Suppression Forecast
Issued by NWS Des Moines, IA

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000
FNUS73 KDMX 231341
FWSDMX

SPOT FORECAST FOR SOUTH RIVER...IOWA DNR
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE DES MOINES IA
841 AM CDT MON MAR 23 2015

FORECAST IS BASED ON IGNITION TIME OF 1230 CDT ON MARCH 23.
IF CONDITIONS BECOME UNREPRESENTATIVE...CONTACT THE NATIONAL WEATHER
SERVICE.

AN INITIAL OBSERVATION AT IGNITION AND A MID BURN OBSERVATION ARE REQUIRED...
PLEASE RELAY THEM TO THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE FOR EACH PRESCRIBED BURN.

.DISCUSSION...

CLOUDS AND NORTHEAST WINDS WILL CONTINUE THROUGH THIS AFTERNOON
AS LOW PRESSURE EXITS THE REGION IN SOUTHEAST MISSOURI TODAY. WETTING RAIN
WILL RETURN BY TUESDAY AS A STRONGER AREA OF LOW PRESSURE BEGINS
MOVING TOWARD IOWA. BETWEEN A QUARTER TO HALF INCH OF RAIN IS EXPECTED
FROM TUESDAY THROUGH TUESDAY NIGHT. COLDER TEMPERATURES WILL RETURN
FOR THE BALANCE OF THE WEEK FROM WEDNESDAY NIGHT THROUGH EARLY SATURDAY.



.TODAY...

SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY CLOUDY (70-80 PERCENT).
MAX TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 46.
MIN HUMIDITY........53 PERCENT.
EYE LEVEL WINDS.....EAST WINDS 10 TO 16 MPH.
HAINES INDEX........3 OR VERY LOW POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME
                    DOMINATED FIRE GROWTH.
MIXING HEIGHT.......3700 FT AGL.
MIXING WINDS........NORTHEAST 13 TO 21 MPH DECREASING TO 10 TO 12
                    MPH IN THE AFTERNOON.
SMOKE DISPERSAL.....GOOD TO GOOD (30100-42400 KNOT-FT).
WIND (20 FT)........EAST WINDS 10 TO 16 MPH.

TIME (CDT)      1PM 2PM 3PM 4PM 5PM
SKY (%).........78  73  62  57  59
WEATHER COV.....
WEATHER TYPE....
TSTM COV........
TEMP............42  44  46  46  45
RH..............60  55  53  53  55
20 FT WIND DIR..NE  E   E   E   E
20 FT WIND SPD..10  10  10  10  10
20 FT WIND GUST.15  15  15  15  15
EYE LVL WND DIR.NE  E   E   E   E
EYE LVL WND SPD.7   7   7   7   7
EYE LVL WND GST.15  15  15  15  15
MIX HGT (KFT)...3.3 3.5 3.6 3.7 3.6
MIXNG WIND DIR..NE  NE  NE  E   E
MIXNG WIND SPD..10  10  10  12  12
HAINES INDEX....3   3   3   3   3

.TONIGHT...

SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY CLOUDY (75-85 PERCENT). SLIGHT CHANCE OF
                    RAIN SHOWERS AFTER MIDNIGHT. CHANCE OF RAIN
                    SHOWERS AFTER MIDNIGHT...THEN RAIN SHOWERS
                    LIKELY EARLY IN THE MORNING.
MIN TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 34.
MAX HUMIDITY........85 PERCENT.
EYE LEVEL WINDS.....EAST WINDS 10 TO 12 MPH.
HAINES INDEX........5 OR MODERATE POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME
                    DOMINATED FIRE GROWTH.
MIXING HEIGHT.......3500 FT AGL.
MIXING WINDS........EAST 13 TO 20 MPH.
SMOKE DISPERSAL.....FAIR TO GOOD (28400-45200 KNOT-FT).
WIND (20 FT)........EAST WINDS 10 TO 12 MPH.

TIME (CDT)      6 PM   8 PM   10 PM  MIDNGT 2 AM   4 AM
SKY (%).........63     69     79     88     93     100
WEATHER COV.....                     S CHC  CHANCE LIKELY
WEATHER TYPE....NONE   NONE   NONE   RNSHWR RNSHWR RNSHWR
TSTM COV........
TEMP............44     41     38     37     36     35
RH..............57     65     70     72     75     78
20 FT WIND......E 12   E 12   E 12   E 12   E 12   E 10
20 FT WIND GUST.15     15     15     15     15     15
EYE LEVEL WIND..E 9    E 9    E 9    E 9    E 9    E 7
EYE LVL WND GST.15     15     15     15     15     15
MIX HGT (FT)....3500   3100   2600   2300   2200   2100
MIXNG WIND......E 13   E 16   E 20   SE 16  SE 16  E 18
HAINES INDEX....3      3      4      5      5      4

$$
FORECASTER...VACHALEK
REQUESTED BY...CASEY TRINE
TYPE OF REQUEST...PRESCRIBED
.TAG 20150323.SOUTH.01/DMX


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