14 TO 20. NORTHWEST WINDS 5 TO
15 MPH.
.SATURDAY...MOSTLY SUNNY. HIGHS IN THE 30S TO 40S. WEST WINDS
LESS THAN 10 MPH.
.SATURDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE MID 20S TO LOWER
30S. SOUTHWEST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH.
.SUNDAY...SNOW LIKELY OR CHANCE OF RAIN. HIGHS IN THE 30S TO MID
40S. SOUTHWEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH.
.MONDAY...SNOW SHOWERS LIKELY. LOWS AROUND 14. HIGHS IN THE 20S
TO MID 30S. NORTHWEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH.
.TUESDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE LOWER 20S. HIGHS IN THE MID
20S TO LOWER 40S. SOUTHWEST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH.
.WEDNESDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS OR SNOW
SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE UPPER 20S. HIGHS IN THE LOWER 30S TO MID
40S. WEST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH.

$$

TNZ072-074-301400-
TENNESSEE PORTION OF THE GREAT SMOKY MOUNTAIN NATIONAL PARK-
746 AM EST THU JAN 29 2015

                      TODAY        TONIGHT      FRI

CLOUD COVER           PCLDY        MCLDY        PCLDY
TEMP (24H TREND)      44-49 (+8)   24-29 (+4)   32-37
RH % (24H TREND)      49-54 (+14)  87-92 (+9)   43-48
20FT WIND-AM(MPH)     S 12 G25                  NW  9 G18
20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     SW 13 G27    W  9 G19     NW  9 G19
PRECIP TYPE           SHOWERS      SHOWERS      SNOW SHOWERS
CHANCE PRECIP (%)     30           50           20
PRECIP DURATION       1            2            1
PRECIP BEGIN          9 AM         CONTINUING   CONTINUING
PRECIP END            CONTINUING   CONTINUING   4 PM
PRECIP AMOUNT         0.02         0.05         0.01
LAL                   1            1            1
LASI                  4                         5
MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)    3700                      4600
TRANSPORT WND (MPH)   SW 21                     NW 20
DISPERSION            10 POOR                   22 FAIR
33FT WIND-AM(MPH)     S 14 G32                  NW 12 G23
33FT WIND-PM(MPH)     SW 16 G33    W 11 G24     NW 11 G24

REMARKS...NONE.

.FRIDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS AROUND 18. NORTH WINDS UP TO
10 MPH.
.SATURDAY...MOSTLY SUNNY. HIGHS IN THE 30S TO 40S. NORTHWEST
WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH.
.SATURDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE UPPER 20S TO MID
30S. SOUTH WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH.
.SUNDAY...SNOW LIKELY OR CHANCE OF RAIN. HIGHS IN THE 30S TO MID
40S. SOUTHWEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH.
.MONDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SNOW SHOWERS. LOWS AROUND 17.
HIGHS IN THE UPPER 20S TO MID 30S. NORTH WINDS UP TO 10 MPH.
.TUESDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE UPPER 20S. HIGHS IN THE
UPPER 20S TO LOWER 40S. SOUTH WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH.
.WEDNESDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS OR SNOW
SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE UPPER 20S. HIGHS IN THE 30S TO MID 40S. WEST
WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH.

$$

TNZ087-102-301400-
SOUTHERN CHEROKEE NATIONAL FOREST-
746 AM EST THU JAN 29 2015

                      TODAY        TONIGHT      FRI

CLOUD COVER           PCLDY        MCLDY        MCLEAR
TEMP (24H TREND)      48-53 (+6)   27-32 (+6)   37-42
RH % (24H TREND)      46-51 (+16)  82-87 (-2)   42-47
20FT WIND-AM(MPH)     S 10 G20                  N  9 G17
20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     S 10 G19     W  8 G15     N  7 G15
PRECIP TYPE           SHOWERS      SHOWERS      NONE
CHANCE PRECIP (%)     20           30           0
PRECIP DURATION       1            1
PRECIP BEGIN          12 PM        CONTINUING
PRECIP END            CONTINUING   4 AM
PRECIP AMOUNT         0.02         0.02         0.00
LAL                   1            1            1
LASI                  4                         4
MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)    3300                      4300
TRANSPORT WND (MPH)   S 20                      N 21
DISPERSION            21 FAIR                   38 FAIR
33FT WIND-AM(MPH)     S 12 G25                  N 11 G21
33FT WIND-PM(MPH)     S 12 G24     W 10 G19     N  9 G19

REMARKS...NONE.

.FRIDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS AROUND 20. NORTH WINDS UP TO
10 MPH.
.SATURDAY...PARTLY SUNNY. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 30S TO LOWER 50S.
NORTHWEST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH.
.SATURDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE LOWER TO MID 30S.
LIGHT WINDS BECOMING SOUTHEAST LESS THAN 10 MPH AFTER MIDNIGHT.
.SUNDAY...RAIN OR SNOW LIKELY. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 30S TO MID 40S.
SOUTHWEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH.
.MONDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SNOW SHOWERS. LOWS AROUND 20.
HIGHS IN THE 20S TO UPPER 30S. NORTH WINDS UP TO 10 MPH.
.TUESDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE UPPER 20S. HIGHS IN THE 30S
TO LOWER 40S. SOUTHEAST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH.
.WEDNESDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS OR SNOW
SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE LOWER 30S. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 30S TO MID
40S. NORTHWEST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH.

$$

NCZ060-061-301400-
NANTAHALA NATIONAL FOREST-
746 AM EST THU JAN 29 2015

                      TODAY        TONIGHT      FRI

CLOUD COVER           PCLDY        MCLDY        MCLEAR
TEMP (24H TREND)      47-52 (+4)   27-32 (+7)   37-42
RH % (24H TREND)      45-50 (+16)  81-86 (-9)   41-46
20FT WIND-AM(MPH)     S  8 G15                  NW 10 G19
20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     S  8 G16     W  7 G15     N  8 G16
PRECIP TYPE           SHOWERS      SHOWERS      NONE
CHANCE PRECIP (%)     20           40           0
PRECIP DURATION       1            1
PRECIP BEGIN          12 PM        CONTINUING
PRECIP END            CONTINUING   4 AM
PRECIP AMOUNT         0.02         0.02         0.00
LAL                   1            1            1
LASI                  4                         4
MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)    3600                      4300
TRANSPORT WND (MPH)   S 16                      N 22
DISPERSION            18 GEN POOR               39 FAIR
MAX LVORI             4                         3
33FT WIND-AM(MPH)     S 10 G19                  NW 13 G24
33FT WIND-PM(MPH)     S 11 G20     W  9 G18     N 10 G20

REMARKS...NONE.

.FRIDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS AROUND 20. NORTH WINDS UP TO
10 MPH SHIFTING TO THE WEST AFTER MIDNIGHT.
.SATURDAY...PARTLY SUNNY. HIGHS IN THE 40S TO LOWER 50S. WEST
WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH.
.SATURDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE UPPER 20S TO MID
30S. LIGHT WINDS BECOMING SOUTH LESS THAN 10 MPH AFTER MIDNIGHT.
.SUNDAY...RAIN OR SNOW LIKELY. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 30S TO MID 40S.
SOUTHWEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH.
.MONDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SNOW SHOWERS. LOWS AROUND 20.
HIGHS IN THE 20S TO UPPER 30S. NORTH WINDS UP TO 10 MPH.
.TUESDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE UPPER 20S. HIGHS IN THE 30S
TO LOWER 40S. SOUTHEAST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH.
.WEDNESDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS OR SNOW
SHOWERS. LOWS AROUND 30. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 30S TO MID 40S. NORTH
WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH.

$$

TNZ015>017-038>040-042-044-046-070-301400-
EAST TENNESSEE DISTRICT EAST-
746 AM EST THU JAN 29 2015

                      TODAY        TONIGHT      FRI

CLOUD COVER           MCLDY        MCLDY        PCLDY
TEMP (24H TREND)      46-51 (+8)   25-30 (+5)   34-39
RH % (24H TREND)      48-53 (+13)  88-93 (+16)  44-49
20FT WIND-AM(MPH)     S  6                      NW  9 G16
20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     SW  9 G17    W  8         NW  8 G17
PRECIP TYPE           SHOWERS      SHOWERS      NONE
CHANCE PRECIP (%)     40           50           0
PRECIP DURATION       1            2
PRECIP BEGIN          9 AM         CONTINUING
PRECIP END            CONTINUING   7 AM
PRECIP AMOUNT         0.02         0.06         0.00
LAL                   1            1            1
LASI                  4                         4
MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)    2800                      4400
TRANSPORT WND (MPH)   SW 17                     NW 20
DISPERSION            19 GEN POOR               50 GEN GOOD
33FT WIND-AM(MPH)     S  8 G18                  NW 11 G20
33FT WIND-PM(MPH)     SW 12 G21    W 10 G18     NW 10 G21

REMARKS...NONE.

.FRIDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS 13 TO 19. WEST WINDS LESS THAN
10 MPH.
.SATURDAY...MOSTLY SUNNY. HIGHS IN THE MID 30S TO UPPER 40S. WEST
WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH.
.SATURDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY. NOT AS COLD. LOWS NEAR 30. LIGHT
WINDS.
.SUNDAY...RAIN OR SNOW LIKELY. HIGHS IN THE 30S TO MID 40S.
SOUTHWEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH.
.MONDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SNOW SHOWERS. LOWS AROUND 17.
HIGHS IN THE UPPER 20S TO MID 30S. NORTH WINDS UP TO 10 MPH.
.TUESDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE MID 20S. HIGHS IN THE UPPER
20S TO LOWER 40S. SOUTH WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH.
.WEDNESDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS OR SNOW
SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE UPPER 20S. HIGHS IN THE 30S TO MID 40S. WEST
WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH.

$$

TNZ012>014-035>037-067>069-071-073-086-301400-
EAST TENNESSEE DISTRICT WEST-
746 AM EST THU JAN 29 2015

                      TODAY        TONIGHT      FRI

CLOUD COVER           MCLDY        MCLDY        PCLDY
TEMP (24H TREND)      48-53 (+8)   27-32 (+3)   36-41
RH % (24H TREND)      47-52 (+12)  81-86 (+7)   42-47
20FT WIND-AM(MPH)     S  8 G17                  NW  7
20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     SW 10 G17    W  8         N  7
PRECIP TYPE           SHOWERS      SHOWERS      NONE
CHANCE PRECIP (%)     30           40           0
PRECIP DURATION       1            1
PRECIP BEGIN          9 AM         CONTINUING
PRECIP END            CONTINUING   4 AM
PRECIP AMOUNT         0.04         0.03         0.00
LAL                   1            1            1
LASI                  3                         5
MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)    3000                      4200
TRANSPORT WND (MPH)   SW 23                     NW 17
DISPERSION            35 FAIR                   43 GEN GOOD
33FT WIND-AM(MPH)     S 10 G21                  NW  9 G17
33FT WIND-PM(MPH)     SW 12 G22    W 10 G17     N  9 G17

REMARKS...NONE.

.FRIDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS 16 TO 22. NORTH WINDS LESS
THAN 10 MPH.
.SATURDAY...PARTLY SUNNY. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 30S TO LOWER 50S.
LIGHT WINDS BECOMING SOUTHEAST LESS THAN 10 MPH IN THE AFTERNOON.
.SATURDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF RAIN. NOT AS
COLD. LOWS IN THE LOWER TO MID 30S. LIGHT WINDS.
.SUNDAY...RAIN OR SNOW LIKELY. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 30S TO MID 40S.
WEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH.
.MONDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SNOW SHOWERS. LOWS AROUND 19.
HIGHS IN THE 20S TO UPPER 30S. NORTH WINDS UP TO 10 MPH.
.TUESDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE UPPER 20S. HIGHS IN THE 30S
TO LOWER 40S. SOUTH WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH.
.WEDNESDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS OR SNOW
SHOWERS. LOWS AROUND 30. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 30S TO MID 40S. WEST
WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH.

$$

TNZ076-077-079>085-097>101-301400-
CUMBERLAND DISTRICT SOUTH-
746 AM EST THU JAN 29 2015

                      TODAY        TONIGHT      FRI

CLOUD COVER           PCLDY        MCLDY        MCLEAR
TEMP (24H TREND)      50-55 (+6)   29-34 (+3)   39-44
RH % (24H TREND)      46-51 (+14)  79-84 (0)    41-46
20FT WIND-AM(MPH)     S  8 G16                  N  8
20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     SW  9 G16    NW  8        N  7
PRECIP TYPE           SHOWERS      SHOWERS      NONE
CHANCE PRECIP (%)     20           20           0
PRECIP DURATION       1            1
PRECIP BEGIN          9 AM         CONTINUING
PRECIP END            CONTINUING   1 AM
PRECIP AMOUNT         0.02         0.01         0.00
LAL                   1            1            1
LASI                  3                         4
MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)    3100                      4100
TRANSPORT WND (MPH)   SW 23                     N 18
DISPERSION            39 FAIR                   47 GEN GOOD
33FT WIND-AM(MPH)     S 11 G20                  N 10 G18
33FT WIND-PM(MPH)     SW 11 G21    NW 10 G18    N  9 G16

REMARKS...NONE.

.FRIDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS 19 TO 25. NORTHEAST WINDS LESS
THAN 10 MPH IN THE EVENING BECOMING LIGHT.
.SATURDAY...PARTLY SUNNY. HIGHS IN THE 40S TO LOWER 50S. LIGHT
WINDS BECOMING NORTHEAST LESS THAN 10 MPH IN THE AFTERNOON.
.SATURDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF RAIN. NOT AS
COOL. LOWS IN THE MID 30S. LIGHT WINDS BECOMING SOUTHEAST LESS
THAN 10 MPH AFTER MIDNIGHT.
.SUNDAY...RAIN OR SNOW LIKELY. HIGHS IN THE 40S. WEST WINDS UP TO
10 MPH.
.MONDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SNOW SHOWERS. LOWS IN
THE LOWER 20S. HIGHS IN THE 30S. NORTH WINDS UP TO 10 MPH.
.TUESDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE UPPER 20S. HIGHS IN THE 30S
TO MID 40S. SOUTH WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH.
.WEDNESDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS OR SNOW
SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE LOWER 30S. HIGHS IN THE 40S. NORTHWEST WINDS
LESS THAN 10 MPH.

$$


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