Suppression Forecast
Issued by NWS Rapid City, SD

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000
FNUS73 KUNR 181334
FWSUNR

Spot Forecast for North Terrance...National Park Service
National Weather Service Rapid City SD
734 AM MDT Wed Oct 18 2017

Forecast is based on ignition time of 0800 MDT on October 18.
If conditions become unrepresentative...contact the National Weather
Service.

.DISCUSSION...A bit cooler with higher relative humidity today
behind a cold front, then becoming warm and dry again for Thursday
and Friday.

.REST OF TODAY...

Sky/weather.........Sunny.
Max temperature.....Around 63.
Min humidity........30 percent.
Wind (20 ft)........North winds around 10 mph shifting to the
                    southwest in the afternoon.
CWR.................0 percent.
LAL.................1.
Haines Index........3 or very low potential for large plume
                    dominated fire growth.
Mixing height.......rising to around 4000 ft agl.
Transport winds.....Northwest around 15 mph this morning becoming
                    southwest this afternoon.
Smoke dispersal.....Fair.

.TONIGHT...

Sky/weather.........Mostly clear.
Min temperature.....Around 38.
Max humidity........64 percent.
Wind (20 ft)........South winds 5 to 10 mph.
CWR.................0 percent.
LAL.................1.
Haines Index........5 or moderate potential for large plume
                    dominated fire growth.
Mixing height.......100 to 600 ft agl.
Transport winds.....South around 15 mph.
Smoke dispersal.....Poor.

.THURSDAY...

Sky/weather.........Sunny.
Max temperature.....Around 74.
Min humidity........17 percent.
Wind (20 ft)........South winds 10 to 15 mph.
CWR.................0 percent.
LAL.................1.
Haines Index........4 or low potential for large plume dominated
                    fire growth.
Mixing height.......4100 to 4600 ft agl.
Transport winds.....South around 20 mph.
Smoke dispersal.....Very good.

$$
Forecaster...JJ
Requested by...Lee Dueker
Type of request...PRESCRIBED
.TAG 1717270.2/UNR
.EMAIL lee_dueker@nps.gov


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