Suppression Forecast
Issued by NWS Little Rock, AR

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FNUS74 KLZK 172014
FWSLZK

Spot Forecast for Dorsey-19 (Optimus Fields)...U. S. Forest Service
National Weather Service Little Rock AR
214 PM CST Wed Jan 17 2018

Forecast is based on ignition time of 1400 CST on January 17.
If conditions become unrepresentative...contact the National Weather
Service Immediately.

.DISCUSSION...

High pressure over the area will begin to shift southeast and
flatten tonight into Thursday providing a return of southwesterly
winds. Dry air will remain in place, with winds increasing
slightly during the afternoon Thursday. Cloud cover will begin to
increase from the south Friday evening with rain chances in the
forecast at times this weekend.

.TONIGHT...

Temperature.........Min 14.
RH..................Max 67 percent.
Chance of pcpn......0 percent.
Transport winds.....Southwest 5 to 8 mph.
Stability class.....D.
20 Foot Winds.......Light winds.
LVORI...............1.
Sky/weather.........Clear (0-5 percent).
Dispersion..........3 early in the evening.
Haines Index........4 or low potential for large plume dominated
                    fire growth.
Eye level winds.....Light winds.
Mixing height (AGL).Becoming 1800 ft AGL.
Mixing height (MSL).Becoming 2117 ft MSL.

TIME (CST)      6PM 7PM 8PM 9PM 10P 11P MID 1AM 2AM 3AM 4AM 5AM
Sky cover.......CLR CLR CLR CLR CLR CLR CLR CLR CLR CLR CLR CLR
Weather cov.....
Weather type....
Tstm cov........
Temp............22  21  20  19  19  18  18  17  17  16  16  16
RH..............54  56  59  61  61  61  61  64  64  67  64  64
20 FT wind dir..S   S   S   S   S   S   SW  SW  SW  SW  SW  SW
20 FT wind spd..2   2   2   2   2   2   2   2   2   2   2   2
20 FT wind gust.                        5   5   5   5   5   5
Eye lvl wnd dir.S   S   S   S   S   S   SW  SW  SW  SW  SW  SW
Eye lvl wnd spd.1   1   1   1   1   1   2   2   2   2   2   2
Eye lvl wnd gst.                        5   5   5   5   5   5
Transp wind dir.W   W   SW  SW  SW  SW  SW  SW  SW  SW  SW  SW
Transp wind spd.6   5   5   5   6   7   8   8   8   8   8   8
Chc of pcpn (%).0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0

.THURSDAY...

Temperature.........Max 42.
RH..................Min 26 percent.
Chance of pcpn......0 percent.
Transport winds.....Southwest 8 to 14 mph.
Stability class.....C.
20 Foot Winds.......Light winds becoming southwest around 5 mph in
                    the afternoon.
LVORI...............1 early in the morning.
Sky/weather.........Sunny (0-10 percent).
Dispersion..........11 increasing to 30.
Haines Index........4 or low potential for large plume dominated
                    fire growth.
Eye level winds.....Light winds becoming southwest around 5 mph in
                    the afternoon.
Mixing height (AGL).Becoming 2100 ft AGL.
Mixing height (MSL).Becoming 2473 ft MSL.

TIME (CST)      6AM 7AM 8AM 9AM 10A 11A 12P 1PM 2PM 3PM 4PM 5PM
Sky cover.......CLR CLR CLR CLR CLR CLR MCR MCR MCR MCR MCR MCR
Weather cov.....
Weather type....
Tstm cov........
Temp............15  18  19  22  27  31  35  37  40  41  40  39
RH..............64  59  56  52  42  37  32  29  27  26  27  28
20 FT wind dir..SW  SW  SW  SW  SW  SW  SW  SW  SW  SW  SW  SW
20 FT wind spd..2   2   2   2   2   2   5   5   5   5   5   5
20 FT wind gust.5   5   5   5   5   5   10  10  10  10  10  10
Eye lvl wnd dir.SW  SW  SW  SW  SW  SW  SW  SW  SW  SW  SW  SW
Eye lvl wnd spd.3   3   3   3   3   3   4   4   4   4   4   4
Eye lvl wnd gst.                        10  10  10  10  10  10
Transp wind dir.SW  SW  SW  SW  SW  SW  SW  SW  SW  SW  SW  SW
Transp wind spd.8   8   8   8   8   9   9   10  12  13  14  14
Chc of pcpn (%).0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0

$$
Forecaster...J Hood
Requested by...Brian Sullivan
Type of request...PRESCRIBED
.TAG 1800509.0/LZK
.EMAIL bksullivan@fs.fed.us



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