Suppression Forecast
Issued by NWS Dallas/Fort Worth, TX

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062
FNUS74 KFWD 280031
FWSFWD

Spot Forecast for Long Canyon Fire...Texas A&M Forest Service
National Weather Service Fort Worth TX
731 PM CDT Thu Jul 27 2017

Forecast is based on request time of 2000 CDT on July 27.
If conditions become unrepresentative...contact the National Weather
Service.

.DISCUSSION...
Light south winds will continue overnight around 5-10 mph. RH
values will climb into the 40s by midnight and to near 70% by
daybreak. Winds will veer more westerly on Friday but remain
fairly light at 10 mph or less with humidity falling to 25-30%
once again during the afternoon. Late Friday night and Saturday
morning, a wind shift to the northeast will occur as a weak front
moves into the area. There is only a small chance for a stray
shower or storm near the fire on Friday night or Saturday morning.


.REST OF TONIGHT...

Sky/weather.........Partly cloudy (35-45 percent).
Min temperature.....Around 76.
Max humidity........69 percent.
Wind (20 ft)........South winds 6 to 7 mph.
Haines Index........5 to 6 or high potential for large plume
                    dominated fire growth.

TIME (CDT)      8PM 9PM 10P 11P MID 1AM 2AM 3AM 4AM 5AM
Sky (%).........37  37  37  37  37  37  39  40  42  44
Weather cov.....
Weather type....
Tstm cov........
Temp............96  93  90  87  85  83  82  80  79  77
RH..............32  36  39  43  46  49  53  56  60  64
20 FT wind dir..S   S   S   S   S   S   S   S   S   S
20 FT wind spd..7   7   6   6   7   7   7   7   7   6
20 FT wind gust.10  10          10  10  10  10  10
Haines index....6   6   6   6   6   5   5   5   5   5

.FRIDAY...

Sky/weather.........Mostly sunny (35-45 percent).
Max temperature.....Around 100.
Min humidity........30 percent.
Wind (20 ft)........West winds 5 to 8 mph until late afternoon
                    becoming light.
Haines Index........5 to 6 or high potential for large plume
                    dominated fire growth.

TIME (CDT)      6AM 7AM 8AM 9AM 10A 11A 12P 1PM 2PM 3PM 4PM 5PM
Sky (%).........45  47  43  38  34  35  35  36  38  41  43  46
Weather cov.....
Weather type....
Tstm cov........
Temp............76  77  79  84  88  92  95  98  99  100 100 99
RH..............69  67  64  55  50  43  36  32  31  30  30  31
20 FT wind dir..S   SW  SW  SW  W   W   W   W   W   S   S   SE
20 FT wind spd..6   5   6   8   8   8   6   5   3   2   1   1
20 FT wind gust.            10  10  10          5
Haines index....5   5   5   5   5   5   5   6   6   6   6   6

.FRIDAY NIGHT...

Sky/weather.........Partly cloudy (45-55 percent) then becoming
                    mostly cloudy (45-55 percent) then becoming
                    partly cloudy (40-50 percent) then becoming
                    mostly cloudy (50-60 percent). Slight chance of
                    showers and thunderstorms.
Min temperature.....Around 76.
Max humidity........74 percent.
Wind (20 ft)........Light winds. Gusty and erratic winds expected
                    near thunderstorms.
Haines Index........4 to 6 or high potential for large plume
                    dominated fire growth.

TIME (CDT)      6PM 7PM 8PM 9PM 10P 11P MID 1AM 2AM 3AM 4AM 5AM
Sky (%).........49  52  49  45  42  43  43  43  46  48  51  55
Weather cov.....    SCH SCH SCH SCH SCH SCH SCH SCH SCH SCH SCH
Weather type....    RW  RW  RW  RW  RW  RW  RW  RW  RW  RW  RW
Tstm cov........    SCH SCH SCH SCH SCH SCH SCH SCH SCH SCH SCH
Temp............98  96  93  90  88  85  84  82  81  80  78  77
RH..............32  34  38  42  47  51  55  58  60  62  67  69
20 FT wind dir..SE  E   E   E   E   E   E   E   E   NE  NE  NE
20 FT wind spd..2   3   3   3   3   3   2   2   2   2   2   2
20 FT wind gust.    5   5   5   5   5
Haines index....6   6   6   6   6   6   6   4   4   4   4   4

.SATURDAY...

Sky/weather.........Partly sunny (60-70 percent). Slight chance of
                    showers and thunderstorms early in the morning,
                    then chance of showers and thunderstorms in the
                    morning. Slight chance of showers and
                    thunderstorms in the afternoon.
Max temperature.....Around 98.
Min humidity........35 percent.
Wind (20 ft)........Light winds becoming northeast 5 to 7 mph in
                    the afternoon. Gusty and erratic winds expected
                    near thunderstorms.
Haines Index........4 to 5 or moderate potential for large plume
                    dominated fire growth.

TIME (CDT)      6AM 7AM 8AM 9AM 10A 11A 12P 1PM 2PM 3PM 4PM 5PM
Sky (%).........59  62  62  61  61  59  58  57  61  64  68  66
Weather cov.....SCH CHC CHC CHC CHC CHC CHC SCH SCH SCH SCH SCH
Weather type....RW  RW  RW  RW  RW  RW  RW  RW  RW  RW  RW  RW
Tstm cov........SCH CHC CHC CHC CHC CHC CHC SCH SCH SCH SCH SCH
Temp............76  76  78  81  85  89  93  95  97  97  98  98
RH..............74  74  69  65  57  48  41  39  36  36  35  35
20 FT wind dir..NE  NE  NE  NE  N   N   NE  NE  NE  NE  NE  NE
20 FT wind spd..2   3   3   3   3   3   5   6   6   7   7   7
20 FT wind gust.    5   5   5   5   5               10  10  10
Haines index....4   4   4   4   4   4   4   5   5   5   5   5

$$
Forecaster...Stalley
Requested by...Wayne Jackson
Type of request...WILDFIRE
.TAG 1713517.0/FWD
.EMAIL wjackson@tfs.tamu.edu



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