Suppression Forecast
Issued by NWS Springfield, MO

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000
FNUS73 KSGF 212041
FWSSGF

Spot Forecast for Potato Fire...USDA - Forest Service
National Weather Service Springfield MO
241 PM CST Tue Nov 21 2017

Forecast is based on request time of 1500 CST on November 21.
If conditions become unrepresentative...contact the National Weather
Service.

Please contact our office at 1-800-762-4363, if you have questions
or concerns with this forecast.

.DISCUSSION...Gusty north winds will continue into the evening hours
before gradually diminishing late tonight as high pressure starts
to move into the area. The air mass will become very dry with poor
humidity recovery tonight. Dry conditions with light winds are expected
Wednesday as the high pressure center moves past.

.REST OF TODAY...

Sky/weather.........Mostly sunny (25-35 percent).
CHANCE OF PCPN......0 percent.
Max temperature.....Around 63.
Min humidity........36 percent.
WIND SHIFT..........
WIND (20 FT)........Northwest winds around 9 gust 15 mph.
MIXING HEIGHT.......2700-3400 ft AGL.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....North 14 to 18 mph.
SMOKE DISPERSAL.....Good to good (40800-44300 knot-ft).
Haines Index........4 or low potential for large plume dominated
                    fire growth.

TIME (CST)      3PM 4PM 5PM
SKY (%).........34  28  21
WEATHER COV.....
WEATHER TYPE....
TSTM COV........
CHC OF PCPN (%).0   0   0
TEMP............63  60  56
RH..............36  37  43
20 FT WIND DIR..NW  NW  N
20 FT WIND SPD..9   9   7
20 FT WIND GUST.15  15  15
MIX HGT (KFT)...3.4 3.2 2.7
TRANSP WIND DIR.NW  N   N
TRANSP WIND SPD.14  16  18
HAINES INDEX....4   4   4
VRATE KT-FT/100041  44  43

.TONIGHT...

Sky/weather.........Mostly clear (5-15 percent).
CHANCE OF PCPN......0 percent.
Min temperature.....Around 26.
Max humidity........68 percent.
WIND SHIFT..........
WIND (20 FT)........North winds 5 to 9 mph.
MIXING HEIGHT.......1300-2200 ft AGL.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....North 14 to 22 mph.
SMOKE DISPERSAL.....Fair to good (14800-42100 knot-ft).
Haines Index........4 to 5 or low potential for large plume
                    dominated fire growth to or moderate potential
                    for large plume dominated fire growth.

TIME (CST)      6PM 7PM 8PM 9PM 10P 11P MID 1AM 2AM 3AM 4AM 5AM
SKY (%).........15  10  5   0   1   3   4   3   1   0   0   1
WEATHER COV.....
WEATHER TYPE....
TSTM COV........
CHC OF PCPN (%).0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0
TEMP............52  47  46  44  41  38  35  33  31  29  27  26
RH..............46  49  51  53  57  59  61  64  63  66  66  68
20 FT WIND DIR..N   N   N   N   N   N   N   N   N   N   N   N
20 FT WIND SPD..6   6   6   6   6   6   5   5   5   4   4   4
20 FT WIND GUST.15  15  15  15  15  10  10  10  10  10  10  10
MIX HGT (KFT)...2.2 2.0 2.1 2.2 2.0 1.8 1.6 1.5 1.4 1.4 1.3 1.3
TRANSP WIND DIR.N   N   N   N   N   N   N   N   N   N   N   N
TRANSP WIND SPD.21  22  22  22  22  22  21  20  18  16  15  14
HAINES INDEX....4   4   5   5   5   4   4   4   4   4   4   4
VRATE KT-FT/100039  38  40  42  39  34  29  26  23  20  17  15

.WEDNESDAY...

Sky/weather.........Sunny (0-10 percent).
CHANCE OF PCPN......0 percent.
Max temperature.....Around 48.
Min humidity........27 percent.
WIND SHIFT..........
WIND (20 FT)........North winds around 5 mph early in the morning
                    becoming light, then becoming north around 7
                    mph during mid morning becoming light.
MIXING HEIGHT.......1100-2700 ft AGL.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....Northwest 3 to 12 mph decreasing to around 2
                    mph late in the afternoon.
SMOKE DISPERSAL.....Poor to poor (2100-12900 knot-ft).
Haines Index........4 or low potential for large plume dominated
                    fire growth.

TIME (CST)      6AM 7AM 8AM 9AM 10A 11A 12P 1PM 2PM 3PM 4PM 5PM
SKY (%).........1   3   2   1   1   2   2   2   1   1   3   6
WEATHER COV.....
WEATHER TYPE....
TSTM COV........
CHC OF PCPN (%).0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0
TEMP............26  27  30  33  36  40  43  46  48  48  46  43
RH..............68  65  60  53  46  39  35  32  27  27  31  36
20 FT WIND DIR..N   N   N   N   N   N   N   N   N   NW  NW  N
20 FT WIND SPD..4   3   3   4   3   2   2   2   2   2   2   2
20 FT WIND GUST.10  5   5   10  5   5   5   5   5   5   5   5
MIX HGT (KFT)...1.3 1.3 1.3 1.5 1.7 2.0 2.2 2.5 2.7 2.6 1.9 1.1
TRANSP WIND DIR.N   N   N   N   N   N   N   N   NW  NW  NW  NW
TRANSP WIND SPD.12  10  8   7   6   5   5   5   5   5   3   2
HAINES INDEX....4   4   4   4   4   4   4   4   4   4   4   4
VRATE KT-FT/100013  11  10  9   9   9   9   10  11  10  6   2

$$
Forecaster...ALBERT
Requested by...Charlene Nazarenko
Type of request...WILDFIRE
.TAG 1719048.1/SGF
.EMAIL momocdispatch@fs.fed.us



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