Suppression Forecast
Issued by NWS Amarillo, TX

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FNUS74 KAMA 222229
FWSAMA

Spot Forecast FOR DUNCAN FIRE...HUTCHINSON COUNTY EM
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE Amarillo TX
529 PM CDT Sat Jul 22 2017

Forecast is based on request time of 2200 CDT on July 22.
If conditions become unrepresentative, contact the National Weather
Service.

.DISCUSSION...
Partly to mostly cloudy skies will prevail at the fire site through
Sunday. Isolated to scattered showers and thunderstorms, some slow
moving with locally very heavy rainfall, can be expected at the
fire site tonight through Sunday, especially after 2300 hours tonight
to 0100 hours Sunday morning. Winds will be mainly out of the south
and southwest however thunderstorms will create outflow boundaries
which will result in strong and erratic winds at times. These winds
should likely be from the east and southeast and could gust to 40 to
50 mph with the stronger storms.

.TONIGHT...

Smoke dispersal.....Fair to excellent (20000-62500 knot-ft)
                    decreasing to poor (0-9000 knot-ft) in
                    the late evening and overnight.
Min temperature.....Around 68.
LAL.................2.
Max humidity........70 percent.
Sky/weather.........Partly cloudy (35-45 percent). Isolated showers
                    and thunderstorms.
Transport winds.....South 6 to 14 mph shifting to the southwest 17
                    to 21 mph late in the night.
Mixing height.......12500 ft AGL decreasing to 0-500 ft AGL.
20-foot winds.......West winds 5 to 9 mph. Gusty and erratic winds
                    expected near thunderstorms.
Haines Index........3 OR very low potential for large plume
                    dominated fire growth.
Chance of Pcpn......20 percent.

Time (CDT)      10 PM  Midngt 2 AM   4 AM
Sky (%).........PCLDY  PCLDY  PCLDY  PCLDY
Weather Cov.....ISOLTD ISOLTD ISOLTD ISOLTD
Weather Type....RNSHWR RNSHWR RNSHWR RNSHWR
Temp............85     80     77     74
RH..............37     45     52     59
20 Ft Wind......S 8    SW 7   SW 7   W 5
20 Ft Wind Gust.10     10     10
Chc of Pcpn (%).20     20     10     10
Haines Index....3      3      3      3
VentR KtFt/1000.0      0      6      9

.SUNDAY...

Smoke dispersal.....Poor to good (0-38500 knot-ft) increasing to
                    good to excellent (56000-70000 knot-ft) late in
                    the afternoon.
Max temperature.....Around 97.
LAL.................2 until 1300, then 3.
Min humidity........28 percent.
Sky/weather.........Partly sunny (45-55 percent). Slight chance of
                    showers and thunderstorms in the morning, then
                    chance of showers and thunderstorms in the
                    afternoon.
Transport winds.....East 6 to 12 mph.
Mixing height.......0-1500 ft AGL increasing to 7000 ft AGL.
20-foot winds.......East winds 5 to 9 mph. Gusty and erratic winds
                    expected near thunderstorms.
Haines Index........3 OR very low potential for large plume
                    dominated fire growth.
Chance of Pcpn......20 percent.

Time (CDT)      6 AM   8 AM   10 AM  Noon   2 PM   4 PM
Sky (%).........PCLDY  PCLDY  PCLDY  PCLDY  PCLDY  MCLDY
Weather Cov.....ISOLTD S CHC  S CHC  S CHC  CHANCE CHANCE
Weather Type....RNSHWR RNSHWR RNSHWR RNSHWR RNSHWR RNSHWR
Temp............70     73     82     88     93     96
RH..............68     62     47     36     31     28
20 Ft Wind......NW 5   NW 6   N 9    N 7    NE 7   E 6
20 Ft Wind Gust.       10     10     10     10     10
Chc of Pcpn (%).10     20     20     20     30     30
Haines Index....3      3      3      3      3      3
VentR KtFt/1000.5      3      8      14     28     56

$$
Forecaster...Schneider
Requested by...J LANGWELL
Type of request...WILDFIRE
.TAG 1713181.0/AMA



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