Suppression Forecast
Issued by NWS Wichita, KS

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000
FNUS73 KICT 171340
FWSICT

SPOT FORECAST FOR TALLGRASS EAST MOP UP2...NATIONAL PARK SERVICE
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE WICHITA KS
840 AM CDT THU APR 17 2014

FORECAST IS BASED ON REQUEST TIME OF 0825 CDT ON APRIL 17.
IF CONDITIONS BECOME UNREPRESENTATIVE...CONTACT THE NATIONAL WEATHER
SERVICE.

.DISCUSSION...NORTHEAST WINDS AT 10 TO 15 MPH WILL VEER TO THE
EAST-SOUTHEAST AND DIMINISH IN SPEED DURING THE AFTERNOON HOURS.
OVERCAST SKIES AND HIGH TEMPERATURES IN THE LOW 50S WILL RESULT IN
RELATIVE HUMIDITIES ABOVE 50 PERCENT WITH SCATTERED LIGHT RAIN
SHOWERS OR SPRINKLES ENDING BY EARLY AFTERNOON.

.REST OF TODAY...

SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY CLOUDY (80-90 PERCENT). CHANCE OF RAIN
                    SHOWERS IN THE MORNING...THEN CHANCE OF RAIN IN
                    THE AFTERNOON.
MAX TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 53.
MIN HUMIDITY........49 PERCENT.
WIND (20 FT)........NORTHEAST WINDS 6 TO 10 MPH.
CWR.................4 PERCENT.
HAINES INDEX........4 TO 5 OR LOW POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME
                    DOMINATED FIRE GROWTH TO MODERATE POTENTIAL FOR
                    LARGE PLUME DOMINATED FIRE GROWTH.
MIXING HEIGHT.......1700-3000 FT AGL.
MIXING WINDS........NORTH 8 TO 17 MPH SHIFTING TO THE EAST 5 TO 6
                    MPH IN THE AFTERNOON.

TIME (CDT)      8AM 9AM 10A 11A 12P 1PM 2PM 3PM 4PM 5PM 6PM
SKY (%).........100 100 100 99  99  99  93  87  81  74  68
WEATHER COV.....CHC CHC CHC CHC CHC CHC CHC CHC SCH SCH SCH
WEATHER TYPE....RW  RW  RW  RW  RN  RN  RN  RN  RN  RN  RN
TEMP............40  41  42  44  48  51  52  52  52  52  52
RH..............67  63  62  59  56  53  51  49  50  51  53
20 FT WIND DIR..N   N   N   N   N   N   NE  NE  NE  NE  E
20 FT WIND SPD..8   7   7   6   5   6   6   5   5   5   5
20 FT WIND GUST.15  15  15  10  10  10  10  10  10  10  10
MIX HGT (KFT)...1.8 2.0 2.2 2.4 2.5 2.7 2.9 3.0 3.0 2.8 2.7
MIXNG WIND DIR..N   N   N   N   N   NE  NE  NE  E   E   E
MIXNG WIND SPD..17  17  16  14  10  8   6   5   5   5   6
CWR.............0   0   0   0   10  10  10  10  10  10  10
HAINES INDEX....4   4   4   4   4   4   5   5   5   5   5

.TONIGHT...

SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY CLOUDY (50-60 PERCENT) THEN BECOMING
                    PARTLY CLOUDY (40-50 PERCENT) THEN BECOMING
                    MOSTLY CLOUDY (45-55 PERCENT) THEN BECOMING
                    PARTLY CLOUDY (45-55 PERCENT).
MIN TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 36.
MAX HUMIDITY........91 PERCENT.
WIND (20 FT)........EAST WINDS 5 TO 6 MPH EARLY IN THE EVENING
                    BECOMING LIGHT...THEN BECOMING SOUTHEAST AROUND
                    5 MPH EARLY IN THE MORNING.
CWR.................0 PERCENT.
HAINES INDEX........4 TO 5 OR LOW POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME
                    DOMINATED FIRE GROWTH TO MODERATE POTENTIAL FOR
                    LARGE PLUME DOMINATED FIRE GROWTH.
MIXING HEIGHT.......1000-2500 FT AGL DECREASING TO 300 FT AGL IN
                    THE LATE EVENING AND OVERNIGHT.
MIXING WINDS........SOUTHEAST 6 TO 8 MPH.

TIME (CDT)      7 PM   9 PM   11 PM  1 AM   3 AM   5 AM
SKY (%).........62     55     47     40     52     50
WEATHER COV.....
WEATHER TYPE....NONE   NONE   NONE   NONE   NONE   NONE
TEMP............51     45     42     40     39     37
RH..............53     65     73     79     85     90
20 FT WIND......E 5    E 4    E 3    SE 3   SE 3   SE 3
20 FT WIND GUST.       5      5      5      5      5
MIX HGT (FT)....2500   1000   300    300    300    300
MIXNG WIND......E 6    E 8    SE 8   SE 7   SE 6   SE 6
CWR.............0      0      0      0      0      0
HAINES INDEX....5      4      4      4      4      4

.FRIDAY...

SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY SUNNY (35-45 PERCENT).
MAX TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 70.
MIN HUMIDITY........36 PERCENT.
WIND (20 FT)........SOUTH WINDS 5 TO 12 MPH. GUSTS UP TO 25 MPH IN
                    THE AFTERNOON.
CWR.................0 PERCENT.
HAINES INDEX........4 TO 5 OR LOW POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME
                    DOMINATED FIRE GROWTH TO MODERATE POTENTIAL FOR
                    LARGE PLUME DOMINATED FIRE GROWTH.
MIXING HEIGHT.......300-1500 FT AGL INCREASING TO 4800-5300 FT AGL.
MIXING WINDS........SOUTH 8 TO 17 MPH INCREASING TO 18 TO 25 MPH IN
                    THE AFTERNOON.

TIME (CDT)      7 AM      10 AM     1 PM      4 PM
SKY (%).........47        40        32        30
WEATHER COV.....
WEATHER TYPE....NONE      NONE      NONE      NONE
TEMP............37        50        63        70
RH..............91        59        42        36
20 FT WIND......SE 4G5    SE 6G10   S 8G15    S 10G25
MIX HGT (FT)....300       1500      5000      5300
MIXNG WIND......SE 8      S 13      S 17      S 22
CWR.............0         0         0         0
HAINES INDEX....4         4         5         4

$$
FORECASTER...MCGUIRE
REQUESTED BY...KRISTEN HASE
TYPE OF REQUEST...WILDFIRE
.TAG 20140417.TALLG.01/ICT






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