Suppression Forecast
Issued by NWS Miami, FL

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FNUS72 KMFL 251919
FWSMFL

SPOT FORECAST FOR RISELO...NPS BIG CYPRESS
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MIAMI FL
319 PM EDT TUE AUG 25 2015

FORECAST IS BASED ON REQUEST TIME OF 1451 EDT ON AUGUST 25.
IF CONDITIONS BECOME UNREPRESENTATIVE, CONTACT THE NATIONAL WEATHER
SERVICE.

.DISCUSSION...
WEST WIND 5 TO 10 MPH WILL DIMINISH BY SUNSET...THEN REMAIN NEARLY
CALM OVERNIGHT TONIGHT. THE EXCEPTION WILL BE IN AND NEAR SHOWERS
AND THUNDERSTORMS...WHERE WINDS MAY BECOME GUSTY AND ERRATIC IN
DIRECTION. THUNDERSTORMS WILL MOSTLY BE ENDED BY SUNSET.

.REST OF TODAY...

SKY/WEATHER.........CONSIDERABLE CLOUDINESS. A CHANCE OF SHOWERS
                    AND THUNDERSTORMS EARLY IN THE AFTERNOON...THEN
                    SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS LIKELY LATE IN THE
                    AFTERNOON.
MAX TEMPERATURE.....MAX 94.
MIN HUMIDITY........MIN 56 PERCENT.
LAL.................3 UNTIL 1700...THEN 4.
WIND (20 FT)........WEST WINDS AROUND 5 MPH EARLY IN THE
                    AFTERNOON...BECOMING LIGHT.
MIXING HEIGHT.......4500-5000 FT AGL.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....WEST AROUND 3 MPH...BECOMING SOUTH AROUND 6 MPH
                    LATE IN THE AFTERNOON.
DISPERSION INDEX....16.
LVORI...............3.
CHANCE OF PCPN......70 PERCENT.

TIME (EDT)      4 PM   6 PM   8 PM   10 PM  MIDNGT 2 AM
SKY (%).........63     74     65     65     55     51
WEATHER COV.....CHANCE LIKELY CHANCE CHANCE
WEATHER TYPE....RNSHWR RNSHWR RNSHWR RNSHWR NONE   NONE
TSTM COV........CHANCE LIKELY S CHC  S CHC
TEMP............90     87     83     81     80     78
RH..............64     68     77     82     85     91
20 FT WIND......W 4    SW 3   SE 2   SE 2   S 1    SW 0
20 FT WIND GUST.10     5      5      5
MIX HGT (FT)....5000   4500   2400   2400   200    300
MIXNG WIND......W 3    S 6    S 6    S 6    SE 2   S 2
DISPERSION IDX..12     19     2      2      1      1
LVORI...........2      3      5      5      7      8
CHC OF PCPN (%).50     70     30     30     10     10
LAL.............3      4      3      3      1      1

.TONIGHT...

SKY/WEATHER.........PARTLY CLOUDY. A CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND A SLIGHT
                    CHANCE OF THUNDERSTORMS EARLY IN THE EVENING.
MIN TEMPERATURE.....MIN 77.
MAX HUMIDITY........MAX 97 PERCENT.
LAL.................3 UNTIL 2300...THEN 1.
WIND (20 FT)........LIGHT WINDS.
MIXING HEIGHT.......2400 FT AGL...DECREASING TO 200-300 FT AGL IN
                    THE LATE EVENING AND OVERNIGHT.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....SOUTH 2 TO 6 MPH.
DISPERSION INDEX....2.
LVORI...............7.
CHANCE OF PCPN......20 PERCENT.

.WEDNESDAY...

SKY/WEATHER.........PARTLY CLOUDY...THEN BECOMING CLOUDY...THEN
                    BECOMING CONSIDERABLE CLOUDINESS. A CHANCE OF
                    SHOWERS LATE IN THE MORNING. SHOWERS AND
                    THUNDERSTORMS LIKELY IN THE AFTERNOON.
MAX TEMPERATURE.....MAX 92.
MIN HUMIDITY........MIN 60 PERCENT.
LAL.................3 UNTIL 1400...THEN 4.
WIND (20 FT)........LIGHT WINDS...BECOMING SOUTHWEST AROUND 5 MPH
                    EARLY IN THE AFTERNOON...THEN BECOMING LIGHT
                    LATE IN THE AFTERNOON.
MIXING HEIGHT.......1700-3100 FT AGL...INCREASING TO 4000-4500 FT
                    AGL IN THE AFTERNOON.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....SOUTH 2 TO 7 MPH...BECOMING SOUTHWEST 8 TO 12
                    MPH IN THE AFTERNOON.
DISPERSION INDEX....5...INCREASING TO 18 LATE IN THE MORNING...THEN
                    INCREASING TO 34 EARLY IN THE
                    AFTERNOON...DECREASING TO 22 LATE IN THE
                    AFTERNOON.
LVORI...............3.
CHANCE OF PCPN......50 PERCENT.

$$
FORECASTER...KONARIK
REQUESTED BY...KEVIN LOGIUDICE
TYPE OF REQUEST...WILDFIRE
.TAG 20150825.RISEL.01/MFL


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