Suppression Forecast
Issued by NWS State College, PA

Home | Current Version | Previous Version | Text Only | Print | Product List | Glossary On
Versions: 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12
000
FNUS71 KCTP 160859
FWSCTP

Spot Forecast for PennCarbose EPA/EMA Hazmat Clean-Up...Emergency Management
National Weather Service State College PA
459 AM EDT Mon Oct 16 2017

Forecast is based on incident time of 0500 EDT on October 16.

If conditions become unrepresentative...
contact the National Weather Service in State College.

.DISCUSSION...
Blustery and cool weather is in store today. Isolated rain showers
will be possible through early afternoon. Temperatures will
rebound to near normal on Tuesday, then continue to gradually rise
to well above normal right into this upcoming weekend, as a large
area of high pressure builds in. This will lead to an extended
period of dry conditions.

.TODAY...

Sky/weather.........Mostly cloudy (70-80 percent). Isolated showers
                    until late afternoon.
Chance of pcpn......20 percent.
Max temperature.....Around 50.
Min humidity........60 percent.
Surface winds.......Northwest winds 8 to 13 mph.
Mixing height.......2600-4400 ft AGL, increasing to 4600-5000 ft
                    AGL early in the afternoon.
Transport winds.....Northwest 20 to 25 mph.

TIME (EDT)      6AM 7AM 8AM 9AM 10A 11A 12P 1PM 2PM 3PM 4PM 5PM
Sky (%).........87  89  90  87  82  79  78  77  76  71  62  58
Weather cov.....ISO ISO ISO ISO ISO ISO ISO ISO
Weather type....RW  RW  RW  RW  RW  RW  RW  RW
Tstm cov........
Chc of pcpn (%).20  20  20  20  20  20  20  20  10  10  10  10
Temp............46  44  45  45  46  46  47  47  48  48  47  47
RH..............86  89  79  82  79  83  74  71  63  63  63  60
Surface wnd dir.NW  NW  NW  NW  NW  NW  NW  NW  NW  NW  NW  NW
Surface wnd spd.10  9   8   9   10  11  11  12  12  12  13  12
Surface wnd gst.20  15  15  20  20  25  25  25  25  25  25  25
Mix hgt (kft)...2.7 2.6 2.7 2.7 2.9 3.2 3.7 4.4 4.8 5.0 4.9 4.6
Transp wind dir.NW  NW  NW  NW  NW  NW  NW  NW  NW  NW  NW  NW
Transp wind spd.20  20  20  20  21  22  23  24  25  25  25  24

.TONIGHT...

Sky/weather.........Partly cloudy (20-30 percent), then becoming
                    clear (0-10 percent). Areas of frost late.
Chance of pcpn......10 percent.
Min temperature.....Around 32.
Max humidity........92 percent.
Surface winds.......Northwest winds 5 to 10 mph in the evening,
                    becoming light and variable.
Mixing height.......2600-4100 ft AGL, decreasing to 200-1800 ft AGL
                    in the late evening and overnight.
Transport winds.....Northwest 14 to 23 mph, decreasing to 3 to 10
                    mph late in the evening.

TIME (EDT)      6PM 7PM 8PM 9PM 10P 11P MID 1AM 2AM 3AM 4AM 5AM
Sky (%).........45  20  8   7   4   3   2   2   1   3   5   6
Weather cov.....                                    ARS ARS ARS
Weather type....                                    FST FST FST
Tstm cov........
Chc of pcpn (%).10  10  0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0
Temp............45  42  40  39  39  38  37  36  35  34  34  33
RH..............65  70  73  79  79  82  82  82  85  89  89  92
Surface wnd dir.NW  NW  NW  NW  NW  NW  NW  W   W   W   W   W
Surface wnd spd.10  8   6   6   5   4   4   3   2   2   2   2
Surface wnd gst.25  20  15  10  5   5   5   5   5   5   5
Mix hgt (kft)...4.1 3.4 2.6 1.8 1.0 0.4 0.2 0.2 0.3 0.3 0.3 0.3
Transp wind dir.NW  NW  NW  NW  NW  NW  NW  NW  NW  NW  NW  W
Transp wind spd.23  22  20  16  14  10  8   6   5   3   3   3

.TUESDAY...

Sky/weather.........Sunny (5-15 percent). Areas of frost early in
                    the morning.
Chance of pcpn......0 percent.
Max temperature.....Around 53.
Min humidity........52 percent.
Surface winds.......Light and variable winds, becoming west 5 to 6
                    mph in the afternoon.
Mixing height.......100-1500 ft AGL, increasing to 2200-3500 ft AGL
                    late in the morning.
Transport winds.....West 2 to 8 mph.

TIME (EDT)      6AM 7AM 8AM 9AM 10A 11A 12P 1PM 2PM 3PM 4PM 5PM
Sky (%).........7   9   10  10  9   8   7   6   6   6   6   6
Weather cov.....ARS ARS
Weather type....FST FST
Tstm cov........
Chc of pcpn (%).0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0
Temp............33  33  33  37  41  45  47  48  50  50  50  50
RH..............92  92  89  82  73  68  60  58  52  52  52  52
Surface wnd dir.W   W   W   W   W   W   W   W   W   W   W   W
Surface wnd spd.2   2   2   3   4   4   5   5   5   6   6   6
Surface wnd gst.            5   5   5   10  10  10  10  10  10
Mix hgt (kft)...0.1 0.1 0.2 0.7 1.5 2.2 2.8 3.3 3.5 3.5 3.3 2.8
Transp wind dir.W   W   W   W   NW  NW  NW  NW  W   W   W   W
Transp wind spd.2   2   2   3   6   7   7   7   7   7   8   8

$$
Forecaster...WFO-CTP/Gartner
Requested by...Joel Landis
Type of request...HAZMAT
.TAG 1717256.0/CTP
.EMAIL landisj@co.somerset.pa.us


USA.gov is the U.S. government's official web portal to all federal, state and local government web resources and services.