Suppression Forecast
Issued by NWS Tulsa, OK

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000
FNUS74 KTSA 171201
FWSTSA

Spot Forecast for Cove City Fields...USDA Forest Service
National Weather Service Tulsa OK
701 AM CDT Tue Oct 17 2017

Forecast is based on ignition time of 0700 CDT on October 17.
If conditions become unrepresentative...contact the National Weather
Service.

Please contact NWS Tulsa at (918)838-7838, if you have questions
or concerns with this forecast.

.DISCUSSION...
High pressure will prevail for the next several days with
a gradual warming trend and strengthening southerly winds.
Chances of showers and thunderstorms increase on Saturday
as a cold front moves into the region.

.TODAY...

Sky/weather.........Sunny (5-15 percent). Patchy frost early in the
                    morning.
Max temperature.....Around 72.
Min humidity........33 percent.
Dewpoint............41.
Wind (20 ft)........Light winds becoming south around 5 mph late in
                    the morning, then becoming light late in the
                    afternoon.
Mixing height.......0-1800 ft AGL increasing to 4300-4600 ft AGL.
Transport winds.....Southeast 0 to 7 mph shifting to the south in
                    the late morning and afternoon.
Smoke dispersal.....Poor (100 knot-ft).
Stability class.....4.
1700FT Avg MIX T(F).58 increasing to 69 in the afternoon.

TIME (CDT)      7AM 8AM 9AM 10A 11A 12P 1PM 2PM 3PM 4PM 5PM
Sky (%).........20  17  15  8   1   0   0   0   0   0   0
Weather cov.....PTY
Weather type....FST
Tstm cov........
Temp............45  48  51  56  60  64  67  70  71  72  71
Dewpoint........42  42  43  42  42  41  40  40  41  41  41
RH..............90  81  73  61  51  43  37  33  34  33  34
20 FT wind dir..E   E   SE  SE  SE  S   S   S   S   S   S
20 FT wind spd..4   4   5   5   5   6   6   6   5   5   5
20 FT wind gust.5   10  10  15  15  10  10  10  10  10  10
Mix hgt (kft)...0.1 0.6 1.2 1.8 2.5 3.3 3.9 4.4 4.6 4.6 4.3
Transp wind dir.SE  SE  SE  S   S   S   S   S   S   S   S
Transp wind spd.3   7   10  12  12  10  9   9   9   9   9
VRate kt-ft/1K..4   4   4   4   4   4   5   5   5   5   5
1700FT Mix T(F).63  58  55  54  57  62  67  70  72  72  70

.TONIGHT...

Sky/weather.........Clear (0-5 percent).
Min temperature.....Around 46.
Max humidity........77 percent.
Dewpoint............40.
Wind (20 ft)........Light winds.
Mixing height.......1900-3700 ft AGL decreasing to 100-1400 ft AGL
                    in the late evening and overnight.
Transport winds.....Southeast 5 to 13 mph decreasing to around 3
                    mph after midnight.
Smoke dispersal.....Poor (200 knot-ft).
Stability class.....5.
1700FT Avg MIX T(F).66.

TIME (CDT)      6PM 7PM 8PM 9PM 10P 11P MID 1AM 2AM 3AM 4AM 5AM
Sky (%).........0   2   2   2   2   2   2   4   4   4   4   4
Weather cov.....
Weather type....
Tstm cov........
Temp............70  64  59  57  55  54  53  51  50  50  49  48
Dewpoint........42  42  41  40  39  39  40  40  40  41  41  41
RH..............36  45  51  53  55  57  61  66  68  71  74  77
20 FT wind dir..SE  SE  SE  SE  SE  SE  SE  SE  SE  SE  SE  SE
20 FT wind spd..4   4   4   4   4   4   4   4   4   3   3   3
20 FT wind gust.10  10  5   5   5   5   5   5   5   5   5   5
Mix hgt (kft)...3.7 3.1 2.5 1.9 1.4 1.0 0.6 0.4 0.3 0.2 0.2 0.1
Transp wind dir.S   S   SE  SE  SE  SE  SE  SE  SE  SE  SE  SE
Transp wind spd.9   10  12  13  13  10  8   5   3   3   3   3
VRate kt-ft/1K..5   4   4   4   4   4   4   0   0   0   0   0
1700FT Mix T(F).66  64  65  66  68  68  67  67  66  66  65  65

.WEDNESDAY...

Sky/weather.........Sunny (0-10 percent).
Max temperature.....Around 76.
Min humidity........33 percent.
Dewpoint............43.
Wind (20 ft)........Light winds becoming south 5 to 6 mph late in
                    the morning.
Mixing height.......0-1900 ft AGL increasing to 4700-5100 ft AGL.
Transport winds.....Southeast 3 to 10 mph shifting to the south 13
                    to 16 mph in the late morning and afternoon.
Smoke dispersal.....Poor (200 knot-ft).
Stability class.....4.
1700FT Avg MIX T(F).61 increasing to 73 in the afternoon.

TIME (CDT)      6AM 7AM 8AM 9AM 10A 11A 12P 1PM 2PM 3PM 4PM 5PM
Sky (%).........4   1   1   1   1   1   1   1   1   1   1   1
Weather cov.....
Weather type....
Tstm cov........
Temp............47  46  46  51  57  63  67  71  74  75  76  76
Dewpoint........42  42  43  44  45  45  45  45  45  45  45  45
RH..............83  86  89  77  64  52  45  39  35  34  33  33
20 FT wind dir..SE  SE  SE  SE  SE  SE  S   S   S   S   S   S
20 FT wind spd..4   4   4   5   5   6   6   6   6   7   7   6
20 FT wind gust.5   5   5           10  10  10  10  10  10  10
Mix hgt (kft)...0.1 0.1 0.5 1.1 1.9 2.6 3.4 4.1 4.7 5.0 5.1 4.8
Transp wind dir.SE  SE  SE  S   S   S   S   S   S   S   S   S
Transp wind spd.3   5   7   10  13  14  15  15  16  16  16  16
VRate kt-ft/1K..0   7   7   7   7   7   7   11  11  11  11  11
1700FT Mix T(F).65  65  61  58  57  60  65  70  73  75  76  74

$$
Forecaster...DARBY
Requested by...Heath Thomas AFMO
Type of request...PRESCRIBED
.TAG 1717358.0/TSA
.EMAIL mhthomas@fs.fed.us



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