Suppression Forecast
Issued by NWS Flagstaff, AZ

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000
FNUS75 KFGZ 221902
FWSFGZ

SPOT FORECAST for Sycamore Mesa Piles...Phoenix BLM
National Weather Service Flagstaff AZ
1202 PM MST Wed Mar 22 2017

Forecast is based on ignition time of 1200 MST on March 22.
IF CONDITIONS BECOME UNREPRESENTATIVE, CONTACT THE NATIONAL WEATHER
SERVICE.

.DISCUSSION...Breezy southwest winds will continue today and tonight
ahead of a cold front moving into Arizona. Expect showers and a few
thunderstorms to accompany the cold front passage this evening into
Thursday morning. Scattered showers will continue through Thursday
with a significant drop in daytime temperatures. Drier and warmer
weather returns for Friday.

.TODAY...

Sky/weather.........Mostly cloudy. A slight chance of rain showers
                    late this afternoon.
CHANCE OF PCPN......20 percent.
Max temperature.....Around 71.
Min humidity........31 percent.
WIND (20 FT)........South winds around 10 mph with gusts up to 25
                    mph. Gusty and erratic winds expected near
                    thunderstorms.
Lal.................3.
Haines Index........3 very low.
MAX VENT RATE.......Excellent (113100 knot-ft).
CLEARING INDEX......1131.
MIXING HEIGHT.......1700 ft agl in the morning increasing to 6100
                    ft agl in the afternoon.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....South 5 to 10 knots increasing to 15 to 20
                    knots in the afternoon.

.TONIGHT...

Sky/weather.........Cloudy. Chance of thunderstorms in the evening.
                    Rain showers through the night. Slight chance
                    of thunderstorms after midnight.
CHANCE OF PCPN......80 percent.
Min temperature.....Around 42.
Max humidity........86 percent.
WIND (20 FT)........Southwest winds around 10 mph with gusts up to
                    25 mph. Gusty and erratic winds expected near
                    thunderstorms in the evening. Gusty and erratic
                    winds expected near thunderstorms after
                    midnight.
Lal.................3.
Haines Index........2 very low.
MIN VENT RATE.......Poor (2400 knot-ft).
CLEARING INDEX......24.
MIXING HEIGHT.......4600 ft agl early in the evening decreasing to
                    1900 ft agl in the late evening and overnight.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....Southwest 15 to 20 knots becoming west 5 to 10
                    knots after midnight.

.THURSDAY...

Sky/weather.........Mostly cloudy. Rain showers likely and chance
                    of thunderstorms.
CHANCE OF PCPN......60 percent.
Max temperature.....Around 54.
Min humidity........46 percent.
WIND (20 FT)........Southwest winds 10 to 15 mph with gusts up to
                    20 mph. Gusty and erratic winds expected near
                    thunderstorms.
Lal.................3.
Haines Index........3 very low.
MAX VENT RATE.......Excellent (144700 knot-ft).
CLEARING INDEX......1447.
MIXING HEIGHT.......2400 ft agl in the morning increasing to 7100
                    ft agl in the afternoon.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....Southwest 10 to 15 knots increasing to around
                    20 knots late in the afternoon.

$$
Forecaster...M TAYLOR
Requested by...Sairy Head
Type of request...PRESCRIBED
.TAG 1704937.0/FGZ
.EMAIL prescottdispatch@gmail.com


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