Suppression Forecast
Issued by NWS Little Rock, AR

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000
FNUS74 KLZK 081435
FWSLZK

SPOT FORECAST FOR MCFERRRIN POINT WF...NPS
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE LITTLE ROCK AR
835 AM CST MON FEB 8 2016

FORECAST IS BASED ON REQUEST TIME OF 0829 CST ON FEBRUARY 08.
IF CONDITIONS BECOME UNREPRESENTATIVE...CONTACT THE NATIONAL WEATHER
SERVICE.

...WIND ADVISORY IN EFFECT UNTIL 6 PM CST THIS EVENING...

.DISCUSSION...

THERE IS A HIGH FIRE DANGER ACROSS ARKANSAS TODAY. WINDS WILL BE
GUSTY OUT OF THE NW WITH MIN RH VALUES CURRENTLY FORECAST ABOVE
RED FLAG CRITERIA. IF FORECAST CONDITIONS BECOME
UNREPRESENTATIVE...CONTACT THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE.

.TODAY...

SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY CLOUDY (70-80 PERCENT). SCATTERED
                    FLURRIES IN THE MORNING. SLIGHT CHANCE OF
                    SPRINKLES LATE IN THE MORNING.
TEMPERATURE.........32 AT REQUEST...MAX 36.
RH..................59 PERCENT AT REQUEST...MIN 45 PERCENT.
CHANCE OF PCPN......10 PERCENT.
EYE LEVEL WINDS.....NORTHWEST WINDS 13 TO 17 MPH.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....NORTHWEST 38 TO 40 MPH.
MIXING HEIGHT (AGL).......BECOMING 4500 FT MSL.
MIXING HEIGHT (MSL).......BECOMING 6049 FT MSL.
STABILITY CLASS.....4.
20-FOOT WINDS.......WINDS NORTHWEST AT 14 MPH AT
                    REQUEST...OTHERWISE NORTHWEST WINDS 13 TO 17
                    MPH. GUSTS UP TO 30 MPH INCREASING TO 40 MPH IN
                    THE LATE MORNING AND EARLY AFTERNOON...THEN
                    DECREASING TO 30 MPH LATE IN THE AFTERNOON.

TIME (CST)      8AM 9AM 10A 11A 12P 1PM 2PM 3PM 4PM 5PM
SKY (%).........MC  MC  MC  MC  MC  MC  MC  MC  MC  MC
WEATHER COV.....SCH SCH SCT SCT
WEATHER TYPE....SW  SW  SW  SW
TEMP............31  32  32  34  35  35  35  34  34  33
RH..............59  57  56  49  47  45  45  45  45  47
20 FT WIND DIR..NW  NW  NW  NW  NW  NW  NW  NW  NW  NW
20 FT WIND SPD..16  17  17  17  17  17  17  16  16  14
20 FT WIND GUST.30  35  40  35  35  40  35  35  30  25
EYE LVL WND DIR.NW  NW  NW  NW  NW  NW  NW  NW  NW  NW
EYE LVL WND SPD.6   8   10  10  10  10  10  10  10  8
EYE LVL WND GST.30  35  40  35  35  40  35  35  30  25
TRANSP WIND DIR.NW  NW  NW  NW  NW  NW  NW  NW  NW  NW
TRANSP WIND SPD.40  40  40  40  40  40  40  40  39  38
CHC OF PCPN (%).10  10  10  10  10  10  10  10  10  10

.TONIGHT...

SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY CLOUDY (55-65 PERCENT) THEN BECOMING
                    PARTLY CLOUDY (35-45 PERCENT).
TEMPERATURE.........MIN 23.
RH..................MAX 68 PERCENT.
CHANCE OF PCPN......0 PERCENT.
EYE LEVEL WINDS.....NORTHWEST WINDS 12 TO 13 MPH.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....NORTHWEST 35 TO 39 MPH.
STABILITY CLASS.....4.
20-FOOT WINDS.......NORTHWEST WINDS 12 TO 13 MPH WITH GUSTS TO
                    AROUND 25 MPH.
LVORI...............1.

TIME (CST)      6PM 7PM 8PM 9PM 10P 11P MID 1AM 2AM 3AM 4AM 5AM
SKY (%).........MC  MC  MC  MC  MC  PC  PC  PC  PC  PC  PC  PC
WEATHER COV.....
WEATHER TYPE....
TEMP............32  31  30  29  28  27  26  25  25  24  24  24
RH..............49  51  53  55  58  60  62  65  65  68  65  65
20 FT WIND DIR..NW  NW  NW  NW  NW  NW  NW  NW  NW  NW  NW  NW
20 FT WIND SPD..13  12  12  12  12  12  12  12  12  12  12  12
20 FT WIND GUST.25  25  20  20  20  20  20  20  20  20  20  20
EYE LVL WND DIR.NW  NW  NW  NW  NW  NW  NW  NW  NW  NW  NW  NW
EYE LVL WND SPD.8   7   7   7   7   7   7   7   7   7   7   7
EYE LVL WND GST.25  25  20  20  20  20  20  20  20  20  20  20
TRANSP WIND DIR.NW  NW  NW  NW  NW  NW  NW  NW  NW  NW  NW  NW
TRANSP WIND SPD.38  39  39  39  39  38  37  36  36  35  35  35
LVORI...........1   1   1   1   1   1   1   1   1   1   1   1
CHC OF PCPN (%).0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0

.TUESDAY...

SKY/WEATHER.........SUNNY (15-25 PERCENT).
TEMPERATURE.........MAX 37.
RH..................MIN 35 PERCENT.
CHANCE OF PCPN......0 PERCENT.
EYE LEVEL WINDS.....NORTHWEST WINDS 12 TO 14 MPH.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....NORTHWEST 32 TO 35 MPH.
MIXING HEIGHT (AGL).......BECOMING 5600 FT MSL.
MIXING HEIGHT (MSL).......BECOMING 7155 FT MSL.
STABILITY CLASS.....3.
20-FOOT WINDS.......NORTHWEST WINDS 12 TO 14 MPH WITH GUSTS TO
                    AROUND 25 MPH.

TIME (CST)      6AM 7AM 8AM 9AM 10A 11A 12P 1PM 2PM 3PM 4PM 5PM
SKY (%).........PC  MCR MCR MCR MCR MCR MCR MCR MCR MCR MCR MCR
WEATHER COV.....
WEATHER TYPE....
TEMP............23  23  23  26  29  31  33  35  36  37  37  36
RH..............68  68  65  57  51  45  41  38  36  35  35  36
20 FT WIND DIR..NW  NW  NW  NW  NW  NW  NW  NW  NW  NW  NW  NW
20 FT WIND SPD..12  12  13  13  13  13  13  14  14  14  13  12
20 FT WIND GUST.20  20  20  20  25  25  25  25  25  25  20  20
EYE LVL WND DIR.NW  NW  NW  NW  NW  NW  NW  NW  NW  NW  NW  NW
EYE LVL WND SPD.7   7   8   8   8   8   8   8   8   8   8   7
EYE LVL WND GST.20  20  20  20  25  25  25  25  25  25  20  20
TRANSP WIND DIR.NW  NW  NW  NW  NW  NW  NW  NW  NW  NW  NW  NW
TRANSP WIND SPD.35  33  32  32  32  32  32  32  32  32  32  32
CHC OF PCPN (%).0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0

$$
FORECASTER...S CLARKE
REQUESTED BY...TONY COLLINS
TYPE OF REQUEST...WILDFIRE
.TAG 20160208.MCFER.04/LZK


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