Probabilistic Outlook Points
Issued by NWS

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000
WUUS01 KWNS 221558
PTSDY1

DAY 1 CONVECTIVE OUTLOOK AREAL OUTLINE
NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK
1057 AM CDT TUE AUG 22 2017

VALID TIME 221630Z - 231200Z

PROBABILISTIC OUTLOOK POINTS DAY 1

... TORNADO ...

0.02   45737175 43597192 42467278 41717365 40887515 40267658
       39557872 39307939 38208176 37868311 38158389 38968417
       39378385 39868313 40798156 42058026 42727876 43007816
       43177707 45167609
0.05   41287604 41157743 41347867 41917863 42537767 43307622
       43617616 44407542 44987461 44927350 44647295 43427315
       42647364 41807460 41287604
&&

... HAIL ...

0.05   45077239 44607199 43867194 42917264 41937358 40257647
       37098331 36348534 35478863 34939116 34399459 33849884
       33610180 33550388 33850431 34400444 34930448 35910426
       36030362 35710298 35630178 35810010 36379788 36519459
       36249229 36718927 39378477 41068176 42777992
&&

... WIND ...

0.05   47456801 45036930 43467080 41437263 40687416 39877523
       39197624 38457791 36268362 34488947 33739600 33370069
       33110277 33630417 34410446 35720434 35890375 35510248
       35760001 36389791 36289232 36838954 38128742 39798422
       41148190 42498067
0.15   45727110 44697091 44007115 43017221 41777354 40947513
       40187658 38738008 37098327 36638533 36708750 36928790
       37328801 37868727 39658410 40948189 42578038
0.30   43147396 42257471 41817516 41327583 40797727 40547837
       40267992 40268082 40518115 40998110 41678047 42467899
       43007820 43207695 43577621 44077565 44477507 44677435
       44627363 44027350 43147396
&&

CATEGORICAL OUTLOOK POINTS DAY 1

... CATEGORICAL ...

ENH    44027350 43147396 42257471 41817516 41327583 40797727
       40547837 40267992 40268082 40518115 40998110 41678047
       42467899 43007820 43207695 43577621 44077565 44477507
       44677435 44627363 44027350
SLGT   45357103 44697091 44007115 43017221 41777354 40947513
       40187658 38738008 37098327 36638533 36698750 36928789
       37328801 37868727 39658410 40948189 42328061
MRGL   47296809 45036930 43467080 41437263 40687416 39877523
       39197624 38457791 36268362 34488947 33739600 33370069
       33110277 33630417 33800423 33850431 34260441 34410446
       34530445 34930449 35460436 35730430 35910426 36030362
       35710297 35630178 35810010 36279831 36389791 36399762
       36519459 36309269 36289232 36838954 38128742 39798422
       41148190 42278087
TSTM   31101166 32081156 33951156 36491424 37641683 37341772
       36731896 37081994 38252077 39282147 39522211 39272257
       39392331 40272372 42042384 43862273 44572121 44311986
       43671851 42541665 42281291 41900866 41260547 40680435
       39010389 37460335 37000227 36750116 37169508 37369252
       38488983 40708698 42428501 43298471 44058471 44758441
       45188384 45808281 99999999 48138708 46888684 45498763
       45308943 46859255 48239382 49899441 99999999 27470002
       28719906 30799639 32149331 32959281 33229360 31529902
       30470115 29540219

&&
THERE IS A ENH RISK OF SVR TSTMS TO THE RIGHT OF A LINE FROM 35 SSW
BTV 20 SW GFL 40 N MSV 20 WNW MSV AVP 30 E UNV 20 N AOO 25 SE PIT 10
WNW HLG 30 SSE CAK 20 ENE CAK 30 NNE YNG 25 NNE JHW 25 E BUF 35 E
ROC 30 SSW ART 20 ENE ART 35 SSW MSS 20 NNW SLK 25 WNW BTV 35 SSW
BTV.

THERE IS A SLGT RISK OF SVR TSTMS TO THE RIGHT OF A LINE FROM 50 N
BML 15 ENE BML 20 SSE MWN 10 NNE EEN 20 ENE POU 25 NE ABE 15 E CXY
15 SW EKN 30 S JKL 50 NNW CSV HOP 30 NW HOP 45 ENE PAH 10 NNW OWB 20
SSE DAY 25 W CAK 30 NW ERI.

THERE IS A MRGL RISK OF SVR TSTMS TO THE RIGHT OF A LINE FROM 30 N
CAR 30 NW BGR 25 N PSM 30 WNW GON EWR PHL 25 E BWI 35 NE CHO 35 NE
TYS 10 NNE UOX 25 SE DUA 70 ESE LBB 40 NE HOB 30 NE ROW 40 NNE ROW
40 NNE ROW 65 W CVS 65 W CVS 65 W CVS 55 WSW TCC 45 ESE LVS 50 E LVS
55 ENE LVS 40 SW CAO 30 SW DHT 20 WSW BGD 40 SSW GAG 20 WSW END END
15 E END 10 SE GMJ 15 WNW FLP 10 ENE FLP 25 S CGI 10 NE EVV DAY 20 S
CLE 40 WNW ERI.

GEN TSTMS ARE FCST TO THE RIGHT OF A LINE FROM 80 SSW TUS 35 W TUS
45 NE PHX 55 SW SGU 35 SSE TPH 35 E BIH 40 E FAT 25 NNW FAT 35 NE
SCK 55 N SAC 45 S RBL 35 ENE UKI 20 NNW UKI 40 SSE EKA 25 E 4BK 30
SE EUG 20 N RDM 65 E RDM 25 ENE BNO 45 NNW OWY 30 WNW MLD 30 NE RKS
10 ESE LAR 40 ENE FCL 20 SSW LIC 40 SSE LHX 20 W EHA 20 ENE GUY 30 W
JLN 35 SW TBN BLV 20 N LAF 30 WNW JXN 35 N LAN 20 S HTL 30 NNE HTL
15 WNW APN 60 NE APN ...CONT... 95 NE CMX 40 NE MQT 30 WSW ESC 25 S
RHI 20 W DLH 30 SW INL 80 NNE RRT ...CONT... 35 W LRD 20 NNE COT 15
N CLL 30 NNW IER 20 S ELD 30 SE TXK 20 SSW BWD 70 ENE 6R6 35 S 6R6.




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