Suppression Forecast
Issued by NWS Quad Cities, IA IL

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FNUS73 KDVN 241359
FWSDVN

SPOT FORECAST FOR HORSESHOE PILES...USFWS
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE QUAD CITIES IA IL
859 AM CDT TUE MAY 24 2016

FORECAST IS BASED ON IGNITION TIME OF 1000 CDT ON MAY 24.
IF CONDITIONS BECOME UNREPRESENTATIVE...CONTACT THE NATIONAL WEATHER
SERVICE.

.DISCUSSION...
ACTIVE WEATHER WILL RETURN THIS WEEK WITH DAILY CHANCES OF
SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS. TEMPERATURES WILL REMAIN ABOVE
NORMAL, WITH AFTERNOON HIGHS MAINLY IN THE UPPER 70S TO LOW
80S. HUMIDITY LEVELS WILL ALSO INCREASE AS THE WEEK PROGRESSES.


.TODAY...

SKY/WEATHER.........PARTLY SUNNY (65-75 PERCENT). SLIGHT CHANCE OF
                    SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS.
TEMPERATURE.........74 AT IGNITION...MAX 82.
RH..................66 PERCENT AT IGNITION...MIN 51 PERCENT.
EYE LEVEL WINDS.....SOUTH WINDS 5 TO 12 MPH.
WIND SHIFT..........NONE UNLESS INDUCED BY A THUNDERSTORM THIS AFTERNOON.
CWR.................20 PERCENT.
LAL.................2 FEW LIGHTNING STRIKES POSSIBLE THIS AFTERNOON.
HAINES INDEX........4 OR LOW POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME DOMINATED
                    FIRE GROWTH.
MIXING HEIGHT.......900 FT AGL INCREASING TO 5800 FT AGL THIS AFTERNOON.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....SOUTH 7 TO 14 MPH.

TIME (CDT)      10 AM  NOON   2 PM   4 PM
SKY COVER.......PCLDY  PCLDY  MCLDY  MCLDY
WEATHER COV.....S CHC  S CHC  S CHC  S CHC
WEATHER TYPE....RNSHWR RNSHWR RNSHWR RNSHWR
TEMP............74     78     81     82
RH..............66     58     53     51
EYE LEVEL WIND..S 5    S 6    S 8    S 8
EYE LVL WND GST.       12     15     15
MIX HGT (FT)....3400   4400   5300   6200
TRANSPORT WIND..SW 9   S 12   S 15   S 15
HAINES INDEX....3      4      4      4

.TONIGHT...

SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY CLOUDY (70-80 PERCENT). SLIGHT CHANCE OF
                    SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS EARLY IN THE
                    EVENING...THEN CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND
                    THUNDERSTORMS IN THE LATE EVENING AND
                    OVERNIGHT.
TEMPERATURE.........MIN 67.
RH..................MAX 93 PERCENT.
EYE LEVEL WINDS.....SOUTH WINDS 5 TO 8 MPH EARLY IN THE EVENING
                    BECOMING LIGHT...THEN BECOMING SOUTH 4 TO 6 MPH
                    AFTER MIDNIGHT.
WIND SHIFT..........VARIABLE SHIFTS NEAR ANY STORM OUTFLOW.
CWR.................30 PERCENT INCREASING TO 50 PERCENT.
LAL.................3
HAINES INDEX........4 OR LOW POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME DOMINATED
                    FIRE GROWTH.
MIXING HEIGHT.......5600 FT AGL DECREASING TO 300 FT AGL.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....SOUTHWEST 8 TO 16 MPH SHIFTING TO THE SOUTH 3
                    TO 5 MPH IN THE LATE EVENING AND OVERNIGHT.

.WEDNESDAY...

SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY CLOUDY (75-85 PERCENT). CHANCE OF
                    SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS.
TEMPERATURE.........MAX 82.
RH..................MIN 58 PERCENT.
EYE LEVEL WINDS.....SOUTH WINDS 7 TO 13 MPH.
WIND SHIFT..........
CWR.................50 PERCENT.
LAL.................4
HAINES INDEX........4 OR LOW POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME DOMINATED
                    FIRE GROWTH.
MIXING HEIGHT.......400 FT AGL INCREASING TO 3000 FT AGL IN THE
                    LATE MORNING AND EARLY AFTERNOON...THEN
                    INCREASING TO 6000 FT AGL EARLY IN THE
                    AFTERNOON...DECREASING TO 4400 FT AGL IN THE
                    EVENING.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....SOUTHEAST 5 TO 13 MPH INCREASING TO SOUTH 15 TO
                    24 MPH IN THE LATE MORNING AND AFTERNOON.

$$
FORECASTER...12
REQUESTED BY...ERIK ACKER
TYPE OF REQUEST...PRESCRIBED
.TAG 20160524.HORSE.01/DVN



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