Suppression Forecast
Issued by NWS Omaha/Valley, NE

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000
FNUS73 KOAX 171344
FWSOAX

SPOT FORECAST FOR FARM CREEK...POTTAWATTAMIE COUNTY CONSERVATION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE OMAHA/VALLEY NE
844 AM CDT THU APR 17 2014

FORECAST IS BASED ON IGNITION TIME OF 1100 CDT ON APRIL 17.
IF CONDITIONS BECOME UNREPRESENTATIVE...CONTACT THE NATIONAL WEATHER
SERVICE.

.DISCUSSION...

MORNING CLOUDS WILL CLEAR AWAY BY AROUND NOON...WITH MOSTLY SUNNY
SKIES FOR THE REST OF THE DAY TODAY.  NORTH WINDS AROUND 10 MPH
WILL DECREASE AND BECOME NORTHEASTERLY BY LATE AFTERNOON...THEN
BECOME LIGHT AND VARIABLE THIS EVENING AS HIGH PRESSURE MOVES
THROUGH...BEFORE RETURNING FROM THE SOUTHEAST TONIGHT AT AROUND
5 TO 10 MPH.  TEMPERATURES WILL REMAIN ON THE COOL SIDE TODAY...
WITH A HIGH AROUND 53 AND A LOWT ONIGHT OF AROUND 34.

.TODAY...

SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY CLOUDY (70-80 PERCENT) THEN BECOMING
                    MOSTLY SUNNY (30-40 PERCENT).
MAX TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 53.
MIN HUMIDITY........40 PERCENT.
WIND (20 FT)........NORTHEAST WINDS 5 TO 13 MPH BECOMING LIGHT.
HAINES INDEX........4 TO 5 OR OR LOW POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME
                    DOMINATED FIRE GROWTH TO OR MODERATE POTENTIAL
                    FOR LARGE PLUME DOMINATED FIRE GROWTH.
MIXING HEIGHT.......1300-3000 FT AGL INCREASING TO 3300-3700 FT AGL
                    IN THE AFTERNOON.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....NORTH 8 TO 17 MPH DECREASING TO 3 TO 7 MPH
                    EARLY IN THE AFTERNOON.

TIME (CDT)      NOON   2 PM   4 PM   6 PM   8 PM   10 PM
SKY (%).........54     40     31     23     25     24
WEATHER COV.....
WEATHER TYPE....NONE   NONE   NONE   NONE   NONE   NONE
TSTM COV........
TEMP............44     50     53     53     49     42
RH..............54     44     40     41     48     65
20 FT WIND......N 9    N 7    N 5    NE 3   E 3    E 3
20 FT WIND GUST.10                   5      5      5
HAINES INDEX....4      4      5      5      5      5

.TONIGHT...

SKY/WEATHER.........PARTLY CLOUDY (25-35 PERCENT).
MIN TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 34.
MAX HUMIDITY........85 PERCENT.
WIND (20 FT)........LIGHT WINDS BECOMING SOUTHEAST AROUND 5 MPH
                    LATE IN THE EVENING.
HAINES INDEX........5 OR MODERATE POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME
                    DOMINATED FIRE GROWTH.
MIXING HEIGHT.......1100-3000 FT AGL DECREASING TO 0-300 FT AGL IN
                    THE LATE EVENING AND OVERNIGHT.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....SOUTHEAST 2 TO 10 MPH.

.FRIDAY...

SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY SUNNY (30-40 PERCENT).
MAX TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 66.
MIN HUMIDITY........38 PERCENT.
WIND (20 FT)........SOUTH WINDS 6 TO 14 MPH INCREASING TO 16 TO 17
                    MPH IN THE AFTERNOON.
HAINES INDEX........4 TO 5 OR OR LOW POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME
                    DOMINATED FIRE GROWTH TO OR MODERATE POTENTIAL
                    FOR LARGE PLUME DOMINATED FIRE GROWTH.
MIXING HEIGHT.......300-1600 FT AGL INCREASING TO 2300-3700 FT AGL
                    LATE IN THE MORNING...THEN INCREASING TO
                    3300-4800 FT AGL IN THE AFTERNOON DECREASING TO
                    1600 FT AGL LATE IN THE AFTERNOON.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....SOUTH 10 TO 18 MPH INCREASING TO AROUND 30 MPH.

$$
FORECASTER...MAYES
REQUESTED BY...CHAD GRAEVE
TYPE OF REQUEST...PRESCRIBED
.TAG 20140417.FARMC.01/OAX



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