Suppression Forecast
Issued by NWS Marquette, MI

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FNUS73 KMQT 191008
FWSMQT

Spot Forecast for Honey Suckle Pile RX...USFS
National Weather Service Marquette MI
608 AM EDT Wed Apr 19 2017

Forecast is based on ignition time of 1200 CDT on April 19.
If conditions become unrepresentative...contact the National Weather
Service.

.DISCUSSION...Minimum RH values today will be around 60 percent with
mostly cloudy skies. Winds will be out of the north initially, but
will turn to the NE through the day while gusts remain at or below 15
mph. Rain will move in late this evening and continue into Thursday
night, dropping between 0.75 and 1.00 inches of rain.

.REST OF TODAY...

Sky/weather.........Mostly cloudy.
LAL.................1.
Max temperature.....40 at ignition...Max 47.
Min humidity........80 percent at ignition...Min 61 percent.
33-foot winds.......Winds north at 10 mph at ignition...otherwise
                    Northeast winds 5 to 10 mph in the afternoon.
20-foot winds.......Northeast winds 4 to 8 mph in the afternoon.
Transport winds.....East 12 to 19 mph.
Ventilation index...Good (329) at ignition. Max...good (363).
Mixing height.......2500 ft AGL at ignition...otherwise 2500-2600
                    ft AGL.
Haines Index........3 to 4...or very low to low potential for large
                    plume dominated fire growth.
Wave height.........Less than 1 foot.
Rainfall amount.....0.00 inches.

TIME (CDT)      12P 1PM 2PM 3PM 4PM 5PM 6PM
Sky (%).........69  62  68  73  79  76  82
Weather cov.....
Weather type....
Temp............40  43  44  46  46  46  45
RH..............80  73  68  63  61  61  63
33 ft wind dir..N   NE  NE  NE  NE  NE  NE
33 ft wind spd..10  10  10  10  10  10  10
20 ft wind dir..N   NE  NE  NE  NE  NE  NE
20 ft wind spd..8   8   8   8   8   8   8
Wind gust.......12  14  14  14  15  15  15
VIndx kt-ft/100.329 311 315 341 363 335 326
Transp wind dir.N   NE  NE  NE  NE  E   E
Transp wind spd.15  14  14  15  16  15  15
Mix hgt (kft)...2.5 2.6 2.6 2.6 2.6 2.6 2.5
LAL.............1   1   1   1   1   1   1
Haines index....3   3   3   4   4   4   4
Wave height (ft)0   0   0   0   0   0   0

.TONIGHT...

Sky/weather.........Cloudy. A chance of light rain by late evening.
                    Light rain by midnight. Chance of rain near 100
                    percent.
LAL.................1.
Min temperature.....Min 35.
Max humidity........Max 95 percent.
33-foot winds.......East winds 8 to 13 mph.
20-foot winds.......East winds 6 to 10 mph.
Transport winds.....East 11 to 26 mph increasing to 29 to 51 mph.
Ventilation index...Fair (288).
Mixing height.......1000-2400 ft AGL.
Haines Index........2 to 5...or very low to moderate potential for
                    large plume dominated fire growth.
Wave height.........Less than 1 foot.
Rainfall amount.....0.51 inches.

TIME (CDT)      7PM 8PM 9PM 10P 11P MID 1AM 2AM 3AM 4AM 5AM 6AM
Sky (%).........90  92  95  98  98  99  100 100 100 100 100 100
Weather cov.....        CHC CHC LKY DEF DEF DEF DEF DEF DEF DEF
Weather type....        RN  RN  RN  RN  RN  RN  RN  RN  RN  RN
Temp............43  42  40  39  38  37  37  37  37  37  36  36
RH..............66  68  73  76  80  84  87  88  89  89  90  91
33 ft wind dir..E   E   E   E   E   E   E   E   E   E   E   E
33 ft wind spd..10  10  10  10  10  10  12  12  12  14  14  14
20 ft wind dir..E   E   E   E   E   E   E   E   E   E   E   E
20 ft wind spd..8   8   8   8   8   8   10  10  10  11  11  11
Wind gust.......                        13  13  13  18  18  18
VIndx kt-ft/100.329 360 367 335 313 290 288 307 328 351 412 481
Transp wind dir.E   E   E   E   E   E   E   E   E   E   E   E
Transp wind spd.16  21  26  30  29  25  24  29  36  41  43  41
Mix hgt (kft)...2.4 2.0 1.6 1.3 1.3 1.3 1.4 1.2 1.1 1.0 1.1 1.3
LAL.............1   1   1   1   1   1   1   1   1   1   1   1
Haines index....4   4   5   5   4   3   2   2   2   2   2   2
Wave height (ft)0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0

$$
Forecaster...Titus
Requested by...Jae Naugle
Type of request...PRESCRIBED
.TAG 1707160.1/MQT



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