Suppression Forecast
Issued by NWS Tampa Bay Area, FL

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000
FNUS72 KTBW 222041
FWSTBW

SPOT FORECAST FOR 6 COW FIRE...FLORIDA FOREST SERVICE
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE TAMPA BAY AREA - RUSKIN FL
341 PM EST SUN JAN 22 2017

IF CONDITIONS BECOME UNREPRESENTATIVE...CONTACT THE NATIONAL WEATHER
SERVICE.

.DISCUSSION...
A COMPLEX STORM SYSTEM MOVING THROUGH THE DEEP SOUTH TODAY WILL
PUSH A STRONG COLD FRONT THROUGH THE REGION WITH INCREASING WINDS AND
RAIN CHANCES. STRONG TO SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS WILL BE POSSIBLE
TODAY AND THIS EVENING...THEN STRONG AND GUSTY WINDS WILL DEVELOP
IN THE WAKE OF THE COLD FRONT TONIGHT AND MONDAY WITH HIGH DISPERSION
VALUES LIKELY. DRIER AND SLIGHTLY COOLER AIR WILL OVERSPREAD THE
REGION ON MONDAY...BUT HUMIDITY VALUES SHOULD REMAIN ABOVE CRITICAL
LEVELS WITH NO RED FLAG CONDITIONS EXPECTED.

.REST OF TODAY...
TIME (EST)      3 PM   5 PM
-----------------------------------------------------------------
SKY.............MCLDY  MCLDY
WEATHER TYPE....TSTORM TSTORM
CHC PRECIP (%)..30     60
TEMP............81     78
HUMIDITY........67     71
20 FT WIND......SW 26  SW 25
20 FT WIND GUST.35     35
MIX HGT (FT)....2700   1800
TRANSPORT WIND..SW 45  SW 39
DISPERSION......102    75
LVORI...........1      3
LAL.............3      4

.TONIGHT...
TIME (EST)      6 PM   8 PM   10 PM  MIDNGT 2 AM   4 AM
-----------------------------------------------------------------
SKY.............MCLDY  CLOUDY CLOUDY MCLDY  MCLDY  MCLDY
WEATHER TYPE....TSTORM RNSHWR RNSHWR RNSHWR TSTORM TSTORM
CHC PRECIP (%)..60     80     80     80     40     50
TEMP............76     73     72     70     68     67
HUMIDITY........75     83     89     87     85     84
20 FT WIND......SW 24  SW 22  SW 21  SW 21  W 20   W 20
20 FT WIND GUST.35     30     30     30     30     25
MIX HGT (FT)....1000   300    300    300    300    300
TRANSPORT WIND..SW 31  SW 21  SW 21  SW 21  W 20   W 20
DISPERSION......45     14     19     18     18     17
LVORI...........3      4      4      4      4      4
LAL.............4      4      3      3      3      3

.MONDAY...
TIME (EST)      6 AM   8 AM   10 AM  NOON   2 PM   4 PM
-----------------------------------------------------------------
SKY.............MCLDY  MCLDY  MCLDY  MCLDY  MCLDY  PCLDY
WEATHER TYPE....TSTORM RNSHWR RNSHWR RNSHWR NONE   NONE
CHC PRECIP (%)..50     30     40     40     10     10
TEMP............65     64     67     69     70     69
HUMIDITY........85     81     73     62     58     59
20 FT WIND......W 14   W 13   W 17   W 21   W 22   W 22
20 FT WIND GUST.20     20     25     30     30     30
MIX HGT (FT)....300    1100   2500   3300   3500   3300
TRANSPORT WIND..W 13   W 18   W 35   W 37   W 38   W 37
DISPERSION......10     30     74     94     102    92
LVORI...........4      4      2      1      1      1
LAL.............3      1      1      1      1      1

$$
FORECASTER...WYNN
REQUESTED BY...LISA FRANK
EMERGENCY PHONE...863-940-6700
TYPE OF REQUEST...WILDFIRE  200 ACRES
LAT/LON 27.7953 81.6139
.TAG 1700629.0/TBW


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