Quantitative Precipitation Statement
Issued by NWS Los Angeles, CA

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000
FSUS46 KLOX 022255
QPSLOX

QUANTITATIVE PRECIPITATION FORECAST
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE LOS ANGELES/OXNARD CA
237 PM PST MON MAR 02 2015

PRECIPITATION FORECASTS IN INCHES ARE PROVIDED IN 3-HOUR
INCREMENTS UNTIL 0400 FOLLOWED BY 6-HOUR INCREMENTS UNTIL 1600.
THUNDERSTORM CHANCES COVER UP TO 1600 ON DAY 1 ONLY.

LIGHT RAINFALL AMOUNTS GREATER THAN ZERO BUT LESS THAN A TENTH OF AN
INCH ARE SHOWN AS LGT.

THE DISCUSSION COVERS THE PERIOD FROM: MON MAR 02 2015 THROUGH MON MAR 09 2015.

&&
                                    16-19  19-22  22-01  01-04  |  04-10  10-16

SAN LUIS OBISPO COUNTY...

LSRC1:CAMBRIA                        LGT    LGT    0.0    0.0   |   0.0    0.0
SMRC1:SANTA MARGARITA                LGT    LGT    0.0    0.0   |   0.0    0.0
NIPC1:LOPEZ LAKE                     LGT    LGT    0.0    0.0   |   0.0    0.0

SLO: PEAK 1-HR RATES: CST/VLY 0.01-0.10    FTHLS/MTNS 0.01-0.10
                      EXPECTED TO OCCUR BETWEEN  1600-2200
CHANCE THUNDERSTORMS: NO

&&
                                    16-19  19-22  22-01  01-04  |  04-10  10-16

SANTA BARBARA COUNTY...

SIYC1:SANTA MARIA CITY               LGT    LGT    0.0    0.0   |   0.0    0.0
SBTC1:SANTA BARBARA POTRERO          LGT    LGT    0.0    0.0   |   0.0    0.0
GBRC1:GIBRALTAR DAM                  LGT    LGT    0.0    0.0   |   0.0    0.0
SMCC1:SAN MARCOS PASS                LGT    LGT    0.0    0.0   |   0.0    0.0
SBFC1:SANTA BARBARA COUNTY BUILDING  LGT    LGT    0.0    0.0   |   0.0    0.0

SBA: PEAK 1-HR RATES: CST/VLY 0.01-0.10    FTHLS/MTNS 0.01-0.10
                      EXPECTED TO OCCUR BETWEEN  1600-2200
CHANCE THUNDERSTORMS: NO

&&
                                    16-19  19-22  22-01  01-04  |  04-10  10-16

VENTURA COUNTY...

MTDC1:MATILIJA DAM                   LGT    LGT    LGT    LGT   |   0.0    0.0
HRCC1:HOPPER CANYON                  LGT    LGT    LGT    LGT   |   0.0    0.0
FGWC1:FAGAN CANYON                   LGT    LGT    LGT    LGT   |   0.0    0.0
VTUC1:VENTURA COUNTY GOVT CENTER     LGT    LGT    LGT    LGT   |   0.0    0.0
MORC1:MOORPARK COUNTY YARD           LGT    LGT    LGT    LGT   |   0.0    0.0
CRXC1:CIRCLE X RANCH                 LGT    LGT    LGT    LGT   |   0.0    0.0

VTU: PEAK 1-HR RATES: CST/VLY 0.01-0.10    FTHLS/MTNS 0.01-0.10
                      EXPECTED TO OCCUR BETWEEN  1600-2200
CHANCE THUNDERSTORMS: NO

&&
                                    16-19  19-22  22-01  01-04  |  04-10  10-16

LOS ANGELES COUNTY...

SAUC1:SAUGUS                         LGT    LGT    LGT    LGT   |   0.0    0.0
PCDC1:PACOIMA DAM                    LGT    LGT    LGT    LGT   |   0.0    0.0
WFKC1:WEST FORK HELIPORT (MT WILSON) LGT    LGT    LGT    LGT   |   LGT    0.0
FLTC1:LA CANADA FLINTRIDGE           LGT    LGT    LGT    LGT   |   0.0    0.0
BDDC1:BIG DALTON DAM                 0.1    0.1    LGT    LGT   |   0.0    0.0
CQT  :LOS ANGELES DOWNTOWN (USC)     LGT    LGT    LGT    LGT   |   0.0    0.0
MLUC1:BIG ROCK MESA                  LGT    LGT    LGT    LGT   |   0.0    0.0

LAC: PEAK 1-HR RATES: CST/VLY 0.01-0.10    FTHLS/MTNS 0.01-0.10
                      EXPECTED TO OCCUR BETWEEN  1600-2200
CHANCE THUNDERSTORMS: NO

&&


DISCUSSION:

THERE WILL CONTINUE TO BE UNSETTLED AND SHOWERY WEATHER THROUGH
TONIGHT...WITH A FEW LINGERING SHOWERS IN LOS ANGELES COUNTY EARLY
TUESDAY MORNING.

A SECOND UPPER LOW WILL MOVE A FEW HUNDRED MILES WEST OF SOUTHERN
CALIFORNIA TONIGHT INTO TUESDAY MORNING. THE BEST CHANCE FOR RAIN
OVERNIGHT WILL BE OVER LOS ANGELES AND VENTURA COUNTIES. THERE WILL
CONTINUE TO BE A SLIGHT CHANCE OF THUNDERSTORMS AND SMALL HAIL. AS
HAS BEEN THE CASE...RAINFALL AMOUNTS WILL VARY DUE TO THE SHOWERY
NATURE OF THIS NEXT QUICK MOVING STORM SYSTEM. EXPECT ADDITIONAL
AMOUNTS FROM BETWEEN A TRACE TO TENTH OF AN INCH...WITH HIGHER
AMOUNTS LIKELY FOR LOS ANGELES COUNTY UP TO A QUARTER INCH BY
TUESDAY MORNING. A FEW MOUNTAIN LOCATIONS...MAINLY IN THE EASTERN
SAN GABRIEL VALLEY COULD SEE AN ADDITIONAL THIRD TO A HALF INCH. IF
THUNDERSTORMS DO DEVELOP...AN ADDITIONAL THREE QUARTERS INCH IS
POSSIBLE.

IF THUNDERSTORMS DO DEVELOP TONIGHT...THEY SHOULD BE FAIRLY QUICK
MOVING...LOWERING THE CHANCE OF FLASH FLOODING FOR THE BURN AREAS.

AFTER EARLY TUESDAY`S SHOWERS...AN EXTENDED PERIOD OF WARM AND DRY
WEATHER IS EXPECTED FOR THE REMAINDER OF NEXT WEEK AS A LARGE AREA
OF HIGH PRESSURE DEVELOPS.

$$

KAPLAN







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