Land Management Forecasts
Issued by NWS San Diego, CA

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FNUS86 KSGX 101039
FWLSGX
SGXWRKECC
WORK DISCUSSION FOR SAN DIEGO FIRE WEATHER ECC DISPATCH FORECASTS
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE SAN DIEGO CA
339 AM PDT THU JUL 10 2014

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##           in the sections labeled as:                ##
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##           ECC033, ECC034 or ECC035-                  ##
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##    Then edit them in this product and store as:      ##
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##                LAXECCSGX                             ##
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## (note that ECC033, etc. are no longer separate PILs) ##
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##    No action is required if you like the current     ##
##    discussions in the fire weather forecast (and     ##
##    they apply to Phoenix`s part of the ECC034 too).  ##
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SUMMARY OF FWF DISCUSSIONS

Discussion from LAXFWFSGX


MONSOONAL MOISTURE HAS BEEN SLOW DECREASING WEST OF THE MOUNTAINS
SINCE MONDAY...BUT HAS BEEN SLOWLY INCREASING IN THE LOWER DESERT
AREAS AND ADJACENT MOUNTAIN SLOPES. THIS MAY BE SUFFICIENT FOR AN
ISOLATED THUNDERSTORM OVER THE HIGHER MOUNTAINS AND ADJACENT UPPER
DESERT AREAS THIS AFTERNOON. DRIER WEATHER IS THEN EXPECTED FOR
FRIDAY. FOR THE WEEKEND INTO EARLY NEXT WEEK...MONSOONAL MOISTURE
WILL RETURN...POSSIBLY SUFFICIENT FOR THUNDERSTORMS SUNDAY
AFTERNOON...AND MORE LIKELY FOR MONDAY INTO TUESDAY WITH CHANCES
CONTINUING THROUGH MID WEEK. OTHERWISE...HIGH PRESSURE WILL BRING
WARMING FOR THE WEEKEND WITH SLIGHT COOLING FOR EARLY NEXT WEEK AS
THE MONSOONAL MOISTURE INCREASES. THE MARINE LAYER WILL KEEP COASTAL
AREAS COOLER.


Discussion from LAXFWFLOX


INCREASING ONSHORE FLOW AND A DEEPENING MARINE LAYER DEPTH
WILL CONTINUE TO BRING A SLIGHT COOLING TREND TO MOST AREAS THROUGH
THURSDAY. THE MOUNTAINS...DESERTS...AND INTERIOR VALLEYS WILL CONTINUE
TO BE DRY...WITH MANY LOCATIONS REPORTING HUMIDITIES IN THE TEENS.
THESE SAME AREAS WILL ALSO CONTINUE TO SEE ONSHORE WINDS GUSTING TO
BETWEEN 25 AND 35 MPH EACH AFTERNOON THROUGH THURSDAY...WITH
ISOLATED GUSTS AS HIGH AS 45 MPH IN THE FOOTHILLS OF THE ANTELOPE
VALLEY. THE COMBINATION OF GUSTY ONSHORE WINDS AND LOW HUMIDITIES
WILL BRING ISOLATED AND BRIEF CRITICAL FIRE WEATHER CONDITIONS
EACH AFTERNOON OVER INTERIOR AREAS THROUGH THURSDAY. AS HIGH PRESSURE
OVER THE DESERT SOUTHWEST BEGINS TO BUILD WESTWARD TOWARDS SOUTHERN
CALIFORNIA...A WARMING TREND IS EXPECTED ACROSS THE FORECAST AREA
OVER THE WEEKEND. FROM SUNDAY THROUGH WEDNESDAY...A SURGE OF MONSOONAL
MOISTURE IS EXPECTED TO MOVE INTO THE MOUNTAINS AND DESERTS OF SOUTHERN
CALIFORNIA. THE TIMING AND AREAL EXTENT OF THIS MOISTURE SURGE IS STILL
IN QUESTION...BUT THE GREATEST THREAT AT THIS TIME APPEARS TO BE
MONDAY INTO TUESDAY.



Discussion from SFOFWFHNX

ISOLATED AFTERNOON AND EARLY EVENING THUNDERSTORMS ARE
EXPECTED ALONG THE SIERRA CREST THROUGH THURSDAY WHILE THE DISTRICT
REMAINS ON THE WESTERN PERIPHERY OF AN AREA OF MONSOONAL MOISTURE. A
DRIER AND MORE STABLE AIR MASS WILL MOVE INTO THE REGION FRIDAY AND
REMAIN OVER THE DISTRICT THROUGH THE WEEKEND. ANOTHER INFLUX OF
MONSOONAL MOISTURE IS LIKELY EARLY NEXT WEEK WITH A RENEWED THREAT
OF THUNDERSTORMS OVER THE MOUNTAINS AND DESERT. AN ONSHORE FLOW WILL
SUPPORT GUSTY WINDS IN THE KERN COUNTY MOUNTAINS AND DESERT AND THE
WEST SIDE OF THE SAN JOAQUIN VALLEY DURING THE NEXT FEW EVENINGS.
TEMPERATURES WILL TREND A BIT LOWER THROUGH FRIDAY THEN WARM TO WELL
ABOVE NORMAL STARTING SUNDAY.



Discussion from RNOFWFVEF


MUCH OF THE AREA WILL STILL HAVE PLENTY OF MONSOON MOISTURE AND
THUNDERSTORM CHANCES INTO TONIGHT. A FEW STORMS COULD PRODUCE
VERY HEAVY RAIN LEADING TO LOCALIZED FLASH FLOODING. DRYING WILL TAKE
PLACE FROM WEST TO EAST DURING THE END OF THE WEEK WITH THUNDERSTORM
CHANCES LIMITED TO MOHAVE COUNTY BY FRIDAY THROUGH SUNDAY. MONSOON
MOISTURE RETURNS NEXT WEEK.


Discussion from PHXFWFPSR


A GRADUAL DRYING WILL START THIS AFTERNOON ACROSS SOUTHEAST
CALIFORNIA WITH HIGH HUMIDITIES REMAINING IN PLACE ACROSS ARIZONA.
THE DRYING WILL PUSH EASTWARD THROUGH MOST OF ARIZONA ON FRIDAY WITH
MINIMUM HUMIDITIES DROPPING INTO THE TEENS ACROSS THE ENTIRE REGION
FOR FRIDAY AFTERNOON. THERE REMAINS A SLIGHT CHANCE OF THUNDERSTORMS
ACROSS THE SOUTH-CENTRAL ARIZONA DESERTS TODAY...WITH BETTER CHANCES
ACROSS THE HIGHER TERRAIN AREAS. THUNDERSTORMS CHANCES FOR FRIDAY
WILL BE CONFINED TO HIGHER TERRAIN AREAS ONLY.

...THUNDERSTORMS IMPLY GUSTY WINDS...

NOTE...ADDITIONAL FIRE WEATHER FORECAST INFORMATION CAN BE FOUND
IN THE AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION. SEE PRODUCT PHXAFDPSR.


############# Modify the discussions below ###############

ECC033-102239-

DISCUSSION FOR ORANGE ECC DISPATCH
339 AM PDT THU JUL 10 2014


MONSOONAL MOISTURE HAS BEEN SLOW DECREASING WEST OF THE MOUNTAINS
SINCE MONDAY...BUT HAS BEEN SLOWLY INCREASING IN THE LOWER DESERT
AREAS AND ADJACENT MOUNTAIN SLOPES. THIS MAY BE SUFFICIENT FOR AN
ISOLATED THUNDERSTORM OVER THE HIGHER MOUNTAINS AND ADJACENT UPPER
DESERT AREAS THIS AFTERNOON. DRIER WEATHER IS THEN EXPECTED FOR
FRIDAY. FOR THE WEEKEND INTO EARLY NEXT WEEK...MONSOONAL MOISTURE
WILL RETURN...POSSIBLY SUFFICIENT FOR THUNDERSTORMS SUNDAY
AFTERNOON...AND MORE LIKELY FOR MONDAY INTO TUESDAY WITH CHANCES
CONTINUING THROUGH MID WEEK. OTHERWISE...HIGH PRESSURE WILL BRING
WARMING FOR THE WEEKEND WITH SLIGHT COOLING FOR EARLY NEXT WEEK AS
THE MONSOONAL MOISTURE INCREASES. THE MARINE LAYER WILL KEEP COASTAL
AREAS COOLER.

$$

ECC034-102239-

DISCUSSION FOR RIVERSIDE ECC DISPATCH
339 AM PDT THU JUL 10 2014


MONSOONAL MOISTURE HAS BEEN SLOW DECREASING WEST OF THE MOUNTAINS
SINCE MONDAY...BUT HAS BEEN SLOWLY INCREASING IN THE LOWER DESERT
AREAS AND ADJACENT MOUNTAIN SLOPES. THIS MAY BE SUFFICIENT FOR AN
ISOLATED THUNDERSTORM OVER THE HIGHER MOUNTAINS AND ADJACENT UPPER
DESERT AREAS THIS AFTERNOON. DRIER WEATHER IS THEN EXPECTED FOR
FRIDAY. FOR THE WEEKEND INTO EARLY NEXT WEEK...MONSOONAL MOISTURE
WILL RETURN...POSSIBLY SUFFICIENT FOR THUNDERSTORMS SUNDAY
AFTERNOON...AND MORE LIKELY FOR MONDAY INTO TUESDAY WITH CHANCES
CONTINUING THROUGH MID WEEK. OTHERWISE...HIGH PRESSURE WILL BRING
WARMING FOR THE WEEKEND WITH SLIGHT COOLING FOR EARLY NEXT WEEK AS
THE MONSOONAL MOISTURE INCREASES. THE MARINE LAYER WILL KEEP COASTAL
AREAS COOLER.

$$

ECC035-102239-

DISCUSSION FOR MONTE VISTA ECC DISPATCH
339 AM PDT THU JUL 10 2014


MONSOONAL MOISTURE HAS BEEN SLOW DECREASING WEST OF THE MOUNTAINS
SINCE MONDAY...BUT HAS BEEN SLOWLY INCREASING IN THE LOWER DESERT
AREAS AND ADJACENT MOUNTAIN SLOPES. THIS MAY BE SUFFICIENT FOR AN
ISOLATED THUNDERSTORM OVER THE HIGHER MOUNTAINS AND ADJACENT UPPER
DESERT AREAS THIS AFTERNOON. DRIER WEATHER IS THEN EXPECTED FOR
FRIDAY. FOR THE WEEKEND INTO EARLY NEXT WEEK...MONSOONAL MOISTURE
WILL RETURN...POSSIBLY SUFFICIENT FOR THUNDERSTORMS SUNDAY
AFTERNOON...AND MORE LIKELY FOR MONDAY INTO TUESDAY WITH CHANCES
CONTINUING THROUGH MID WEEK. OTHERWISE...HIGH PRESSURE WILL BRING
WARMING FOR THE WEEKEND WITH SLIGHT COOLING FOR EARLY NEXT WEEK AS
THE MONSOONAL MOISTURE INCREASES. THE MARINE LAYER WILL KEEP COASTAL
AREAS COOLER.

$$




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