River Forecast
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FGUS51 KTIR 051327
RVFAGL
River Forecast
NWS Ohio River Forecast Center, Wilmington, OH
9:27am EDT Thursday, May 5, 2016

This is a NWS guidance product from the Ohio River Forecast Center.
Public forecasts and warnings are issued only by local NWS offices.
Statistical uncertainties can be viewed from our ensemble pages at:
http://weather.gov/erh/mmefs


: Parker - Allegheny River - PBZ
: Zero Datum 845.14 ft (NGVD 1929)
: Armstrong County, PA
: Record River Stage     29.6 ft
: Major River Stage      26.0 ft
: Moderate River Stage   23.0 ft
: Flood River Stage      20.0 ft
: Action River Stage     13.9 ft
:
: Time series data are in 6-hour increments.
:
:  Obsv Valid  /   00Z /   06Z /   12Z /   18Z
:     May 03                           /   6.1
:     May 04   /   6.1 /   6.0 /   5.9E/   5.9E
:     May 05   /   5.8 /   5.7 /   5.6
: Observed values (above) with a trailing E indicate missing values
: that were replaced with estimates from model simulations.
:
: Latest Observed River Stage 5.6 ft at 900am EDT on Thu, May 5
:
.ER PARP1 20160505 Z DC201605051327/DUE/DQG/DH18/HGIFF/DIH6
:
:  Fcst Valid  /   00Z /   06Z /   12Z /   18Z
.E1 : May 05 :                         /   5.6
.E2 : May 06 : /   5.5 /   5.4 /   5.3 /   5.2
.E3 : May 07 : /   5.3 /   5.2 /   5.1 /   5.1
.E4 : May 08 : /   5.0 /   4.9 /   4.9 /   4.8
.E5 : May 09 : /   4.8 /   4.8 /   4.7 /   4.7
.E6 : May 10 : /   4.7 /   4.6 /   4.6
:
: Local observed 6-hr basin-averaged precip [MAPX] (72 hours):
: Valid Times  /   00Z /   06Z /   12Z /   18Z
:     May 02                           /  0.00
:     May 03   /  0.00 /  0.00 /  0.00 /  0.00
:     May 04   /  0.00 /  0.00 /  0.00 /  0.00
:     May 05   /  0.00 /  0.12 /  0.03
:
: Local forecast 6-hr basin-averaged precip [MAPX] (48 hours):
: Valid Times  /   00Z /   06Z /   12Z /   18Z
:     May 05                           /  0.07
:     May 06   /  0.10 /  0.00 /  0.00 /  0.01
:     May 07   /  0.04 /  0.01 /  0.01
:
: Local 6-hr basin-averaged temperatures (C) [MAT] (120 hours):
: Valid Times  /   00Z /   06Z /   12Z /   18Z
:     May 02                           /  11.3
:     May 03   /  12.6 /   9.1 /   7.7 /  10.1
:     May 04   /  13.8 /   8.8 /   4.8 /   9.7
:     May 05   /  14.6 /  10.9 /   8.9 /  11.8
:     May 06   /  14.3 /  10.1 /   7.4 /  12.6
:     May 07   /  15.5 /  10.8 /   7.9
:____________________________________________________________________

: St Charles - Redbank Creek - PBZ
: Zero Datum 973.14 ft (NGVD 1929)
: Armstrong County, PA
: Record River Stage     23.9 ft
: Major River Stage      22.0 ft
: Moderate River Stage   20.0 ft
: Flood River Stage      17.0 ft
: Action River Stage     14.1 ft
:
: Time series data are in 6-hour increments.
:
:  Obsv Valid  /   00Z /   06Z /   12Z /   18Z
:     May 03                           /   6.5
:     May 04   /   6.3 /   6.0 /   5.9 /   5.2E
:     May 05   /   5.6 /   5.5 /   5.4
: Observed values (above) with a trailing E indicate missing values
: that were replaced with estimates from model simulations.
:
: Latest Observed River Stage 5.4 ft at 915am EDT on Thu, May 5
:
.ER SNCP1 20160505 Z DC201605051327/DUE/DQG/DH18/HGIFF/DIH6
:
:  Fcst Valid  /   00Z /   06Z /   12Z /   18Z
.E1 : May 05 :                         /   5.2
.E2 : May 06 : /   5.0 /   4.9 /   4.8 /   4.8
.E3 : May 07 : /   4.9 /   5.2 /   5.3 /   5.3
.E4 : May 08 : /   5.2 /   5.1 /   5.0 /   4.9
.E5 : May 09 : /   4.9 /   4.8 /   4.7 /   4.7
.E6 : May 10 : /   4.6 /   4.6 /   4.6
:
: Local observed 6-hr basin-averaged precip [MAPX] (72 hours):
: Valid Times  /   00Z /   06Z /   12Z /   18Z
:     May 02                           /  0.00
:     May 03   /  0.00 /  0.00 /  0.00 /  0.00
:     May 04   /  0.00 /  0.00 /  0.00 /  0.00
:     May 05   /  0.00 /  0.06 /  0.01
:
: Local forecast 6-hr basin-averaged precip [MAPX] (48 hours):
: Valid Times  /   00Z /   06Z /   12Z /   18Z
:     May 05                           /  0.04
:     May 06   /  0.10 /  0.00 /  0.03 /  0.03
:     May 07   /  0.09 /  0.05 /  0.03
:
: Local 6-hr basin-averaged temperatures (C) [MAT] (120 hours):
: Valid Times  /   00Z /   06Z /   12Z /   18Z
:     May 02                           /  14.0
:     May 03   /  15.5 /  11.5 /   9.5 /  11.9
:     May 04   /  15.1 /   9.8 /   6.0 /   9.8
:     May 05   /  13.6 /  10.6 /   9.5 /  11.5
:     May 06   /  14.1 /  10.4 /   7.8 /  11.5
:     May 07   /  13.9 /  10.2 /   7.9
:____________________________________________________________________

: Kittanning L&D 7 - Allegheny River - PBZ
: Zero Datum 773.4 ft (NGVD 1929)
: Armstrong County, PA
: Record Pool Stage     30.7 ft
: Major Pool Stage      23.0 ft
: Moderate Pool Stage   22.0 ft
: Flood Pool Stage      21.0 ft
: Action Pool Stage     17.1 ft
:
: Time series data are in 6-hour increments.
:
:  Obsv Valid  /   00Z /   06Z /   12Z /   18Z
:     May 03                           /  12.5
:     May 04   /  12.7 /  12.7 /  12.6E/  12.5E
:     May 05   /  12.5 /  12.4 /  12.4
: Observed values (above) with a trailing E indicate missing values
: that were replaced with estimates from model simulations.
:
: Latest Observed Pool Stage 12.4 ft at 900am EDT on Thu, May 5
:
.ER KTTP1 20160505 Z DC201605051327/DUE/DQG/DH18/HPIFF/DIH6
:
:  Fcst Valid  /   00Z /   06Z /   12Z /   18Z
.E1 : May 05 :                         /  12.4
.E2 : May 06 : /  12.3 /  12.2 /  12.2 /  12.1
.E3 : May 07 : /  12.1 /  12.1 /  12.0 /  12.0
.E4 : May 08 : /  12.0 /  12.0 /  11.9 /  11.9
.E5 : May 09 : /  11.8 /  11.8 /  11.8 /  11.7
.E6 : May 10 : /  11.7 /  11.7 /  11.6
:
: Local observed 6-hr basin-averaged precip [MAPX] (72 hours):
: Valid Times  /   00Z /   06Z /   12Z /   18Z
:     May 02                           /  0.00
:     May 03   /  0.00 /  0.00 /  0.00 /  0.00
:     May 04   /  0.00 /  0.00 /  0.00 /  0.00
:     May 05   /  0.01 /  0.05 /  0.08
:
: Local forecast 6-hr basin-averaged precip [MAPX] (48 hours):
: Valid Times  /   00Z /   06Z /   12Z /   18Z
:     May 05                           /  0.05
:     May 06   /  0.14 /  0.01 /  0.05 /  0.03
:     May 07   /  0.08 /  0.04 /  0.02
:
: Local 6-hr basin-averaged temperatures (C) [MAT] (120 hours):
: Valid Times  /   00Z /   06Z /   12Z /   18Z
:     May 02                           /  15.7
:     May 03   /  16.5 /  12.4 /   9.9 /  13.1
:     May 04   /  16.4 /  12.2 /   9.0 /  10.9
:     May 05   /  12.8 /  10.9 /   9.8 /  11.6
:     May 06   /  14.5 /  10.7 /   8.0 /  11.8
:     May 07   /  14.7 /  10.6 /   8.1
:____________________________________________________________________

: Seward - Conemaugh River - PBZ
: Zero Datum 1076.01 ft (NGVD 1929)
: Westmoreland County, PA
: Record River Stage     26.4 ft
: Major River Stage      16.0 ft
: Moderate River Stage   14.0 ft
: Flood River Stage      12.0 ft
: Action River Stage      8.8 ft
:
: Time series data are in 6-hour increments.
:
:  Obsv Valid  /   00Z /   06Z /   12Z /   18Z
:     May 03                           /   3.0
:     May 04   /   3.0 /   2.9 /   2.9E/   2.9E
:     May 05   /   2.9 /   2.9 /   2.9
: Observed values (above) with a trailing E indicate missing values
: that were replaced with estimates from model simulations.
:
: Latest Observed River Stage 2.9 ft at 845am EDT on Thu, May 5
:
.ER SWDP1 20160505 Z DC201605051327/DUE/DQG/DH18/HGIFF/DIH6
:
:  Fcst Valid  /   00Z /   06Z /   12Z /   18Z
.E1 : May 05 :                         /   3.0
.E2 : May 06 : /   3.1 /   3.3 /   3.4 /   3.5
.E3 : May 07 : /   3.7 /   3.9 /   4.1 /   4.2
.E4 : May 08 : /   4.2 /   4.1 /   4.0 /   3.9
.E5 : May 09 : /   3.7 /   3.6 /   3.5 /   3.5
.E6 : May 10 : /   3.4 /   3.3 /   3.3
:
: Local observed 6-hr basin-averaged precip [MAPX] (72 hours):
: Valid Times  /   00Z /   06Z /   12Z /   18Z
:     May 02                           /  0.00
:     May 03   /  0.00 /  0.00 /  0.00 /  0.00
:     May 04   /  0.00 /  0.00 /  0.00 /  0.20
:     May 05   /  0.01 /  0.02 /  0.10
:
: Local forecast 6-hr basin-averaged precip [MAPX] (48 hours):
: Valid Times  /   00Z /   06Z /   12Z /   18Z
:     May 05                           /  0.04
:     May 06   /  0.11 /  0.02 /  0.15 /  0.08
:     May 07   /  0.15 /  0.07 /  0.05
:
: Local 6-hr basin-averaged temperatures (C) [MAT] (120 hours):
: Valid Times  /   00Z /   06Z /   12Z /   18Z
:     May 02                           /  16.2
:     May 03   /  17.6 /  12.6 /  11.0 /  12.5
:     May 04   /  15.1 /  10.6 /   8.1 /   9.7
:     May 05   /  11.4 /   9.8 /   8.5 /  10.2
:     May 06   /  12.4 /   9.9 /   8.1 /  10.4
:     May 07   /  11.9 /  10.1 /   8.9
:____________________________________________________________________

: Clinton Lk #6 - Allegheny River - PBZ
: Zero Datum 759.96 ft (NGVD 1929)
: Armstrong County, PA
: Record Pool Stage     26.4 ft
: Major Pool Stage      24.0 ft
: Moderate Pool Stage   22.0 ft
: Flood Pool Stage      21.0 ft
: Action Pool Stage     17.0 ft
:
: Time series data are in 6-hour increments.
:
:  Obsv Valid  /   00Z /   06Z /   12Z /   18Z
:     May 03                           /  11.4
:     May 04   /  11.7 /  11.8 /  11.7E/  11.6E
:     May 05   /  11.5 /  11.3 /  11.3
: Observed values (above) with a trailing E indicate missing values
: that were replaced with estimates from model simulations.
:
: Latest Observed Pool Stage 11.3 ft at 900am EDT on Thu, May 5
:
.ER CLNP1 20160505 Z DC201605051327/DUE/DQG/DH18/HPIFF/DIH6
:
:  Fcst Valid  /   00Z /   06Z /   12Z /   18Z
.E1 : May 05 :                         /  11.2
.E2 : May 06 : /  11.2 /  11.1 /  11.0 /  10.9
.E3 : May 07 : /  10.9 /  10.9 /  10.9 /  10.9
.E4 : May 08 : /  10.9 /  10.8 /  10.8 /  10.7
.E5 : May 09 : /  10.7 /  10.7 /  10.6 /  10.6
.E6 : May 10 : /  10.6 /  10.6 /  10.5
:
: Local observed 6-hr basin-averaged precip [MAPX] (72 hours):
: Valid Times  /   00Z /   06Z /   12Z /   18Z
:     May 02                           /  0.00
:     May 03   /  0.00 /  0.00 /  0.00 /  0.00
:     May 04   /  0.00 /  0.00 /  0.00 /  0.00
:     May 05   /  0.08 /  0.02 /  0.08
:
: Local forecast 6-hr basin-averaged precip [MAPX] (48 hours):
: Valid Times  /   00Z /   06Z /   12Z /   18Z
:     May 05                           /  0.06
:     May 06   /  0.16 /  0.01 /  0.04 /  0.02
:     May 07   /  0.08 /  0.03 /  0.02
:
: Local 6-hr basin-averaged temperatures (C) [MAT] (120 hours):
: Valid Times  /   00Z /   06Z /   12Z /   18Z
:     May 02                           /  15.8
:     May 03   /  16.5 /  12.2 /   9.8 /  12.9
:     May 04   /  16.3 /  12.5 /   9.5 /  11.0
:     May 05   /  12.5 /  10.8 /   9.6 /  11.6
:     May 06   /  14.6 /  10.9 /   8.1 /  12.2
:     May 07   /  15.2 /  11.1 /   8.3
:____________________________________________________________________

: Natrona L&D #4 - Allegheny River - PBZ
: Zero Datum 736.04 ft (NGVD 1929)
: Allegheny County, PA
: Record Pool Stage     32.1 ft
: Major Pool Stage      26.0 ft
: Moderate Pool Stage   24.0 ft
: Flood Pool Stage      21.0 ft
: Action Pool Stage     17.2 ft
:
: Time series data are in 6-hour increments.
:
:  Obsv Valid  /   00Z /   06Z /   12Z /   18Z
:     May 03                           /  12.8
:     May 04   /  12.9 /  13.1 /  13.1 /  13.0E
:     May 05   /  13.0 /  12.9 /  12.9
: Observed values (above) with a trailing E indicate missing values
: that were replaced with estimates from model simulations.
:
: Latest Observed Pool Stage 12.9 ft at 915am EDT on Thu, May 5
:
.ER NATP1 20160505 Z DC201605051327/DUE/DQG/DH18/HPIFF/DIH6
:
:  Fcst Valid  /   00Z /   06Z /   12Z /   18Z
.E1 : May 05 :                         /  12.8
.E2 : May 06 : /  12.8 /  12.7 /  12.6 /  12.6
.E3 : May 07 : /  12.5 /  12.4 /  12.4 /  12.4
.E4 : May 08 : /  12.4 /  12.4 /  12.3 /  12.3
.E5 : May 09 : /  12.2 /  12.2 /  12.2 /  12.1
.E6 : May 10 : /  12.1 /  12.1 /  12.1
:
: Local observed 6-hr basin-averaged precip [MAPX] (72 hours):
: Valid Times  /   00Z /   06Z /   12Z /   18Z
:     May 02                           /  0.00
:     May 03   /  0.00 /  0.00 /  0.00 /  0.00
:     May 04   /  0.00 /  0.00 /  0.00 /  0.00
:     May 05   /  0.09 /  0.01 /  0.05
:
: Local forecast 6-hr basin-averaged precip [MAPX] (48 hours):
: Valid Times  /   00Z /   06Z /   12Z /   18Z
:     May 05                           /  0.06
:     May 06   /  0.18 /  0.01 /  0.04 /  0.03
:     May 07   /  0.08 /  0.03 /  0.02
:
: Local 6-hr basin-averaged temperatures (C) [MAT] (120 hours):
: Valid Times  /   00Z /   06Z /   12Z /   18Z
:     May 02                           /  16.6
:     May 03   /  16.7 /  12.3 /   9.8 /  12.8
:     May 04   /  16.6 /  12.5 /   9.7 /  10.7
:     May 05   /  11.8 /  10.7 /   9.5 /  11.4
:     May 06   /  14.5 /  11.0 /   8.3 /  12.1
:     May 07   /  15.2 /  11.4 /   8.7
:____________________________________________________________________

: C.W. Bill Young L&D - Allegheny River - PBZ
: Zero Datum 725.52 ft (NGVD 1929)
: Allegheny County, PA
: Record Pool Stage     31.1 ft
: Major Pool Stage      23.0 ft
: Moderate Pool Stage   20.0 ft
: Flood Pool Stage      17.0 ft
: Action Pool Stage     15.0 ft
:
: Time series data are in 6-hour increments.
:
:  Obsv Valid  /   00Z /   06Z /   12Z /   18Z
:     May 03                           /  11.9
:     May 04   /  12.1 /  12.2 /  12.2 /  12.2E
:     May 05   /  12.1 /  12.1 /  12.1
: Observed values (above) with a trailing E indicate missing values
: that were replaced with estimates from model simulations.
:
: Latest Observed Pool Stage 12.1 ft at 915am EDT on Thu, May 5
:
.ER ACMP1 20160505 Z DC201605051327/DUE/DQG/DH18/HPIFF/DIH6
:
:  Fcst Valid  /   00Z /   06Z /   12Z /   18Z
.E1 : May 05 :                         /  12.0
.E2 : May 06 : /  12.0 /  11.9 /  11.9 /  11.8
.E3 : May 07 : /  11.8 /  11.6 /  11.7 /  11.6
.E4 : May 08 : /  11.6 /  11.6 /  11.5 /  11.5
.E5 : May 09 : /  11.5 /  11.4 /  11.4 /  11.4
.E6 : May 10 : /  11.4 /  11.3 /  11.3
:
: Local observed 6-hr basin-averaged precip [MAPX] (72 hours):
: Valid Times  /   00Z /   06Z /   12Z /   18Z
:     May 02                           /  0.00
:     May 03   /  0.00 /  0.00 /  0.00 /  0.00
:     May 04   /  0.00 /  0.00 /  0.00 /  0.00
:     May 05   /  0.07 /  0.00 /  0.01
:
: Local forecast 6-hr basin-averaged precip [MAPX] (48 hours):
: Valid Times  /   00Z /   06Z /   12Z /   18Z
:     May 05                           /  0.06
:     May 06   /  0.19 /  0.01 /  0.03 /  0.03
:     May 07   /  0.07 /  0.02 /  0.01
:
: Local 6-hr basin-averaged temperatures (C) [MAT] (120 hours):
: Valid Times  /   00Z /   06Z /   12Z /   18Z
:     May 02                           /  16.8
:     May 03   /  16.8 /  12.3 /   9.8 /  12.6
:     May 04   /  16.7 /  12.6 /   9.9 /  10.8
:     May 05   /  11.8 /  10.7 /   9.5 /  11.3
:     May 06   /  14.5 /  11.1 /   8.4 /  12.2
:     May 07   /  15.5 /  11.6 /   8.9
:____________________________________________________________________

: Sharpsburg L&D #2 - Allegheny River - PBZ
: Zero Datum 711.96 ft (Vertical Datum Unknown)
: Allegheny County, PA
: Record Pool Stage     26.9 ft
: Major Pool Stage      23.0 ft
: Moderate Pool Stage   22.0 ft
: Flood Pool Stage      21.0 ft
: Action Pool Stage     16.3 ft
:
: Time series data are in 6-hour increments.
:
:  Obsv Valid  /   00Z /   06Z /   12Z /   18Z
:     May 03                           /  12.0
:     May 04   /  12.0 /  12.2 /  12.3 /  12.4
:     May 05   /  12.3 /  12.2 /  12.2
:
: Latest Observed Pool Stage 12.2 ft at 830am EDT on Thu, May 5
:
.ER SHRP1 20160505 Z DC201605051327/DUE/DQG/DH18/HPIFF/DIH6
:
:  Fcst Valid  /   00Z /   06Z /   12Z /   18Z
.E1 : May 05 :                         /  12.2
.E2 : May 06 : /  12.1 /  12.1 /  12.1 /  12.0
.E3 : May 07 : /  12.0 /  11.9 /  11.8 /  11.8
.E4 : May 08 : /  11.8 /  11.8 /  11.8 /  11.7
.E5 : May 09 : /  11.7 /  11.7 /  11.6 /  11.6
.E6 : May 10 : /  11.6 /  11.6 /  11.6
:
: Local observed 6-hr basin-averaged precip [MAPX] (72 hours):
: Valid Times  /   00Z /   06Z /   12Z /   18Z
:     May 02                           /  0.00
:     May 03   /  0.00 /  0.00 /  0.00 /  0.00
:     May 04   /  0.00 /  0.00 /  0.00 /  0.00
:     May 05   /  0.05 /  0.00 /  0.00
:
: Local forecast 6-hr basin-averaged precip [MAPX] (48 hours):
: Valid Times  /   00Z /   06Z /   12Z /   18Z
:     May 05                           /  0.07
:     May 06   /  0.20 /  0.01 /  0.03 /  0.02
:     May 07   /  0.07 /  0.02 /  0.01
:
: Local 6-hr basin-averaged temperatures (C) [MAT] (120 hours):
: Valid Times  /   00Z /   06Z /   12Z /   18Z
:     May 02                           /  16.7
:     May 03   /  16.5 /  12.1 /   9.6 /  12.3
:     May 04   /  16.6 /  12.9 /  10.2 /  11.2
:     May 05   /  12.1 /  10.8 /   9.6 /  11.3
:     May 06   /  14.5 /  11.2 /   8.5 /  12.5
:     May 07   /  15.7 /  11.8 /   9.0
:____________________________________________________________________
$$
:
:...END of MESSAGE...




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