High Seas Forecast
Issued by NWS

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000
FZPN03 KNHC 270256
HSFEP2

HIGH SEAS FORECAST
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL
0430 UTC SAT AUG 27 2016

SUPERSEDED BY NEXT ISSUANCE IN 6 HOURS

SEAS GIVEN AS SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT...WHICH IS THE AVERAGE
HEIGHT OF THE HIGHEST 1/3 OF THE WAVES. INDIVIDUAL WAVES MAY BE
MORE THAN TWICE THE SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT.

PAN PAN

E PACIFIC FROM THE EQUATOR TO 30N E OF 140W AND 03.4S TO THE
EQUATOR E OF 120W

SYNOPSIS VALID 0000 UTC SAT AUG 27.
24 HOUR FORECAST VALID 0000 UTC SUN AUG 28.
48 HOUR FORECAST VALID 0000 UTC MON AUG 29.

.WARNINGS.

...HURRICANE WARNING...
.HURRICANE LESTER NEAR 17.9N 116.5W 987 MB AT 0300 UTC AUG 27
MOVING W OR 280 DEG AT 8 KT. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS 65 KT GUSTS
80 KT. TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS WITHIN 80 NM NE QUADRANT...60
NM SE QUADRANT...40 NM SW QUADRANT...AND 70 NM NW QUADRANT.
SEAS 12 FT OR GREATER WITHIN 105 NM N SEMICIRCLE...75 NM SE
QUADRANT AND 90 NM SW QUADRANT WITH SEAS TO 23 FT. ELSEWHERE
WITHIN 150 NM OF CENTER...EXCEPT 90 NM SW QUADRANT WINDS 20 TO
33 KT. SEAS 8 TO 12 FT. REMAINDER OF AREA FROM 15N TO 21N
BETWEEN 112W AND 121W WINDS 20 KT OR LESS. SEAS 8 TO 10 FT IN
MIXED SWELL.
.24 HOUR FORECAST HURRICANE LESTER NEAR 18.1N 119.8W. MAXIMUM
SUSTAINED WINDS 70 KT GUSTS 85 KT. TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS
WITHIN 90 NM NE QUADRANT...70 NM SE QUADRANT...50 NM SW
QUADRANT...AND 80 NM NW QUADRANT. SEAS 12 FT OR GREATER
WITHIN 120 NM E SEMICIRCLE AND 180 NM W SEMICIRCLE WITH SEAS
TO 28 FT. ELSEWHERE WITHIN 180 NM NE QUADRANT...120 NM S
SEMICIRCLE...AND 210 NM NW QUADRANT WINDS 20 TO 33 KT. SEAS
8 TO 12 FT. REMAINDER OF AREA FROM 14N TO 23N BETWEEN 115W
AND 124W WINDS 20 KT OR LESS. SEAS 8 TO 10 FT IN MIXED SWELL.
.48 HOUR FORECAST HURRICANE LESTER NEAR 18.2N 124.5W. MAXIMUM
SUSTAINED WINDS 80 KT GUSTS 100 KT. TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS
WITHIN 100 NM NE QUADRANT...80 NM SE QUADRANT...60 NM SW
QUADRANT...AND 90 NM NW QUADRANT. SEAS 12 FT OR GREATER WITHIN
150 NM E SEMICIRCLE AND 210 NM W SEMICIRCLE WITH SEAS TO 32 FT.
ELSEWHERE WITHIN 240 NM NE QUADRANT...120 NM S SEMICIRCLE...AND
270 NM NW QUADRANT WINDS 20 TO 33 KT. SEAS 8 TO 12 FT.
REMAINDER OF AREA FROM 13N TO 24N BETWEEN 120W AND 130W WINDS
20 KT OR LESS. SEAS 8 TO 10 FT IN MIXED SWELL.
.72 HOUR FORECAST HURRICANE LESTER NEAR 18.5N 130.0W. MAXIMUM
SUSTAINED WINDS 80 KT GUSTS 100 KT.
EXTENDED OUTLOOK...USE FOR GUIDANCE ONLY...ERRORS MAY BE LARGE.
.96 HOUR FORECAST HURRICANE LESTER NEAR 18.5N 136.0W. MAXIMUM
SUSTAINED WINDS 75 KT GUSTS 90 KT.
.120 HOUR FORECAST HURRICANE LESTER NEAR 18.0N 140.8W. MAXIMUM
SUSTAINED WINDS 70 KT GUSTS 85 KT.

...HURRICANE WARNING...
.TROPICAL STORM MADELINE NEAR 13.9N 137.4W 1006 MB AT 0300 UTC
AUG 27 MOVING WNW OR 295 DEG AT 10 KT. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS
35 KT GUSTS 45 KT. TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS WITHIN 40 NM N
SEMICIRCLE AND 0 NM S SEMICIRCLE.  SEAS 12 FT OR GREATER WITHIN
30 NM N SEMICIRCLE AND 0 NM S SEMICIRCLE WITH SEAS TO 13 FT.
ELSEWHERE WITHIN 240 NM SE SEMICIRCLE WINDS 20 TO 33 KT. SEAS
8 TO 12 FT.
.24 HOUR FORECAST TROPICAL STORM MADELINE NEAR 15.4N 139.8W.
MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS 50 KT GUSTS 60 KT. TROPICAL STORM FORCE
WINDS WITHIN 60 NM N SEMICIRCLE...40 NM SE QUADRANT AND 30 NM SW
QUADRANT. SEAS 12 FT OR GREATER OVER FORECAST WATERS WITHIN 90
NM SEMICIRCLE AND 120 NM W SEMICIRCLE WITH SEAS TO 16 FT.
ELSEWHERE OVER FORECAST WATERS 120 NM NE QUADRANT...240 NM SE
QUADRANT...AND 90 NM W SEMICIRCLE WINDS 20 TO 33 KT. SEAS 8 TO
12 FT.
.48 HOUR FORECAST HURRICANE MADELINE NEAR 17.0N 142.4W. MAXIMUM
SUSTAINED WINDS 65 KT GUSTS 80 KT. TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS
WITHIN 100 NM NE QUADRANT...70 NM SE QUADRANT...50 NM SW
QUADRANT...AND 90 NM NW QUADRANT. SEAS 12 FT OR GREATER W OF
AREA. ELSEWHERE OVER FORECAST WATERS WITHIN 240 NM NE QUADRANT
AND 150 NM SE QUADRANT WINDS 20 TO 33 KT. SEAS 8 TO 11 FT.
.72 HOUR FORECAST HURRICANE MADELINE NEAR 18.5N 145.5W. MAXIMUM
SUSTAINED WINDS 70 KT GUSTS 85 KT.
EXTENDED OUTLOOK...USE FOR GUIDANCE ONLY...ERRORS MAY BE LARGE.
.96 HOUR FORECAST HURRICANE MADELINE NEAR 19.5N 149.5W. MAXIMUM
SUSTAINED WINDS 65 KT GUSTS 80 KT.
.120 HOUR FORECAST TROPICAL STORM MADELINE NEAR 19.5N 153.5W.
MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS 60 KT GUSTS 75 KT.

FORECAST WINDS IN AND NEAR ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONES SHOULD BE
USED WITH CAUTION DUE TO UNCERTAINTY IN FORECAST TRACK...SIZE
AND INTENSITY.

.SYNOPSIS AND FORECAST.

.WITHIN AREA BOUNDED BY 08N90W TO 10N101W TO 09N107W TO 08N107W
TO 06N96W TO 06N91W TO 08N90W WINDS 20 KT OR LESS. SEAS TO 8 FT
IN MIXED SE AND SW SWELL.
.24 HOUR FORECAST WITHIN AREA BOUNDED BY 09N106W TO 12N116W TO
11N120W TO 08N117W TO 06N109W TO 09N106W WINDS 20 KT OR LESS.
SEAS 8 FT IN MIXED SE AND SW SWELL.
.48 HOUR FORECAST WITHIN AREA BOUNDED BY 09N102W TO 12N117W TO
11N123W TO 09N126W TO 07N113W TO 07N102W TO 09N102W SW WINDS 20
TO 25 KT. SEAS 8 TO 9 FT.

.WITHIN AREA BOUNDED BY 03S97.5W TO 02.5S99W TO 03S101W TO
03S106W TO 03.4S106.5W TO 03.4S97W TO 03S97.5W WINDS 20 KT OR
LESS. SEAS 8 TO 9 FT IN MIXED SE AND SW SWELL.
.18 HOUR FORECAST WINDS 20 KT OR LESS. SEAS LESS THAN 8 FT.

.REMAINDER OF AREA WINDS 20 KT OR LESS. SEAS LESS THAN 8 FT.

CONVECTION VALID AT 0200 UTC SAT AUG 27...

.HURRICANE LESTER...NUMEROUS MODERATE ISOLATED STRONG WITHIN
120 NM OF CENTER...EXCEPT 60 NM SE QUADRANT.

.TROPICAL STORM MADELINE...NUMEROUS MODERATE ISOLATED STRONG
WITHIN 180 NM N QUADRANT...90 NM E QUADRANT...AND 150 NM SW
SEMICIRCLE.

.LOW PRES NEAR 10N107W...SCATTERED MODERATE WITHIN 360 NM SW
QUADRANT.

.INTERTROPICAL CONVERGENCE ZONE/MONSOON TROUGH...
MONSOON TROUGH AXIS EXTENDS FROM 12N94W TO LOW PRES NEAR
10N107W TO 11N112W THEN RESUMES NEAR 14N118W TO 12N122W TO
16N133W TO 11N140W. SCATTERED MODERATE FROM 06N TO 10N BETWEEN
78W AND 93W...FROM 09N TO 12N BETWEEN 102W AND 109W...AND ALSO
WITHIN 270 NM SW OF AXIS BETWEEN 124W AND 131W.

$$
.FORECASTER LEWITSKY. NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER.



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