Suppression Forecast
Issued by NWS North Platte, NE

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400
FNUS73 KLBF 231230
FWSLBF

Spot Forecast for 2017 Niobrara Valley TREX...The Nature Conservancy
National Weather Service North Platte NE
730 AM CDT Thu Mar 23 2017

Forecast is based on ignition time of 0800 CDT on March 23.
If conditions become unrepresentative, contact the National
Weather Service.

Please contact the NWS North Platte office at (308) 532-0921
(or 1-800-603-3562), if you have questions or concerns with
this forecast.

.DISCUSSION...

High temperature over the prescribe burn area will be warmer
compared to yesterday`s high by 10 to 15 degrees. However,
similar afternoon humidity is expected. Conditions will improve
mid-late morning with low clouds expected to give way to higher
clouds. A cold front will advance south through the prescribed
burn site late afternoon causing winds to shift from southerly to
northerly. There is a slight chance for thunderstorms late this
afternoon and evening. While a storm could be strong or severe,
confidence in a strong or severe storm occurring is low.

Increased chances for rain showers overnight and tomorrow. High
afternoon humidity is expected to prevail Friday. Windy
conditions are expected tomorrow also with gusts up to 35 mph.

.TODAY...

Sky/weather.........Mostly cloudy. Slight chance of showers and
                    thunderstorms late in the afternoon.
LAL.................No Tstms increasing to 1-8 strikes late in the
                    afternoon.
Max temperature.....Around 68.
Min humidity........45 percent.
Eye level winds.....Southeast winds 9 to 13 mph shifting to the
                    northeast around 10 mph late in the afternoon.
Wind (20 ft)........
 Slope/valley.......Southeast winds 9 to 13 mph with gusts to
                    around 25 mph shifting to the northeast around
                    10 mph late in the afternoon. Gusty and erratic
                    winds expected near thunderstorms late in the
                    afternoon.
Mixing height.......600-2200 ft AGL until 1300, then 2600-3800 ft
                    AGL.
Transport winds.....Southwest 17 to 25 mph shifting to the west
                    around 15 mph late in the afternoon, then
                    shifting to the northwest around 13 mph late in
                    the afternoon.
Haines Index........2 very low.

TIME (CDT)      8AM 9AM 10A 11A 12P 1PM 2PM 3PM 4PM 5PM 6PM
Sky (%).........81  83  85  79  74  68  64  61  57  61  66
Weather cov.....                                    SCH SCH
Weather type....                                    RW  RW
Tstm cov........                                    SCH SCH
LAL.............1   1   1   1   1   1   1   1   1   2   2
Temp............43  45  48  52  55  59  63  66  68  68  67
RH..............79  79  76  71  66  60  54  48  45  45  47
20 FT wind dir..S   S   S   S   S   S   S   S   S   SE  NE
20 FT wind spd..9   10  10  10  10  10  9   8   7   7   8
20 FT wind gust.20  20  25  25  20  20  20  15  15  15  15
Eye lvl wnd dir.S   S   S   S   S   S   S   S   S   SE  NE
Eye lvl wnd spd.7   7   7   8   7   7   7   6   5   5   6
Eye lvl wnd gst.20  20  25  25  20  20  20  15  15  15  15
Mix hgt (kft)...0.9 1.2 1.5 1.8 2.2 2.6 3.0 3.4 3.8 3.3 2.8
Transp wind dir.S   S   S   S   S   S   S   S   SW  W   NW
Transp wind spd.22  23  24  25  25  25  23  21  17  15  13
Haines index....2   2   2   2   2   2   2   2   2   2   2

.TONIGHT...

Sky/weather.........Mostly cloudy. Showers likely and slight chance
                    of thunderstorms in the evening, then showers
                    after midnight.
LAL.................9-15 strikes decreasing to No Tstms after
                    midnight.
Min temperature.....Around 39.
Max humidity........89 percent.
Eye level winds.....North winds 11 to 17 mph.
Wind (20 ft)........
 Slope/valley.......North winds 11 to 17 mph. Gusts up to 25 mph
                    increasing to 30 mph in the late evening and
                    overnight. Gusty and erratic winds expected
                    near thunderstorms in the evening.
Mixing height.......1000-2300 ft AGL.
Transport winds.....North 13 to 20 mph increasing to 23 to 31 mph
                    in the late evening and overnight.
Haines Index........2 very low.

TIME (CDT)      7PM 8PM 9PM 10P 11P MID 1AM 2AM 3AM 4AM 5AM 6AM
Sky (%).........71  79  87  95  96  96  97  97  97  98  98  98
Weather cov.....CHC CHC CHC CHC LKY LKY DEF DEF DEF LKY LKY LKY
Weather type....RW  RW  RW  RW  RW  RW  RW  RW  RW  RW  RW  RW
Tstm cov........SCH SCH SCH SCH SCH SCH
LAL.............3   4   4   4   4   5   1   1   1   1   1   1
Temp............64  61  57  53  50  48  46  45  44  43  42  41
RH..............52  58  64  74  80  83  86  86  89  89  89  89
20 FT wind dir..N   N   N   N   N   N   N   N   N   N   N   N
20 FT wind spd..9   10  10  11  12  13  13  13  14  14  14  13
20 FT wind gust.20  20  25  25  30  30  30  30  30  30  30  30
Eye lvl wnd dir.N   N   N   N   N   N   N   N   N   N   N   N
Eye lvl wnd spd.7   7   8   8   9   10  10  10  10  10  10  10
Eye lvl wnd gst.20  20  25  25  30  30  30  30  30  30  30  30
Mix hgt (kft)...2.3 1.8 1.4 1.0 1.1 1.2 1.3 1.4 1.5 1.5 1.6 1.7
Transp wind dir.N   N   N   N   N   N   N   N   N   N   N   N
Transp wind spd.13  16  20  23  25  25  26  28  30  31  31  31
Haines index....2   2   2   2   2   2   2   2   2   2   2   2

.FRIDAY...

Sky/weather.........Cloudy. Rain showers in the morning, then
                    showers likely in the afternoon.
LAL.................No Tstms.
Max temperature.....Around 46.
Min humidity........55 percent.
Eye level winds.....North winds 14 to 17 mph.
Wind (20 ft)........
 Slope/valley.......North winds 14 to 17 mph with gusts to around
                    35 mph.
Mixing height.......1800-2400 ft AGL.
Transport winds.....North 24 to 31 mph.
Haines Index........2 to 3 very low.

TIME (CDT)      7AM 8AM 9AM 10A 11A 12P 1PM 2PM 3PM 4PM 5PM 6PM
Sky (%).........98  98  98  98  98  98  98  96  94  92  89  84
Weather cov.....DEF DEF DEF DEF DEF DEF LKY LKY LKY LKY LKY LKY
Weather type....RW  RW  RW  RW  RW  RW  RW  RW  RW  RW  RW  RW
Tstm cov........
LAL.............1   1   1   1   1   1   1   1   1   1   1   1
Temp............40  40  40  40  41  42  43  43  43  44  45  46
RH..............89  89  85  85  79  76  70  67  65  60  58  55
20 FT wind dir..N   N   N   N   N   N   N   N   N   N   N   N
20 FT wind spd..13  13  14  14  14  14  14  14  14  13  12  11
20 FT wind gust.30  30  30  30  35  35  35  35  30  30  30  25
Eye lvl wnd dir.N   N   N   N   N   N   N   N   N   N   N   N
Eye lvl wnd spd.10  10  10  10  10  10  10  10  10  10  9   8
Eye lvl wnd gst.30  30  30  30  35  35  35  35  30  30  30  25
Mix hgt (kft)...1.8 1.8 1.9 1.9 1.9 1.9 1.8 2.0 2.2 2.4 2.3 2.2
Transp wind dir.N   N   N   N   N   N   N   N   N   N   N   N
Transp wind spd.30  30  30  30  31  31  31  31  30  29  26  24
Haines index....2   2   2   2   2   2   3   3   3   3   3   3

.FORECAST DAYS 3 THROUGH 5...
.SATURDAY...
Partly cloudy. Chance of showers and snow showers. Lows in the
mid 20s. Highs in the mid 50s. Southeast winds 5 to 11 mph.
.SUNDAY...
Mostly cloudy. Lows in the mid 30s. Highs in the upper 50s. West
winds 6 to 9 mph.
.MONDAY...
Partly cloudy. Slight chance of showers. Lows in the mid 30s.
Highs around 60. Northeast winds 5 to 7 mph.

$$
Forecaster...Townsend
Requested by...Chad Bladow
Type of request...PRESCRIBED
.TAG 1705025.0/LBF
.EMAIL alexkopelson@gmail.com



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