Suppression Forecast
Issued by NWS Denver/Boulder, CO

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FNUS75 KBOU 281439
FWSBOU

SPOT FORECAST FOR NIX FARM PATCH BURNS...CITY OF FORT COLLINS
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE DENVER/BOULDER CO
839 AM MDT TUE JUL 28 2015

FORECAST IS BASED ON IGNITION TIME OF 0900 MDT ON JULY 28.
IF CONDITIONS BECOME UNREPRESENTATIVE...CONTACT THE NATIONAL
WEATHER SERVICE.

.DISCUSSION...A COOLER AND DRYER AIRMASS IS IN PLACE TODAY AS SURFACE
HIGH PRESSURE BUILDS ACROSS COLORADO.  ANY THUNDERSTORMS THIS EVENING
WILL BE LIMITED TO AREAS SOUTH OF LARIMER COUNTY.  TOMORROW ALSO LOOKS
DRY FOR FORT COLLINS...WITH A FEW THUNDERSTORMS OVER THE NORTHERN MOUNTAINS.

.TODAY...

SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY SUNNY.
MAX TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 84.
MIN HUMIDITY........14%.
WIND (20 FT)........NORTHWEST WINDS 8-9 MPH UNTIL 0900...THEN
                    UPSLOPE/UPVALLEY 4-10 MPH UNTIL 1200...THEN
                    SOUTHEAST 6-12 MPH.
LAL.................1.
HAINES INDEX........4 LOW.
MIXING HEIGHT.......BELOW 1000 FT AGL UNTIL 0700. 8800-9800 FT AGL
                    AFTER 1200.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....NORTHWEST 10-20 MPH UNTIL 1200...THEN LIGHT.
SMOKE DISPERSAL.....POOR UNTIL 1400...THEN FAIR.

.TONIGHT...
SKY/WEATHER.........PARTLY CLOUDY(30-40%).
MIN TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 56.
MAX HUMIDITY........57%.
WIND (20 FT)........EAST WINDS 6-12 MPH UNTIL 2100...THEN
                    DOWNSLOPE/DOWNVALLEY 2-8 MPH.
LAL.................1.
HAINES INDEX........3 VERY LOW.
MIXING HEIGHT.......9300 FT AGL UNTIL 1900. BELOW 1000 FT AGL AFTER
                    2100.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....LIGHT WINDS.
SMOKE DISPERSAL.....FAIR UNTIL 1900. POOR AFTER 2100.

.WEDNESDAY...
SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY SUNNY UNTIL 1200...THEN PARTLY
                    CLOUDY(35-45%).
MAX TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 83.
MIN HUMIDITY........31%.
WIND (20 FT)........UPSLOPE/UPVALLEY 4-10 MPH UNTIL 1200...THEN
                    SOUTHEAST 8-9 MPH.
LAL.................1.
HAINES INDEX........3 VERY LOW.
MIXING HEIGHT.......BELOW 1000 FT AGL UNTIL 0700. 10600-11000 FT
                    AGL AFTER 1500.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....SOUTH 10-15 MPH.
SMOKE DISPERSAL.....POOR UNTIL 0800. FAIR AFTER 0900.


FIRE WEATHER TABLE FOR NIX FARM PATCH BURNS.

+++  DATA IN THE FOLLOWING TABLE HAS BEEN SAMPLED DIRECTLY FROM THE
     FORECAST DATABASE.  VALUES IN THE TABLE MAY VARY SLIGHTLY FROM
     INFORMATION IN THE NARRATIVE FORECAST.  FEEDBACK WELCOME.  +++

FORECAST SC PP WR AT RH  20-FT  G H L  15KFT  MIXG  TRANS VENTL  AJTV
VALID AT  %  %  %  F  %   WIND  S I A   WIND   HGT   WIND  RATE RATNG
                           MPH  T   L    MPH   AGL    MPH KT-FT

07/28-08  0  0  0 60 38 WNW  7  7 3 1  SW 31  1760  NW 14 20842 P
07/28-09  0  0  0 65 33 SSW  7  7 3 1 WSW 31  2258  NW 12 22377 P
07/28-10  3  0  0 69 29   S  8  8 3 1 WSW 33  4030 WNW  9 33433 P
07/28-11  7  0  0 74 26   S  8  8 2 1 WSW 36  5802   W  8 38763 P
07/28-12 10  0  0 79 22 SSE  9  9 2 1 WSW 38  7574   W  6 38368 P
07/28-13 12  0  0 81 20 SSE  9  9 2 1 WSW 36  8442 WSW  6 44084  F
07/28-14 13  1  0 83 18 SSE  8  8 2 1 WSW 35  9310  SW  6 50071  F
07/28-15 15  3  1 84 15  SE  9  9 2 1 WSW 32 10178  SW  7 56329  F
07/28-16 20  4  1 84 14  SE  9  9 2 1 WSW 28  9890 SSW  7 54680  F
07/28-17 25  5  1 83 16 ESE  9  9 3 1 WSW 22  9601 SSW  7 53034  F
07/28-18 30  5  1 81 18 ESE  9  9 3 1 WSW 17  9313   S  7 51391  F
07/28-19 32  5  1 78 20 ESE  8  8 3 1 WSW 16  6468   S  6 32269 P
07/28-20 33  5  1 74 23   E  7  7 3 1 WSW 15  3622  SE  5 16156 P
07/28-21 35  5  1 71 27   E  6  6 3 1 WSW 13   777 ESE  5  3053 P
07/28-22 36  5  1 68 29   E  5  5 3 1 WSW 16   795 ESE  5  3358 P
07/28-23 37  5  1 66 34  NE  5  5 2 1 WSW 20   814   E  6  3673 P
07/29-00 38  4  1 65 37 NNE  5  5 2 1  SW 23   832 ENE  6  3999 P
07/29-01 38  4  1 63 39   N  5  5 2 1  SW 24   799  NE  6  3784 P
07/29-02 38  4  1 61 43   N  6  6 2 1  SW 25   766   N  6  3575 P
07/29-03 38  4  1 59 46   N  6  6 2 1 WSW 26   732   N  6  3369 P
07/29-04 35  4  1 57 50   N  6  6 2 1 WSW 25   744   N  5  3331 P
07/29-05 28  3  1 56 55   N  6  6 2 1 WSW 24   756   N  5  3290 P
07/29-06 25  2  0 56 55   N  6  6 2 1 WSW 23   768   N  5  3245 P
07/29-07 25  2  0 58 52  NE  6  6 2 1   W 21  1919  NE  8 13085 P
07/29-08 25  2  0 61 48   E  7  7 2 1   W 20  3071  SE 10 28892 P
07/29-09 25  2  0 66 42   E  7  7 2 1   W 17  4222   S 14 52581  F
07/29-10 25  2  0 70 38 ESE  8  8 2 1   W 17  5088   S 13 56914  F
07/29-11 25  2  0 74 35  SE  8  8 2 1   W 17  5955   S 12 59047  F
07/29-12 39  8  2 77 33 SSE  9 14 2 1   W 18  6821   S 10 58980  F
07/29-13 39  8  2 79 33 SSE  9 14 2 1   W 18  8213   S  9 61917   G
07/29-14 39  8  2 81 32 SSE  9 14 3 1   W 20  9605   S  7 61771   G
07/29-15 39  8  2 82 32 SSE  9 14 3 1   W 18 10997   S  6 58540  F
07/29-16 39  8  2 83 31 SSE 10 15 3 1   W 18 10788   S  6 59199  F
07/29-17 39  8  2 83 31 SSE 10 16 3 1   W 17 10579   S  7 59790  F
07/29-18 39  8  2 81 33  SE 10 16 3 1 WNW 15 10371   S  7 60312   G
07/29-19 39  8  2 79 37 SSE  9  9 3 1 WNW 13  8138   S  8 55754  F
07/29-20 39  8  2 75 44 SSE  7  7 3 1 WNW 12  5906 SSE  9 46576  F
07/29-21 39  8  2 71 53 SSE  6  6 3 1 WNW 12  3674 SSE 10 32777 P
07/29-22 39  8  2 68 60  SE  5  5 3 1 WNW 14  2685 ESE  8 17956 P
07/29-23 39  8  2 66 65   E  3  3 3 1   W 16  1696 ENE  5  7554 P
07/30-00 15  2  0 64 70 ENE  3  3 3 1   W 18   707 NNE  2  1570 P
07/30-01 15  2  0 63 71  NE  5  5 3 1   W 18   690 NNE  3  2220 P
07/30-02 15  2  0 62 72   N  5  5 3 1   W 17   673   N  5  2836 P
07/30-03 15  2  0 61 72 NNW  6  6 3 1   W 15   656 NNW  6  3419 P
07/30-04 15  2  0 59 76 NNW  6  6 3 1   W 13   685 NNW  6  3633 P
07/30-05 15  2  0 58 76  NW  5  5 3 1   W 12   713 NNW  6  3853 P
07/30-06 13  1  0 58 75  NW  5  5 3 1   W 10   742 NNW  6  4079 P
07/30-07 13  1  0 61 67 NNW  5  5 3 1   W  9  2012 NNW  6 11000 P
07/30-08 13  1  0 65 57   N  5  5 3 1   W  9  3283   N  6 17837 P
07/30-09 13  1  0 70 47   N  5  5 3 1   W  9  4553 NNE  6 24591 P
07/30-10 13  1  0 75 37 NNE  5  5 3 1   W  9  6431 NNE  5 26730 P
07/30-11 13  1  0 79 31 ENE  5  5 3 1   W 10  8308  NE  3 24195 P
07/30-12 23  3  1 83 25   E  5  5 3 1   W 12 10186  NE  2 16986 P
07/30-13 23  3  1 85 24   E  5  5 3 1   W 13 10752 NNE  2 16943 P
07/30-14 23  3  1 87 23   E  5  5 3 1 WNW 15 11319   CALM 16795 P
07/30-15 23  3  1 88 23   E  5  5 3 1 WNW 16 11885   CALM 16544 P
07/30-16 23  3  1 89 21   E  5  5 3 1 WNW 17 11634   CALM 13102 P
07/30-17 23  3  1 89 20 ESE  6  6 3 1 WNW 16 11382   CALM  9795 P
07/30-18 28  3  1 87 21 ESE  6  6 3 1  NW 16 11131   CALM  6620 P
07/30-19 28  3  1 83 24   E  6  6 3 1  NW 15  8062   CALM  5932 P
07/30-20 28  3  1 78 29 ENE  6  6 3 1  NW 14  4992   CALM  4378 P
07/30-21 28  3  1 74 35  NE  5  5 3 1  NW 14  1923   CALM  1958 P
07/30-22 28  3  1 71 42 NNE  5  5 3 1 WNW 13  1583   CALM  2244 P
07/30-23 28  3  1 69 48   N  3  3 3 1   W 12  1242 NNE  2  2257 P
07/31-00 18  3  1 67 54   N  3  3 3 1   W 12   902 NNW  2  1999 P
07/31-01 18  3  1 66 58   N  3  3 3 1   W 12   820 NNW  3  2410 P
07/31-02 18  3  1 64 63 NNW  2  2 3 1 WNW 13   739 NNW  5  2703 P
07/31-03 18  3  1 62 69 NNW  2  2 3 1 WNW 14   657 NNW  5  2879 P
07/31-04 18  3  1 60 74 NNW  2  2 3 1 WNW 13   672 NNW  5  2891 P
07/31-05 18  3  1 59 77  NW  2  2 3 1 WNW 12   687  NW  5  2900 P
07/31-06 19  3  1 60 75  NW  2  2 3 1 WNW 10   703  NW  5  2906 P

KEY:

FORECAST    - MONTH/DAY-HOUR OF FORECAST
VALID AT    - /24-HOUR CLOCK LOCAL TIME/
SC          - SKY COVER /PERCENT/
PP          - PROBABILITY OF PRECIPITATION 0.01 INCH /PERCENT/
WR          - PROBABILITY OF WETTING RAIN 0.10 INCH /PERCENT/
AT          - TEMPERATURE /DEGREES F/
RH          - RELATIVE HUMIDITY /PERCENT/
20-FT WIND  - 20-FOOT WIND /MPH/
GST         - 20-FOOT WIND GUST /MPH/
HI          - HAINES INDEX
LAL         - LIGHTNING ACTIVITY LEVEL
15KFT WIND  - 15000 FEET ABOVE MEAN SEA LEVEL FREE-AIR WINDS /MPH/
MIXG HGT    - MIXING HEIGHT /FEET ABOVE GROUND LEVEL/
TRANS WIND  - TRANSPORT WINDS /MPH/
VENTL RATE  - VENTILATION RATE /KNOT-FEET/
AJTV RATNG  - SMOKE DISPERSION ADJECTIVE RATING
                P - POOR  F - FAIR  G - GOOD
                V - VERY GOOD  E - EXCELLENT

$$
FORECASTER...RTG
REQUESTED BY...JENNIFER ROBERTS
TYPE OF REQUEST...PRESCRIBED
.TAG 20150728.NIXFA.01/BOU



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