Suppression Forecast
Issued by NWS Denver/Boulder, CO

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FNUS75 KBOU 271332 CCA
FWSBOU

SPOT FORECAST FOR RMA SEC 2 11...USFWS
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE DENVER/BOULDER CO
717 AM MDT FRI MAR 27 2015

...CORRECTION FOR A COUPLE OF MISSING WORDS IN DISCUSSION...

FORECAST IS BASED ON IGNITION TIME OF 0930 MDT ON MARCH 27. IF
CONDITIONS BECOME UNREPRESENTATIVE...CONTACT THE NATIONAL WEATHER
SERVICE.

.DISCUSSION...THE FRONT RANGE URBAN CORRIDOR REMAINS UNDER A
RELATIVELY STRONG NORTH-NORTHWESTERLY FLOW ALOFT WITH MID- AND
HIGH-LEVEL CLOUDS BEING CARRIED ALONG BY THIS FLOW. THROUGH THE
TODAY...AS THE FLOW ALOFT BECOMES MORE NORTHWESTERLY...CLOUDS SHOULD
GRADUALLY MOVE AWAY FROM THE FRONT RANGE CAUSING TEMPERATURES TO
STEADILY RISE TO LEVELS SEVERAL DEGREES ABOVE AVERAGE FOR THE DATE.
THIS WILL CAUSE SOME OF THE STRONGER FLOW ALOFT TO MIX DOWNWARD
RESULTING IN GUSTY NORTHWESTERLY SURFACE WINDS IN THE AFTERNOON. BY
THIS EVENING...WIND SPEEDS WILL DIMINISH WITH WINDS ESTABLISHING
THEIR TYPICAL DRAINAGE PATTERN OVERNIGHT AS SKIES CONTINUE TO CLEAR.

.TODAY...

SKY/WEATHER.........THEN PARTLY CLOUDY(50-60%) UNTIL 1300...
                    THEN PARTLY CLOUDY(35-45%) UNTIL 1700...
                    THEN BECOMING MOSTLY CLEAR AFTER 2000.
MAX TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 68.
MIN HUMIDITY........22%.
WIND (20 FT)........SOUTH-SOUTHWEST 3-7 MPH UNTIL 0930...THEN
                    WEST 4-8 MPH UNTIL 1100...THEN NORTHWEST 8-13
                    MPH. GUSTS TO AROUND 22 MPH AFTER 1330.
CWR.................0 PERCENT.
LAL.................1.
HAINES INDEX........3 VERY LOW.
MIXING HEIGHT.......BELOW 1000 FT AGL UNTIL 0800. 8500-9100 FT AGL
                    AFTER 1500.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....NORTHWEST 14-22 MPH AFTER 1000.
SMOKE DISPERSAL.....POOR UNTIL 1000...THEN VERY GOOD AFTER 1330.

.TONIGHT...
SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY CLEAR.
MIN TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 42.
MAX HUMIDITY........66%.
WIND (20 FT)........NORTHWEST WINDS 8-9 MPH UNTIL 2100...THEN
                    DOWNSLOPE/DOWNVALLEY 2-8 MPH.
CWR.................0 PERCENT.
LAL.................1.
HAINES INDEX........4 LOW.
MIXING HEIGHT.......8200 FT AGL UNTIL 1900. BELOW 1000 FT AGL AFTER
                    2400.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....WEST 10-15 MPH.
SMOKE DISPERSAL.....VERY GOOD UNTIL 1900. POOR AFTER 2400.

.SATURDAY...
SKY/WEATHER.........SUNNY.
MAX TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 75.
MIN HUMIDITY........16%.
WIND (20 FT)........UPSLOPE/UPVALLEY 4-10 MPH UNTIL 1500...THEN
                    WEST 6-12 MPH.
CWR.................0 PERCENT.
LAL.................1.
HAINES INDEX........5 MODERATE.
MIXING HEIGHT.......BELOW 1000 FT AGL UNTIL 1000. 10200-11200 FT
                    AGL AFTER 1200.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....WEST 10-20 MPH.
SMOKE DISPERSAL.....POOR UNTIL 1000. EXCELLENT AFTER 1400.


FIRE WEATHER TABLE FOR RMA SEC 2 11.

+++  DATA IN THE FOLLOWING TABLE HAS BEEN SAMPLED DIRECTLY FROM THE
     FORECAST DATABASE.  VALUES IN THE TABLE MAY VARY SLIGHTLY FROM
     INFORMATION IN THE NARRATIVE FORECAST.  FEEDBACK WELCOME.  +++

FORECAST SC PP WR AT RH  20-FT  G H L  15KFT  MIXG  TRANS VENTL  AJTV
VALID AT  %  %  %  F  %   WIND  S I A   WIND   HGT   WIND  RATE RATNG
                           MPH  T   L    MPH   AGL    MPH KT-FT

03/27-06 73  7  1 40 70 SSW  2  2 2 1 NNW 48   571   W 10  5042 P
03/27-07 75  6  1 43 65 SSW  3  3 2 1 NNW 45   903   W 13 11160 P
03/27-08 51  6  1 46 58  SW  5  5 3 1 NNW 41  1236   W 15 17279 P
03/27-09 50  4  1 48 54 WSW  6  6 3 1 NNW 38  1569   W 17 23397 P
03/27-10 49  4  1 51 48 WSW  7  7 3 1 NNW 35  3257 WNW 16 43791  F
03/27-11 52  3  1 56 38   W  7  7 3 1  NW 31  4945 WNW 15 64186   G
03/27-12 52  3  1 60 32 WNW  7  7 3 1  NW 28  6634  NW 15 84580   G
03/27-13 60  3  1 63 27 WNW  9  9 3 1  NW 30  7464  NW 16103670    V
03/27-14 60  4  1 65 25  NW 12 12 3 1  NW 32  8295  NW 17122760    V
03/27-15 63  4  1 67 23  NW 13 17 3 1 NNW 33  9125  NW 18141851    V
03/27-16 53  4  1 68 22  NW 13 17 3 1 NNW 36  8803  NW 17132202    V
03/27-17 49  4  1 68 23  NW 12 16 3 1 NNW 37  8482  NW 16122554    V
03/27-18 39  0  0 65 27  NW 10 10 3 1 NNW 38  8160  NW 16112906    V
03/27-19 40  0  0 62 31 WNW  9  9 3 1 NNW 37  6660  NW 16 91450   G
03/27-20 40  0  0 57 39   W  9  9 3 1 NNW 36  5161  NW 15 69995   G
03/27-21 41  0  0 53 46   W  8  8 3 1 NNW 35  3661  NW 15 48539  F
03/27-22 41  0  0 51 51   W  7  7 3 1 NNW 32  2643 WNW 14 34559 P
03/27-23 41  0  0 49 56 WSW  7  7 3 1 NNW 30  1626   W 14 20579 P
03/28-00 15  1  0 49 56  SW  7  7 3 1 NNW 29   608   W 13  6599 P
03/28-01 15  1  0 48 58  SW  7  7 3 1 NNW 28   588   W 13  6220 P
03/28-02 15  1  0 47 59  SW  8  8 3 1  NW 26   568   W 12  5840 P
03/28-03 16  1  0 45 63  SW  8  8 3 1  NW 25   548 WSW 12  5461 P
03/28-04 16  1  0 44 63 SSW  8  8 3 1  NW 25   546 WSW 10  5088 P
03/28-05 16  1  0 42 66 SSW  7  7 4 1  NW 24   543 WSW 10  4716 P
03/28-06  2  0  0 42 65 SSW  7  7 4 1  NW 24   541 WSW  9  4343 P
03/28-07  2  0  0 43 64 SSW  7  7 4 1  NW 23   602 WSW  9  4838 P
03/28-08  2  0  0 46 59 SSW  7  7 4 1  NW 22   664 WSW  9  5333 P
03/28-09  2  0  0 51 52 SSW  7  7 4 1  NW 21   725 WSW  9  5827 P
03/28-10  2  0  0 58 39 SSW  7  7 4 1  NW 20  3376   W 10 39401 P
03/28-11  2  0  0 64 30  SW  7  7 5 1 WNW 18  6027   W 13 72974   G
03/28-12 15  0  0 70 23  SW  7  7 5 1 WNW 17  8678   W 14106547    V
03/28-13 15  0  0 73 19 WSW  7  7 4 1 WNW 20  9617   W 15129549    V
03/28-14 15  0  0 75 17   W  8  8 4 1 WNW 22 10556   W 16152550     E
03/28-15 15  0  0 75 16   W  8  8 3 1 WNW 24 11495   W 17175551     E
03/28-16 15  0  0 75 16   W  8  8 3 1 WNW 30 11365   W 18179652     E
03/28-17 15  0  0 75 16   W  9  9 3 1 WNW 36 11235   W 18183753     E
03/28-18 14  2  0 73 17   W  9 14 3 1 WNW 41 11105   W 20187854     E
03/28-19 14  2  0 69 21   W  9  9 3 1 WNW 41  7916   W 17130588    V
03/28-20 14  2  0 63 29   W  8  8 3 1 WNW 41  4727 WSW 15 73323   G
03/28-21 14  2  0 58 37 WSW  8  8 3 1 WNW 41  1539 WSW 12 16057 P
03/28-22 14  2  0 55 43 WSW  8  8 3 1 WNW 44  1369 WSW 12 13604 P
03/28-23 14  2  0 53 48   W  7  7 3 1 WNW 46  1200   W 10 11151 P
03/29-00 31  1  0 52 50   W  7  7 3 1 WNW 47  1030   W  9  8698 P
03/29-01 31  1  0 51 53   W  7  7 3 1 WNW 47  1256 WNW 14 17391 P
03/29-02 31  1  0 50 55 NNW  7  7 3 1 WNW 47  1482   N 18 26083 P
03/29-03 31  1  0 48 58   N  7  7 3 1 WNW 46  1708   N 23 34776 P
03/29-04 31  1  0 46 60   N  7  7 3 1 WNW 45  1718   N 22 32332 P
03/29-05 31  1  0 44 60   N  7  7 2 1 WNW 44  1729   N 20 29889 P
03/29-06 24  0  0 43 60   N  7  7 2 1 WNW 43  1739   N 18 27446 P
03/29-07 24  0  0 42 63   N  7  7 2 1 WNW 43  2348 NNE 16 30677 P
03/29-08 24  0  0 43 62 NNE  7  7 2 1 WNW 43  2957 NNE 14 33908 P
03/29-09 24  0  0 45 58 NNE  7  7 2 1 WNW 44  3566 NNE 12 37140 P
03/29-10 24  0  0 48 50 NNE  7  7 2 1 WNW 44  4025 NNW  8 26940 P
03/29-11 24  0  0 53 40  NE  6  6 3 1 WNW 44  4484 WSW  5 16740 P
03/29-12 24  0  0 57 33  NE  6  6 3 1 WNW 44  4944   CALM  6541 P
03/29-13 24  0  0 61 27 ENE  6  6 3 1 WNW 44  5412  SW  3 15427 P
03/29-14 24  0  0 64 23   E  5  5 3 1 WNW 44  5881 WSW  5 24313 P
03/29-15 24  0  0 64 23   E  5  5 3 1 WNW 45  6349   W  6 33199 P
03/29-16 24  0  0 64 22   E  5  5 3 1 WNW 44  6431   W  6 35369 P
03/29-17 24  0  0 64 23 ESE  6  6 4 1 WNW 43  6512   W  7 37540 P
03/29-18 18  2  0 64 24 ESE  6  6 4 1 WNW 41  6593   W  7 39711 P
03/29-19 18  2  0 60 28  SE  6  6 4 1 WNW 38  4917 WSW  7 29646 P
03/29-20 18  2  0 55 35   S  5  5 4 1  NW 33  3240 SSW  7 19581 P
03/29-21 18  2  0 50 44   S  5  5 4 1  NW 29  1563   S  7  9516 P
03/29-22 18  2  0 48 50   S  5  5 4 1  NW 28  1243 SSW  7  7378 P
03/29-23 18  2  0 47 54 SSW  6  6 4 1 WNW 25   923  SW  6  5240 P
03/30-00 11  0  0 47 56  SW  6  6 4 1 WNW 23   603  SW  6  3101 P
03/30-01 11  0  0 46 57  SW  6  6 4 1 WNW 23   570 WSW  7  3144 P
03/30-02 11  0  0 45 58  SW  6  6 4 1 WNW 23   537 WSW  7  3186 P
03/30-03 11  0  0 43 60  SW  6  6 4 1   W 23   503   W  7  3228 P
03/30-04 11  0  0 42 60  SW  6  6 4 1   W 24   508   W  7  3261 P
03/30-05 11  0  0 41 59  SW  6  6 4 1 WNW 25   512   W  7  3295 P
03/30-06 14  0  0 41 57  SW  6  6 4 1 WNW 25   516   W  7  3328 P

KEY:

FORECAST    - MONTH/DAY-HOUR OF FORECAST
VALID AT    - /24-HOUR CLOCK LOCAL TIME/
SC          - SKY COVER /PERCENT/
PP          - PROBABILITY OF PRECIPITATION 0.01 INCH /PERCENT/
WR          - PROBABILITY OF WETTING RAIN 0.10 INCH /PERCENT/
AT          - TEMPERATURE /DEGREES F/
RH          - RELATIVE HUMIDITY /PERCENT/
20-FT WIND  - 20-FOOT WIND /MPH/
GST         - 20-FOOT WIND GUST /MPH/
HI          - HAINES INDEX
LAL         - LIGHTNING ACTIVITY LEVEL
15KFT WIND  - 15000 FEET ABOVE MEAN SEA LEVEL FREE-AIR WINDS /MPH/
MIXG HGT    - MIXING HEIGHT /FEET ABOVE GROUND LEVEL/
TRANS WIND  - TRANSPORT WINDS /MPH/
VENTL RATE  - VENTILATION RATE /KNOT-FEET/
AJTV RATNG  - SMOKE DISPERSION ADJECTIVE RATING
                P - POOR  F - FAIR  G - GOOD
                V - VERY GOOD  E - EXCELLENT

$$
FORECASTER...BAKER...NWS BOULDER
REQUESTED BY...SCOTT WHITEAKER
TYPE OF REQUEST...PRESCRIBED
.TAG 20150327.RMASE.01/BOU



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