Suppression Forecast
Issued by NWS Newport/Morehead, NC

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000
FNUS72 KMHX 241206
FWSMHX

Spot Forecast for C 8 Pine Grove...USFS
National Weather Service Newport/Morehead City NC
706 AM EST Fri Feb 24 2017

Forecast is based on ignition time of 0800 EST on February 24.
If conditions become unrepresentative, or if you have questions
or concerns about this forecast, contact the National Weather
Service in Newport at (252)223-2328.

.DISCUSSION...
High pressure will extend over the area from offshore through
today. A cold front with limited moisture will move through
late Saturday. High pressure will build in Sunday then slide
offshore Monday through Wednesday. A cold front will cross late
Wednesday night or early Thursday.

.TODAY...

Sky/weather.........Mostly sunny. Isolated showers this morning.
Max temperature.....Around 77.
Min humidity........45 percent.
Wind (20 ft)........Northeast winds 5 to 10 mph this morning...becoming
                    east 5 to 10 mph with gusts to 15 mph in the
                    late morning and afternoon.
Mixing height.......Max 5100 ft agl.
Transport winds.....East 5 to 10 mph...increasing to 10 to 15 mph
                    in the afternoon.
Vent Rate...........Max 69575 mph-ft.
LVORI...............Max 9.
ADI.................Max 56.
Haines index........4 or low potential for large plume dominated
                    fire growth.
Sfc pressure........29.84 to 29.90 inHg.

TIME (EST)         8AM 9AM 10A 11A 12P 1PM 2PM 3PM 4PM 5PM
Sky (%)............49  48  54  50  46  45  43  40  37  34
Weather cov........
Weather type.......
Tstm cov...........
Temp...............59  64  68  71  74  76  76  77  76  74
RH.................87  81  76  68  59  54  54  52  56  59
20 FT wind dir.....E   E   E   E   E   E   E   E   E   E
20 FT wind spd.....3   3   4   5   5   6   6   6   6   5
20 FT wind gust....5   5   5   10  10  10  10  10  10
Mix hgt (kft)......1.0 1.7 2.5 3.6 4.7 5.5 5.5 5.5 5.5 4.6
Transp wind dir....NE  E   SE  SE  E   E   E   E   E   E
Transp wind spd....5   6   7   9   12  13  13  13  12  13
LVORI..............5   4   4   3   1   1   1   1   1   1
ADI................6   12  15  32  45  56  56  53  51  49
Haines index.......3   3   3   3   4   4   4   4   4   4
VRate mph-ft/1000..5   10  17  33  54  70  70  70  63  58
Stability class....F   F   F   F   B   B   B   B   B   B

.TONIGHT...

Sky/weather.........Partly cloudy. Areas of fog after midnight.
Min temperature.....Around 55.
Max humidity........95 percent.
Wind (20 ft)........East winds 5 to 10 mph early in the
                    evening...becoming light.
Mixing height.......Min 300 ft agl.
Transport winds.....Northeast 5 to 15 mph...becoming northwest 2 to
                    3 mph in the late evening and overnight.
Vent Rate...........Min 575 mph-ft.
LVORI...............Max 8.
ADI.................Min 1.
Haines index........5 or moderate potential for large plume
                    dominated fire growth.
Sfc pressure........29.76 to 29.84 inHg.

TIME (EST)         6PM 7PM 8PM 9PM 10P 11P MID 1AM 2AM 3AM 4AM 5AM
Sky (%)............31  29  29  30  31  31  32  32  33  35  36  38
Weather cov........                            ARS ARS ARS ARS ARS
Weather type.......                            FOG FOG FOG FOG FOG
Tstm cov...........
Temp...............70  67  65  64  63  62  61  60  59  58  58  57
RH.................66  73  78  78  81  84  84  87  90  90  90  93
20 FT wind dir.....E   E   E   E   E   NE  NE  NE  NE  NE  NE  NE
20 FT wind spd.....5   5   4   4   3   3   2   2   2   1   1   1
20 FT wind gust....        5   5   5   5
Mix hgt (kft)......3.3 2.0 1.4 0.9 0.3 0.3 0.3 0.3 0.3 0.3 0.3 0.3
Transp wind dir....E   E   E   NE  NE  NE  N   N   N   NW  NW  NW
Transp wind spd....13  13  10  7   3   2   2   2   2   2   2   2
LVORI..............3   3   4   4   5   5   6   6   7   7   7   8
ADI................6   6   4   3   2   1   1   1   1   1   1   1
Haines index.......5   5   5   5   5   5   5   5   5   4   4   4
VRate mph-ft/1000..42  26  15  6   1   1   1   1   1   1   1   1
Stability class....B   B   B   B   B   B   F   F   F   F   F   F

.SATURDAY...

Sky/weather.........Mostly sunny. Areas of fog early in the
                    morning.
Max temperature.....Around 79.
Min humidity........45 percent.
Wind (20 ft)........Light winds early...becoming southwest 10 to 20 mph
                    with gusts up to 25 mph in the late morning and
                    afternoon.
Mixing height.......Max 5200 ft agl.
Transport winds.....Southwest 5 to 10 mph...increasing to 15 to 20
                    mph in the afternoon.
Vent Rate...........Max 83720 mph-ft.
LVORI...............Max 7.
ADI.................Max 51.
Haines index........5 or moderate potential for large plume
                    dominated fire growth.
Sfc pressure........29.64 to 29.78 inHg.

TIME (EST)         6 AM   8 AM   10 AM  NOON   2 PM   4 PM
Sky (%)............39     39     35     31     30     31
Weather cov........AREAS
Weather type.......FOG    NONE   NONE   NONE   NONE   NONE
Tstm cov...........
Temp...............57     60     69     75     79     77
RH.................90     87     68     54     47     50
20 ft wind.........E 1    SE 2   S 5    S 8    S 10   SW 12
20 ft wind gust....                     15     20     25
Mix hgt (ft).......300    700    1600   4000   4900   4200
Transport wind.....NW 1   W 1    SW 3   SW 13  SW 17  S 16
LVORI..............7      6      3      1      1      1
ADI................1      1      7      46     51     46
Haines index.......4      4      3      4      5      5
VRate mph-ft/1000..0      1      5      50     84     68
Stability class....F      F      F      B      C      C

$$
Forecaster...Dail
Requested by...David Nelson
Type of request...PRESCRIBED
.TAG 1702778.0/MHX
.EMAIL Davidnelson@fs.fed.us


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