Land Management Forecasts
Issued by NWS Los Angeles, CA

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FNUS86 KLOX 232035
FWLLOX

ECCDA DISCUSSIONS
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE LOS ANGELES/OXNARD CA
1235 PM PST SUN NOV 23 2014

ECC029-241445-
LOS PADRES NATIONAL FOREST-
DISCUSSION FOR...VANDENBERG ECC DISPATCH
1235 PM PST SUN NOV 23 2014

...DISCUSSION FROM LOS ANGELES/OXNARD...

...FIRE WEATHER WATCH IN EFFECT FROM LATE TONIGHT THROUGH TUESDAY
AFTERNOON FOR GUSTY WINDS AND LOW RELATIVE HUMIDITY OVER MOST OF LOS
ANGELES AND VENTURA COUNTIES...

...WIDESPREAD ELEVATED FIRE CONCERNS THROUGH WEDNESDAY...

MODERATE TO STRONG NORTHERLY WINDS WILL PEAK THIS MORNING...WITH
GUSTS BETWEEN 45 AND 55 MPH IN THE WINDIEST LOCATIONS LIKE THE SANTA
YNEZ RANGE AND THE I-5 CORRIDOR. THESE WINDS WILL WEAKEN SOME AND
SHIFT TO NORTHEASTERLY BY THIS AFTERNOON...BUT SHOULD SPREAD INTO
MORE VALLEY AREAS. HUMIDITIES ARE UP THIS MORNING AND WILL LOWER
THROUGH THE DAY...BUT SHOULD STAY ABOVE CRITICAL CONDITIONS EXCEPT
FOR THE HIGHEST PEAKS LATE.

THE NORTHEAST FLOW AND UPPER LEVEL SUPPORT WILL WEAKEN FURTHER
TONIGHT INTO MONDAY...BUT REMAIN BREEZY IN THE FAVORED LOCATIONS
WITH GUSTS BETWEEN 30 AND 40 MPH. DRY AIR ALOFT WILL DESCEND AS
WELL...WITH MOUNTAINS SEEING HUMIDITIES UNDER 20 PERCENT BY THIS
EVENING...FOLLOWED BY THE VALLEY AREAS BY MONDAY AFTERNOON. THIS
WILL LIKELY RESULT IN CRITICAL CONDITIONS IN THE LOS ANGELES AND
VENTURA COUNTY MOUNTAINS AND VALLEYS...BUT DURATIONS MAY BE
BRIEF...ESPECIALLY IN THE VALLEYS. THE DECISION ON CONVERTING THE
FIRE WEATHER WATCHES TO RED FLAG WARNINGS WILL BE MADE THIS
AFTERNOON.

COLDER AIR WILL PUSH INTO THE GREAT BASIN MONDAY NIGHT INTO
TUESDAY...RESULTING IN STRENGTHENING NORTHEAST FLOW INTO A MODERATE
SANTA ANA. WIND GUSTS SHOULD GENERALLY RANGE BETWEEN 40 AND 50 MPH
WITH SUSTAINED WINDS BETWEEN 25 AND 35 MPH. HUMIDITIES WILL
GENERALLY RANGE BETWEEN 8 AND 15 PERCENT...WITH HIGH TEMPERATURES IN
THE 80S. THIS WILL LIKELY RESULT IN WIDESPREAD RED FLAG CONDITIONS
OVER LOS ANGELES AND VENTURA COUNTIES...INCLUDING THE COASTAL
SECTIONS. SIMILAR CONDITIONS ARE EXPECTED TUESDAY NIGHT INTO
WEDNESDAY...AND THE FIRE WEATHER WATCH WILL LIKELY BE EXTENDED.
WEAKER WINDS SHOULD FOLLOW WEDNESDAY NIGHT INTO THURSDAY...BUT COULD
FLIRT WITH CRITICAL CONDITIONS. IMPROVING WINDS EXPECTED FRIDAY AND
SATURDAY...BUT WARM AND DRY CONDITIONS WILL CONTINUE.


...DISCUSSION FROM MONTEREY...

GUSTY NORTH WINDS WILL CONTINUE AT TIMES IN THE HILLS THROUGH MONDAY
NIGHT. OTHERWISE...DRY AND MILD CONDITIONS ARE FORECAST THROUGH
THANKSGIVING DAY.

NOTE : ALL WINDS ARE 20-FOOT WINDS UNLESS OTHERWISE SPECIFIED.
THUNDERSTORMS IMPLY STRONG, GUSTY AND ERRATIC WINDS.



$$

ECC028-241445-
SANTA BARBARA COUNTY EXCLUDING LOS PADRES NATIONAL FOREST-
DISCUSSION FOR...SANTA BARBARA ECC DISPATCH
1235 PM PST SUN NOV 23 2014

...FIRE WEATHER WATCH IN EFFECT FROM LATE TONIGHT THROUGH TUESDAY
AFTERNOON FOR GUSTY WINDS AND LOW RELATIVE HUMIDITY OVER MOST OF LOS
ANGELES AND VENTURA COUNTIES...

...WIDESPREAD ELEVATED FIRE CONCERNS THROUGH WEDNESDAY...

MODERATE TO STRONG NORTHERLY WINDS WILL PEAK THIS MORNING...WITH
GUSTS BETWEEN 45 AND 55 MPH IN THE WINDIEST LOCATIONS LIKE THE SANTA
YNEZ RANGE AND THE I-5 CORRIDOR. THESE WINDS WILL WEAKEN SOME AND
SHIFT TO NORTHEASTERLY BY THIS AFTERNOON...BUT SHOULD SPREAD INTO
MORE VALLEY AREAS. HUMIDITIES ARE UP THIS MORNING AND WILL LOWER
THROUGH THE DAY...BUT SHOULD STAY ABOVE CRITICAL CONDITIONS EXCEPT
FOR THE HIGHEST PEAKS LATE.

THE NORTHEAST FLOW AND UPPER LEVEL SUPPORT WILL WEAKEN FURTHER
TONIGHT INTO MONDAY...BUT REMAIN BREEZY IN THE FAVORED LOCATIONS
WITH GUSTS BETWEEN 30 AND 40 MPH. DRY AIR ALOFT WILL DESCEND AS
WELL...WITH MOUNTAINS SEEING HUMIDITIES UNDER 20 PERCENT BY THIS
EVENING...FOLLOWED BY THE VALLEY AREAS BY MONDAY AFTERNOON. THIS
WILL LIKELY RESULT IN CRITICAL CONDITIONS IN THE LOS ANGELES AND
VENTURA COUNTY MOUNTAINS AND VALLEYS...BUT DURATIONS MAY BE
BRIEF...ESPECIALLY IN THE VALLEYS. THE DECISION ON CONVERTING THE
FIRE WEATHER WATCHES TO RED FLAG WARNINGS WILL BE MADE THIS
AFTERNOON.

COLDER AIR WILL PUSH INTO THE GREAT BASIN MONDAY NIGHT INTO
TUESDAY...RESULTING IN STRENGTHENING NORTHEAST FLOW INTO A MODERATE
SANTA ANA. WIND GUSTS SHOULD GENERALLY RANGE BETWEEN 40 AND 50 MPH
WITH SUSTAINED WINDS BETWEEN 25 AND 35 MPH. HUMIDITIES WILL
GENERALLY RANGE BETWEEN 8 AND 15 PERCENT...WITH HIGH TEMPERATURES IN
THE 80S. THIS WILL LIKELY RESULT IN WIDESPREAD RED FLAG CONDITIONS
OVER LOS ANGELES AND VENTURA COUNTIES...INCLUDING THE COASTAL
SECTIONS. SIMILAR CONDITIONS ARE EXPECTED TUESDAY NIGHT INTO
WEDNESDAY...AND THE FIRE WEATHER WATCH WILL LIKELY BE EXTENDED.
WEAKER WINDS SHOULD FOLLOW WEDNESDAY NIGHT INTO THURSDAY...BUT COULD
FLIRT WITH CRITICAL CONDITIONS. IMPROVING WINDS EXPECTED FRIDAY AND
SATURDAY...BUT WARM AND DRY CONDITIONS WILL CONTINUE.


$$

ECC031-241445-
ANGELES NATIONAL FOREST-
DISCUSSION FOR...LANCASTER ECC DISPATCH
1235 PM PST SUN NOV 23 2014

...FIRE WEATHER WATCH IN EFFECT FROM LATE TONIGHT THROUGH TUESDAY
AFTERNOON FOR GUSTY WINDS AND LOW RELATIVE HUMIDITY OVER MOST OF LOS
ANGELES AND VENTURA COUNTIES...

...WIDESPREAD ELEVATED FIRE CONCERNS THROUGH WEDNESDAY...

MODERATE TO STRONG NORTHERLY WINDS WILL PEAK THIS MORNING...WITH
GUSTS BETWEEN 45 AND 55 MPH IN THE WINDIEST LOCATIONS LIKE THE SANTA
YNEZ RANGE AND THE I-5 CORRIDOR. THESE WINDS WILL WEAKEN SOME AND
SHIFT TO NORTHEASTERLY BY THIS AFTERNOON...BUT SHOULD SPREAD INTO
MORE VALLEY AREAS. HUMIDITIES ARE UP THIS MORNING AND WILL LOWER
THROUGH THE DAY...BUT SHOULD STAY ABOVE CRITICAL CONDITIONS EXCEPT
FOR THE HIGHEST PEAKS LATE.

THE NORTHEAST FLOW AND UPPER LEVEL SUPPORT WILL WEAKEN FURTHER
TONIGHT INTO MONDAY...BUT REMAIN BREEZY IN THE FAVORED LOCATIONS
WITH GUSTS BETWEEN 30 AND 40 MPH. DRY AIR ALOFT WILL DESCEND AS
WELL...WITH MOUNTAINS SEEING HUMIDITIES UNDER 20 PERCENT BY THIS
EVENING...FOLLOWED BY THE VALLEY AREAS BY MONDAY AFTERNOON. THIS
WILL LIKELY RESULT IN CRITICAL CONDITIONS IN THE LOS ANGELES AND
VENTURA COUNTY MOUNTAINS AND VALLEYS...BUT DURATIONS MAY BE
BRIEF...ESPECIALLY IN THE VALLEYS. THE DECISION ON CONVERTING THE
FIRE WEATHER WATCHES TO RED FLAG WARNINGS WILL BE MADE THIS
AFTERNOON.

COLDER AIR WILL PUSH INTO THE GREAT BASIN MONDAY NIGHT INTO
TUESDAY...RESULTING IN STRENGTHENING NORTHEAST FLOW INTO A MODERATE
SANTA ANA. WIND GUSTS SHOULD GENERALLY RANGE BETWEEN 40 AND 50 MPH
WITH SUSTAINED WINDS BETWEEN 25 AND 35 MPH. HUMIDITIES WILL
GENERALLY RANGE BETWEEN 8 AND 15 PERCENT...WITH HIGH TEMPERATURES IN
THE 80S. THIS WILL LIKELY RESULT IN WIDESPREAD RED FLAG CONDITIONS
OVER LOS ANGELES AND VENTURA COUNTIES...INCLUDING THE COASTAL
SECTIONS. SIMILAR CONDITIONS ARE EXPECTED TUESDAY NIGHT INTO
WEDNESDAY...AND THE FIRE WEATHER WATCH WILL LIKELY BE EXTENDED.
WEAKER WINDS SHOULD FOLLOW WEDNESDAY NIGHT INTO THURSDAY...BUT COULD
FLIRT WITH CRITICAL CONDITIONS. IMPROVING WINDS EXPECTED FRIDAY AND
SATURDAY...BUT WARM AND DRY CONDITIONS WILL CONTINUE.


$$

ECC024-241445-
SAN LUIS OBISPO COUNTY-
DISCUSSION FOR...SAN LUIS OBISPO ECC DISPATCH
1235 PM PST SUN NOV 23 2014

...FIRE WEATHER WATCH IN EFFECT FROM LATE TONIGHT THROUGH TUESDAY
AFTERNOON FOR GUSTY WINDS AND LOW RELATIVE HUMIDITY OVER MOST OF LOS
ANGELES AND VENTURA COUNTIES...

...WIDESPREAD ELEVATED FIRE CONCERNS THROUGH WEDNESDAY...

MODERATE TO STRONG NORTHERLY WINDS WILL PEAK THIS MORNING...WITH
GUSTS BETWEEN 45 AND 55 MPH IN THE WINDIEST LOCATIONS LIKE THE SANTA
YNEZ RANGE AND THE I-5 CORRIDOR. THESE WINDS WILL WEAKEN SOME AND
SHIFT TO NORTHEASTERLY BY THIS AFTERNOON...BUT SHOULD SPREAD INTO
MORE VALLEY AREAS. HUMIDITIES ARE UP THIS MORNING AND WILL LOWER
THROUGH THE DAY...BUT SHOULD STAY ABOVE CRITICAL CONDITIONS EXCEPT
FOR THE HIGHEST PEAKS LATE.

THE NORTHEAST FLOW AND UPPER LEVEL SUPPORT WILL WEAKEN FURTHER
TONIGHT INTO MONDAY...BUT REMAIN BREEZY IN THE FAVORED LOCATIONS
WITH GUSTS BETWEEN 30 AND 40 MPH. DRY AIR ALOFT WILL DESCEND AS
WELL...WITH MOUNTAINS SEEING HUMIDITIES UNDER 20 PERCENT BY THIS
EVENING...FOLLOWED BY THE VALLEY AREAS BY MONDAY AFTERNOON. THIS
WILL LIKELY RESULT IN CRITICAL CONDITIONS IN THE LOS ANGELES AND
VENTURA COUNTY MOUNTAINS AND VALLEYS...BUT DURATIONS MAY BE
BRIEF...ESPECIALLY IN THE VALLEYS. THE DECISION ON CONVERTING THE
FIRE WEATHER WATCHES TO RED FLAG WARNINGS WILL BE MADE THIS
AFTERNOON.

COLDER AIR WILL PUSH INTO THE GREAT BASIN MONDAY NIGHT INTO
TUESDAY...RESULTING IN STRENGTHENING NORTHEAST FLOW INTO A MODERATE
SANTA ANA. WIND GUSTS SHOULD GENERALLY RANGE BETWEEN 40 AND 50 MPH
WITH SUSTAINED WINDS BETWEEN 25 AND 35 MPH. HUMIDITIES WILL
GENERALLY RANGE BETWEEN 8 AND 15 PERCENT...WITH HIGH TEMPERATURES IN
THE 80S. THIS WILL LIKELY RESULT IN WIDESPREAD RED FLAG CONDITIONS
OVER LOS ANGELES AND VENTURA COUNTIES...INCLUDING THE COASTAL
SECTIONS. SIMILAR CONDITIONS ARE EXPECTED TUESDAY NIGHT INTO
WEDNESDAY...AND THE FIRE WEATHER WATCH WILL LIKELY BE EXTENDED.
WEAKER WINDS SHOULD FOLLOW WEDNESDAY NIGHT INTO THURSDAY...BUT COULD
FLIRT WITH CRITICAL CONDITIONS. IMPROVING WINDS EXPECTED FRIDAY AND
SATURDAY...BUT WARM AND DRY CONDITIONS WILL CONTINUE.


$$

ECC032-241445-
VENTURA COUNTY EXCLUDING LOS PADRES NATIONAL FOREST-
DISCUSSION FOR...VENTURA ECC DISPATCH
1235 PM PST SUN NOV 23 2014

...FIRE WEATHER WATCH IN EFFECT FROM LATE TONIGHT THROUGH TUESDAY
AFTERNOON FOR GUSTY WINDS AND LOW RELATIVE HUMIDITY OVER MOST OF LOS
ANGELES AND VENTURA COUNTIES...

...WIDESPREAD ELEVATED FIRE CONCERNS THROUGH WEDNESDAY...

MODERATE TO STRONG NORTHERLY WINDS WILL PEAK THIS MORNING...WITH
GUSTS BETWEEN 45 AND 55 MPH IN THE WINDIEST LOCATIONS LIKE THE SANTA
YNEZ RANGE AND THE I-5 CORRIDOR. THESE WINDS WILL WEAKEN SOME AND
SHIFT TO NORTHEASTERLY BY THIS AFTERNOON...BUT SHOULD SPREAD INTO
MORE VALLEY AREAS. HUMIDITIES ARE UP THIS MORNING AND WILL LOWER
THROUGH THE DAY...BUT SHOULD STAY ABOVE CRITICAL CONDITIONS EXCEPT
FOR THE HIGHEST PEAKS LATE.

THE NORTHEAST FLOW AND UPPER LEVEL SUPPORT WILL WEAKEN FURTHER
TONIGHT INTO MONDAY...BUT REMAIN BREEZY IN THE FAVORED LOCATIONS
WITH GUSTS BETWEEN 30 AND 40 MPH. DRY AIR ALOFT WILL DESCEND AS
WELL...WITH MOUNTAINS SEEING HUMIDITIES UNDER 20 PERCENT BY THIS
EVENING...FOLLOWED BY THE VALLEY AREAS BY MONDAY AFTERNOON. THIS
WILL LIKELY RESULT IN CRITICAL CONDITIONS IN THE LOS ANGELES AND
VENTURA COUNTY MOUNTAINS AND VALLEYS...BUT DURATIONS MAY BE
BRIEF...ESPECIALLY IN THE VALLEYS. THE DECISION ON CONVERTING THE
FIRE WEATHER WATCHES TO RED FLAG WARNINGS WILL BE MADE THIS
AFTERNOON.

COLDER AIR WILL PUSH INTO THE GREAT BASIN MONDAY NIGHT INTO
TUESDAY...RESULTING IN STRENGTHENING NORTHEAST FLOW INTO A MODERATE
SANTA ANA. WIND GUSTS SHOULD GENERALLY RANGE BETWEEN 40 AND 50 MPH
WITH SUSTAINED WINDS BETWEEN 25 AND 35 MPH. HUMIDITIES WILL
GENERALLY RANGE BETWEEN 8 AND 15 PERCENT...WITH HIGH TEMPERATURES IN
THE 80S. THIS WILL LIKELY RESULT IN WIDESPREAD RED FLAG CONDITIONS
OVER LOS ANGELES AND VENTURA COUNTIES...INCLUDING THE COASTAL
SECTIONS. SIMILAR CONDITIONS ARE EXPECTED TUESDAY NIGHT INTO
WEDNESDAY...AND THE FIRE WEATHER WATCH WILL LIKELY BE EXTENDED.
WEAKER WINDS SHOULD FOLLOW WEDNESDAY NIGHT INTO THURSDAY...BUT COULD
FLIRT WITH CRITICAL CONDITIONS. IMPROVING WINDS EXPECTED FRIDAY AND
SATURDAY...BUT WARM AND DRY CONDITIONS WILL CONTINUE.


$$

ECC030-241445-
LOS ANGELES COUNTY EXCLUDING ANGELES NATIONAL FOREST-
DISCUSSION FOR...LOS ANGELES ECC DISPATCH
1235 PM PST SUN NOV 23 2014

...FIRE WEATHER WATCH IN EFFECT FROM LATE TONIGHT THROUGH TUESDAY
AFTERNOON FOR GUSTY WINDS AND LOW RELATIVE HUMIDITY OVER MOST OF LOS
ANGELES AND VENTURA COUNTIES...

...WIDESPREAD ELEVATED FIRE CONCERNS THROUGH WEDNESDAY...

MODERATE TO STRONG NORTHERLY WINDS WILL PEAK THIS MORNING...WITH
GUSTS BETWEEN 45 AND 55 MPH IN THE WINDIEST LOCATIONS LIKE THE SANTA
YNEZ RANGE AND THE I-5 CORRIDOR. THESE WINDS WILL WEAKEN SOME AND
SHIFT TO NORTHEASTERLY BY THIS AFTERNOON...BUT SHOULD SPREAD INTO
MORE VALLEY AREAS. HUMIDITIES ARE UP THIS MORNING AND WILL LOWER
THROUGH THE DAY...BUT SHOULD STAY ABOVE CRITICAL CONDITIONS EXCEPT
FOR THE HIGHEST PEAKS LATE.

THE NORTHEAST FLOW AND UPPER LEVEL SUPPORT WILL WEAKEN FURTHER
TONIGHT INTO MONDAY...BUT REMAIN BREEZY IN THE FAVORED LOCATIONS
WITH GUSTS BETWEEN 30 AND 40 MPH. DRY AIR ALOFT WILL DESCEND AS
WELL...WITH MOUNTAINS SEEING HUMIDITIES UNDER 20 PERCENT BY THIS
EVENING...FOLLOWED BY THE VALLEY AREAS BY MONDAY AFTERNOON. THIS
WILL LIKELY RESULT IN CRITICAL CONDITIONS IN THE LOS ANGELES AND
VENTURA COUNTY MOUNTAINS AND VALLEYS...BUT DURATIONS MAY BE
BRIEF...ESPECIALLY IN THE VALLEYS. THE DECISION ON CONVERTING THE
FIRE WEATHER WATCHES TO RED FLAG WARNINGS WILL BE MADE THIS
AFTERNOON.

COLDER AIR WILL PUSH INTO THE GREAT BASIN MONDAY NIGHT INTO
TUESDAY...RESULTING IN STRENGTHENING NORTHEAST FLOW INTO A MODERATE
SANTA ANA. WIND GUSTS SHOULD GENERALLY RANGE BETWEEN 40 AND 50 MPH
WITH SUSTAINED WINDS BETWEEN 25 AND 35 MPH. HUMIDITIES WILL
GENERALLY RANGE BETWEEN 8 AND 15 PERCENT...WITH HIGH TEMPERATURES IN
THE 80S. THIS WILL LIKELY RESULT IN WIDESPREAD RED FLAG CONDITIONS
OVER LOS ANGELES AND VENTURA COUNTIES...INCLUDING THE COASTAL
SECTIONS. SIMILAR CONDITIONS ARE EXPECTED TUESDAY NIGHT INTO
WEDNESDAY...AND THE FIRE WEATHER WATCH WILL LIKELY BE EXTENDED.
WEAKER WINDS SHOULD FOLLOW WEDNESDAY NIGHT INTO THURSDAY...BUT COULD
FLIRT WITH CRITICAL CONDITIONS. IMPROVING WINDS EXPECTED FRIDAY AND
SATURDAY...BUT WARM AND DRY CONDITIONS WILL CONTINUE.


$$






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