Suppression Forecast
Issued by NWS Detroit/Pontiac, MI

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FNUS73 KDTX 231410
FWSDTX

Spot Forecast for Verona Burns...Michigan DNR
National Weather Service Detroit/Pontiac MI
1010 AM EDT Thu Mar 23 2017

Forecast is based on ignition time of 1300 EDT on March 23.
If conditions become unrepresentative...contact the National Weather
Service.

.DISCUSSION...Cold and very dry airmass in place today will be
replaced by a mild and moist airmass tonight and Friday. A warm front
will lift through southern lower Michigan triggering widespread
showers tonight. Temperatures are forecasted to climb into the 60s on
Friday, before turning slightly cooler, but remaining moist and
unsettled into the weekend.

.TODAY...

Sky/weather.........Mostly sunny (35-45 percent).
Max temperature.....Around 40.
Min humidity........36 percent.
Eye level winds.....Southeast winds around 5 mph becoming south 8
                    to 13 mph in the late morning and afternoon.
Mixing height.......200-2100 ft AGL increasing to 2700-3500 ft AGL
                    late in the morning.
Transport winds.....South 8 to 16 mph increasing to 14 to 18 mph in
                    the afternoon.
Smoke dispersal.....Poor to excellent (0-60000 knot-ft).
Haines Index........4 or low potential for large plume dominated
                    fire growth.

TIME (EDT)      1PM 2PM 3PM 4PM 5PM
Sky (%)..........50  53  57  62  66
Weather cov......
Weather type.....
Tstm cov.........
Temp.............36  38  40  40  40
RH...............40  37  36  36  37
Eye lvl wnd dir..S   S   S   S   S
Eye lvl wnd spd..7   8   8   8   8
Eye lvl wnd gst..20  20  20  20  20
Mix hgt (kft)....3.5 3.5 3.5 3.2 2.7
Transp wind dir..S   S   S   S   S
Transp wind spd..18  18  17  16  14
Haines index....4   4   4   4   4
VRate kt-ft/1000.60  60  50  40  30

.TONIGHT...

Sky/weather.........Mostly cloudy (80-90 percent). A slight chance
                    of rain late in the evening. Chance of rain
                    late in the evening...then rain likely after
                    midnight.
Min temperature.....30-35.
Max humidity........84 percent.
Eye level winds.....South winds 7 to 12 mph.

TIME (EDT)      6 PM   8 PM   10 PM  MIDNGT 2 AM   4 AM
Sky (%)..........71     79     88     94     99     98
Weather cov......              CHANCE CHANCE LIKELY LIKELY
Weather type.....NONE   NONE   RAIN   RAIN   RAIN   RAIN
Tstm cov.........
Temp.............39     35     33     33     34     37
RH...............39     45     53     60     68     76
Eye level wind...S 7    S 7    S 7    S 7    S 7    S 7
Eye lvl wnd gst..15     15     15     15     15     15

$$
Forecaster...Mann
Requested by...Jeff Vasher
Type of request...PRESCRIBED
.TAG 1705052.0/DTX
.EMAIL vasherj@michigan.gov



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