Routine Fire Wx Fcst (With/Without 6-10 Day Outlook)
Issued by NWS Knoxville/Tri Cities, TN

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000
FNUS54 KMRX 220816
FWFMRX

FIRE WEATHER PLANNING FORECAST FOR EAST TENNESSEE...SOUTHWEST
VIRGINIA...AND EXTREME SOUTHWEST NORTH CAROLINA
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MORRISTOWN TN
316 AM EST SAT NOV 22 2014

.DISCUSSION...
A RIDGE OF HIGH PRESSURE ALONG THE EASTERN COAST WILL GIVE WAY
TO AN APPROACHING LOW PRESSURE SYSTEM SATURDAY NIGHT. EXPECT
SOUTHERLY WINDS TO INCREASE ON SUNDAY...AS SHOWERS SPREAD ACROSS
THE REGION. A RUMBLE OF THUNDER MAY ALSO OCCUR OVER SOUTHEAST
TENNESSEE AND PARTS OF WESTERN NORTH CAROLINA SUNDAY EVENING. THE
WINDS MAY EXCEED 50 MPH IN THE MOUNTAINS AND FOOTHILLS...WHERE A
HIGH WIND WATCH HAS BEEN POSTED FROM SUNDAY AFTERNOON THROUGH EARLY
MONDAY MORNING.

VAZ001-002-005-006-008-230930-
JEFFERSON NATIONAL FOREST/VIRGINIA DISTRICT 6-
316 AM EST SAT NOV 22 2014

                      TODAY        TONIGHT      SUN

CLOUD COVER           MCLEAR       PCLDY        MCLDY
TEMP (24H TREND)      50-55 (+9)   34-39 (+10)  53-58
RH % (24H TREND)      29-34 (+5)   79-84 (+13)  52-57
20FT WIND-AM(MPH)     LGT/VAR                   SE  7 G17
20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     S  5         LGT/VAR      SE 11 G23
PRECIP TYPE           NONE         NONE         SHOWERS
CHANCE PRECIP (%)     0            0            80
PRECIP DURATION                                 5
PRECIP BEGIN                                    7 AM
PRECIP END                                      CONTINUING
PRECIP AMOUNT         0.00         0.00         0.41
LAL                   1            1            2
LASI                  4                         2
MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)    4400                      2900
TRANSPORT WND (MPH)   SW 14                     SE 20
DISPERSION            28 FAIR                   11 POOR
33FT WIND-AM(MPH)     LGT/VAR                   SE  9 G22
33FT WIND-PM(MPH)     S  6         SE  6        SE 15 G28

REMARKS...NONE.

.SUNDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE MID
40S TO LOWER 50S. SOUTH WINDS 5 TO 15 MPH.
.MONDAY...PARTLY SUNNY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS. HIGHS IN THE
UPPER 50S TO MID 60S. SOUTHWEST WINDS 5 TO 15 MPH.
.MONDAY NIGHT...PARTLY CLOUDY. COLDER. LOWS IN THE LOWER TO MID
30S. SOUTHWEST WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH.
.TUESDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. COLDER. HIGHS IN THE 40S. NORTHWEST
WINDS UP TO 10 MPH.
.WEDNESDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE UPPER 20S. HIGHS IN THE
30S TO MID 40S. SOUTHWEST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH.
.THURSDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF RAIN AND SNOW. LOWS
IN THE UPPER 20S. HIGHS IN THE MID 30S TO LOWER 40S. NORTHWEST
WINDS UP TO 10 MPH.
.FRIDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE MID 20S. HIGHS IN THE MID
30S TO LOWER 40S. WEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH.

$$

TNZ018-041-043-045-047-230930-
NORTHERN CHEROKEE NATIONAL FOREST-
316 AM EST SAT NOV 22 2014

                      TODAY        TONIGHT      SUN

CLOUD COVER           MCLEAR       PCLDY        MCLDY
TEMP (24H TREND)      47-52 (+8)   35-40 (+11)  51-56
RH % (24H TREND)      30-35 (+4)   80-85 (+10)  50-55
20FT WIND-AM(MPH)     LGT/VAR                   SE 11 G24
20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     S  6         S  7 G15     SE 14 G30
PRECIP TYPE           NONE         SHOWERS      SHOWERS
CHANCE PRECIP (%)     0            30           90
PRECIP DURATION                    1            7
PRECIP BEGIN                       1 AM         CONTINUING
PRECIP END                         CONTINUING   CONTINUING
PRECIP AMOUNT         0.00         0.01         0.60
LAL                   1            1            2
LASI                  4                         2
MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)    4800                      3700
TRANSPORT WND (MPH)   SW 10                     SE 29
DISPERSION            19 GEN POOR               8 POOR
33FT WIND-AM(MPH)     LGT/VAR                   SE 14 G31
33FT WIND-PM(MPH)     S  7 G16     S  9 G19     SE 21 G37

REMARKS...NONE.

.SUNDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE MID
40S TO LOWER 50S. SOUTHWEST WINDS 5 TO 20 MPH.
.MONDAY...PARTLY SUNNY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS. HIGHS IN THE
50S TO UPPER 60S. SOUTHWEST WINDS 5 TO 15 MPH.
.MONDAY NIGHT...PARTLY CLOUDY. COLDER. LOWS IN THE LOWER TO MID
30S. WEST WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH.
.TUESDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SNOW. COOLER. HIGHS IN
THE 40S TO LOWER 50S. NORTHWEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH.
.WEDNESDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF RAIN. LOWS IN THE
UPPER 20S. HIGHS IN THE MID 30S TO UPPER 40S. WEST WINDS LESS
THAN 10 MPH.
.THURSDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF RAIN AND SNOW. LOWS
IN THE MID 20S. HIGHS IN THE 30S TO MID 40S. NORTHWEST WINDS UP
TO 10 MPH.
.FRIDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE MID 20S. HIGHS IN THE MID
30S TO LOWER 40S. WEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH.

$$

TNZ072-074-230930-
TENNESSEE PORTION OF THE GREAT SMOKY MOUNTAIN NATIONAL PARK-
316 AM EST SAT NOV 22 2014

                      TODAY        TONIGHT      SUN

CLOUD COVER           MCLEAR       MCLDY        MCLDY
TEMP (24H TREND)      49-54 (+6)   38-43 (+10)  54-59
RH % (24H TREND)      26-31 (0)    78-83 (+6)   51-56
20FT WIND-AM(MPH)     LGT/VAR                   SE 12 G32
20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     S  7 G17     S 10 G21     SE 18 G35
PRECIP TYPE           NONE         SHOWERS      TSTMS
CHANCE PRECIP (%)     0            50           90
PRECIP DURATION                    1            8
PRECIP BEGIN                       1 AM         CONTINUING
PRECIP END                         CONTINUING   CONTINUING
PRECIP AMOUNT         0.00         0.04         0.74
LAL                   1            1            2
LASI                  5                         2
MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)    5500                      3700
TRANSPORT WND (MPH)   S 14                      SE 32
DISPERSION            31 FAIR                   12 POOR
33FT WIND-AM(MPH)     LGT/VAR                   SE 15 G40
33FT WIND-PM(MPH)     S  9 G22     S 13 G27     SE 22 G44

REMARKS...NONE.

.SUNDAY NIGHT...WINDY. SHOWERS LIKELY. LOWS IN THE 40S TO LOWER
50S. SOUTHWEST WINDS 10 TO 30 MPH.
.MONDAY...PARTLY SUNNY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS. HIGHS IN THE
MID 50S TO UPPER 60S. SOUTHWEST WINDS 5 TO 20 MPH.
.MONDAY NIGHT...PARTLY CLOUDY. COLDER. LOWS NEAR 30. WEST WINDS
5 TO 10 MPH.
.TUESDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. COOLER. HIGHS IN THE 40S TO LOWER 50S.
NORTHWEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH.
.WEDNESDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE UPPER 20S. HIGHS IN THE
30S TO UPPER 40S. SOUTHWEST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH.
.THURSDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF RAIN. LOWS IN THE MID
20S. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 30S TO MID 40S. NORTHWEST WINDS UP TO
10 MPH.
.FRIDAY...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE MID 20S. HIGHS IN THE UPPER
30S TO MID 40S. WEST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH.

$$

TNZ087-102-230930-
SOUTHERN CHEROKEE NATIONAL FOREST-
316 AM EST SAT NOV 22 2014

                      TODAY        TONIGHT      SUN

CLOUD COVER           PCLDY        MCLDY        MCLDY
TEMP (24H TREND)      54-59 (+6)   38-43 (+10)  58-63
RH % (24H TREND)      27-32 (-1)   86-91 (+8)   55-60
20FT WIND-AM(MPH)     LGT/VAR                   SE 12 G36
20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     SE  8 G15    SE  9 G19    SE 16 G41
PRECIP TYPE           NONE         SHOWERS      TSTMS
CHANCE PRECIP (%)     0            60           90
PRECIP DURATION                    1            8
PRECIP BEGIN                       10 PM        CONTINUING
PRECIP END                         CONTINUING   CONTINUING
PRECIP AMOUNT         0.00         0.06         0.92
LAL                   1            1            2
LASI                  4                         2
MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)    4900                      3100
TRANSPORT WND (MPH)   S 18                      SE 29
DISPERSION            45 GEN GOOD               24 FAIR
33FT WIND-AM(MPH)     LGT/VAR                   SE 15 G45
33FT WIND-PM(MPH)     SE 10 G19    SE 12 G24    SE 20 G51

REMARKS...NONE.

.SUNDAY NIGHT...SHOWERS LIKELY. LOWS IN THE MID 40S TO LOWER 50S.
SOUTH WINDS 10 TO 20 MPH.
.MONDAY...PARTLY SUNNY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS. HIGHS IN THE
50S TO MID 60S. SOUTHWEST WINDS 5 TO 15 MPH.
.MONDAY NIGHT...PARTLY CLOUDY. MUCH COLDER. LOWS NEAR 30. WEST
WINDS UP TO 10 MPH.
.TUESDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. COOLER. HIGHS IN THE 40S TO LOWER 50S.
NORTHWEST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH.
.WEDNESDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS AROUND 30. HIGHS IN THE 30S TO
UPPER 40S. SOUTHWEST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH.
.THURSDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE UPPER 20S. HIGHS IN THE
UPPER 30S TO MID 40S. NORTHWEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH.
.FRIDAY...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE UPPER 20S. HIGHS IN THE UPPER
30S TO MID 40S. NORTHWEST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH.

$$

NCZ060-061-230930-
NANTAHALA NATIONAL FOREST-
316 AM EST SAT NOV 22 2014

                      TODAY        TONIGHT      SUN

CLOUD COVER           PCLDY        MCLDY        CLOUDY
TEMP (24H TREND)      54-59 (+5)   35-40 (+9)   55-60
RH % (24H TREND)      25-30 (-4)   92-97 (+10)  61-66
20FT WIND-AM(MPH)     LGT/VAR                   SE 10 G30
20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     SE  7        SE  7 G15    SE 13 G33
PRECIP TYPE           NONE         SHOWERS      TSTMS
CHANCE PRECIP (%)     0            60           90
PRECIP DURATION                    1            8
PRECIP BEGIN                       10 PM        CONTINUING
PRECIP END                         CONTINUING   CONTINUING
PRECIP AMOUNT         0.00         0.07         1.01
LAL                   1            1            2
LASI                  4                         2
MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)    5400                      3700
TRANSPORT WND (MPH)   S 16                      SE 23
DISPERSION            43 GEN GOOD               21 FAIR
MAX LVORI             4                         4
33FT WIND-AM(MPH)     LGT/VAR                   SE 13 G37
33FT WIND-PM(MPH)     SE  8 G17    SE  9 G19    SE 16 G41

REMARKS...NONE.

.SUNDAY NIGHT...SHOWERS LIKELY. LOWS IN THE MID 40S TO LOWER 50S.
SOUTH WINDS 10 TO 15 MPH.
.MONDAY...PARTLY SUNNY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 50S
TO MID 60S. SOUTHWEST WINDS 5 TO 15 MPH.
.MONDAY NIGHT...PARTLY CLOUDY. COLDER. LOWS AROUND 30. WEST WINDS
5 TO 10 MPH.
.TUESDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. COOLER. HIGHS IN THE MID 40S TO LOWER
50S. NORTHWEST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH.
.WEDNESDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE UPPER 20S. HIGHS IN THE
40S. WEST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH.
.THURSDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE UPPER 20S. HIGHS IN THE
LOWER TO MID 40S. NORTHWEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH.
.FRIDAY...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE UPPER 20S. HIGHS IN THE LOWER
TO MID 40S. NORTHWEST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH.

$$

TNZ015>017-038>040-042-044-046-070-230930-
EAST TENNESSEE DISTRICT EAST-
316 AM EST SAT NOV 22 2014

                      TODAY        TONIGHT      SUN

CLOUD COVER           MCLEAR       PCLDY        MCLDY
TEMP (24H TREND)      52-57 (+9)   34-39 (+9)   55-60
RH % (24H TREND)      31-36 (+4)   87-92 (+11)  55-60
20FT WIND-AM(MPH)     LGT/VAR                   SE  7 G18
20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     LGT/VAR      SE  5        SE 11 G21
PRECIP TYPE           NONE         NONE         TSTMS
CHANCE PRECIP (%)     0            0            90
PRECIP DURATION                                 5
PRECIP BEGIN                                    CONTINUING
PRECIP END                                      CONTINUING
PRECIP AMOUNT         0.00         0.00         0.56
LAL                   1            1            2
LASI                  5                         3
MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)    3700                      2600
TRANSPORT WND (MPH)   S  9                      SE 18
DISPERSION            18 GEN POOR               13 GEN POOR
33FT WIND-AM(MPH)     LGT/VAR                   SE  9 G22
33FT WIND-PM(MPH)     S  5         SE  6        SE 14 G26

REMARKS...NONE.

.SUNDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE MID
40S TO LOWER 50S. SOUTH WINDS 5 TO 15 MPH.
.MONDAY...PARTLY SUNNY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS. HIGHS IN THE
50S TO UPPER 60S. SOUTHWEST WINDS 5 TO 15 MPH.
.MONDAY NIGHT...PARTLY CLOUDY. COLDER. LOWS IN THE UPPER 20S TO
MID 30S. SOUTHWEST WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH.
.TUESDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. COOLER. HIGHS IN THE 40S TO LOWER 50S.
NORTHWEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH.
.WEDNESDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE UPPER 20S. HIGHS IN THE
30S TO UPPER 40S. SOUTHWEST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH.
.THURSDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF RAIN AND SNOW. LOWS
IN THE UPPER 20S. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 30S TO MID 40S. NORTHWEST
WINDS UP TO 10 MPH.
.FRIDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE MID 20S. HIGHS IN THE MID
30S TO LOWER 40S. WEST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH.

$$

TNZ012>014-035>037-067>069-071-073-086-230930-
EAST TENNESSEE DISTRICT WEST-
316 AM EST SAT NOV 22 2014

                      TODAY        TONIGHT      SUN

CLOUD COVER           PCLDY        MCLDY        MCLDY
TEMP (24H TREND)      52-57 (+6)   37-42 (+9)   56-61
RH % (24H TREND)      35-40 (+7)   85-90 (+6)   58-63
20FT WIND-AM(MPH)     LGT/VAR                   LGT/VAR
20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     S  5         LGT/VAR      SE  9 G19
PRECIP TYPE           NONE         SHOWERS      TSTMS
CHANCE PRECIP (%)     0            30           90
PRECIP DURATION                    1            7
PRECIP BEGIN                       1 AM         CONTINUING
PRECIP END                         CONTINUING   CONTINUING
PRECIP AMOUNT         0.00         0.02         0.65
LAL                   1            1            2
LASI                  4                         2
MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)    4100                      2300
TRANSPORT WND (MPH)   S 17                      SE 15
DISPERSION            42 GEN GOOD               17 GEN POOR
33FT WIND-AM(MPH)     LGT/VAR                   E  5 G18
33FT WIND-PM(MPH)     S  7 G15     SE  5        SE 11 G23

REMARKS...NONE.

.SUNDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS NEAR 50.
SOUTH WINDS 5 TO 15 MPH.
.MONDAY...PARTLY SUNNY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS. HIGHS IN THE
50S TO UPPER 60S. SOUTHWEST WINDS 5 TO 15 MPH.
.MONDAY NIGHT...PARTLY CLOUDY. COLDER. LOWS IN THE LOWER 30S.
SOUTHWEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH.
.TUESDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. COOLER. HIGHS IN THE MID 40S TO LOWER
50S. NORTHWEST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH.
.WEDNESDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS AROUND 30. HIGHS IN THE 40S.
SOUTHWEST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH.
.THURSDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE UPPER 20S. HIGHS IN THE
UPPER 30S TO MID 40S. NORTHWEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH.
.FRIDAY...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE MID 20S. HIGHS IN THE UPPER
30S TO MID 40S. WEST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH.

$$

TNZ076-077-079>085-097>101-230930-
CUMBERLAND DISTRICT SOUTH-
316 AM EST SAT NOV 22 2014

                      TODAY        TONIGHT      SUN

CLOUD COVER           PCLDY        MCLDY        MCLDY
TEMP (24H TREND)      55-60 (+5)   39-44 (+8)   58-63
RH % (24H TREND)      35-40 (+7)   89-94 (+11)  63-68
20FT WIND-AM(MPH)     LGT/VAR                   E  7 G27
20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     S  6         S  5         SE 13 G31
PRECIP TYPE           NONE         SHOWERS      TSTMS
CHANCE PRECIP (%)     0            50           90
PRECIP DURATION                    1            8
PRECIP BEGIN                       10 PM        CONTINUING
PRECIP END                         CONTINUING   CONTINUING
PRECIP AMOUNT         0.00         0.06         0.89
LAL                   1            1            2
LASI                  4                         2
MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)    4300                      2100
TRANSPORT WND (MPH)   S 21                      SE 21
DISPERSION            57 GEN GOOD               26 FAIR
33FT WIND-AM(MPH)     S  5 G15                  E  9 G34
33FT WIND-PM(MPH)     S  8 G17     S  6 G15     SE 15 G39

REMARKS...NONE.

.SUNDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE
LOWER 50S. SOUTH WINDS 5 TO 15 MPH.
.MONDAY...PARTLY SUNNY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS. HIGHS IN THE
UPPER 50S TO MID 60S. SOUTHWEST WINDS 5 TO 15 MPH.
.MONDAY NIGHT...PARTLY CLOUDY. MUCH COLDER. LOWS IN THE LOWER TO
MID 30S. WEST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH.
.TUESDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. COOLER. HIGHS IN THE MID 40S TO LOWER
50S. NORTHWEST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH.
.WEDNESDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE LOWER 30S. HIGHS IN THE
40S. SOUTHWEST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH.
.THURSDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE UPPER 20S. HIGHS IN THE
40S. NORTHWEST WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH.
.FRIDAY...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE UPPER 20S. HIGHS IN THE UPPER
30S TO MID 40S. NORTHWEST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH.

$$

TG/TD


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