Suppression Forecast
Issued by NWS Mobile, AL

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000
FNUS74 KMOB 201351
FWSMOB

Spot Forecast for Eglin Rx I-26...USAF
National Weather Service Mobile AL
751 AM CST Mon Feb 20 2017

Forecast is based on ignition time of 0800 CST on February 20.
If conditions become unrepresentative...contact the National Weather
Service.

.DISCUSSION...Dry weather and fair dispersion is forecast today.
Rain chances increase Tuesday and Tuesday night as a low pressure
system moves slowly east over the area.

.TODAY...

Sky/weather.........Mostly sunny (35-45 percent).
Chance of pcpn......0 percent.
LAL.................No Tstms.
Max temperature.....Around 78.
Min humidity........48 percent.
Wind (20 ft)........Light winds becoming southeast 5 to 7 mph.
Mixing height.......increasing to 4000-4100 ft AGL.
Mixing height (m)...increasing to 1219-1250 meters AGL.
Transport winds.....becoming South 5 to 10 mph.
Transport winds m/s.becoming South 2 to 4 meters/second.
Dispersion index....increasing to 36.
LVORI...............4.
Stability class.....2.

TIME (CST)      8AM 9AM 10A 11A 12P 1PM 2PM 3PM 4PM 5PM
Sky (%).........37  37  37  37  37  38  40  42  44  46
Weather cov.....
Weather type....
Tstm cov........
Chc of pcpn (%).0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0
LAL.............1   1   1   1   1   1   1   1   1   1
Temp............59  64  69  72  75  77  78  78  75  71
RH..............80  70  61  55  52  50  48  50  58  66
20 FT wind dir..E   E   SE  SE  SE  SE  SE  SE  SE  SE
20 FT wind spd..5   6   6   7   7   7   7   6   6   5
20 FT wind gust.10  10  10  10  10  10  10  10  10  10
Mix hgt (kft)...0.8 1.1 2.1 3.1 4.1 4.0 4.0 4.0 4.0 4.0
Mix hgt (m).....0.2 0.3 0.6 0.9 1.2 1.2 1.2 1.2 1.2 1.2
Transp wind dir.E   E   SE  SE  SE  S   S   S   S   S
Transp wind spd.8   9   10  10  10  10  10  9   8   8
Trans wind dir..E   E   SE  SE  SE  S   S   S   S   S
Trans spd (m/s).4   4   4   4   4   4   4   4   4   4
Dispersion idx..8   12  21  29  36  36  35  33  31  31
LVORI...........4   3   2   2   1   1   1   1   2   2

.TONIGHT...

Sky/weather.........Partly cloudy (45-55 percent) then becoming
                    mostly cloudy (55-65 percent).
Chance of pcpn......0 percent.
LAL.................No Tstms.
Min temperature.....Around 56.
Max humidity........100 percent.
Wind (20 ft)........Southeast winds 5 to 6 mph.
Mixing height.......decreasing to 200 ft AGL.
Mixing height (m)...decreasing to 61 meters AGL.
Transport winds.....Southeast 6 to 7 mph.
Transport winds m/s.Southeast around 3 meters/second.
Dispersion index....5.
LVORI...............6.
Stability class.....4.

TIME (CST)      6PM 7PM 8PM 9PM 10P 11P MID 1AM 2AM 3AM 4AM 5AM
Sky (%).........47  48  50  52  53  55  56  57  59  61  62  64
Weather cov.....
Weather type....
Tstm cov........
Chc of pcpn (%).0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0
LAL.............1   1   1   1   1   1   1   1   1   1   1   1
Temp............67  64  62  61  60  59  59  59  59  58  57  56
RH..............78  87  90  93  93  96  93  93  93  96  100 100
20 FT wind dir..SE  SE  SE  SE  SE  SE  SE  SE  SE  SE  SE  E
20 FT wind spd..5   5   5   5   5   5   5   5   5   5   5   6
20 FT wind gust.10  10  10  10  10  10  10  10  10  10  10  10
Mix hgt (kft)...0.7 0.3 0.3 0.3 0.3 0.3 0.3 0.2 0.2 0.2 0.2 0.2
Mix hgt (m).....0.2 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.1
Transp wind dir.SE  SE  SE  SE  SE  SE  SE  SE  SE  SE  SE  SE
Transp wind spd.7   7   6   6   6   6   6   6   6   6   6   6
Trans wind dir..SE  SE  SE  SE  SE  SE  SE  SE  SE  SE  SE  SE
Trans spd (m/s).3   3   3   3   3   3   3   3   3   3   3   3
Dispersion idx..6   6   6   5   5   5   5   5   5   5   5   6
LVORI...........4   4   5   6   6   6   6   6   6   7   7   8

.TUESDAY...

Sky/weather.........Mostly cloudy (80-90 percent). Chance of rain
                    showers in the morning, then rain showers
                    likely and slight chance of thunderstorms in
                    the afternoon.
Chance of pcpn......60 percent.
LAL.................No Tstms until 1200, then 1-8 strikes.
Max temperature.....Around 74.
Min humidity........66 percent.
Wind (20 ft)........Southeast winds 6 to 12 mph. Gusty and erratic
                    winds expected near thunderstorms in the
                    afternoon.
Mixing height.......increasing to 2200-2700 ft AGL late in the morning.
Mixing height (m)...increasing to 671-823 meters AGL late in the morning.
Transport winds.....Southeast 7 to 14 mph shifting to the south 16
                    to 23 mph in the late morning and afternoon.
Transport winds m/s.Southeast 3 to 6 meters/second shifting to the
                    south 7 to 10 meters/second in the late morning
                    and afternoon.
Dispersion index....increasing to 45.
LVORI...............decreasing to 2 to 3.
Stability class.....3.

TIME (CST)      6AM 7AM 8AM 9AM 10A 11A 12P 1PM 2PM 3PM 4PM 5PM
Sky (%).........72  74  77  80  83  86  88  89  90  91  92  93
Weather cov.....CHC CHC CHC CHC CHC CHC LKY LKY LKY LKY LKY LKY
Weather type....RW  RW  RW  RW  RW  RW  RW  RW  RW  RW  RW  RW
Tstm cov........                        SCH SCH SCH SCH SCH SCH
Chc of pcpn (%).30  30  30  30  30  30  60  60  60  60  60  60
LAL.............1   1   1   1   1   1   2   2   2   2   2   2
Temp............57  59  63  67  70  72  74  74  73  72  70  68
RH..............100 100 90  78  73  68  66  66  71  73  78  84
20 FT wind dir..E   SE  SE  SE  SE  SE  SE  SE  SE  SE  SE  SE
20 FT wind spd..6   7   8   9   10  11  11  11  10  9   8   7
20 FT wind gust.10  10  15  15  15  15  15  15  15  15  15  10
Mix hgt (kft)...0.2 0.6 1.0 1.4 1.9 2.3 2.7 2.6 2.4 2.2 2.2 2.2
Mix hgt (m).....0.1 0.2 0.3 0.4 0.6 0.7 0.8 0.8 0.7 0.7 0.7 0.7
Transp wind dir.SE  SE  SE  SE  SE  S   S   S   S   S   S   S
Transp wind spd.7   9   14  17  20  22  23  23  22  21  18  16
Trans wind dir..SE  SE  SE  SE  SE  S   S   S   S   S   S   S
Trans spd (m/s).3   4   6   8   9   10  10  10  10  9   8   7
Dispersion idx..9   11  15  22  30  38  45  44  41  37  33  29
LVORI...........7   5   4   3   3   2   2   2   2   2   3   3

$$
Forecaster...10
Requested by...Brett Williams
Type of request...PRESCRIBED
.TAG 1702482.0/MOB
.EMAIL brett.williams.4@us.af.mil



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