Suppression Forecast
Issued by NWS Denver/Boulder, CO

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000
FNUS75 KBOU 181426
FWSBOU

Spot Forecast for Watertank...Boulder Fire
National Weather Service Denver/Boulder CO
806 AM MDT Wed Oct 18 2017

Forecast is based on ignition time of 0800 MDT on October 18.
If conditions become unrepresentative...contact the National Weather
Service.

.DISCUSSION...A weak dry cold front will shift wind from west to
east around mid day. Clouds associated with a mountain wave will
dissipate today as drier air moves into the area. A soutwestherly
wind around 5 mph will redevelop around 2100.


.REST OF TODAY...

Sky/weather.........Mostly cloudy until 1100, then partly
                    cloudy(30-40%) until 1200, then sunny.
CWR.................0 percent.
Max temperature.....Around 72.
Min humidity........10%.
Wind (20 ft)........Southwest winds 5-11 mph until 1200, then east
                    5-6 mph.
Mixing height.......1500-2500 ft AGL until 1100, then 6200-7200 ft
                    AGL until 1700, then 4400 ft AGL.
Transport winds.....West 10-15 mph.
Smoke dispersal.....Poor until 1500, then fair until 1600, then
                    poor.
Haines Index........5 moderate.

.TONIGHT...

Sky/weather.........Clear.
CWR.................0 percent.
Min temperature.....Around 43.
Max humidity........36%.
Wind (20 ft)........Southeast winds 4-8 mph until 2100, then west 5-6
                    mph.
Mixing height.......1100-2100 ft AGL.
Transport winds.....South around 10 mph until 2400, then west.
Smoke dispersal.....Poor.
Haines Index........5 moderate.

.THURSDAY...

Sky/weather.........Mostly sunny until 0900, then partly cloudy
                    until 1200, then mostly sunny until 1300, then
                    partly cloudy(35-45%).
CWR.................0 percent.
Max temperature.....Around 70.
Min humidity........20%.
Wind (20 ft)........Northwest winds 4-5 mph until 1200, then
                    northeast.
Mixing height.......1300-2300 ft AGL until 1300, then 4000-5000 ft
                    AGL.
Transport winds.....West 10-15 mph.
Smoke dispersal.....Poor.
Haines Index........5 moderate.


Fire Weather Table for Watertank.

+++  Data in the following table has been sampled directly from the
     forecast database.  Values in the table may vary slightly from
     information in the narrative forecast.  Feedback welcome.  +++

FORECAST SC PP WR AT RH  20-FT  G H L  15KFT  MIXG  TRANS VENTL  AJTV
VALID AT  %  %  %  F  %   WIND  S I A   WIND   HGT   WIND  RATE RATNG
                           MPH  T   L    MPH   AGL    MPH KT-FT

10/18-08 66  0  0 61 15 WSW  9  9 5 1         1113   W 13 12390 P
10/18-09 68  0  0 61 16 WSW  7  7 5 1         1158 WNW 13 12880 P
10/18-10 61  0  0 61 16 SSW  7  7 5 1         2870 WNW 10 24939 P
10/18-11 34  0  0 62 16  SE  7  7 5 1         4581   W  7 28679 P
10/18-12  6  0  0 67 13 ESE  7  7 5 1         6292   W  5 24101 P
10/18-13  6  0  0 71 11 ESE  7  7 5 1         6774   W  5 29620 P
10/18-14  6  0  0 72 10   E  6  6 5 1         7255   W  6 35661 P
10/18-15  6  0  0 71 11   E  6  6 5 1         7736 WSW  6 42224  F
10/18-16  4  0  0 69 12   E  5  5 5 1         6060  SW  7 33447 P
10/18-17  3  0  0 66 13   E  3  3 5 1         4383   S  7 24462 P
10/18-18  1  0  0 61 16 ENE  3  3 5 1         2706 SSE  7 15271 P
10/18-19  3  0  0 58 19 NNE  5  5 4 1         2311   S  7 14346 P
10/18-20  3  0  0 54 23  NW  5  5 4 1         1916   S  8 12975 P
10/18-21  4  0  0 52 26   W  6  6 4 1         1521   S  8 11157 P
10/18-22  4  0  0 50 28   W  6  6 4 1         1413 SSW  8  9814 P
10/18-23  4  0  0 49 29 WNW  5  5 4 1         1306 WSW  8  8555 P
10/19-00  5  0  0 48 30 WNW  5  5 4 1         1199   W  7  7380 P
10/19-01  8  0  0 47 31 WNW  6  6 4 1         1136   W  7  6866 P
10/19-02 10  0  0 46 32 WNW  6  6 5 1         1073   W  7  6366 P
10/19-03 13  0  0 45 34 WNW  7  7 5 1         1010   W  7  5426 P
10/19-04 16  0  0 44 34 WNW  7  7 5 1         1049   W  6  5320 P
10/19-05 18  0  0 43 36   W  6  6 5 1         1036   W  6  5214 P
10/19-06 21  2  0 44 35   W  5  5 5 1         1022   W  6  4654 P
10/19-07 23  2  0 45 37   W  5  5 5 1         1035   W  5  4313 P
10/19-08 28  2  0 48 36   W  5  5 5 1         1049   W  5  3961 P
10/19-09 30  2  0 51 35   W  5  5 5 1         1062   W  3  3599 P
10/19-10 30  2  0 56 30  NW  5  5 5 1         1553   W  3  5301 P
10/19-11 30  2  0 61 26  NE  5  5 5 1         2044 WNW  3  7028 P
10/19-12 29  6  1 65 23   E  5  5 5 1         2535  NW  3  8779 P
10/19-13 32  6  1 68 21 ENE  5  5 4 1         3755 WNW  5 13381 P
10/19-14 37  6  1 70 20 ENE  3  3 4 1         4975   W  5 18227 P
10/19-15 39  6  1 70 21 ENE  3  3 4 1         6195 WSW  5 23317 P
10/19-16 43  6  1 68 23  NE  3  3 4 1         4725   W  5 17366 P
10/19-17 52  6  1 66 24   N  3  3 3 1         3255 WNW  5 11675 P
10/19-18 56  3  1 62 29 NNW  3  3 3 1         1785  NW  3  6244 P
10/19-19 52  3  1 58 34  NW  5  5 3 1         1576 WNW  5  6302 P
10/19-20 44  3  1 55 39   W  5  5 3 1         1366   W  6  6149 P
10/19-21 40  3  1 53 43   W  6  6 3 1         1156   W  6  5786 P
10/19-22 37  3  1 51 47   W  6  6 3 1         1096   W  7  6058 P
10/19-23 32  3  1 50 50   W  6  6 3 1         1036   W  7  6266 P
10/20-00 29  1  0 50 50   W  6  6 3 1          975   W  8  6411 P
10/20-01 27  1  0 50 48   W  6  6 3 1          977   W  8  7146 P
10/20-02 22  1  0 49 48   W  6  6 3 1          979   W  9  7885 P
10/20-03 19  1  0 49 46   W  6  6 3 1          981   W 10  8626 P
10/20-04 17  1  0 48 47 WSW  6  6 3 1          981 WSW 12  9569 P
10/20-05 14  1  0 46 50 WSW  7  7 3 1          982 WSW 13 10512 P
10/20-06 12  1  0 46 51 WSW  7  7 3 1          982 WSW 14 11457 P
10/20-07 12  1  0 47 53 WSW  7  7 3 1         1007 WSW 13 10766 P
10/20-08 13  1  0 49 53 WSW  6  6 3 1         1031 WSW 12 10027 P
10/20-09 13  1  0 53 48 WSW  6  6 3 1         1055 WSW 10  9242 P
10/20-10 14  1  0 59 39 WSW  6  6 3 1         3055 WSW 14 36384 P
10/20-11 15  1  0 65 30  SW  7  7 3 1         5055 WSW 17 76124   G
10/20-12 15  1  0 70 24  SW  7  7 3 1         7055 WSW 21128462    V
10/20-13 17  1  0 72 22  SW  7  7 3 1         7695 WSW 21139299    V
10/20-14 20  1  0 73 21 WSW  6  6 3 1         8335 WSW 21150001     E
10/20-15 22  1  0 72 21 WSW  6  6 4 1         8975 WSW 21160568     E
10/20-16 27  1  0 71 22 WSW  7  7 3 1         7913 WSW 23154386     E
10/20-17 36  1  0 68 24   W  7  7 3 1         6851 WSW 24144764    V
10/20-18 40  3  1 65 27   W  8  8 3 1         5789 WSW 26131701    V
10/20-19 38  3  1 61 31   W  8  8 2 1         4763   W 24101165    V
10/20-20 34  3  1 56 36   W  8  8 2 1         3736   W 23 73726   G
10/20-21 32  3  1 53 39   W  8  8 2 1         2710   W 21 49384  F
10/20-22 35  3  1 51 42   W  7  7 2 1         2448   W 18 38049 P
10/20-23 41  3  1 50 43   W  7  7 2 1         2185   W 15 28119 P
10/21-00 44  6  1 49 44   W  6  6 2 1         1923 WNW 12 19594 P
10/21-01 46  6  1 47 46   W  6  6 2 1         1987   W 15 25583 P
10/21-02 49  6  1 45 47   W  6  6 2 1         2050   W 18 31915 P
10/21-03 51  6  1 43 49   W  6  6 2 1         2114   W 21 38588 P
10/21-04 51  6  1 41 51   W  6  6 2 1         2117   W 20 36283 P
10/21-05 52  6  1 39 54 WSW  7  7 2 1         2121   W 18 33971 P
10/21-06 52  5  1 39 52 WSW  7  7 2 1         2124   W 17

KEY:

FORECAST    - MONTH/DAY-HOUR OF FORECAST
VALID AT    - /24-HOUR CLOCK LOCAL TIME/
SC          - SKY COVER /PERCENT/
PP          - PROBABILITY OF PRECIPITATION 0.01 INCH /PERCENT/
WR          - PROBABILITY OF WETTING RAIN 0.10 INCH /PERCENT/
AT          - TEMPERATURE /DEGREES F/
RH          - RELATIVE HUMIDITY /PERCENT/
20-FT WIND  - 20-FOOT WIND /MPH/
GST         - 20-FOOT WIND GUST /MPH/
HI          - HAINES INDEX
LAL         - LIGHTNING ACTIVITY LEVEL
15KFT WIND  - 15000 FEET ABOVE MEAN SEA LEVEL FREE-AIR WINDS /MPH/
MIXG HGT    - MIXING HEIGHT /FEET ABOVE GROUND LEVEL/
TRANS WIND  - TRANSPORT WINDS /MPH/
VENTL RATE  - VENTILATION RATE /KNOT-FEET/
AJTV RATNG  - SMOKE DISPERSION ADJECTIVE RATING
                P - POOR  F - FAIR  G - GOOD
                V - VERY GOOD  E - EXCELLENT

$$
FORECASTER...ENTREKIN
REQUESTED BY...Michael Smith
TYPE OF REQUEST...PRESCRIBED
.TAG 1717458.0/BOU



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