Quantitative Precipitation Statement
Issued by NWS Los Angeles, CA

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000
FSUS46 KLOX 270922
QPSLOX

QUANTITATIVE PRECIPITATION FORECAST
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE LOS ANGELES/OXNARD CA
300 AM PST THU NOV 27 2014

PRECIPITATION FORECASTS IN INCHES ARE PROVIDED IN 3-HOUR
INCREMENTS UNTIL 1600 FOLLOWED BY 6-HOUR INCREMENTS UNTIL 0400.
THUNDERSTORM CHANCES COVER UP TO 0400 ON DAY 1 ONLY.

LIGHT RAINFALL AMOUNTS GREATER THAN ZERO BUT LESS THAN A TENTH OF AN
INCH ARE SHOWN AS LGT.

THE DISCUSSION COVERS THE PERIOD FROM: THU NOV 27 2014 THROUGH THU DEC 04 2014.

&&
                                    04-07  07-10  10-13  13-16  |  16-22  22-04

SAN LUIS OBISPO COUNTY...

LSRC1:CAMBRIA                        0.0    0.0    0.0    0.0   |   0.0    0.0
SMRC1:SANTA MARGARITA                0.0    0.0    0.0    0.0   |   0.0    0.0
NIPC1:LOPEZ LAKE                     0.0    0.0    0.0    0.0   |   0.0    0.0

SLO: PEAK 1-HR RATES: CST/VLY 0.00         FTHLS/MTNS 0.00
                      EXPECTED TO OCCUR BETWEEN        N/A
CHANCE THUNDERSTORMS: NO

&&
                                    04-07  07-10  10-13  13-16  |  16-22  22-04

SANTA BARBARA COUNTY...

SIYC1:SANTA MARIA CITY               0.0    0.0    0.0    0.0   |   0.0    0.0
SBTC1:SANTA BARBARA POTRERO          0.0    0.0    0.0    0.0   |   0.0    0.0
GBRC1:GIBRALTAR DAM                  0.0    0.0    0.0    0.0   |   0.0    0.0
SMCC1:SAN MARCOS PASS                0.0    0.0    0.0    0.0   |   0.0    0.0
SBFC1:SANTA BARBARA COUNTY BUILDING  0.0    0.0    0.0    0.0   |   0.0    0.0

SBA: PEAK 1-HR RATES: CST/VLY 0.00         FTHLS/MTNS 0.00
                      EXPECTED TO OCCUR BETWEEN        N/A
CHANCE THUNDERSTORMS: NO

&&
                                    04-07  07-10  10-13  13-16  |  16-22  22-04

VENTURA COUNTY...

MTDC1:MATILIJA DAM                   0.0    0.0    0.0    0.0   |   0.0    0.0
HRCC1:HOPPER CANYON                  0.0    0.0    0.0    0.0   |   0.0    0.0
FGWC1:FAGAN CANYON                   0.0    0.0    0.0    0.0   |   0.0    0.0
VTUC1:VENTURA COUNTY GOVT CENTER     0.0    0.0    0.0    0.0   |   0.0    0.0
MORC1:MOORPARK COUNTY YARD           0.0    0.0    0.0    0.0   |   0.0    0.0
CRXC1:CIRCLE X RANCH                 0.0    0.0    0.0    0.0   |   0.0    0.0

VTU: PEAK 1-HR RATES: CST/VLY 0.00         FTHLS/MTNS 0.00
                      EXPECTED TO OCCUR BETWEEN        N/A
CHANCE THUNDERSTORMS: NO

&&
                                    04-07  07-10  10-13  13-16  |  16-22  22-04

LOS ANGELES COUNTY...

SAUC1:SAUGUS                         0.0    0.0    0.0    0.0   |   0.0    0.0
PCDC1:PACOIMA DAM                    0.0    0.0    0.0    0.0   |   0.0    0.0
WFKC1:WEST FORK HELIPORT (MT WILSON) 0.0    0.0    0.0    0.0   |   0.0    0.0
FLTC1:LA CANADA FLINTRIDGE           0.0    0.0    0.0    0.0   |   0.0    0.0
BDDC1:BIG DALTON DAM                 0.0    0.0    0.0    0.0   |   0.0    0.0
CQT  :LOS ANGELES DOWNTOWN (USC)     0.0    0.0    0.0    0.0   |   0.0    0.0
MLUC1:BIG ROCK MESA                  0.0    0.0    0.0    0.0   |   0.0    0.0

LAC: PEAK 1-HR RATES: CST/VLY 0.00         FTHLS/MTNS 0.00
                      EXPECTED TO OCCUR BETWEEN        N/A
CHANCE THUNDERSTORMS: NO

&&

DISCUSSION:

IT WILL BE DRY THROUGH AT LEAST SATURDAY AFTERNOON.

COMPUTER MODELS IN DECENT AGREEMENT FOR SUNDAY SHOWING SOME LIGHT
RAIN FALLING AS FAR SOUTH AS NORTHERN SANTA BARBARA COUNTY WITH
AMOUNTS GENERALLY A QUARTER INCH OR LESS...ALTHOUGH THERE IS A HINT
THAT SOME LIGHT WARM FRONTAL RAIN COULD FALL OVER THE AREA SOUTH OF
POINT CONCEPTION.

FROM SUNDAY NIGHT ON PRETTY MUCH ANYTHING IS POSSIBLE. THE MUCH
HOPED FOR MDL CONSISTENCY AND/OR AGREEMENT DID NOT OCCUR WITH THE
LATEST MDL RUNS. THE ONLY SORT OF CONSENSUS IS THAT MONDAY LOOKS TO
BE DRY.

AFTER THAT ITS ANYONES GUESS...THE GFS IS WET MONDAY NIGHT THROUGH
TUESDAY EVENING AND THE EC IS WET WEDNESDAY EVENING THROUGH FRIDAY.
THE CANADIAN IS WET TUESDAY NIGHT THROUGH FRIDAY.

ALL MDLS ARE NOW SHOWING LESS IN THE WAY OF RAINFALL AMOUNTS.

$$

ASR





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