Suppression Forecast
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FNUS74 KEPZ 300816
FWSEPZ

Spot Forecast for NED Control Burn...White Sands Missile Range
National Weather Service Santa Teresa NM/El Paso TX
216 AM MDT Thu Mar 30 2017

Forecast is based on ignition time of 0800 MDT on March 31.

If conditions become unrepresentative...contact the El Paso
National Weather Service Forecast Office.

...FIRE WEATHER WATCH IN EFFECT FROM FRIDAY AFTERNOON THROUGH
FRIDAY EVENING...

.DISCUSSION...
An approaching low pressure system will bring windy and dry weather
across southern New Mexico and west Texas on Friday with Red Flag
conditions expected. West winds will increase in the morning with
gusts from 50 to 60 mph in the afternoon.

.FRIDAY...

Sky/weather.........Mostly sunny (30-40 percent) then becoming
                    partly cloudy (40-50 percent). Areas of blowing
                    dust in the afternoon.
Chance of pcpn......0 percent.
LAL.................1.
Max temperature.....Around 73.
Min humidity........11 percent.
Wind (20 ft)........Breezy. Southwest winds 15 to 25 mph with gusts
                    to around 35 mph shifting to the west 25 to 35
                    mph with gusts to around 50 mph by the
                    afternoon.
Mixing height.......5700 ft AGL increasing to 10400 ft AGL in the
                    afternoon.
Transport winds.....Southwest 18 to 19 mph increasing to 37 to 38
                    mph in the late morning and afternoon.
Smoke dispersal.....Excellent (180900 knot-ft) increasing to
                    excellent (317500 knot-ft) in the afternoon.
Haines Index........2 to 3 or very low potential for large plume
                    dominated fire growth.

TIME (MDT)      8 AM   10 AM  NOON   2 PM   4 PM
Sky (%).........33     33     46     46     46
Weather cov.....NONE   NONE   AREAS  AREAS  AREAS
Weather type....NONE   NONE   BLDUST BLDUST BLDUST
Tstm cov........NONE   NONE   NONE   NONE   NONE
Chc of pcpn (%).0      0      0      0      0
LAL.............1      1      1      1      1
Temp............59     65     70     73     73
RH..............22     17     14     12     11
20 ft wind......SW 15  SW 25  W 30   W 35   W 35
20 ft wind gust.30     35     45     50     50
Mix hgt (ft)....5700   5700   10400  10400  10400
Transport wind..SW 23  SW 33  W 38   SW 39  SW 38
Haines index....2      2      2      2      2
Vent Rate.......EXNT   EXNT   EXNT   EXNT   EXNT

$$
Forecaster...ROGASH
Requested by...Captain Medina, Jordan
Type of request...PRESCRIBED
.TAG 1705295.0/EPZ
.EMAIL jordan.a.medina2.civ@mail.mil



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