Suppression Forecast
Issued by NWS Columbia, SC

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000
FNUS72 KCAE 281046
FWSCAE

Spot Forecast for C-281 LCRD...US Forest Service
National Weather Service Columbia SC
646 AM EDT Tue Mar 28 2017

Forecast is based on ignition time of 0900 EDT on March 28.
If conditions become unrepresentative...contact the National Weather
Service.

Positive or negative feedback including observations taken at
the burn site would be greatly appreciated. You can use the same
webpage where you requested the spot forecast for this. You may
also call our office if you have questions or concerns.

.DISCUSSION...Scattered showers and a few isolated thunderstorms
will be a threat at times through the day as a front pushes towards
the region. Rainfall amounts generally light.  The weak front will
move east of the area by early this evening, bringing slightly
drier air into the forecast area tonight into Wednesday. Winds each
morning should help limit fog formation.  Winds around the ignition
time expected to be out of the south to southwest between 5 and 10
mph.  By this afternoon, wind predominantly out of the southwest,
then continuing to turn more out of the west as the surface trough
pushes through the region.  Minimum RH values between 40 and 50
percent this afternoon.

.TODAY...

Sky/weather.........Partly sunny (55-65 percent). A chance of
                    showers and a slight chance of thunderstorms.
Chance of pcpn......30 percent.
LAL.................1-8 strikes.
Max temperature.....Around 82.
Min humidity........44 percent.
Wind (20 ft)........Light and variable winds...becoming west 6 to 9
                    mph in the late morning and afternoon. Gusty
                    and erratic winds expected near thunderstorms.
Mixing height.......200-1600 ft AGL...increasing to 4700-5500 ft
                    AGL.
Transport winds.....West 7 to 16 mph...increasing to 17 to 18 mph
                    early in the afternoon.
LVORI...............4.
Max ADI.............71.

TIME (EDT)      9AM 10A 11A 12P 1PM 2PM 3PM 4PM 5PM
Sky (%).........69  68  68  62  56  51  49  48  46
Weather cov.....CHC CHC CHC CHC CHC CHC CHC SCH SCH
Weather type....RW  RW  RW  RW  RW  RW  RW  RW  RW
Tstm cov........ISO ISO ISO SCH SCH SCH SCH SCH SCH
Chc of pcpn (%).30  30  30  30  30  30  30  20  20
Temp............63  68  72  75  77  79  80  81  81
RH..............84  73  64  58  54  50  47  44  44
20 FT wind dir..SW  SW  SW  SW  SW  SW  SW  W   W
20 FT wind dir..210 230 230 240 240 240 240 250 250
20 FT wind spd..4   6   6   7   8   9   9   9   8
20 FT wind gust.5   10  10  15  15  15  15  15  15
Mix hgt (kft)...0.5 0.9 1.6 2.7 3.8 4.7 5.3 5.5 4.9
Trasnp wind dir.SW  W   W   W   W   W   W   W   W
Transp wind spd.8   12  15  16  16  17  17  18  17
LVORI...........4   3   2   1   1   1   1   1   1
ADI.............9   14  26  36  44  52  54  59  71
LAL.............2   2   2   2   2   2   2   2   2

.TONIGHT...

Sky/weather.........Partly cloudy (25-35 percent).
Chance of pcpn......10 percent.
LAL.................No Tstms.
Min temperature.....Around 56.
Max humidity........91 percent.
Wind (20 ft)........West winds 5 to 6 mph early in the
                    evening...becoming light and variable.
Mixing height.......1700-3400 ft AGL...decreasing to 100-400 ft AGL
                    early in the evening.
Transport winds.....West 7 to 16 mph...becoming northwest 5 to 6
                    mph after midnight.
LVORI...............4.
Min ADI.............2.

TIME (EDT)      6 PM      9 PM      MIDNGT    3 AM
Sky (%).........42        20        17        16
Weather cov.....
Weather type....NONE      NONE      NONE      NONE
Tstm cov........
Chc of pcpn (%).10        10        0         0
Temp............80        70        64        60
RH..............45        66        77        84
20 FT wind......W 6G10    W 4G5     W 4G5     W 3G5
Mix hgt (ft)....3400      100       100       200
Transport wind..W 16      W 9       W 7       NW 5
LVORI...........1         3         4         5
ADI.............56        4         3         2
LAL.............2         1         1         1

.WEDNESDAY...

Sky/weather.........Sunny (15-25 percent).
Chance of pcpn......0 percent.
LAL.................No Tstms.
Max temperature.....Around 84.
Min humidity........36 percent.
Wind (20 ft)........Light and variable winds.
Mixing height.......200-1600 ft AGL...increasing to 4400-5300 ft
                    AGL.
Transport winds.....Northwest 5 to 7 mph.
LVORI...............4.
Max ADI.............35.

TIME (EDT)      6 AM      9 AM      NOON      3 PM
Sky (%).........15        20        13        16
Weather cov.....
Weather type....NONE      NONE      NONE      NONE
Tstm cov........
Chc of pcpn (%).0         0         0         0
Temp............57        62        76        82
RH..............93        78        52        38
20 FT wind......NW 2G5    N 2G5     NE 3G5    NW 2G5
Mix hgt (ft)....200       900       3100      5000
Transport wind..N 5       N 6       NE 6      NW 5
LVORI...........6         4         2         2
ADI.............2         7         22        27
LAL.............1         1         1         1

$$
Forecaster...Liscinsky
Requested by...Jamie Atkins
Type of request...PRESCRIBED
.TAG 1705333.0/CAE


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