Suppression Forecast
Issued by NWS Billings, MT

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000
FNUS75 KBYZ 291351
FWSBYZ

SPOT FORECAST FOR WILLOW...USFS
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE BILLINGS MT
751 AM MDT SAT AUG 29 2015

FORECAST IS BASED ON REQUEST TIME OF 0717 MDT ON AUGUST 29.
IF CONDITIONS BECOME UNREPRESENTATIVE...CONTACT THE NATIONAL WEATHER
SERVICE.

...RED FLAG WARNING IN EFFECT FROM NOON TODAY TO 9 PM MDT THIS
EVENING...

.DISCUSSION...

WINDS WILL BE INCREASING THROUGH THE MORNING AND BY AFTERNOON THE
WINDS ON HIGHER AND EXPOSED RIDGETOPS WILL BE SOUTHWEST AT UP TO 40
MPH. IT WILL BE UNSTABLE TODAY AHEAD OF A WEAK COLD FRONT. ISOLATED
SHOWERS ARE APPROACHING THE FIRE SITE FROM THE SOUTHWEST AND COULD
REACH THE FIRE AFTER 0900 MDT...WITH ISOLATED THUNDERSTORMS ALSO
POSSIBLE AFTER 1300 MDT. A WEAK COLD FRONT WILL MOVE THROUGH THE
FIRE SITE TONIGHT WITH A WIND SHIFT AFTER MIDNIGHT...BUT WINDS
WILL BE WEAKER BEHIND THE FRONT LATE TONIGHT AND SUNDAY MORNING.
WINDS WILL INCREASE OUT OF THE SOUTHWEST AGAIN SUNDAY AFTERNOON.
SCHULTZ

.TODAY...

SKY/WEATHER.........PARTLY SUNNY. ISOLATED SHOWERS AFTER 0900 MDT
                    AND ISOLATED SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS AFTER
                    1300 MDT.
CWR.................10 PERCENT.
LAL.................1...NO THUNDERSTORMS.
MAX TEMPERATURE.....74-79.
MIN HUMIDITY........23-27 PERCENT.
WIND (20 FT)........
 SLOPE/VALLEY.......SOUTHWEST WINDS INCREASING 18 TO 23 MPH WITH GUSTS
                    TO 30 MPH BY AFTERNOON. GUSTY AND ERRATIC WINDS
                    EXPECTED NEAR THUNDERSTORMS.
 RIDGETOP...........SOUTHWEST WINDS INCREASING TO 30 TO 40 MPH BY
                    AFTERNOON.
MIXING HEIGHT.......9500 FT AGL.
MIXING WINDS........SOUTHWEST 25 TO 35 MPH.
HAINES INDEX........5.

.TONIGHT...

SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY CLOUDY WITH ISOLATED SHOWERS AND
                    THUNDERSTORMS.
CWR.................10 PERCENT.
LAL.................2...1 TO 8 STRIKES/15 MIN/CELL.
MIN TEMPERATURE.....52-57.
MAX HUMIDITY........65-70 PERCENT.
WIND (20 FT)........
 SLOPE/VALLEY.......SOUTHWEST 15 TO 25 MPH BECOMING WEST-NORTHWEST
                    10-15 MPH AFTER MIDNIGHT. GUSTY AND ERRATIC WINDS
                    EXPECTED NEAR THUNDERSTORMS.
 RIDGETOP...........SOUTHWEST 30 TO 40 MPH DECREASING LATE.
MIXING HEIGHT.......1800 FT AGL.
MIXING WINDS........SOUTHWEST 25 TO 35 MPH DECREASING LATE.
HAINES INDEX........4.

.SUNDAY...

SKY/WEATHER.........PARTLY SUNNY. ISOLATED SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS.
CWR.................12 PERCENT.
LAL.................2...1 TO 8 STRIKES/15 MIN/CELL.
MAX TEMPERATURE.....65-70.
MIN HUMIDITY........28-33 PERCENT.
WIND (20 FT)........
 SLOPE/VALLEY.......WEST-NORTHWEST WINDS 5 TO 15 MPH BECOMING SOUTHWEST
                    15 TO 20 MPH WITH GUSTS TO 27 MPH IN THE AFTERNOON.
                    GUSTY AND ERRATIC WINDS EXPECTED NEAR THUNDERSTORMS.
 RIDGETOP...........SOUTHWEST 25 TO 35 MPH.
MIXING HEIGHT.......9500 FT AGL.
MIXING WINDS........SOUTHWEST 15 TO 25 MPH.
HAINES INDEX........4.

$$
FORECASTER...SCHULTZ
REQUESTED BY...TASHA
TYPE OF REQUEST...WILDFIRE
.TAG 20150829.WILLO.01/BYZ


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