Land Management Forecasts
Issued by NWS San Diego, CA

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FNUS86 KSGX 251030
FWLSGX
SGXWRKECC
WORK DISCUSSION FOR SAN DIEGO FIRE WEATHER ECC DISPATCH FORECASTS
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE SAN DIEGO CA
230 AM PDT SUN JAN 25 2015

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##           ECC033, ECC034 or ECC035-                  ##
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##                LAXECCSGX                             ##
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## (note that ECC033, etc. are no longer separate PILs) ##
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##    No action is required if you like the current     ##
##    discussions in the fire weather forecast (and     ##
##    they apply to Phoenix`s part of the ECC034 too).  ##
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SUMMARY OF FWF DISCUSSIONS

Discussion from LAXFWFSGX


HIGH PRESSURE ALOFT OVER CALIFORNIA WILL CONTINUE WARMER WEATHER
TODAY. SURFACE HIGH PRESSURE OVER THE GREAT BASIN WILL BRING LOCALLY
STRONG GUSTY NORTHEAST TO EAST WINDS THIS MORNING...GRADUALLY
DIMINISHING THIS AFTERNOON. THE GUSTY WINDS COMBINED WITH LOW INLAND
HUMIDITIES WILL CAUSE NEAR CRITICAL FIRE WEATHER CONDITIONS AGAIN
TODAY. FOR MONDAY AND EARLY TUESDAY...A WEAK LOW PRESSURE SYSTEM
FROM THE SOUTHWEST WILL BRING SHOWERS...MORE LIKELY FOR THE
MOUNTAINS AND DESERTS. A SECOND WEAK LOW PRESSURE SYSTEM FROM THE
SOUTHWEST COULD BRING ANOTHER CHANCE OF SHOWERS FOR LATE IN THE WEEK.


Discussion from LAXFWFLOX

A PROLONGED PERIOD OF OFFSHORE FLOW WILL MAINTAIN
WARM AND DRY CONDITIONS WITH GUSTY SANTA ANA WINDS ACROSS SOUTHERN
CALIFORNIA THROUGH THE WEEKEND. OFFSHORE WINDS WILL CONTINUE TO STRENGTHEN
ACROSS INTERIOR SECTIONS THROUGH THE EVENING. AS THE UPPER LEVEL WINDS AND
OFFSHORE PRESSURE GRADIENT INCREASE LATER TONIGHT INTO SATURDAY...THE AREAL
COVERAGE AND INTENSITY OF SANTA ANA WINDS WILL INCREASE ACROSS LOS ANGELES
AND VENTURA COUNTIES. THE STRONGEST WINDS WILL BE FOCUSED ACROSS
THE MOUNTAINS WHERE GUSTS BETWEEN 60 AND 70 MPH WILL BE COMMON
LATE FRIDAY NIGHT INTO SATURDAY EVENING. COASTAL AND VALLEY AREAS
CAN GENERALLY EXPECT WIND GUSTS BETWEEN 45 AND 60 MPH ON SATURDAY.
GUSTY SANTA ANA WINDS WILL CONTINUE ON SUNDAY...WITH GUSTS GENERALLY
RANGING BETWEEN 35 AND 55 MPH ACROSS THE REGION. MINIMUM HUMIDITIES WILL
GENERALLY RANGE BETWEEN 10 AND 20 PERCENT THROUGH SATURDAY...EXCEPT SOME
SINGLE DIGIT READINGS ACROSS THE MOUNTAINS ON SATURDAY. HUMIDITIES WILL
GRADUALLY MODIFY UPWARD ON SUNDAY. THE SANTA ANA WINDS WILL ALSO BRING WARM
TEMPERATURES TO THE REGION...WITH HIGHS INTO THE LOWER 80S ACROSS
WARMEST LOCATIONS ON SATURDAY...THEN MID 80S ON SUNDAY.

WHILE THE STRENGTH OF SANTA ANA WINDS AND LOW HUMIDITIES WILL LIKELY EXCEED
CRITICAL LEVELS...ESPECIALLY IN THE MOUNTAINS...A RED FLAG WARNING WILL
LIKELY NOT BE ISSUED FOR THIS EVENT DUE TO THE CURRENT STATE OF THE FUELS.
LIVE FUEL MOISTURE LEVELS HAVE INCREASED SIGNIFICANTLY ACROSS MUCH OF
LOS ANGELES AND VENTURA COUNTIES...WHILE GREEN-UP OF THE FINE FUELS HAS
BEEN CONSIDERABLE. WHILE A RED FLAG WARNING HAS NOT BEEN ISSUED...A PROLONGED
PERIOD OF ELEVATED FIRE DANGER WILL OCCUR ACROSS SOUTHERN CALIFORNIA THIS
WEEKEND. A COOLING TREND WITH HIGHER HUMIDITIES ON MONDAY...WITH A CHANCE
OF SHOWERS MONDAY THROUGH WEDNESDAY.


Discussion from SFOFWFHNX

AN OFFSHORE FLOW PATTERN WILL CONTINUE OVER THE
REGION THROUGH THE REMAINDER OF THE WEEKEND. GUSTY EASTERLY WINDS
CAN BE EXPECTED OVER THE SIERRA NEVADA RIDGES AND THROUGH FAVORED
CANYONS AS WELL AS THROUGH THE MOUNTAIN PASSES IN KERN COUNTY
THROUGH SUNDAY. A LOW PRESSURE SYSTEM WILL APPROACH FROM THE SOUTH
EARLY NEXT WEEK AND WILL BRING A CHANCE OF RAIN AND HIGH ELEVATION
SNOW LATE MONDAY AND TUESDAY. AN UNSETTLED WEATHER PATTERN WILL
CONTINUE THROUGH MOST OF NEXT WEEK.



Discussion from RNOFWFVEF

GUSTY NORTH WINDS ARE EXPECTED TODAY...ESPECIALLY DOWN
THE COLORADO RIVER VALLEY. LOCALLY BREEZY CONDITIONS MAY PERSIST
INTO SUNDAY. OTHERWISE...STRENGTHENING HIGH PRESSURE WILL LEAD TO
TEMPERATURES WARMING WELL ABOVE NORMAL OVER THE WEEKEND. A STORM
WILL AFFECT THE AREA WITH RAIN AND HIGH ELEVATION SNOW MONDAY INTO
TUESDAY. AFTER A BRIEF BREAK WEDNESDAY INTO THURSDAY THERE MAY BE
ANOTHER CHANCE OF PRECIPITATION THURSDAY NIGHT AND FRIDAY.



Discussion from PHXFWFPSR


WARM TEMPERATURES UNDER MOSTLY CLEAR SKIES ARE EXPECTED TODAY WITH
LOWER DESERT READINGS IN THE MID TO UPPER 70S. A LOW PRESSURE SYSTEM
WILL BEGIN TO AFFECT THE REGION LATE SUNDAY NIGHT BRINGING A RAPID
INCREASE IN MOISTURE. LIGHT RAIN IS LIKELY FOR MONDAY AFTERNOON THROUGH
EARLY MONDAY NIGHT. MINIMUM HUMIDITIES TODAY IN THE TEENS WILL
DRASTICALLY CHANGE ON MONDAY AS COOLER TEMPERATURES AND INCREASED
MOISTURE WILL RESULT IN AFTERNOON HUMIDITIES IN THE 25 TO 40 PERCENT
RANGE.

NOTE...ADDITIONAL FIRE WEATHER FORECAST INFORMATION CAN BE FOUND
IN THE AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION. SEE PRODUCT PHXAFDPSR.


############# Modify the discussions below ###############

ECC033-252230-

DISCUSSION FOR ORANGE ECC DISPATCH
230 AM PDT SUN JAN 25 2015


HIGH PRESSURE ALOFT OVER CALIFORNIA WILL CONTINUE WARMER WEATHER
TODAY. SURFACE HIGH PRESSURE OVER THE GREAT BASIN WILL BRING LOCALLY
STRONG GUSTY NORTHEAST TO EAST WINDS THIS MORNING...GRADUALLY
DIMINISHING THIS AFTERNOON. THE GUSTY WINDS COMBINED WITH LOW INLAND
HUMIDITIES WILL CAUSE NEAR CRITICAL FIRE WEATHER CONDITIONS AGAIN
TODAY. FOR MONDAY AND EARLY TUESDAY...A WEAK LOW PRESSURE SYSTEM
FROM THE SOUTHWEST WILL BRING SHOWERS...MORE LIKELY FOR THE
MOUNTAINS AND DESERTS. A SECOND WEAK LOW PRESSURE SYSTEM FROM THE
SOUTHWEST COULD BRING ANOTHER CHANCE OF SHOWERS FOR LATE IN THE WEEK.

$$

ECC034-252230-

DISCUSSION FOR RIVERSIDE ECC DISPATCH
230 AM PDT SUN JAN 25 2015


HIGH PRESSURE ALOFT OVER CALIFORNIA WILL CONTINUE WARMER WEATHER
TODAY. SURFACE HIGH PRESSURE OVER THE GREAT BASIN WILL BRING LOCALLY
STRONG GUSTY NORTHEAST TO EAST WINDS THIS MORNING...GRADUALLY
DIMINISHING THIS AFTERNOON. THE GUSTY WINDS COMBINED WITH LOW INLAND
HUMIDITIES WILL CAUSE NEAR CRITICAL FIRE WEATHER CONDITIONS AGAIN
TODAY. FOR MONDAY AND EARLY TUESDAY...A WEAK LOW PRESSURE SYSTEM
FROM THE SOUTHWEST WILL BRING SHOWERS...MORE LIKELY FOR THE
MOUNTAINS AND DESERTS. A SECOND WEAK LOW PRESSURE SYSTEM FROM THE
SOUTHWEST COULD BRING ANOTHER CHANCE OF SHOWERS FOR LATE IN THE WEEK.

$$

ECC035-252230-

DISCUSSION FOR MONTE VISTA ECC DISPATCH
230 AM PDT SUN JAN 25 2015


HIGH PRESSURE ALOFT OVER CALIFORNIA WILL CONTINUE WARMER WEATHER
TODAY. SURFACE HIGH PRESSURE OVER THE GREAT BASIN WILL BRING LOCALLY
STRONG GUSTY NORTHEAST TO EAST WINDS THIS MORNING...GRADUALLY
DIMINISHING THIS AFTERNOON. THE GUSTY WINDS COMBINED WITH LOW INLAND
HUMIDITIES WILL CAUSE NEAR CRITICAL FIRE WEATHER CONDITIONS AGAIN
TODAY. FOR MONDAY AND EARLY TUESDAY...A WEAK LOW PRESSURE SYSTEM
FROM THE SOUTHWEST WILL BRING SHOWERS...MORE LIKELY FOR THE
MOUNTAINS AND DESERTS. A SECOND WEAK LOW PRESSURE SYSTEM FROM THE
SOUTHWEST COULD BRING ANOTHER CHANCE OF SHOWERS FOR LATE IN THE WEEK.

$$




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