Suppression Forecast
Issued by NWS Jacksonville, FL

Home | Current Version | Previous Version | Text Only | Print | Product List | Glossary On
Versions: 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 17 18 19 20 21
321
FNUS72 KJAX 081929
FWSJAX

SPOT FORECAST FOR LOCHLOOSA 270217...SJRWMD
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE JACKSONVILLE FL
229 PM EST MON FEB 8 2016

FORECAST IS BASED ON IGNITION TIME OF 1600 EST ON FEBRUARY 08.
IF CONDITIONS BECOME UNREPRESENTATIVE...CONTACT THE NATIONAL WEATHER
SERVICE.

...WINDY WITH HIGH DISPERSION VALUES THIS AFTERNOON AND AGAIN ON
TUESDAY AFTERNOON...

.DISCUSSION...
GUSTY SOUTHWEST WINDS WILL PREVAIL THROUGH EARLY EVENING...WITH
SUSTAINED SURFACE WINDS OF 15-25 MPH WITH GUSTS UP TO 35 MPH
EXPECTED. RELATIVE HUMIDITY VALUES WILL REMAIN IN THE 35-40
PERCENT RANGE THROUGH SUNSET...BUT ERC LEVELS REMAIN VERY LOW
AND THUS RED FLAG CONDITIONS ARE NOT EXPECTED. A FEW LIGHT AND
BRIEF SHOWERS WILL BE POSSIBLE DURING THE EVENING HOURS AS A COLD
FRONT MOVES QUICKLY THROUGH OUR REGION. WINDS WILL SHIFT TO A WEST
TO NORTHWEST DIRECTION THIS EVENING...WITH SPEEDS REMAINING
ELEVATED TONIGHT IN THE 15-20 MPH RANGE WITH OCCASIONAL GUSTS UP
TO 30 MPH. STRONG WESTERLY WINDS WILL PREVAIL ON TUESDAY...WITH
DISPERSION VALUES BECOMING ELEVATED BY THE LATE MORNING HOURS.
MINIMUM RELATIVE HUMIDITY VALUES OF 30-35 PERCENT ARE EXPECTED.
WINDS WILL RELAX TO NEAR 10 MPH TUESDAY NIGHT.

.REST OF TODAY...

SKY/WEATHER.........PARTLY SUNNY (50-60 PERCENT).
MAX TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 64.
MIN HUMIDITY........35 PERCENT.
WIND (20 FT)........SOUTHWEST WINDS 17 TO 25 MPH.
LAL.................1.
MIXING HEIGHT.......4500 FT AGL.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....SOUTHWEST 30 MPH.
CHANCE OF PCPN......0 PERCENT.
DISPERSION INDEX....80...DECREASING TO 70 LATE.
LVORI...............1.

TIME (EST)      4 PM
SKY (%).........60
WEATHER TYPE....NONE
TEMP............64
RH..............35
20 FT WIND......SW 20
20 FT WIND GUST.35
DISPERSION IDX..80
LVORI...........1
CHC OF PCPN (%).0

.TONIGHT...

SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY CLOUDY (60-70 PERCENT) THEN BECOMING
                    PARTLY CLOUDY (40-50 PERCENT).
MIN TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 39.
MAX HUMIDITY........75 PERCENT.
WIND (20 FT)........WEST WINDS 13 TO 18 MPH. GUSTS UP TO 30 MPH
                    UNTIL EARLY MORNING.
LAL.................1.
MIXING HEIGHT.......1500-2400 FT AGL.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....NORTHWEST 21 TO 29 MPH.
CHANCE OF PCPN......10 PERCENT.
DISPERSION INDEX....55...DECREASING TO 25 OVERNIGHT.
LVORI...............2.

TIME (EST)      6 PM   8 PM   10 PM  MIDNGT 2 AM   4 AM
SKY (%).........74     76     67     57     49     43
WEATHER TYPE....NONE   NONE   NONE   NONE   NONE   NONE
TEMP............58     50     47     44     42     40
RH..............55     71     74     73     73     70
20 FT WIND......SW 18  W 15   W 15   W 15   W 14   W 13
20 FT WIND GUST.30     25     25     25     20     20
DISPERSION IDX..55     35     30     25     25     25
LVORI...........1      2      2      2      2      2
CHC OF PCPN (%).0      10     10     10     0      0

.TUESDAY...

SKY/WEATHER.........SUNNY (20-30 PERCENT).
MAX TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 55.
MIN HUMIDITY........32 PERCENT.
WIND (20 FT)........WEST WINDS 12 TO 18 MPH. GUSTS UP TO 30 MPH.
LAL.................1.
MIXING HEIGHT.......2000 FT AGL EARLY...INCREASING TO 5300 FT AGL
                    LATE IN THE MORNING.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....WEST 23 TO 32 MPH.
CHANCE OF PCPN......0 PERCENT.
DISPERSION INDEX....25 AT SUNRISE...INCREASING TO 65 BY
                    MID-MORNING...INCREASING TO 95 IN THE
                    AFTERNOON.
LVORI...............1.

TIME (EST)      6 AM   8 AM   10 AM  NOON   2 PM   4 PM
SKY (%).........36     32     27     23     19     15
WEATHER TYPE....NONE   NONE   NONE   NONE   NONE   NONE
TEMP............39     40     47     53     55     55
RH..............67     62     45     35     32     34
20 FT WIND......W 12   W 13   W 16   W 18   W 18   W 18
20 FT WIND GUST.15     20     25     30     30     30
DISPERSION IDX..25     50     65     85     95     90
LVORI...........2      1      1      1      1      1
CHC OF PCPN (%).0      0      0      0      0      0

$$
FORECASTER...NELSON
REQUESTED BY...JEREMY OLSON
TYPE OF REQUEST...PRESCRIBED
.TAG 20160208.LOCHL.01/JAX



USA.gov is the U.S. government's official web portal to all federal, state and local government web resources and services.