Suppression Forecast
Issued by NWS Grand Rapids, MI

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000
FNUS73 KGRR 191140
FWSGRR

FIRE WEATHER PLANNING FORECAST FOR HAYMARSH FIELD X...MI DNR
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE GRAND RAPIDS MI
740 AM EDT SAT APR 19 2014

FORECAST IS BASED ON IGNITION TIME OF 1200 EDT ON APRIL 19.
IF CONDITIONS BECOME UNREPRESENTATIVE...CONTACT THE NATIONAL WEATHER
SERVICE.

.DISCUSSION...A DRY DAY IS EXPECTED.  EAST TO SOUTHEAST FLOW WILL
STRENGTHEN LATE MORNING INTO EARLY AFTERNOON...AS  HUMIDITY LEVELS
DROP OFF INTO THE 25 TO 35 PERCENT RANGE.  THIS BURN SITE LOOKS TOO
FAR INLAND TO SEE ANY LAKE BREEZE INFLUENCES.  GENERALLY WE WILL SEE
SUNNY CONDITIONS...BUT SOME HIGH CLOUDS COULD BE MOVING IN THIS
AFTERNOON.


.TODAY...

SKY/WEATHER.........SUNNY (15-25 PERCENT).
TEMPERATURE.........48 AT IGNITION...MAX 58.
RH..................42 PERCENT AT IGNITION...MIN 30 PERCENT.
WIND (20 FT)........WINDS SOUTHEAST AT 19 MPH AT
                    IGNITION...OTHERWISE SOUTHEAST WINDS 13 TO 18
                    MPH.
MIXING WINDS........SOUTHEAST 14 TO 21 MPH.
MIXING HEIGHT.......2400 FT AGL AT IGNITION...OTHERWISE 2600-3100
                    FT AGL.
HAINES INDEX........4 OR LOW POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME DOMINATED
                    FIRE GROWTH AT IGNITION...MAX 4.
SMOKE DISPERSAL.....200-600 (FAIR TO EXCELLENT).

TIME (EDT)      NOON   2 PM   4 PM   6 PM
SKY (%).........13     20     23     25
WEATHER COV.....
WEATHER TYPE....NONE   NONE   NONE   NONE
TEMP............48     53     56     56
RH..............42     35     31     32
20 FT WIND......SE 19  SE 19  SE 19  SE 18
20 FT GUST......25     25     25     25
HAINES INDEX....4      4      4      4

.TONIGHT...

SKY/WEATHER.........PARTLY CLOUDY (40-50 PERCENT).
TEMPERATURE.........MIN 36.
RH..................MAX 63 PERCENT.
WIND (20 FT)........SOUTH WINDS 8 TO 13 MPH.
MIXING WINDS........SOUTH 12 TO 21 MPH.
MIXING HEIGHT.......2300-2800 FT AGL DECREASING TO 100-600 FT AGL
                    OVERNIGHT.
HAINES INDEX........4 OR LOW POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME DOMINATED
                    FIRE GROWTH.
SMOKE DISPERSAL.....200-600 (FAIR TO EXCELLENT) DECREASING TO 0-100
                    (POOR TO POOR) OVERNIGHT.

.SUNDAY...

SKY/WEATHER.........PARTLY SUNNY (60-70 PERCENT). CHANCE OF RAIN.
TEMPERATURE.........MAX 67.
RH..................MIN 39 PERCENT.
WIND (20 FT)........SOUTHWEST WINDS 9 TO 14 MPH.
MIXING WINDS........SOUTHWEST 12 TO 18 MPH.
MIXING HEIGHT.......2600-3100 FT AGL.
HAINES INDEX........3 TO 4 OR OR VERY LOW POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME
                    DOMINATED FIRE GROWTH TO OR LOW POTENTIAL FOR
                    LARGE PLUME DOMINATED FIRE GROWTH.
SMOKE DISPERSAL.....100-500 (POOR TO GOOD).

$$
FORECASTER...MJS
REQUESTED BY...DAN LAUX
TYPE OF REQUEST...PRESCRIBED
.TAG 20140419.HAYMA.01/GRR






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