Suppression Forecast
Issued by NWS Bismarck, ND

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FNUS73 KBIS 271529
FWSBIS

Spot Forecast for Community Rx-Cannon Ball...BIA-ND-SRA
National Weather Service Bismarck ND
1029 AM CDT Mon Mar 27 2017

Forecast is based on ignition time of 1100 CDT on March 27.
If conditions become unrepresentative...contact the National Weather
Service.

.DISCUSSION...

Low pressure remains west of North Dakota with a ridge of high
pressure across Minnesota. This will maintain a southeasterly low
level flow during daylight hours across the burn area today and
tomorrow. Dry and mild conditions will also continue.

.REST OF TODAY...

Sky/weather.........Partly sunny.
CWR.................0 percent.
Chance of pcpn......0 percent.
LAL.................1.
Max temperature.....Around 58.
Min humidity........44 percent.
Wind (20 ft)........Light winds this morning becoming southeast 5 to
                    10 mph in the afternoon.
Mixing height.......800-2000 ft AGL increasing to 5100-5200 ft AGL.
Transport winds.....Southeast 5 to 10 mph.
Smoke dispersal.....Poor to good.
Haines Index........4 (low).

TIME (CDT)      11A 12P 1PM 2PM 3PM 4PM 5PM
Sky (%).........33  37  38  38  49  45  61
CWR.............0   0   0   0   0   0   0
Chc of pcpn (%).0   0   0   0   0   0   0
LAL.............1   1   1   1   1   1   1
Temp............45  50  54  56  57  58  58
RH..............75  66  57  50  46  45  44
20 FT wind dir..SE  S   S   SE  SE  SE  SE
20 FT wind spd..3   4   5   5   5   6   6
20 FT wind gust.5   5   10  10  10  10  10
Mix hgt (kft)...0.8 1.4 2.0 3.0 4.1 5.2 5.1
Transp wind dir.S   S   S   S   S   SE  SE
Transp wind spd.5   5   7   7   7   9   9
Haines index....4   4   4   4   4   4   4

.TONIGHT...

Sky/weather.........Partly cloudy.
CWR.................0 percent.
Chance of pcpn......0 percent.
LAL.................1.
Min temperature.....Around 34.
Max humidity........96 percent.
Wind (20 ft)........East winds 5 to 6 mph.
Mixing height.......3400-5000 ft AGL decreasing to 200-1900 ft AGL
                    in the late evening and overnight.
Transport winds.....Southeast 6 to 9 mph.
Smoke dispersal.....Poor to good.

TIME (CDT)      6PM 7PM 8PM 9PM 10P 11P MID 1AM 2AM 3AM 4AM 5AM
Sky (%).........53  53  50  53  49  45  41  37  36  35  35  41
CWR.............0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0
Chc of pcpn (%).0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0
LAL.............1   1   1   1   1   1   1   1   1   1   1   1
Temp............57  56  53  50  48  45  44  42  40  39  37  36
RH..............47  49  54  60  66  72  75  79  81  86  91  93
20 FT wind dir..E   E   E   E   E   E   E   SE  E   E   E   E
20 FT wind spd..6   6   6   6   6   6   6   6   6   6   6   6
20 FT wind gust.10  10  10  10  10  10  10  10  10  10  10  10
Mix hgt (kft)...5.0 4.9 3.4 1.9 0.4 0.4 0.3 0.3 0.3 0.2 0.2 0.3
Transp wind dir.SE  SE  SE  SE  SE  SE  SE  SE  SE  SE  E   E
Transp wind spd.9   9   9   9   6   6   6   6   6   6   6   6
Haines index....3   3   3   3   3   3   4   4   4   4   4   4

.TUESDAY...

Sky/weather.........Partly sunny.
CWR.................0 percent.
Chance of pcpn......10 percent.
LAL.................1.
Max temperature.....Around 56.
Min humidity........49 percent.
Wind (20 ft)........Southeast winds up to 8 mph.
Mixing height.......100-1400 ft AGL increasing to 6900-7600 ft AGL.
Transport winds.....Northeast 3 to 6 mph shifting to the southeast
                    12 to 14 mph in the afternoon.
Smoke dispersal.....Poor increasing to excellent early
                    in the afternoon.
Haines Index........3 to 4 (very low) to (low).

TIME (CDT)      6 AM      9 AM      NOON      3 PM
Sky (%).........46        55        59        66
CWR.............0         0         0         0
Chc of pcpn (%).0         0         0         10
LAL.............1         1         1         1
Temp............35        37        48        55
RH..............93        92        68        51
20 FT wind......E 6G10    E 6       E 6G10    SE 8G10
Mix hgt (ft)....300       200       2600      6300
Transport wind..E 6       NE 3      NE 3      SE 12
Haines index....3         3         4         3

$$
Forecaster...HEINERT
Requested by...Jeff Casey
Type of request...PRESCRIBED
.TAG 1705273.0/BIS
.EMAIL Jeffrey.Casey@bia.gov



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