Suppression Forecast
Issued by NWS Mobile, AL

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000
FNUS74 KMOB 291347
FWSMOB

SPOT FORECAST FOR CHICK CPT 426   427...U.S. FOREST SERVICE
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MOBILE AL
747 AM CST THU JAN 29 2015

FORECAST IS BASED ON IGNITION TIME OF 0810 CST ON JANUARY 29.
IF CONDITIONS BECOME UNREPRESENTATIVE...CONTACT THE NATIONAL WEATHER
SERVICE.

.DISCUSSION...A SOUTHWESTERLY FLOW WILL DEVELOP ACROSS THE REGION
TODAY IN ADVANCE OF A COLD FRONT THAT WILL BE MOVING INTO NORTHERN
PORTIONS OF MISSISSIPPI AND ALABAMA. THE COLD FRONT WILL PUSH ACROSS
OUR AREA TONIGHT WITH NORTHERLY FLOW RETURNING LATE TONIGHT AND
FRIDAY FOLLOWING THE FRONTAL PASSAGE. RELATIVE HUMIDITY VALUES WILL
REMAIN ABOVE CRITICAL LEVELS THROUGH FRIDAY...THOUGH LOWER VALUES ARE
EXPECTED FRIDAY AFTERNOON. GENERALLY GOOD DISPERSIONS ARE EXPECTED
BOTH THIS AFTERNOON AND FRIDAY AFTERNOON.

FOG POTENTIAL AND OTHER REMARKS...PATCHY LIGHT FOG WILL BE POSSIBLE
MAINLY NEAR THE COAST EARLY THIS MORNING AND AGAIN LATE TONIGHT AND
EARLY FRIDAY MORNING.

.TODAY...

SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY SUNNY (40-50 PERCENT).
MAX TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 73.
MIN HUMIDITY........42 PERCENT.
WIND (20 FT)........LIGHT WINDS BECOMING SOUTHWEST 7 TO 9 MPH IN
                    THE LATE MORNING AND AFTERNOON.
MIXING HEIGHT.......100 FT AGL INCREASING TO 3100 FT AGL.
MIXING WINDS........SOUTH 4 TO 6 MPH INCREASING TO SOUTHWEST 15 TO
                    16 MPH IN THE AFTERNOON.
DISPERSION INDEX....7 INCREASING TO 61.
LVORI...............6 DECREASING TO 1.
STABILITY CLASS.....B BECOMING C EARLY IN THE AFTERNOON...THEN
                    BECOMING B LATE IN THE AFTERNOON.

TIME (CST)      8 AM   10 AM  NOON   2 PM   4 PM
SKY (%)...........44     44     47     47     47
WEATHER COV.......
WEATHER TYPE......NONE   NONE   NONE   NONE   NONE
TEMP..............45     59     68     73     72
RH................81     59     48     42     44
20 FT WIND DIR....S      S      SSW    SSW    SW
20 FT WIND SPD....3      6      8      8      6
20 FT WIND GUST...15
MIX HGT (FT)......100    1300   2500   2500   3100
MIX HGT (M).......30     400    760    760    940
TRANSP WIND DIR...S      S      SSW    SSW    SW
TRANSP WIND SPD...3      6      15     15     16
TRANS SPD (M/S)...1      3      7      7      7
DISPERSION........4      10     44     44     61
LVORI.............6      2      1      1      1
STABILITY CLASS...B      B      C      C      B
CWR...............10     10     10     10     10

.TONIGHT...

SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY CLOUDY (60-70 PERCENT).
MIN TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 41.
MAX HUMIDITY........84 PERCENT.
WIND (20 FT)........SOUTHWEST WINDS AROUND 5 MPH SHIFTING TO THE
                    WEST-NORTHWEST AROUND 7 MPH LATE IN THE
                    EVENING...THEN SHIFTING TO THE NORTH AROUND 9
                    MPH AFTER MIDNIGHT.
MIXING HEIGHT.......200-300 FT AGL INCREASING TO 1900-2100 FT AGL
                    AFTER MIDNIGHT.
MIXING WINDS........WEST-SOUTHWEST 5 TO 6 MPH INCREASING TO NORTH
                    20 TO 21 MPH AFTER MIDNIGHT.
DISPERSION INDEX....5 INCREASING TO 25 AFTER MIDNIGHT.
LVORI...............3 INCREASING TO 4 LATE IN THE EVENING...THEN
                    DECREASING TO 3 AFTER MIDNIGHT.
STABILITY CLASS.....E BECOMING D AFTER MIDNIGHT...THEN BECOMING E
                    EARLY IN THE MORNING.

TIME (CST)      6 PM   8 PM   10 PM  MIDNGT 2 AM   4 AM
SKY (%)...........62     62     62     65     65     65
WEATHER COV.......
WEATHER TYPE......NONE   NONE   NONE   NONE   NONE   NONE
TEMP..............62     56     52     50     48     46
RH................64     73     79     84     80     74
20 FT WIND DIR....SW     SW     WNW    N      N      N
20 FT WIND SPD....5      5      6      8      8      8
20 FT WIND GUST...
MIX HGT (FT)......300    300    200    1900   1900   2100
MIX HGT (M).......90     90     60     580    580    640
TRANSP WIND DIR...SW     SW     WSW    N      N      N
TRANSP WIND SPD...6      6      5      21     21     20
TRANS SPD (M/S)...3      3      2      9      9      9
DISPERSION........4      4      5      23     23     27
LVORI.............3      3      4      3      3      3
STABILITY CLASS...E      E      E      D      D      E
CWR...............10     10     10     10     10     10

.FRIDAY...

SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY SUNNY (25-35 PERCENT).
MAX TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 57.
MIN HUMIDITY........34 PERCENT.
WIND (20 FT)........NORTH WINDS 6 TO 7 MPH.
MIXING HEIGHT.......1300 FT AGL INCREASING TO 2300-2400 FT AGL.
MIXING WINDS........NORTH-NORTHEAST 14 TO 17 MPH DECREASING TO
                    AROUND 12 MPH LATE IN THE AFTERNOON.
DISPERSION INDEX....36.
LVORI...............3 DECREASING TO 1 IN THE LATE MORNING AND
                    AFTERNOON.
STABILITY CLASS.....B.

TIME (CST)      6 AM   8 AM   10 AM  NOON   2 PM   4 PM
SKY (%)...........33     33     33     28     28     28
WEATHER COV.......
WEATHER TYPE......NONE   NONE   NONE   NONE   NONE   NONE
TEMP..............42     41     45     53     57     55
RH................75     70     60     44     35     38
20 FT WIND DIR....N      N      N      NNE    NNE    N
20 FT WIND SPD....6      6      6      6      6      5
20 FT WIND GUST...14     14     13     13     13
MIX HGT (FT)......1300   1300   1800   2300   2300   2400
MIX HGT (M).......400    400    550    700    700    730
TRANSP WIND DIR...N      N      NNE    NNE    NNE    NNE
TRANSP WIND SPD...17     17     16     14     14     12
TRANS SPD (M/S)...8      8      7      6      6      5
DISPERSION........31     31     37     40     40     34
LVORI.............3      3      1      1      1      1
STABILITY CLASS...B      B      B      B      B      B
CWR...............0      0      0      0      0      0

$$
FORECASTER...32
REQUESTED BY...RODNEY LANDRUM
TYPE OF REQUEST...PRESCRIBED
.TAG 20150129.CHICK.01/MOB







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