Suppression Forecast
Issued by NWS Mobile, AL

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FNUS74 KMOB 171434
FWSMOB

Spot Forecast for Eglin K-1,2,3...E.N.R.
National Weather Service Mobile AL
834 AM CST Fri Nov 17 2017

Forecast is based on ignition time of 0900 CST on November 17.
If conditions become unrepresentative...contact the National Weather
Service.

...High Dispersion Indices Expected Saturday Afternoon Across Interior
Southwest Alabama...

.DISCUSSION...High pressure across the eastern portion of the US slowly
shifts further east as a cold front approaches from the northwest. The
area will stay dry through the day on Saturday before rain showers move
into the region along the front. Fair dispersions on Friday improving to
generally good dispersions on Saturday with good dispersions north of the
Highway 84 corridor. Relative humidity values remain well above critical
thresholds.

.REST OF TODAY...

Sky/weather.........Sunny (10-20 percent).
Chance of pcpn......0 percent.
LAL.................No Tstms.
Max temperature.....Around 74.
Min humidity........51 percent.
Wind (20 ft)........Light winds.
Mixing height.......1400-2900 ft AGL increasing to 3600-4100 ft AGL
                    in the afternoon.
Transport winds.....Northeast 3 to 6 mph shifting to the southeast
                    around 5 mph late in the afternoon.
Dispersion index....14 increasing to 21 late in the afternoon.
LVORI...............3.
Stability class.....2.

TIME (CST)      9AM 10A 11A 12P 1PM 2PM 3PM 4PM 5PM
Sky (%).........17  14  11  9   10  10  11  12  12
Weather cov.....
Weather type....
Tstm cov........
Chc of pcpn (%).0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0
LAL.............1   1   1   1   1   1   1   1   1
Temp............62  66  69  72  73  74  73  71  67
RH..............67  61  57  53  52  51  53  57  65
20 FT wind dir..E   E   E   E   E   SE  SE  SE  S
20 FT wind spd..3   3   3   3   3   3   3   3   3
20 FT wind gust.10  10  10  10  10  10  10  10  5
Mix hgt (kft)...1.4 2.1 2.9 3.6 3.8 3.9 4.1 4.1 4.1
Transp wind dir.E   NE  NE  N   N   N   N   NE  SE
Transp wind spd.6   5   5   3   3   3   3   3   5
Dispersion idx..10  14  15  17  17  16  17  18  21
LVORI...........3   2   2   2   2   2   2   2   3

.TONIGHT...

Sky/weather.........Mostly clear (10-20 percent).
Chance of pcpn......0 percent.
LAL.................No Tstms.
Min temperature.....Around 56.
Max humidity........94 percent.
Wind (20 ft)........Light winds.
Mixing height.......300-600 ft AGL.
Transport winds.....Southeast 5 to 6 mph.
Dispersion index....4.
LVORI...............5.
Stability class.....4.

TIME (CST)      6PM 7PM 8PM 9PM 10P 11P MID 1AM 2AM 3AM 4AM 5AM
Sky (%).........12  11  9   8   5   3   1   3   9   16  22  29
Weather cov.....
Weather type....
Tstm cov........
Chc of pcpn (%).0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0
LAL.............1   1   1   1   1   1   1   1   1   1   1   1
Temp............64  62  60  59  59  59  58  58  58  57  56  56
RH..............73  77  83  85  84  84  86  86  86  89  93  94
20 FT wind dir..S   S   S   SE  SE  SE  SE  SE  SE  SE  SE  S
20 FT wind spd..3   3   3   4   4   4   4   4   4   3   3   4
20 FT wind gust.5   5   5   5   5   5   5   5   5   5   5   5
Mix hgt (kft)...0.6 0.3 0.3 0.3 0.3 0.3 0.3 0.3 0.3 0.3 0.3 0.3
Transp wind dir.S   S   SE  SE  SE  SE  SE  SE  SE  SE  S   S
Transp wind spd.5   5   5   5   5   5   5   5   6   6   6   6
Dispersion idx..2   3   3   3   3   4   4   5   5   6   6   6
LVORI...........3   4   5   5   5   5   5   5   5   5   6   6

.SATURDAY...

Sky/weather.........Partly sunny (50-60 percent).
Chance of pcpn......10 percent.
LAL.................No Tstms.
Max temperature.....Around 76.
Min humidity........62 percent.
Wind (20 ft)........Light winds becoming southwest 5 to 13 mph with
                    gusts to around 25 mph.
Mixing height.......300-1700 ft AGL increasing to 2400-2900 ft AGL
                    in the late morning and afternoon.
Transport winds.....South 7 to 16 mph shifting to the southwest 18
                    to 24 mph in the late morning and afternoon.
Dispersion index....20 increasing to 58.
LVORI...............3.
Stability class.....3.

TIME (CST)      6AM 7AM 8AM 9AM 10A 11A 12P 1PM 2PM 3PM 4PM 5PM
Sky (%).........32  34  39  43  47  52  54  56  61  65  69  74
Weather cov.....
Weather type....
Tstm cov........
Chc of pcpn (%).10  10  10  10  10  10  10  10  10  10  10  10
LAL.............1   1   1   1   1   1   1   1   1   1   1   1
Temp............57  60  64  68  72  74  76  76  76  75  74  72
RH..............93  86  78  71  65  64  62  64  65  68  71  76
20 FT wind dir..S   S   S   S   S   S   S   SW  SW  SW  SW  SW
20 FT wind spd..4   5   6   8   10  11  12  12  13  12  12  12
20 FT wind gust.5   10  15  15  20  20  25  20  20  20  20  20
Mix hgt (kft)...0.3 1.0 1.7 2.4 2.5 2.6 2.7 2.7 2.8 2.9 2.9 2.9
Transp wind dir.S   S   S   S   S   SW  SW  SW  SW  SW  SW  SW
Transp wind spd.7   9   13  16  18  20  21  23  24  24  23  21
Dispersion idx..18  22  33  43  50  54  57  60  60  61  59  55
LVORI...........5   4   3   2   1   1   1   1   1   2   3   3

$$
Forecaster...32
Requested by...Tom Murrie
Type of request...PRESCRIBED
.TAG 1718951.0/MOB
.EMAIL thomas.murrie@us.af.mil



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