Routine Fire Wx Fcst (With/Without 6-10 Day Outlook)
Issued by NWS Knoxville/Tri Cities, TN

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000
FNUS54 KMRX 161853
FWFMRX

Fire Weather Planning Forecast for East Tennessee...Southwest
Virginia...and Extreme Southwest North Carolina
National Weather Service Morristown TN
253 PM EDT Mon Oct 16 2017

.DISCUSSION...
High pressure will build in through the week. Drier and
cooler weather can be expected for the first half of this
week...with temperatures gradually warming through the
latter half of the week.

VAZ001-002-005-006-008-172000-
Jefferson National Forest/Virginia District 6-
253 PM EDT Mon Oct 16 2017

                      Tonight      Tue          Tue Night    Wed

Cloud cover           MClear       Clear        Clear        MClear
Temp (24h trend)      35-40 (-11)  62-67 (+6)   35-40        66-71
RH % (24h trend)      84-89 (-7)   29-34 (-17)  81-86        30-35
20ft Wind-AM(mph)                  LGT/VAR                   LGT/VAR
20ft Wind-PM(mph)     N  5 G16     LGT/VAR      LGT/VAR      LGT/VAR
Precip type           NONE         NONE         NONE         NONE
Chance precip (%)     0            0            0            0
Precip duration
Precip begin
Precip end
Precip amount         0.00         0.00         0.00         0.00
LAL                   1            1            1            1
LASI                               5                         5
Mixing hgt(ft-MSL)                 5600                      5000
Transport wnd (mph)                NE  7                     S  8
Dispersion                         21 Fair                   20 Gen poor
33ft wind-AM(mph)                  NE  5                     LGT/VAR
33ft wind-PM(mph)     N  6 G16     LGT/VAR      LGT/VAR      S  5

Remarks...None.

.WEDNESDAY NIGHT...Clear. Lows near 40. Southeast winds less than
10 mph.
.THURSDAY...Sunny. Highs in the mid 60s to lower 70s. Southwest
winds less than 10 mph.
.THURSDAY NIGHT...Clear. Lows in the 40s. Light winds.
.FRIDAY...Mostly clear. Highs in the lower 60s to mid 70s. Light
winds.
.SATURDAY...Partly cloudy. Lows in the upper 40s. Highs in the
mid 60s to upper 70s. South winds less than 10 mph.
.SUNDAY...Partly cloudy. Slight chance of showers. Lows in the
lower 50s. Highs in the 60s to mid 70s. South winds less than
10 mph.
.MONDAY...Mostly cloudy. Chance of showers. Lows in the lower
50s. Highs in the lower 60s to mid 70s. Southwest winds less than
10 mph.

$$

TNZ018-041-043-045-047-172000-
Northern Cherokee National Forest-
253 PM EDT Mon Oct 16 2017

                      Tonight      Tue          Tue Night    Wed

Cloud cover           MClear       Clear        MClear       MClear
Temp (24h trend)      34-39 (-15)  59-64 (+6)   35-40        63-68
RH % (24h trend)      78-83 (-11)  32-37 (-18)  79-84        31-36
20ft Wind-AM(mph)                  LGT/VAR                   LGT/VAR
20ft Wind-PM(mph)     N  7 G20     LGT/VAR      LGT/VAR      SE  5
Precip type           NONE         NONE         NONE         NONE
Chance precip (%)     0            0            0            0
Precip duration
Precip begin
Precip end
Precip amount         0.00         0.00         0.00         0.00
LAL                   1            1            1            1
LASI                               5                         5
Mixing hgt(ft-MSL)                 5600                      5000
Transport wnd (mph)                NE  5                     SE  9
Dispersion                         12 Poor                   17 Gen poor
33ft wind-AM(mph)                  LGT/VAR                   SE  5
33ft wind-PM(mph)     N  9 G20     LGT/VAR      SE  5        SE  6

Remarks...None.

.WEDNESDAY NIGHT...Clear. Lows near 40. South winds less than
10 mph.
.THURSDAY...Sunny. Highs in the mid 60s to lower 70s. Northwest
winds less than 10 mph.
.THURSDAY NIGHT...Clear. Lows in the upper 30s to mid 40s. North
winds less than 10 mph.
.FRIDAY...Mostly clear. Highs in the lower 60s to mid 70s.
Southeast winds less than 10 mph.
.SATURDAY...Partly cloudy. Lows in the upper 40s. Highs in the
lower 60s to mid 70s. Southeast winds less than 10 mph.
.SUNDAY...Partly cloudy. Chance of showers. Lows in the lower
50s. Highs in the 60s to 70s. South winds less than 10 mph.
.MONDAY...Mostly cloudy. Chance of showers. Lows in the lower
50s. Highs in the upper 50s to mid 70s. Southwest winds less than
10 mph.

$$

TNZ072-074-172000-
Tennessee Portion Of The Great Smoky Mountain National Park-
253 PM EDT Mon Oct 16 2017

                      Tonight      Tue          Tue Night    Wed

Cloud cover           MClear       Clear        MClear       Clear
Temp (24h trend)      34-39 (-12)  59-64 (+4)   36-41        64-69
RH % (24h trend)      77-82 (-14)  33-38 (-18)  80-85        30-35
20ft Wind-AM(mph)                  LGT/VAR                   LGT/VAR
20ft Wind-PM(mph)     NE 10 G25    LGT/VAR      LGT/VAR      LGT/VAR
Precip type           NONE         NONE         NONE         NONE
Chance precip (%)     0            0            0            0
Precip duration
Precip begin
Precip end
Precip amount         0.00         0.00         0.00         0.00
LAL                   1            1            1            1
LASI                               5                         4
Mixing hgt(ft-MSL)                 5200                      5100
Transport wnd (mph)                NE  6                     E  7
Dispersion                         10 Poor                   9 Poor
33ft wind-AM(mph)                  NE  5                     NE  5
33ft wind-PM(mph)     NE 12 G25    NE  5        SE  5        N  5

Remarks...None.

.WEDNESDAY NIGHT...Clear. Lows near 40. South winds less than
10 mph.
.THURSDAY...Sunny. Highs in the lower 60s to mid 70s. North winds
less than 10 mph.
.THURSDAY NIGHT...Clear. Lows in the 30s to upper 40s. Northeast
winds less than 10 mph.
.FRIDAY...Mostly clear. Highs in the lower 60s to mid 70s.
Southeast winds less than 10 mph.
.SATURDAY...Partly cloudy. Lows in the upper 40s. Highs in the
lower 60s to mid 70s. South winds less than 10 mph.
.SUNDAY...Partly cloudy. Chance of showers. Lows in the lower
50s. Highs in the 60s to 70s. Southeast winds less than 10 mph.
.MONDAY...Mostly cloudy. Chance of showers. Lows in the lower
50s. Highs in the lower 60s to mid 70s. Southwest winds less than
10 mph.

$$

TNZ087-102-172000-
Southern Cherokee National Forest-
253 PM EDT Mon Oct 16 2017

                      Tonight      Tue          Tue Night    Wed

Cloud cover           Clear        Clear        Clear        Clear
Temp (24h trend)      35-40 (-14)  63-68 (+4)   38-43        67-72
RH % (24h trend)      86-91 (-7)   34-39 (-14)  84-89        31-36
20ft Wind-AM(mph)                  LGT/VAR                   LGT/VAR
20ft Wind-PM(mph)     NE  8 G22    LGT/VAR      LGT/VAR      LGT/VAR
Precip type           NONE         NONE         NONE         NONE
Chance precip (%)     0            0            0            0
Precip duration
Precip begin
Precip end
Precip amount         0.00         0.00         0.00         0.00
LAL                   1            1            1            1
LASI                               5                         5
Mixing hgt(ft-MSL)                 5000                      4900
Transport wnd (mph)                NE  3                     S  7
Dispersion                         8 Poor                    17 Gen poor
33ft wind-AM(mph)                  LGT/VAR                   SE  5
33ft wind-PM(mph)     NE 10 G22    LGT/VAR      LGT/VAR      S  5

Remarks...None.

.WEDNESDAY NIGHT...Clear. Lows near 40. Southeast winds less than
10 mph.
.THURSDAY...Sunny. Highs in the 60s to mid 70s. North winds less
than 10 mph.
.THURSDAY NIGHT...Clear. Lows in the lower to mid 40s. Light
winds.
.FRIDAY...Mostly clear. Highs in the mid 60s to upper 70s.
Southeast winds less than 10 mph.
.SATURDAY...Partly cloudy. Lows in the lower 50s. Highs in the
60s to 70s. Southeast winds less than 10 mph.
.SUNDAY...Mostly cloudy. Chance of showers. Lows in the mid 50s.
Highs in the mid 60s to upper 70s. Southeast winds less than
10 mph.
.MONDAY...Mostly cloudy. Chance of showers. Lows in the lower
50s. Highs in the lower 60s to mid 70s. East winds less than
10 mph.

$$

NCZ060-061-172000-
Nantahala National Forest-
253 PM EDT Mon Oct 16 2017

                      Tonight      Tue          Tue Night    Wed

CLOUD COVER           Clear        Clear        Clear        Clear
TEMP (24H TREND)      32-37 (-19)  63-68 (+3)   37-42        66-71
RH % (24H TREND)      91-96 (-3)   33-38 (-14)  78-83        31-36
20FT WIND-AM(MPH)                  LGT/VAR                   LGT/VAR
20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     NE  7 G21    LGT/VAR      LGT/VAR      LGT/VAR
PRECIP TYPE           NONE         NONE         NONE         NONE
CHANCE PRECIP (%)     0            0            0            0
PRECIP DURATION
PRECIP BEGIN
PRECIP END
PRECIP AMOUNT         0.00         0.00         0.00         0.00
LAL                   1            1            1            1
LASI                               5                         5
MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)                 5600                      5100
TRANSPORT WND (MPH)                NE  2                     SE  7
DISPERSION                         7 Poor                    18 Gen poor
MAX LVORI                          5                         3
33FT WIND-AM(MPH)                  LGT/VAR                   LGT/VAR
33FT WIND-PM(MPH)     NE  9 G21    LGT/VAR      LGT/VAR      SE  5

Remarks...None.

.WEDNESDAY NIGHT...Clear. Lows near 40. East winds less than
10 mph.
.THURSDAY...Sunny. Highs in the mid 60s to lower 70s. North winds
less than 10 mph early in the morning becoming light.
.THURSDAY NIGHT...Clear. Lows in the 40s. Light winds.
.FRIDAY...Mostly clear. Highs in the mid 60s to upper 70s. Light
winds.
.SATURDAY...Partly cloudy. Lows around 50. Highs in the mid 60s
to upper 70s. Southeast winds less than 10 mph.
.SUNDAY...Mostly cloudy. Chance of showers. Lows in the mid 50s.
Highs in the mid 60s to upper 70s. Southeast winds less than
10 mph.
.MONDAY...Mostly cloudy. Chance of showers. Lows in the lower
50s. Highs in the 60s to lower 70s. East winds less than 10 mph.

$$

TNZ015>017-038>040-042-044-046-070-172000-
East Tennessee District East-
253 PM EDT Mon Oct 16 2017

                      Tonight      Tue          Tue Night    Wed

Cloud cover           MClear       Clear        Clear        Clear
Temp (24h trend)      35-40 (-15)  63-68 (+4)   37-42        67-72
RH % (24h trend)      85-90 (-7)   29-34 (-14)  83-88        31-36
20ft Wind-AM(mph)                  LGT/VAR                   LGT/VAR
20ft Wind-PM(mph)     LGT/VAR      LGT/VAR      LGT/VAR      LGT/VAR
Precip type           NONE         NONE         NONE         NONE
Chance precip (%)     0            0            0            0
Precip duration
Precip begin
Precip end
Precip amount         0.00         0.00         0.00         0.00
LAL                   1            1            1            1
LASI                               5                         5
Mixing hgt(ft-MSL)                 4800                      4800
Transport wnd (mph)                NE  8                     SE  7
Dispersion                         21 Fair                   19 Gen poor
33ft wind-AM(mph)                  NE  6                     LGT/VAR
33ft wind-PM(mph)     NE  5        LGT/VAR      LGT/VAR      LGT/VAR

Remarks...None.

.WEDNESDAY NIGHT...Clear. Lows around 40. Southeast winds less
than 10 mph.
.THURSDAY...Sunny. Highs in the mid 60s to lower 70s. Southwest
winds less than 10 mph early in the morning becoming light.
.THURSDAY NIGHT...Clear. Lows in the 30s to upper 40s. Light
winds.
.FRIDAY...Mostly clear. Highs in the 60s to mid 70s. Light winds.
.SATURDAY...Partly cloudy. Lows in the upper 40s. Highs in the
mid 60s to upper 70s. Southeast winds less than 10 mph.
.SUNDAY...Partly cloudy. Slight chance of showers. Lows in the
mid 50s. Highs in the mid 60s to upper 70s. Southeast winds less
than 10 mph.
.MONDAY...Mostly cloudy. Chance of showers. Lows in the lower
50s. Highs in the lower 60s to mid 70s. Southwest winds less than
10 mph.

$$

TNZ012>014-035>037-067>069-071-073-086-172000-
East Tennessee District West-
253 PM EDT Mon Oct 16 2017

                      Tonight      Tue          Tue Night    Wed

Cloud cover           Clear        Clear        Clear        Clear
Temp (24h trend)      36-41 (-11)  64-69 (+5)   38-43        68-73
RH % (24h trend)      88-93 (-5)   31-36 (-14)  86-91        32-37
20ft Wind-AM(mph)                  NE  5                     LGT/VAR
20ft Wind-PM(mph)     NE  5 G16    LGT/VAR      LGT/VAR      LGT/VAR
Precip type           NONE         NONE         NONE         NONE
Chance precip (%)     0            0            0            0
Precip duration
Precip begin
Precip end
Precip amount         0.00         0.00         0.00         0.00
LAL                   1            1            1            1
LASI                               4                         5
Mixing hgt(ft-MSL)                 4500                      4700
Transport wnd (mph)                NE  8                     S  6
Dispersion                         22 Fair                   18 Gen poor
33ft wind-AM(mph)                  NE  6                     LGT/VAR
33ft wind-PM(mph)     NE  7 G16    LGT/VAR      LGT/VAR      LGT/VAR

Remarks...None.

.WEDNESDAY NIGHT...Clear. Lows near 40. Southeast winds less than
10 mph.
.THURSDAY...Sunny. Highs in the upper 60s to mid 70s. South winds
less than 10 mph early in the morning becoming light.
.THURSDAY NIGHT...Clear. Lows in the 40s. Light winds.
.FRIDAY...Mostly clear. Highs in the 60s to upper 70s. Light
winds.
.SATURDAY...Partly cloudy. Lows in the lower 50s. Highs in the
60s to upper 70s. South winds less than 10 mph.
.SUNDAY...Partly cloudy. Slight chance of showers. Lows in the
mid 50s. Highs in the 60s to upper 70s. Southeast winds less than
10 mph.
.MONDAY...Mostly cloudy. Chance of showers. Lows in the lower
50s. Highs in the 60s to mid 70s. West winds less than 10 mph.

$$

TNZ077-079>085-097>101-172000-
Cumberland District South-
253 PM EDT Mon Oct 16 2017 /153 PM CDT Mon Oct 16 2017/

                      Tonight      Tue          Tue Night    Wed

Cloud cover           Clear        Clear        Clear        Clear
Temp (24h trend)      38-43 (-9)   64-69 (+3)   39-44        69-74
RH % (24h trend)      88-93 (-2)   34-39 (-12)  86-91        32-37
20ft Wind-AM(mph)                  NE  5                     LGT/VAR
20ft Wind-PM(mph)     NE  8 G19    LGT/VAR      LGT/VAR      LGT/VAR
Precip type           NONE         NONE         NONE         NONE
Chance precip (%)     0            0            0            0
Precip duration
Precip begin
Precip end
Precip amount         0.00         0.00         0.00         0.00
LAL                   1            1            1            1
LASI                               4                         5
Mixing hgt(ft-MSL)                 4300                      4600
Transport wnd (mph)                NE  7                     SE  8
Dispersion                         20 Gen poor               23 Fair
33ft wind-AM(mph)                  NE  6                     LGT/VAR
33ft wind-PM(mph)     NE 10 G19    LGT/VAR      LGT/VAR      LGT/VAR

Remarks...None.

.WEDNESDAY NIGHT...Clear. Lows in the lower 40s. South winds less
than 10 mph.
.THURSDAY...Sunny. Highs in the lower to mid 70s. Southeast winds
less than 10 mph early in the morning becoming light.
.THURSDAY NIGHT...Clear. Lows in the 40s. Light winds.
.FRIDAY...Mostly clear. Highs in the 70s. Southeast winds less
than 10 mph.
.SATURDAY...Partly cloudy. Lows in the mid 50s. Highs in the 60s
to upper 70s. South winds less than 10 mph.
.SUNDAY...Mostly cloudy. Chance of showers. Lows in the upper
50s. Highs in the 70s. Southeast winds less than 10 mph.
.MONDAY...Mostly cloudy. Chance of showers. Lows in the mid 50s.
Highs in the upper 60s to mid 70s. North winds less than 10 mph.

$$

TD/MJB


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