Suppression Forecast
Issued by NWS Amarillo, TX

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150
FNUS74 KAMA 130259
FWSAMA

SPOT FORECAST FOR SOUTH ROSITA RX...NATIONAL PARK SERVICE
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE AMARILLO TX
859 PM CST FRI FEB 12 2016

FORECAST IS BASED ON IGNITION TIME OF 1000 CST ON FEBRUARY 13.
IF CONDITIONS BECOME UNREPRESENTATIVE...CONTACT THE NATIONAL WEATHER
SERVICE.

.DISCUSSION...
SOUTHERLY WINDS WILL PICK UP TO AROUND 20 MPH AT THE BURN SITE
BY LATE IN THE MORNING ON SATURDAY. WINDS WILL THEN SHIFT TO THE
NORTH BEHIND A COLD FRONT EARLY SUNDAY MORNING BEFORE SUNRISE.

.SATURDAY...

SKY/WEATHER.........SUNNY (10-20 PERCENT). PATCHY FOG EARLY IN THE
                    MORNING.
MAX TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 69.
MIN HUMIDITY........22 PERCENT.
WIND (20 FT)........SOUTH WINDS 9 TO 17 MPH INCREASING TO 18 TO 22
                    MPH WITH GUSTS TO AROUND 35 MPH IN THE
                    AFTERNOON.
CHANCE OF PCPN......0 PERCENT.
LAL.................1.
HAINES INDEX........4 OR LOW POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME DOMINATED
                    FIRE GROWTH.
MIXING HEIGHT.......1000-2500 FT AGL.
MIXING WINDS........SOUTH 14 TO 22 MPH SHIFTING TO THE SOUTHWEST 22
                    TO 26 MPH IN THE AFTERNOON.

TIME (CST)      10 AM  NOON   2 PM   4 PM
SKY (%).........MCLEAR MCLEAR MCLEAR MCLEAR
WEATHER COV.....
WEATHER TYPE....NONE   NONE   NONE   NONE
TEMP............47     60     67     69
RH..............50     33     25     22
20 FT WIND......S 15   S 21   S 21   S 20
20 FT WIND GUST.25     30     30     30
CHC OF PCPN (%).0      0      0      0
HAINES INDEX....4      4      4      4

.SATURDAY NIGHT...

SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY CLEAR (15-25 PERCENT).
MIN TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 36.
MAX HUMIDITY........72 PERCENT.
WIND (20 FT)........NORTHWEST WINDS 10 TO 17 MPH.
CHANCE OF PCPN......0 PERCENT.
LAL.................1.
HAINES INDEX........5 OR MODERATE POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME
                    DOMINATED FIRE GROWTH.
MIXING HEIGHT.......0-500 FT AGL.
MIXING WINDS........SOUTHWEST 12 TO 20 MPH SHIFTING TO THE NORTH
                    AROUND 20 MPH EARLY IN THE MORNING.

TIME (CST)      6 PM   8 PM   10 PM  MIDNGT 2 AM   4 AM
SKY (%).........MCLEAR MCLEAR MCLEAR MCLEAR MCLEAR PCLDY
WEATHER COV.....
WEATHER TYPE....NONE   NONE   NONE   NONE   NONE   NONE
TEMP............63     53     48     44     41     39
RH..............26     39     48     57     64     67
20 FT WIND......S 17   S 14   S 13   SW 12  W 10   NW 10
20 FT WIND GUST.25     20     20     15     15     15
CHC OF PCPN (%).0      0      0      0      0      0
HAINES INDEX....5      5      5      5      5      5

.SUNDAY...

SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY SUNNY (25-35 PERCENT).
MIN HUMIDITY........20 PERCENT.
WIND (20 FT)........EAST WINDS 7 TO 13 MPH.
CHANCE OF PCPN......0 PERCENT.
LAL.................1.
HAINES INDEX........4 OR LOW POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME DOMINATED
                    FIRE GROWTH.
MIXING HEIGHT.......500-1500 FT AGL INCREASING TO 2500-4000 FT AGL
                    LATE IN THE MORNING.
MIXING WINDS........NORTH 18 TO 24 MPH DECREASING TO 9 TO 14 MPH IN
                    THE LATE MORNING AND EARLY AFTERNOON...THEN
                    SHIFTING TO THE SOUTHWEST 2 TO 8 MPH EARLY IN
                    THE AFTERNOON.

TIME (CST)      6 AM   8 AM   10 AM  NOON   2 PM   4 PM
SKY (%).........PCLDY  PCLDY  PCLDY  PCLDY  PCLDY  PCLDY
WEATHER COV.....
WEATHER TYPE....NONE   NONE   NONE   NONE   NONE   NONE
RH..............71     70     45     30     23     20
20 FT WIND......N 12   N 10   N 12   NE 13  NE 10  NE 8
20 FT WIND GUST.15     15     15     20     15     10
CHC OF PCPN (%).0      0      0      0      0      0
HAINES INDEX....3      3      3      4      4      4

$$
FORECASTER...GOEHRING
REQUESTED BY...TODD WOOD
TYPE OF REQUEST...PRESCRIBED
.TAG 20160213.SOUTH.01/AMA



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