Suppression Forecast
Issued by NWS Pendleton, OR

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000
FNUS76 KPDT 220443
FWSPDT

SPOT FORECAST FOR HURRICANE CREEK...USFS
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE PENDLETON OR
942 PM PDT MON JUL 21 2014

FORECAST IS BASED ON REQUEST TIME OF 2113 PDT ON JULY 21.
IF CONDITIONS BECOME UNREPRESENTATIVE...CONTACT THE NATIONAL WEATHER
SERVICE.

...RED FLAG WARNING IN EFFECT FROM 11 AM TUESDAY TO 11 PM PDT
WEDNESDAY FOR THUNDERSTORMS PRODUCING ABUNDANT LIGHTNING...

.DISCUSSION...SCATTERED THUNDERSTORMS HAVE DEVELOPED IN SOUTHEAST
OREGON AND ARE MOVING NORTH INTO WALLOWA COUNTY.  THE AIR MASS IS
BECOMING MORE STABLE...THEREFORE THE LIGHTNING ACTIVITY LEVEL IS NOT
EXPECTED TO BE GREATER THAN AN LAL 2. THERE IS A BETTER CHANCE OF
SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS ON TUESDAY AND TUESDAY NIGHT. SOME STORMS
MAY CONTAIN BRIEF HEAVY RAIN, HAIL, AND GUSTY WINDS. THE THREAT OF
THUNDERSTORMS WILL CONTINUE INTO WEDNESDAY.

***THUNDERSTORMS IMPLY GUSTY AND ERRATIC WINDS***
***WINDS ARE 20 FOOT 10 MINUTE AVERAGES***
***CWR-CHANCE OF WETTING RAIN 0.10 OR GREATER***
***FORECAST IS VALID FOR 12 HOURS AFTER ISSUANCE***

.TONIGHT...

SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY CLOUDY. A CHANCE OF SHOWERS WITH A SLIGHT
                    CHANCE OF A THUNDERSTORMS.
CWR.................10.
MIN TEMPERATURE.....54.
MAX HUMIDITY........67 PERCENT.
WIND (20 FT)........DOWNSLOPE 1-3 MPH.
RIDGETOP WIND.......WEST TO NORTHWEST 8-13 MPH.
MIXING HEIGHT.......7500 FT AGL DECREASING TO NEAR SURFACE AFTER
                    MIDNIGHT.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....LIGHT WINDS.
LAL.................2.
HAINES INDEX........3 (VERY LOW).

.TUESDAY...

SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY CLOUDY. A SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND
                    THUNDERSTORMS IN THE MORNING...THEN A CHANCE OF
                    SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS IN THE AFTERNOON.
CWR.................30.
MAX TEMPERATURE.....78.
MIN HUMIDITY........40 PERCENT.
WIND (20 FT)........BECOMING UPSLOPE 3-5 MPH.
RIDGETOP WIND.......SOUTH TO SOUTHWEST 6-12 MPH
MIXING HEIGHT.......NEAR SURFACE INCREASING TO 7000 FT AGL IN THE
                    AFTERNOON.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....LIGHT WINDS BECOMING SOUTH AROUND 12 MPH IN THE
                    AFTERNOON.
LAL.................4.
HAINES INDEX........3 (VERY LOW).

.TUESDAY NIGHT...

SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY CLOUDY. SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS
                    LIKELY IN THE EVENING...THEN A CHANCE OF SHOWERS
                    AND THUNDERSTORMS AFTER MIDNIGHT.
CWR.................50.
MIN TEMPERATURE.....55-58.
MAX HUMIDITY........80-85 PERCENT.
WIND (20 FT)........TERRAIN DRIVEN LESS THAN 5 MPH...BECOMING SOUTH
                    4-9 MPH DURING THE MID MORNING.
RIDGETOP WIND.......SOUTH TO SOUTHWEST 10-15 MPH.
MIXING HEIGHT.......7000 FT AGL DECREASING TO NEAR SURFACE AFTER
                    MIDNIGHT.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....SOUTH AROUND 9 MPH IN THE EVENING BECOMING
                    LIGHT.
LAL.................4.
HAINES INDEX........3 (VERY LOW).

$$

FORECASTER...MARY WISTER
REQUESTED BY...BMIDC
TYPE OF REQUEST...WILDFIRE
.TAG 20140721.HURRI.02/PDT









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