Suppression Forecast
Issued by NWS Kansas City/Pleasant Hill, MO

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FNUS73 KEAX 241353
FWSEAX

Spot Forecast for Mallard marsh...USFWS
National Weather Service Kansas City/Pleasant Hill MO
853 AM CDT Mon Jul 24 2017

Forecast is based on ignition time of 0900 CDT on July 24.
If conditions become unrepresentative...contact the National Weather
Service.

Please contact our office at 1-800-438-0596, if you have questions
or concerns with this forecast.

.DISCUSSION...
A ridge of high pressure nosing in the region will result in weak 20 foot winds
from the northeast between 4-8 mph. Forecast soundings suggest inversion heights
will remain between 4500-5000 feet during peak heating, which combined with the
weak 20 foot winds, will result in marginally poor smoke dispersion conditions
later this morning and afternoon.

.REST OF TODAY...

Sky/weather.........Sunny (0-10 percent).
CWR.................1 percent.
Max temperature.....Around 86.
Min humidity........51 percent.
Wind (20 ft)........
 Slope/valley.......Light winds becoming east around 5 mph late in
                    the morning, then becoming light in the
                    afternoon becoming east around 5 mph late in
                    the afternoon.
Mixing height.......2200-4100 ft AGL.
Transport winds.....East 6 to 7 mph.
Haines Index........4 or low potential for large plume dominated
                    fire growth.

TIME (CDT)      9AM 10A 11A 12P 1PM 2PM 3PM 4PM 5PM
Sky (%).........4   2   4   7   8   7   5   4   4
Weather cov.....
Weather type....
Tstm cov........
CWR.............0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0
Temp............70  74  77  80  82  84  85  86  86
RH..............84  76  69  62  58  55  53  51  51
20 FT wind dir..E   E   E   E   E   E   E   E   E
20 FT wind spd..4   5   5   5   4   4   4   4   5
20 FT wind gust.5               5   5   5   5
Mix hgt (kft)...2.2 2.9 3.5 3.8 4.0 4.1 4.1 4.0 4.0
Transp wind dir.NE  NE  NE  NE  N   NE  NE  E   E
Transp wind spd.7   6   6   6   6   6   6   6   6
Haines index....4   4   4   4   4   4   4   4   4

.TONIGHT...

Sky/weather.........Mostly clear (5-15 percent).
CWR.................1 percent.
Min temperature.....Around 67.
Max humidity........93 percent.
Wind (20 ft)........
 Slope/valley.......Southeast winds 5 to 6 mph.
Mixing height.......2300-3800 ft AGL decreasing to 0-1100 ft AGL in
                    the late evening and overnight.
Transport winds.....South 7 to 9 mph.
Haines Index........4 or low potential for large plume dominated
                    fire growth.

TIME (CDT)      6PM 7PM 8PM 9PM 10P 11P MID 1AM 2AM 3AM 4AM 5AM
Sky (%).........4   5   4   3   3   4   6   7   9   14  16  18
Weather cov.....
Weather type....
Tstm cov........
CWR.............0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0
Temp............85  84  81  77  75  73  72  71  70  69  69  68
RH..............55  57  63  71  76  79  81  81  84  87  87  90
20 FT wind dir..E   E   E   E   E   E   SE  SE  SE  SE  SE  SE
20 FT wind spd..6   6   6   6   5   5   5   5   6   6   6   6
20 FT wind gust.10  10  10  10                  10  10  10  10
Mix hgt (kft)...3.8 3.3 2.3 1.1 0.2 0.1 0.1 0.2 0.2 0.2 0.2 0.1
Transp wind dir.E   E   SE  SE  SE  SE  SE  SE  S   S   S   S
Transp wind spd.7   8   9   9   9   9   9   9   8   8   7   7
Haines index....4   4   4   4   4   4   4   4   4   4   4   4

.TUESDAY...

Sky/weather.........Sunny (10-20 percent).
CWR.................1 percent.
Max temperature.....Around 92.
Min humidity........54 percent.
Wind (20 ft)........
 Slope/valley.......Southeast winds 5 to 7 mph.
Mixing height.......100-2000 ft AGL increasing to 5700-7600 ft AGL.
Transport winds.....South 8 to 12 mph.
Haines Index........4 or low potential for large plume dominated
                    fire growth.

TIME (CDT)      6AM 7AM 8AM 9AM 10A 11A 12P 1PM 2PM 3PM 4PM 5PM
Sky (%).........21  21  18  13  10  11  11  11  11  10  10  9
Weather cov.....
Weather type....
Tstm cov........
CWR.............0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0
Temp............67  68  71  76  80  84  87  89  90  91  92  92
RH..............93  90  87  79  72  65  61  57  56  56  54  54
20 FT wind dir..SE  SE  SE  SE  SE  SE  S   S   S   S   SE  SE
20 FT wind spd..6   5   6   6   6   6   6   6   6   7   7   7
20 FT wind gust.10      10  10  10  10  10  10  10  10  10  10
Mix hgt (kft)...0.1 0.3 0.7 1.3 2.0 2.6 3.4 4.2 5.7 7.1 7.6 6.7
Transp wind dir.S   S   S   S   S   S   S   S   S   S   S   S
Transp wind spd.8   9   10  12  12  12  12  10  10  10  10  12
Haines index....4   4   4   4   4   4   4   4   4   4   4   4

$$
Forecaster...Barham/Gitro
Requested by...Sam Vanourney
Type of request...PRESCRIBED
.TAG 1713273.0/EAX
.EMAIL sam_vanourney@fws.gov


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