Suppression Forecast
Issued by NWS Denver/Boulder, CO

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FNUS75 KBOU 172202
FWSBOU

SPOT FORECAST FOR BRECKENRIDGE HAND 2013...USFS
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE DENVER/BOULDER CO
302 PM MST WED DEC 17 2014

FORECAST IS BASED ON IGNITION TIME OF 1000 MST ON DECEMBER 18.
IF CONDITIONS BECOME UNREPRESENTATIVE...CONTACT THE NATIONAL
WEATHER SERVICE.

.DISCUSSION...A WEAK WEATHER DISTURBANCE WILL PASS BY TO THE SOUTH
OF THE FIRE AREA TONIGHT WITH A WEAK HIGH PRESSURE RIDGE OVER THE
STATE ON THURSDAY.  THIS WILL KEEP QUITE A BIT OF CLOUD AROUND ALONG
WITH A CHANCE OF SOME LIGHT SNOW.  WITH THE CLOUD COVER...COOL
TEMPERATURES AND LIGHT WINDS...SMOKE DISPERSION DOES NOT LOOK GOOD
AT THIS TIME.  SEE DETAILS OF THAT PARAMETER IN THE TABLE BELOW.

.TONIGHT...

SKY/WEATHER.........CLOUDY. SNOW LIKELY UNTIL 1900...THEN CHANCE OF
                    SNOW.
MIN TEMPERATURE.....13-15.
MAX HUMIDITY........92%.
WIND (20 FT)........DOWNSLOPE/DOWNVALLEY 2-8 MPH.
MIXING HEIGHT.......1900-2900 FT AGL.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....LIGHT WINDS UNTIL 2300...THEN NORTHWEST AROUND
                    10 MPH.
SMOKE DISPERSAL.....POOR.

.THURSDAY...
SKY/WEATHER.........CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SNOW SHOWERS UNTIL
                    1100...THEN CHANCE OF SNOW.
MAX TEMPERATURE.....29-32.
MIN HUMIDITY........54%.
WIND (20 FT)........UPSLOPE/UPVALLEY 4-10 MPH.
MIXING HEIGHT.......3600-4600 FT AGL.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....WEST AROUND 10 MPH.
SMOKE DISPERSAL.....POOR.


FIRE WEATHER TABLE FOR BRECKENRIDGE HAND 2013.

+++  DATA IN THE FOLLOWING TABLE HAS BEEN SAMPLED DIRECTLY FROM THE
     FORECAST DATABASE.  VALUES IN THE TABLE MAY VARY SLIGHTLY FROM
     INFORMATION IN THE NARRATIVE FORECAST.  FEEDBACK WELCOME.  +++

FORECAST SC PP WR AT RH  20-FT  G H L  15KFT  MIXG  TRANS VENTL  AJTV
VALID AT  %  %  %  F  %   WIND  S I A   WIND   HGT   WIND  RATE RATNG
                           MPH  T   L    MPH   AGL    MPH KT-FT

12/17-14 94 65 45 29 58   W  7  7 3 1   W  6  4134 WNW  2  7942 P
12/17-15 95 64 44 27 63   W  6  6 3 1   W  7  3708 WNW  3 10003 P
12/17-16 97 63 42 23 74   W  6  6 3 1 WNW  7  3283  NW  5 12063 P
12/17-17 98 62 41 21 81   W  5  5 3 1  NW  8  2858  NW  6 14124 P
12/17-18 98 56 32 20 83   W  5  5 3 1  NW  8  2814  NW  6 13651 P
12/17-19 97 51 26 18 90   W  3  3 3 1 WNW  8  2770  NW  6 13179 P
12/17-20 97 45 22 17 92   W  3  3 3 1 WNW  8  2726  NW  6 12707 P
12/17-21 95 41 18 17 90   W  3  3 3 1 WNW  8  2485  NW  6 11270 P
12/17-22 94 36 14 17 87   W  3  3 3 1 WNW  7  2245 WNW  5  9832 P
12/17-23 92 32 11 16 88   W  3  3 3 1 WNW  7  2004 WNW  5  8395 P
12/18-00 92 32 11 16 84   W  3  3 3 1 WNW  8  2069 WNW  6 10171 P
12/18-01 91 32 11 15 83   W  5  5 3 1 WNW  8  2134 WNW  7 11948 P
12/18-02 91 32 11 14 84   W  5  5 3 1 WNW  9  2199 WNW  7 13724 P
12/18-03 89 31 10 14 82   W  5  5 3 1 WNW  9  2041 WNW  7 13027 P
12/18-04 86 28  7 14 83   W  3  3 3 1   W 10  1884 WNW  8 12330 P
12/18-05 84 26  6 14 84   W  3  3 3 1   W 12  1727   W  8 11633 P
12/18-06 84 26  6 13 90   W  3  3 3 1   W 10  1768   W  8 11630 P
12/18-07 84 26  6 13 92   W  5  5 3 1   W  9  1809   W  7 11627 P
12/18-08 84 26  6 14 92   W  5  5 3 1   W  8  1850   W  7 11625 P
12/18-09 84 26  6 18 79   W  5  5 3 1   W  8  2811   W  7 18350 P
12/18-10 84 26  6 23 66   W  3  3 3 1   W  8  3771   W  8 25075 P
12/18-11 80 26  6 27 58   W  3  3 3 1 WSW  8  4732   W  8 31801 P
12/18-12 80 26  6 29 54   W  3  3 3 1 WSW  9  4979   W  8 35549 P
12/18-13 80 26  6 29 55 WNW  5  5 3 1   W 10  5226 WNW  8 39298 P
12/18-14 80 26  6 28 58 WNW  5  5 3 1   W 12  5474 WNW  9 43046  F
12/18-15 80 26  6 26 64 WNW  5  5 3 1   W 13  4252 WNW  8 31995 P
12/18-16 80 26  6 23 73 WNW  5  5 3 1   W 14  3031 WNW  7 20944 P
12/18-17 85 21  4 20 84 WNW  5  5 3 1   W 14  1809 WNW  6  9893 P
12/18-18 85 21  4 18 87 WNW  5  5 3 1   W 14  1669 WNW  6  8835 P
12/18-19 85 21  4 16 89 WNW  5  5 3 1   W 14  1528 WNW  6  7777 P
12/18-20 85 21  4 15 88 WNW  5  5 3 1   W 13  1387 WNW  6  6720 P
12/18-21 85 21  4 14 84   W  5  5 3 1   W 13  1267 WNW  6  6290 P
12/18-22 85 21  4 13 81   W  5  5 3 1 WNW 13  1147   W  6  5861 P
12/18-23 81 13  3 12 80   W  5  5 3 1 WNW 12  1027   W  6  5432 P
12/19-00 81 13  3 11 82   W  5  5 3 1 WNW 13  1177   W  7  7361 P
12/19-01 81 13  3 10 87   W  5  5 3 1 WNW 13  1327 WNW  8  9290 P
12/19-02 81 13  3  9 91   W  5  5 3 1 WNW 14  1478 WNW  9 11218 P
12/19-03 81 13  3  9 90   W  5  5 3 1 WNW 15  1348 WNW  8 10125 P
12/19-04 81 13  3  9 88   W  6  6 2 1  NW 16  1218 WNW  8  9032 P
12/19-05 71  9  2  9 87   W  6  6 2 1  NW 16  1087 WNW  8  7939 P
12/19-06 71  9  2  8 92   W  6  6 2 1  NW 18  1099 WNW  8  7860 P
12/19-07 71  9  2  8 93 WNW  6  6 2 1  NW 20  1110 WNW  8  7781 P
12/19-08 71  9  2  9 91 WNW  6  6 2 1 WNW 21  1121 WNW  8  7703 P
12/19-09 71  9  2 13 80 WNW  6  6 2 1  NW 22  1912 WNW 10 20590 P
12/19-10 71  9  2 17 71 WNW  6  6 2 1  NW 23  2703 WNW 13 33478 P
12/19-11 46  4  1 21 62   W  6  6 2 1  NW 24  3493 WNW 15 46365  F
12/19-12 46  4  1 23 58   W  6  6 3 1  NW 26  3447 WNW 16 47126  F
12/19-13 46  4  1 24 55   W  6  6 3 1  NW 29  3400 WNW 16 47886  F
12/19-14 46  4  1 23 57   W  6  6 4 1  NW 31  3353 WNW 17 48647  F
12/19-15 46  4  1 21 60   W  6  6 4 1  NW 30  2797 WNW 15 37617 P
12/19-16 46  4  1 18 66   W  6  6 4 1  NW 29  2240 WNW 13 26588 P
12/19-17 38  2  0 15 73   W  6  6 4 1  NW 28  1683   W 10 15558 P
12/19-18 38  2  0 13 79   W  6  6 4 1  NW 26  1501   W  9 12883 P
12/19-19 38  2  0 11 85   W  6  6 3 1  NW 26  1318   W  9 10208 P
12/19-20 38  2  0 10 87   W  6  6 3 1  NW 26  1136   W  8  7533 P
12/19-21 38  2  0  9 90   W  6  6 3 1  NW 26  1229   W  7  7892 P
12/19-22 38  2  0  9 89   W  5  5 3 1 WNW 26  1323   W  7  8251 P
12/19-23 34  2  0  8 91   W  5  5 3 1 WNW 25  1416   W  7  8610 P
12/20-00 34  2  0  7 94   W  5  5 3 1 WNW 25  1488   W  7  9034 P
12/20-01 34  2  0  7 92   W  3  3 3 1 WNW 24  1561 WNW  7  9459 P
12/20-02 34  2  0  7 91   W  3  3 3 1 WNW 23  1633 WNW  7  9883 P
12/20-03 34  2  0  7 90   W  3  3 3 1 WNW 23  1643 WNW  7  9839 P
12/20-04 34  2  0  8 86   W  3  3 3 1 WNW 22  1654 WNW  7  9795 P
12/20-05 49  3  1  8 87   W  3  3 3 1 WNW 22  1664 WNW  7  9751 P
12/20-06 49  3  1  8 90   W  3  3 3 1 WNW 21  1702 WNW  7  9472 P
12/20-07 49  3  1  8 95   W  3  3 3 1 WNW 20  1739 WNW  6  9193 P
12/20-08 49  3  1 10 91   W  3  3 3 1 WNW 20  1777 WNW  6  8915 P
12/20-09 49  3  1 15 78   W  3  3 3 1 WNW 18  2451 WNW  7 17313 P
12/20-10 49  3  1 21 64   W  3  3 2 1 WNW 16  3125 WNW  9 25712 P
12/20-11 58  4  1 26 55   W  3  3 2 1 WNW 15  3800 WNW 10 34110 P
12/20-12 58  4  1 28 52   W  5  5 2 1 WNW 17  4174 WNW 10 39310 P
12/20-13 58  4  1 29 52 WNW  6  6 2 1 WNW 18  4547 WNW 12 44509  F
12/20-14 58  4  1 28 54 WNW  6  6 2 1 WNW 21  4921 WNW 12 49709  F
12/20-15 58  4  1 26 59 WNW  6  6 2 1 WNW 22  3783 WNW  9 35185 P
12/20-16 58  4  1 23 66 WNW  5  5 3 1 WNW 24  2646 WNW  7 20660 P
12/20-17 63  7  1 20 74 WNW  3  3 3 1 WNW 26  1508   W  5  6136 P

KEY:

FORECAST    - MONTH/DAY-HOUR OF FORECAST
VALID AT    - /24-HOUR CLOCK LOCAL TIME/
SC          - SKY COVER /PERCENT/
PP          - PROBABILITY OF PRECIPITATION 0.01 INCH /PERCENT/
WR          - PROBABILITY OF WETTING RAIN 0.10 INCH /PERCENT/
AT          - TEMPERATURE /DEGREES F/
RH          - RELATIVE HUMIDITY /PERCENT/
20-FT WIND  - 20-FOOT WIND /MPH/
GST         - 20-FOOT WIND GUST /MPH/
HI          - HAINES INDEX
LAL         - LIGHTNING ACTIVITY LEVEL
15KFT WIND  - 15000 FEET ABOVE MEAN SEA LEVEL FREE-AIR WINDS /MPH/
MIXG HGT    - MIXING HEIGHT /FEET ABOVE GROUND LEVEL/
TRANS WIND  - TRANSPORT WINDS /MPH/
VENTL RATE  - VENTILATION RATE /KNOT-FEET/
AJTV RATNG  - SMOKE DISPERSION ADJECTIVE RATING
                P - POOR  F - FAIR  G - GOOD
                V - VERY GOOD  E - EXCELLENT

$$
FORECASTER...WFO BOULDER
REQUESTED BY...RYAN HUGHES
TYPE OF REQUEST...PRESCRIBED
.TAG 20141218.BRECK.01/BOU


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