Suppression Forecast
Issued by NWS Rapid City, SD

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000
FNUS73 KUNR 261744
FWSUNR

SPOT FORECAST FOR PHILIP PARK...SD WILDLAND FIRE
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE RAPID CITY SD
1044 AM MST MON JAN 26 2015

FORECAST IS BASED ON IGNITION TIME OF 1030 MST ON JANUARY 27.
IF CONDITIONS BECOME UNREPRESENTATIVE CONTACT THE
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE OFFICE IN RAPID CITY.

.DISCUSSION...STRONG HIGH PRESSURE WILL CONTINUE ACROSS THE REGION
TODAY AND TUESDAY. THIS WILL RESULT IN TEMPERATURES WELL ABOVE
AVERAGE AND GENERALLY LIGHT WINDS. SMOKE DISPERSAL WILL GENERALLY
BE POOR AS WELL.

AT THIS POINT WEDNESDAY LOOKS TO BE WINDIER AS A WEAK COLD FRONT
CROSSES THE AREA. TEMPERATURES WILL BE SLIGHTLY COOLER...WITH
HIGHS IN THE MID 50S. NORTHWEST WINDS OF 15 TO 20 MPH WITH HIGHER
GUSTS ARE EXPECTED...WITH POTENTIALLY GOOD SMOKE DISPERSAL.

.REST OF TODAY...

SKY/WEATHER.........SUNNY.
TEMPERATURE.........MAX 62.
RH..................MIN 41 PERCENT.
WIND (20 FT)........NORTHWEST WINDS 10 TO 16 MPH.
CWR.................0 PERCENT.
LAL.................1.
HAINES INDEX........2 OR VERY LOW POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME
                    DOMINATED FIRE GROWTH.
MIXING HEIGHT.......1800-3600 FT AGL.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....WEST 13 TO 21 MPH DECREASING TO AROUND 10 MPH
                    LATE IN THE AFTERNOON.
SMOKE DISPERSAL.....POOR TO FAIR (18100-49100 KNOT-FT).

.TONIGHT...

SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY CLEAR.
TEMPERATURE.........MIN 32.
RH..................MAX 88 PERCENT.
WIND (20 FT)........SOUTHWEST WINDS 5 TO 8 MPH.
CWR.................0 PERCENT.
LAL.................1.
HAINES INDEX........2 TO 4 OR OR VERY LOW POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME
                    DOMINATED FIRE GROWTH TO OR LOW POTENTIAL FOR
                    LARGE PLUME DOMINATED FIRE GROWTH.
MIXING HEIGHT.......200-1300 FT AGL.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....SOUTHWEST 7 TO 8 MPH.
SMOKE DISPERSAL.....POOR TO POOR (1200-9100 KNOT-FT).

.TUESDAY...

SKY/WEATHER.........SUNNY.
TEMPERATURE.........58 AT IGNITION...MAX 66.
RH..................52 PERCENT AT IGNITION...MIN 37 PERCENT.
WIND (20 FT)........SOUTHWEST WINDS 6 TO 8 MPH.
CWR.................0 PERCENT.
LAL.................1.
HAINES INDEX........5 OR MODERATE POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME
                    DOMINATED FIRE GROWTH AT IGNITION...MAX 5.
MIXING HEIGHT.......1700 FT AGL AT IGNITION...OTHERWISE 200-1700 FT
                    AGL.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....SOUTHWEST 7 TO 8 MPH.
SMOKE DISPERSAL.....POOR /6500 KNOT-FT/ AT IGNITION. MAX...POOR
                    /11300 KNOT-FT/.

$$
FORECASTER...CALDERON
REQUESTED BY...BRANDY PETERSEN
TYPE OF REQUEST...PRESCRIBED
.TAG 20150127.PHILI.01/UNR






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