Suppression Forecast
Issued by NWS Little Rock, AR

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FNUS74 KLZK 231224
FWSLZK

Spot Forecast for C/W Mauldin Fields...USDA Forest Service
National Weather Service Little Rock AR
624 AM CST Thu Feb 23 2017

Forecast is based on ignition time of 0700 CST on February 23.
If conditions become unrepresentative...contact the National Weather
Service Immediately.

.DISCUSSION...
Fog will scatter out later this morning. Winds will increase after
sunrise.

.TODAY...

Temperature.........52 at ignition...Max 79.
RH..................98 percent at ignition...Min 36 percent.
Chance of pcpn......0 percent.
Transport winds.....South 18 to 25 mph increasing to 29 to 32 mph
                    late in the afternoon.
Stability class.....C.
20 Foot Winds.......Winds southeast at 9 mph at
                    ignition...otherwise South winds 5 to 12 mph.
Sky/weather.........Sunny (20-30 percent). Patchy fog in the
                    morning.
Dispersion..........16 increasing to 54.
Haines Index........4 or low potential for large plume dominated
                    fire growth at ignition...max 4.
Eye level winds.....South winds 5 to 12 mph.
Mixing height (AGL).Becoming 2700 ft AGL.
Mixing height (MSL).Becoming 3532 ft MSL.

TIME (CST)      7AM 8AM 9AM 10A 11A 12P 1PM 2PM 3PM 4PM 5PM
Sky cover.......PC  PC  PC  PC  PC  MCR MCR MCR MCR MCR MCR
Weather cov.....PTY PTY PTY PTY PTY
Weather type....FOG FOG FOG FOG FOG
Tstm cov........
Temp............52  55  59  63  68  72  76  78  79  78  75
RH..............98  96  87  72  57  48  41  38  36  37  41
20 FT wind dir..SE  SE  SE  SE  SE  S   S   S   S   S   S
20 FT wind spd..9   9   9   9   9   12  12  12  12  12  12
20 FT wind gust.15  15  15  15  15  20  20  20  20  20  20
Eye lvl wnd dir.SE  SE  SE  SE  SE  S   S   S   S   S   S
Eye lvl wnd spd.5   5   5   5   5   7   7   7   7   7   7
Eye lvl wnd gst.15  15  15  15  15  20  20  20  20  20  20
Transp wind dir.S   S   S   S   S   S   S   S   S   S   S
Transp wind spd.18  18  18  20  22  23  23  24  25  29  32
Chc of pcpn (%).0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0

.TONIGHT...

Temperature.........Min 57.
RH..................Max 77 percent.
Transport winds.....Southwest 26 to 35 mph shifting to the west
                    around 22 mph early in the morning.
20 Foot Winds.......South winds 7 to 12 mph.
LVORI...............1.
Eye level winds.....South winds 7 to 12 mph.

TIME (CST)      6PM 7PM 8PM 9PM 10P 11P MID 1AM 2AM 3AM 4AM 5AM
Temp............73  71  69  68  66  65  64  64  63  61  60  58
RH..............44  48  52  54  60  64  67  67  70  75  75  77
20 FT wind dir..S   S   S   S   S   S   S   S   S   S   S   S
20 FT wind spd..12  12  12  12  12  12  10  10  10  10  10  10
20 FT wind gust.20  20  20  20  20  20  20  20  20  20  20  20
Eye lvl wnd dir.S   S   S   S   S   S   S   S   S   S   S   S
Eye lvl wnd spd.7   7   7   7   7   7   6   6   6   6   6   6
Eye lvl wnd gst.20  20  20  20  20  20  20  20  20  20  20  20
Transp wind dir.S   S   S   S   S   SW  SW  SW  SW  SW  SW  W
Transp wind spd.35  35  33  32  32  32  32  32  32  31  26  22

.FRIDAY...

Temperature.........Max 71.
RH..................Min 23 percent.
Chance of pcpn......10 percent.
Transport winds.....West 15 to 24 mph increasing to 25 to 28 mph
                    late in the afternoon.
Stability class.....C.
20 Foot Winds.......West winds 7 to 10 mph.
Sky/weather.........Mostly sunny (25-35 percent).
Dispersion..........18 increasing to 73.
Haines Index........4 to 5 or low potential for large plume
                    dominated fire growth to or moderate potential
                    for large plume dominated fire growth.
Eye level winds.....West winds 7 to 10 mph.
Mixing height (AGL).Becoming 4900 ft AGL.
Mixing height (MSL).Becoming 5784 ft MSL.

TIME (CST)      6AM 7AM 8AM 9AM 10A 11A 12P 1PM 2PM 3PM 4PM 5PM
Sky cover.......PC  PC  PC  PC  PC  PC  MCR MCR MCR MCR MCR MCR
Weather cov.....
Weather type....
Tstm cov........
Temp............57  57  58  60  64  67  70  71  71  70  69  66
RH..............77  75  71  64  50  40  32  28  25  23  24  26
20 FT wind dir..W   W   W   W   W   W   W   W   W   W   W   W
20 FT wind spd..8   8   8   8   8   8   10  10  10  10  10  10
20 FT wind gust.15  15  15  15  15  15  15  15  15  15  15  15
Eye lvl wnd dir.W   W   W   W   W   W   W   W   W   W   W   W
Eye lvl wnd spd.5   5   5   5   5   5   6   6   6   6   6   6
Eye lvl wnd gst.15  15  15  15  15  15  15  15  15  15  15  15
Transp wind dir.W   W   W   W   W   W   W   W   W   W   W   W
Transp wind spd.17  15  15  15  16  18  21  22  24  25  26  28
Chc of pcpn (%).10  10  10  10  10  10  10  10  10  10  10  10

$$
Forecaster...B Smith
Requested by...Ben Rowland
Type of request...PRESCRIBED
.TAG 1702688.0/LZK
.EMAIL browland@fs.fed.us


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