Suppression Forecast
Issued by NWS Little Rock, AR

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FNUS74 KLZK 291115
FWSLZK

SPOT FORECAST FOR BIG VALLEY SP...USFS
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE LITTLE ROCK AR
615 AM CDT MON SEP 29 2014

FORECAST IS BASED ON IGNITION TIME OF 1030 CDT ON SEPTEMBER 29.
IF CONDITIONS BECOME UNREPRESENTATIVE...CONTACT THE NATIONAL WEATHER
SERVICE.

.DISCUSSION...
OVERALL DRY WEATHER CONDITIONS ARE EXPECTED TODAY...WITH MIN RH
VALUES IN THE UPPER 30 TO UPPER 40S IN THE AFTERNOON. WINDS WILL
BE FROM THE EAST TO SOUTHEAST. DRY ALSO ON TUESDAY... WITH ONLY A
FEW ISOLATED SHOWERS IN THE AFTERNOON TO EVENING...AND MAINLY OVER
EASTERN ARKANSAS. A CHANCE OF RAIN ENTERS THE FORECAST ON
WEDNESDAY AFTERNOON AND NIGHT...AHEAD OF THE NEXT STORM SYSTEM.
BETTER CHANCES OF RAIN WILL BE ON THURSDAY TO THURSDAY NIGHT AS
THE STORM SYSTEM AND COLD FRONT MOVE ACROSS ARKANSAS. DRY AND
MUCH COOLER WEATHER ARE EXPECTED LATER FRIDAY AND FOR THE WEEKEND.

.TODAY...

SKY/WEATHER.........SUNNY (5-15 PERCENT).
TEMPERATURE.........71 AT IGNITION...MAX 81.
RH..................78 PERCENT AT IGNITION...MIN 49 PERCENT.
CHANCE OF PCPN......0 PERCENT.
EYE LEVEL WINDS.....LIGHT WINDS BECOMING EAST AROUND 5 TO 8 MPH EARLY
                    IN THE AFTERNOON.
TRANSPORT WINDS........EAST 10 TO 14 MPH.
MIXING HEIGHT (MSL).......BECOMING 5600 FT MSL.
MIXING HEIGHT (AGL).......BECOMING 4222 FT AGL.
STABILITY CLASS.....4.
20-FOOT WINDS.......WINDS NORTHEAST AT 3 MPH AT
                    IGNITION...OTHERWISE LIGHT WINDS BECOMING EAST
                    5 TO 8 MPH IN THE LATE MORNING AND AFTERNOON.

TIME (CDT)      10A 11A 12P 1PM 2PM 3PM 4PM 5PM
SKY (%).........MCR MCR MCR MCR MCR MCR MCR MCR
WEATHER COV.....NONE.
WEATHER TYPE....NONE.
TEMP............71  74  78  79  80  80  80  79
RH..............78  69  61  53  51  50  51  54
20 FT WIND DIR..NE  E   E   E   E   E   E   E
20 FT WIND SPD..6   7   8   8   8   8   7   6
20 FT WIND GUST.6   7   8   8   8   8   7   6
EYE LVL WND DIR.NE  E   E   E   E   E   E   E
EYE LVL WND SPD.4   4   5   5   5   5   4   4
EYE LVL WND GST.4   4   5   5   5   5   4   4
TRANSP WIND DIR.E   E   E   E   E   E   E   E
TRANSP WIND SPD.13  14  14  14  14  14  14  14
CHC OF PCPN (%).0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0

.TONIGHT...

SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY CLEAR (10-20 PERCENT).
TEMPERATURE.........MIN 61.
RH..................MAX 77 PERCENT.
CHANCE OF PCPN......10 PERCENT.
EYE LEVEL WINDS.....LIGHT EAST WINDS.
TRANSPORT WINDS........SOUTH 12 TO 14 MPH.
STABILITY CLASS.....4.
20-FOOT WINDS.......EAST WINDS AROUND 5 TO 9 MPH EARLY IN THE EVENING
                    BECOMING LIGHT...THEN BECOMING SOUTHEAST AROUND
                    5 MPH AFTER MIDNIGHT.
LVORI...............1.

TIME (CDT)      6PM 7PM 8PM 9PM 10P 11P MID 1AM 2AM 3AM 4AM 5AM
SKY (%).........MCR MCR MCR MCR MCR MCR MCR MCR MCR MCR MCR MCR
WEATHER COV.....NONE.
WEATHER TYPE....NONE.
TEMP............77  74  71  70  68  67  66  66  65  65  64  64
RH..............54  60  65  69  72  74  75  77  77  77  77  77
20 FT WIND DIR..E   E   E   E   SE  SE  SE  SE  SE  SE  SE  SE
20 FT WIND SPD..5   3   3   3   3   3   3   5   5   5   5   5
20 FT WIND GUST.5   4   4   4   4   4   4   5   5   5   5   5
EYE LVL WND DIR.E   E   E   E   SE  SE  SE  SE  SE  SE  SE  SE
EYE LVL WND SPD.3   2   2   2   2   2   2   3   3   3   3   3
EYE LVL WND GST.3   2   2   2   2   2   2   3   3   3   3   3
TRANSP WIND DIR.E   E   E   E   E   SE  SE  SE  SE  SE  S   S
TRANSP WIND SPD.13  13  13  14  14  14  14  14  14  13  13  12
LVORI...........1   1   1   1   1   1   1   1   1   1   1   1
CHC OF PCPN (%).0   10  10  10  10  10  10  10  10  10  10  10

.TUESDAY...

SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY SUNNY (25-35 PERCENT).
TEMPERATURE.........MAX 82.
RH..................MIN 49 PERCENT.
CHANCE OF PCPN......10 PERCENT.
EYE LEVEL WINDS.....LIGHT WINDS BECOMING SOUTHEAST 5 TO 6 MPH IN
                    THE AFTERNOON.
TRANSPORT WINDS........SOUTH 12 TO 15 MPH.
MIXING HEIGHT (MSL).......BECOMING 5800 FT MSL.
MIXING HEIGHT (AGL).......BECOMING 4436 FT AGL.
STABILITY CLASS.....4.
20-FOOT WINDS.......SOUTHEAST WINDS 5 TO 8 MPH.

TIME (CDT)      6AM 7AM 8AM 9AM 10A 11A 12P 1PM 2PM 3PM 4PM 5PM
SKY (%).........PC  PC  PC  PC  PC  PC  PC  PC  PC  PC  PC  MCR
WEATHER COV.....NONE.
WEATHER TYPE....NONE.
TEMP............63  63  65  68  72  75  77  79  80  81  81  80
RH..............76  76  74  70  65  59  55  52  51  49  49  51
20 FT WIND DIR..SE  SE  SE  SE  SE  SE  SE  SE  SE  SE  SE  SE
20 FT WIND SPD..5   5   5   6   6   7   8   8   8   8   8   7
20 FT WIND GUST.5   5   5   6   6   7   8   8   8   8   8   7
EYE LVL WND DIR.SE  SE  SE  SE  SE  SE  SE  SE  SE  SE  SE  SE
EYE LVL WND SPD.3   3   3   4   4   4   5   5   5   5   5   4
EYE LVL WND GST.3   3   3   4   4   4   5   5   5   5   5   4
TRANSP WIND DIR.S   S   S   S   S   S   S   S   S   S   S   S
TRANSP WIND SPD.12  12  12  13  13  14  15  15  15  15  15  15
CHC OF PCPN (%).10  10  10  10  10  10  10  10  10  10  10  10

$$
FORECASTER...M TREXLER
REQUESTED BY...ADAM STROTHERS
TYPE OF REQUEST...PRESCRIBED
.TAG 20140929.BIGVA.01/LZK





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