Suppression Forecast
Issued by NWS Tulsa, OK

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FNUS74 KTSA 201648
FWSTSA

FIRE WEATHER PLANNING FORECAST FOR HEINZELMANN RX...OZARK ECOLOGICAL RESTORATION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE TULSA OK
1048 AM CST TUE JAN 20 2015

FORECAST IS BASED ON IGNITION TIME OF 1130 CST ON JANUARY 20.
IF CONDITIONS BECOME UNREPRESENTATIVE, CONTACT THE NATIONAL WEATHER
SERVICE.

.DISCUSSION...
MINIMAL WIND DIRECTION CHANGE DURING THE AFTERNOON WITH
USUAL SPEED FLUCTUATION. CHANCE OF SHOWERS NEAR THE
MISSOURI BORDER WITH LITTLE MORE THAN A SMALL CHANCE OF
SPRINKLES OVER THE BURN AREA.

.REST OF TODAY...

SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY CLOUDY (75-85 PERCENT).
MAX TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 52.
MIN HUMIDITY........42 PERCENT.
MIXING HEIGHT.......1600-2700 FT AGL INCREASING TO 3700-4500 FT AGL
                    IN THE AFTERNOON.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....NORTH 12 TO 18 MPH.
WIND (20 FT)........LIGHT WINDS BECOMING NORTH AROUND 5 MPH LATE IN
                    THE MORNING...THEN BECOMING LIGHT LATE IN THE
                    AFTERNOON.

TIME (CST)      11A 12P 1PM 2PM 3PM 4PM 5PM
TEMP............43  47  49  51  52  52  50
DEWPT...........32  30  30  30  30  30  31
RH..............60  47  44  43  42  42  49
20FT WIND DIR...N   N   N   N   N   N   N
20FT SPD (MPH)..3   4   4   5   5   4   3
20FT GUST(MPH)..5   10  10  10  10  10  5
CLOUDS (%)......91  91  84  79  77  73  64
WEATHER COV.....
WEATHER TYPE....
MIXHGT/100(FT)..027 037 042 045 045 044 040
TR WIND DIR.....N   N   N   N   N   N   N
TR WIND SPD(MPH)15  17  18  17  16  16  15
STABILITY.......C   C   C   C   C   D   E
1700FT MIX T (F)50  48  49  51  53  51  48
VENT/1000(M^3/S)006 009 010 010 010 010 008

.TONIGHT...

SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY CLOUDY (50-60 PERCENT) THEN BECOMING
                    PARTLY CLOUDY (25-35 PERCENT).
MIN TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 30.
MAX HUMIDITY........90 PERCENT.
MIXING HEIGHT.......2100-3500 FT AGL DECREASING TO 200-1400 FT AGL
                    IN THE LATE EVENING AND OVERNIGHT.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....NORTHWEST 5 TO 13 MPH SHIFTING TO THE WEST
                    AROUND 3 MPH AFTER MIDNIGHT.
WIND (20 FT)........LIGHT WINDS.

.WEDNESDAY...

SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY SUNNY (40-50 PERCENT) THEN BECOMING
                    MOSTLY CLOUDY (75-85 PERCENT).
MAX TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 51.
MIN HUMIDITY........43 PERCENT.
MIXING HEIGHT.......100-1500 FT AGL INCREASING TO 4800-5100 FT AGL.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....NORTHWEST 3 TO 12 MPH SHIFTING TO THE NORTH
                    AROUND 13 MPH EARLY IN THE AFTERNOON.
WIND (20 FT)........LIGHT WINDS BECOMING NORTHWEST AROUND 5 MPH IN
                    THE AFTERNOON...THEN BECOMING LIGHT LATE IN THE
                    AFTERNOON.

TIME (CST)      6AM 7AM 8AM 9AM 10A 11A 12P 1PM 2PM 3PM 4PM 5PM
TEMP............31  30  30  33  38  42  45  48  50  51  50  49
DEWPT...........28  29  29  29  29  29  29  29  29  29  29  28
RH..............91  94  93  83  71  61  54  48  44  43  43  45
20FT WIND DIR...W   W   NW  NW  NW  NW  N   N   NW  NW  N   N
20FT SPD (MPH)..2   2   2   2   3   4   4   5   5   5   5   4
20FT GUST(MPH)..5   5   5   5   5   10  10  10  10  10  10  10
CLOUDS (%)......24  29  35  41  46  52  58  63  68  73  78  83
WEATHER COV.....
WEATHER TYPE....
MIXHGT/100(FT)..002 001 001 004 015 029 041 048 051 051 051 048
TR WIND DIR.....W   W   NW  NW  NW  NW  NW  NW  N   N   N   N
TR WIND SPD(MPH)3   3   3   3   6   8   10  12  13  13  13  13
STABILITY.......F   E   D   D   C   C   C   C   C   C   D   E
1700FT MIX T (F)52  52  52  52  49  47  45  47  49  51  50  48
VENT/1000(M^3/S)000 000 000 000 001 003 006 008 009 009 009 009

.FORECAST DAYS 3 THROUGH 5...
.THURSDAY...
MOSTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE LOWER 30S. HIGHS IN THE MID 40S. LIGHT
WINDS.
.FRIDAY...
PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE UPPER 20S. HIGHS IN THE MID 40S. LIGHT
WINDS.
.SATURDAY...
MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE UPPER 20S. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 40S. WEST
WINDS AROUND 6 MPH.

$$
FORECASTER...WILEY
REQUESTED BY...MARK MASTERS
TYPE OF REQUEST...PRESCRIBED
.TAG 20150120.HEINZ.01/TSA







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