Suppression Forecast
Issued by NWS San Francisco Bay Area, CA

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FNUS76 KMTR 202151
FWSMTR

SPOT FORECAST FOR CASMCLH_SCENIC_SLIDE...LA HONDA FIRE...LA HONDA FIRE BRIGADE
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE SAN FRANCISCO BAY AREA
151 PM PST FRI JAN 20 2017

FORECAST IS BASED ON INCIDENT TIME OF 1400 PST ON JANUARY 20.
IF CONDITIONS BECOME UNREPRESENTATIVE...CONTACT THE NATIONAL WEATHER
SERVICE.

.DISCUSSION...THE UNSTABLE AIR MASS IN THE POST COLD FRONTAL ENVIRONMENT
WILL RESULT IN ISOLATED TO SCATTERED RAIN SHOWERS IN THE VICINITY OF
THE SLIDE THROUGH THE REMAINDER OF TODAY AND INTO EARLY SATURDAY. DUE TO
OROGRAPHY...SHORT TERM MODELS SUGGEST TRAINING RAIN SHOWERS OVER THE SPOT
LOCATION...MEANING NEW SHOWER DEVELOPMENT OVER THE AREA WILL OCCUR AS
PREVIOUS RAIN SHOWERS WEAKEN.  GENERALLY SPEAKING... RAIN SHOWERS SHOULD
PREDOMINATELY BE LIGHT BUT MAY BRIEFLY BECOME MODERATE TO HEAVY. A VERY
MARGINAL CHANCE OF THUNDERSTORMS ARE ALSO POSSIBLE INTO LATE THIS EVENING.
SHOWERS WILL TAPER OFF LATER SATURDAY MORNING.   THE NEXT STORM SYSTEM
WILL BEGIN TO SPREAD WIDESPREAD MODERATE TO BRIEFLY HEAVY RAINFALL TO THE
AREA AGAIN SATURDAY EVENING AND PERSIST OVERNIGHT INTO SUNDAY MORNING. IN
ADDITION TO RAINFALL... WINDS WILL INCREASE SIGNIFICANTLY AS THE NEXT
SURFACE FRONT APPROACHES AFTER MIDNIGHT EARLY SUNDAY MORNING.  SUSTAINED
SOUTHERLY WINDS OF 25 TO 40 MPH WILL BE POSSIBLE WITH GUSTS UP TO OR
EXCEEDING 50 MPH. WINDS AND RAIN WILL WEAKEN BY MID SUNDAY MORNING.

.TODAY...

SKY/WEATHER.........RAIN SHOWERS AND SLIGHT CHANCE OF
                    THUNDERSTORMS.
MAX TEMPERATURE.....48-53.
MIN HUMIDITY........83 PERCENT.
SURFACE WINDS.......SOUTHWEST WINDS 10 TO 15 MPH SHIFTING TO THE
                    WEST IN THE AFTERNOON. GUSTS 20 TO 25 MPH.
CHANCE OF PCPN......95 PERCENT.
SUNSET..............5:33 PM

.TONIGHT...

SKY/WEATHER.........CLOUDY. RAIN SHOWERS LIKELY IN THE EVENING.
                    SLIGHT CHANCE OF THUNDERSTORMS THROUGH THE
                    NIGHT. CHANCE OF RAIN SHOWERS AFTER MIDNIGHT.
MIN TEMPERATURE.....40-45.
MAX HUMIDITY........99 PERCENT.
SURFACE WINDS.......WEST WINDS 10 TO 15 MPH.
CHANCE OF PCPN......75 PERCENT.
SUNRISE.............7:12 AM

.SATURDAY...

SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF RAIN SHOWERS IN THE
                    MORNING...THEN SLIGHT CHANCE OF RAIN SHOWERS IN
                    THE AFTERNOON.
MAX TEMPERATURE.....51-56.
MIN HUMIDITY........73 PERCENT.
SURFACE WINDS.......SOUTHWEST WINDS 10 TO 15 MPH.
CHANCE OF PCPN......40 PERCENT.
SUNSET..............5:34 PM

$$
FORECASTER...D_PETERSON
REQUESTED BY...ARI DELAY FIRE CHIEF
TYPE OF REQUEST...OTHER
.TAG 1700596.0/MTR
.EMAIL CHIEF@LAHONDAFIRE.ORG



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