River Forecast
Issued by NWS Buffalo, NY

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000
FGUS51 KTAR 171552
RVFBUF
RIVER STAGE FORECAST
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE
NORTHEAST RIVER FORECAST CENTER...TAUNTON, MA
1047 AM EST Wed Dec 17 2014
:
:THIS IS A NWS GUIDANCE PRODUCT FROM THE NORTHEAST RIVER FORECAST CENTER.
:OFFICIAL FORECASTS/WARNINGS ARE ONLY ISSUED BY LOCAL NWS OFFICES.
:
:*************************************************
:Tonawanda Creek - Batavia, NY
:Flood Stage 9.0 ft
:Latest Observed Value: 3.58 ft at Dec-17 10:00 am
:
.ER BTVN6 20141217 E DC201412171047/DH13/HGIFF/DIH6
:STAGE FCST     1AM      7AM      1PM      7PM
.E1 :1217:       ::       ::/     3.6/     3.7
.E2 :1218:/     3.7/     3.7/     3.6/     3.4
.E3 :1219:/     3.3/     3.2/     3.0/     2.9
.E4 :1220:/     2.9/     2.8
: Local QPF - 6 hr timestep
: 0.10/ 0.03/ 0.02/ 0.02/ 0.02/ 0.00/ 0.01/ 0.02/
:*************************************************
:Tonawanda Creek - Rapids, NY
:Flood Stage 12.0 ft
:Latest Observed Value: 3.43 ft at Dec-17 10:00 am
:
.ER RAPN6 20141217 E DC201412171047/DH13/HGIFF/DIH6
:STAGE FCST     1AM      7AM      1PM      7PM
.E1 :1217:       ::       ::/     3.6/     3.8
.E2 :1218:/     4.2/     4.6/     4.9/     5.1
.E3 :1219:/     5.2/     5.2/     5.0/     4.7
.E4 :1220:/     4.4/     4.1
: Local QPF - 6 hr timestep
: 0.10/ 0.03/ 0.02/ 0.01/ 0.01/ 0.00/ 0.01/ 0.01/
:*************************************************
:Cattaraugus Creek - Gowanda, NY
:Flood Stage 10.0 ft
:Latest Observed Value: 4.66 ft at Dec-17 10:15 am
:
.ER GOWN6 20141217 E DC201412171047/DH13/HGIFF/DIH6
:STAGE FCST     1AM      7AM      1PM      7PM
.E1 :1217:       ::       ::/     4.7/     4.6
.E2 :1218:/     4.4/     4.1/     3.9/     3.7
.E3 :1219:/     3.5/     3.3/     3.2/     3.1
.E4 :1220:/     3.0/     2.9
: Local QPF - 6 hr timestep
: 0.09/ 0.02/ 0.01/ 0.01/ 0.01/ 0.02/ 0.02/ 0.02/
:*************************************************
:Buffalo Creek - Gardenville, NY
:Flood Stage 7.0 ft
:Latest Observed Value: 3.67 ft at Dec-17 10:15 am
:
.ER GDVN6 20141217 E DC201412171047/DH13/HGIFF/DIH6
:STAGE FCST     1AM      7AM      1PM      7PM
.E1 :1217:       ::       ::/     3.5/     3.4
.E2 :1218:/     3.2/     2.9/     2.6/     2.4
.E3 :1219:/     2.2/     2.0/     1.9/     1.8
.E4 :1220:/     1.7/     1.6
: Local QPF - 6 hr timestep
: 0.11/ 0.02/ 0.01/ 0.01/ 0.02/ 0.01/ 0.02/ 0.02/
:*************************************************
:Cayuga Creek - Lancaster, NY
:Flood Stage 8.0 ft
:Latest Observed Value: 6.05 ft at Dec-17 10:30 am
:
.ER LCSN6 20141217 E DC201412171047/DH13/HGIFF/DIH6
:STAGE FCST     1AM      7AM      1PM      7PM
.E1 :1217:       ::       ::/     5.8/     5.4
.E2 :1218:/     5.2/     5.1/     4.9/     4.8
.E3 :1219:/     4.7/     4.6/     4.5/     4.4
.E4 :1220:/     4.4/     4.3
: Local QPF - 6 hr timestep
: 0.11/ 0.02/ 0.02/ 0.01/ 0.02/ 0.01/ 0.01/ 0.02/
:*************************************************
:Cazenovia Creek - Ebenezer, NY
:Flood Stage 10.0 ft
:Latest Observed Value: 6.25 ft at Dec-17 10:00 am
:
.ER EBZN6 20141217 E DC201412171047/DH13/HGIFF/DIH6
:STAGE FCST     1AM      7AM      1PM      7PM
.E1 :1217:       ::       ::/     6.0/     5.8
.E2 :1218:/     5.6/     5.4/     5.1/     4.7
.E3 :1219:/     4.4/     4.1/     3.8/     3.6
.E4 :1220:/     3.4/     3.3
: Local QPF - 6 hr timestep
: 0.11/ 0.02/ 0.01/ 0.01/ 0.02/ 0.01/ 0.02/ 0.02/
:*************************************************
:Ellicott Creek - Williamsville, NY
:Flood Stage 8.0 ft
:Latest Observed Value: 3.71 ft at Dec-17 10:15 am
:
.ER WILN6 20141217 E DC201412171047/DH13/HGIFF/DIH6
:STAGE FCST     1AM      7AM      1PM      7PM
.E1 :1217:       ::       ::/     3.6/     3.8
.E2 :1218:/     4.0/     4.0/     3.9/     3.8
.E3 :1219:/     3.6/     3.4/     3.3/     3.1
.E4 :1220:/     3.0/     2.9
: Local QPF - 6 hr timestep
: 0.11/ 0.02/ 0.02/ 0.01/ 0.01/ 0.00/ 0.01/ 0.01/
:*************************************************
:Genesee River - Wellsville, NY
:Flood Stage 11.0 ft
:Latest Observed Value: 5.58 ft at Dec-17 09:45 am
:
.ER WLLN6 20141217 E DC201412171047/DH13/HGIFF/DIH6
:STAGE FCST     1AM      7AM      1PM      7PM
.E1 :1217:       ::       ::/     5.6/     5.5
.E2 :1218:/     5.5/     5.3/     5.2/     5.1
.E3 :1219:/     5.1/     5.0/     5.0/     4.9
.E4 :1220:/     4.9/     4.9
: Local QPF - 6 hr timestep
: 0.05/ 0.00/ 0.00/ 0.00/ 0.00/ 0.00/ 0.00/ 0.00/
:*************************************************
:Genesee River - Portageville, NY
:Flood Stage 19.0 ft
:Latest Observed Value: 11.54 ft at Dec-17 10:00 am
:
.ER PRTN6 20141217 E DC201412171047/DH13/HGIFF/DIH6
:STAGE FCST     1AM      7AM      1PM      7PM
.E1 :1217:       ::       ::/    11.6/    11.7
.E2 :1218:/    11.7/    11.6/    11.5/    11.3
.E3 :1219:/    11.1/    11.0/    10.8/    10.7
.E4 :1220:/    10.6/    10.5
: Local QPF - 6 hr timestep
: 0.08/ 0.01/ 0.00/ 0.01/ 0.00/ 0.00/ 0.00/ 0.01/
: RIVER STAGE IS AFFECTED BY RESERVOIR REGULATION
:*************************************************
:Genesee River - Mount Morris Dam, NY
:Flood Stage 760.0 ft
:Latest Observed Value: 606.42 ft at Dec-17 10:00 am
:Crest 615.41 at Dec-19 7am
:
.ER MMDN6 20141217 E DC201412171047/DH13/HPIFF/DIH6
:POOL FCST      1AM      7AM      1PM      7PM
.E1 :1217:       ::       ::/   605.9/   608.4
.E2 :1218:/   610.4/   612.3/   613.6/   614.6
.E3 :1219:/   615.2/   615.4/   615.4/   615.3
.E4 :1220:/   615.2/   615.1
: Local QPF - 6 hr timestep
: 0.09/ 0.02/ 0.00/ 0.02/ 0.01/ 0.00/ 0.00/ 0.02/
:*************************************************
:Genesee River - Avon, NY
:Flood Stage 33.0 ft
:Latest Observed Value: 21.57 ft at Dec-17 10:00 am
:Crest 24.19 at Dec-18 7am
:
.ER AVON6 20141217 E DC201412171047/DH13/HGIFF/DIH6
:STAGE FCST     1AM      7AM      1PM      7PM
.E1 :1217:       ::       ::/    22.5/    23.6
.E2 :1218:/    24.1/    24.2/    24.2/    24.0
.E3 :1219:/    23.8/    23.6/    23.3/    23.0
.E4 :1220:/    22.6/    22.1
: Local QPF - 6 hr timestep
: 0.08/ 0.03/ 0.01/ 0.02/ 0.01/ 0.00/ 0.00/ 0.02/
: RIVER STAGE IS AFFECTED BY RESERVOIR REGULATION
:*************************************************
:Oatka Creek - Garbutt, NY
:Flood Stage 6.0 ft
:Latest Observed Value: 3.73 ft at Dec-17 10:00 am
:
.ER GRBN6 20141217 E DC201412171047/DH13/HGIFF/DIH6
:STAGE FCST     1AM      7AM      1PM      7PM
.E1 :1217:       ::       ::/     3.8/     3.8
.E2 :1218:/     3.7/     3.7/     3.6/     3.5
.E3 :1219:/     3.4/     3.3/     3.2/     3.1
.E4 :1220:/     3.0/     3.0
: Local QPF - 6 hr timestep
: 0.09/ 0.03/ 0.02/ 0.02/ 0.01/ 0.00/ 0.00/ 0.02/
:*************************************************
:Black Creek - Churchville, NY
:Flood Stage 6.0 ft
:Latest Observed Value: 2.53 ft at Dec-17 10:00 am
:
.ER CHRN6 20141217 E DC201412171047/DH13/HGIFF/DIH6
:STAGE FCST     1AM      7AM      1PM      7PM
.E1 :1217:       ::       ::/     2.6/     2.8
.E2 :1218:/     2.9/     2.9/     3.0/     2.9
.E3 :1219:/     2.8/     2.7/     2.6/     2.5
.E4 :1220:/     2.4/     2.4
: Local QPF - 6 hr timestep
: 0.09/ 0.03/ 0.02/ 0.02/ 0.01/ 0.00/ 0.00/ 0.01/
:*************************************************
:Genesee River - Rochester, NY
:Flood Stage 15.0 ft
:Latest Observed Value: 8.26 ft at Dec-17 07:00 am
:
.ER RHRN6 20141217 E DC201412171047/DH13/HGIFF/DIH6
:STAGE FCST     1AM      7AM      1PM      7PM
.E1 :1217:       ::       ::/     6.9/     7.3
.E2 :1218:/     7.8/     8.0/     8.0/     8.0
.E3 :1219:/     7.9/     7.7/     7.6/     7.4
.E4 :1220:/     7.3/     7.1
: Local QPF - 6 hr timestep
: 0.08/ 0.03/ 0.02/ 0.03/ 0.01/ 0.00/ 0.00/ 0.02/
: RIVER STAGE IS AFFECTED BY DIVERSION
:*************************************************
:Honeoye Creek - Honeoye Falls, NY
:Flood Stage 4.5 ft
:Latest Observed Value: 2.14 ft at Dec-17 10:00 am
:
.ER HNYN6 20141217 E DC201412171047/DH13/HGIFF/DIH6
:STAGE FCST     1AM      7AM      1PM      7PM
.E1 :1217:       ::       ::/     2.0/     2.0
.E2 :1218:/     1.9/     1.9/     1.9/     1.8
.E3 :1219:/     1.8/     1.7/     1.7/     1.7
.E4 :1220:/     1.7/     1.7
: Local QPF - 6 hr timestep
: 0.07/ 0.03/ 0.00/ 0.02/ 0.01/ 0.00/ 0.00/ 0.02/
: RIVER STAGE IS AFFECTED BY DIVERSION
:*************************************************
:Canandaigua Lake - Canandaigua, NY
:Flood Stage 689.2 ft
:
.ER CNDN6 20141217 E DC201412171047/DH13/HPIFF/DIH6
:POOL FCST      1AM      7AM      1PM      7PM
.E1 :1217:       ::       ::/   687.6/   687.6
.E2 :1218:/   687.6/   687.6/   687.6/   687.6
.E3 :1219:/   687.6/   687.6/   687.6/   687.6
.E4 :1220:/   687.6/   687.6
: Local QPF - 6 hr timestep
: 0.07/ 0.02/ 0.00/ 0.02/ 0.01/ 0.00/ 0.00/ 0.01/
:*************************************************
:Canandaigua Outlet - Chapin, NY
:Latest Observed Value: 3.79 ft at Dec-17 10:30 am
:Crest 3.90 at Dec-22 7am
:
.ER CPNN6 20141217 E DC201412171047/DH13/HGIFF/DIH6
:STAGE FCST     1AM      7AM      1PM      7PM
.E1 :1217:       ::       ::/     3.8/     3.8
.E2 :1218:/     3.8/     3.7/     3.7/     3.6
.E3 :1219:/     3.5/     3.5/     3.5/     3.5
.E4 :1220:/     3.5/     3.5
:*************************************************
:Black River - Boonville, NY
:Flood Stage 10.0 ft
:Latest Observed Value: 4.92 ft at Dec-17 10:00 am
:
.ER BOON6 20141217 E DC201412171047/DH13/HGIFF/DIH6
:STAGE FCST     1AM      7AM      1PM      7PM
.E1 :1217:       ::       ::/     4.7/     4.8
.E2 :1218:/     4.9/     5.0/     5.0/     5.1
.E3 :1219:/     5.0/     5.0/     5.0/     4.9
.E4 :1220:/     4.9/     4.8
: Local QPF - 6 hr timestep
: 0.06/ 0.07/ 0.07/ 0.04/ 0.05/ 0.02/ 0.02/ 0.00/
: Stage Reading is Affected by Ice.  Forecast Represents Natural Flow.
:*************************************************
:Moose River - McKeever, NY
:Flood Stage 12.0 ft
:Latest Observed Value: 3.11 ft at Dec-17 10:30 am
:
.ER MCKN6 20141217 E DC201412171047/DH13/HGIFF/DIH6
:STAGE FCST     1AM      7AM      1PM      7PM
.E1 :1217:       ::       ::/     3.1/     3.1
.E2 :1218:/     3.2/     3.3/     3.4/     3.5
.E3 :1219:/     3.5/     3.6/     3.5/     3.5
.E4 :1220:/     3.5/     3.4
: Local QPF - 6 hr timestep
: 0.04/ 0.08/ 0.05/ 0.04/ 0.06/ 0.02/ 0.02/ 0.00/
: Stage Reading is Affected by Ice.  Forecast Represents Natural Flow.
:*************************************************
:Black River - Watertown, NY
:Flood Stage 10.0 ft
:Latest Observed Value: 4.40 ft at Dec-17 10:30 am
:
.ER ARTN6 20141217 E DC201412171047/DH13/HGIFF/DIH6
:STAGE FCST     1AM      7AM      1PM      7PM
.E1 :1217:       ::       ::/     4.4/     4.4
.E2 :1218:/     4.4/     4.5/     4.6/     4.6
.E3 :1219:/     4.7/     4.7/     4.8/     4.8
.E4 :1220:/     4.8/     4.8
: Local QPF - 6 hr timestep
: 0.08/ 0.10/ 0.09/ 0.04/ 0.06/ 0.02/ 0.01/ 0.00/
$$
:NERFC
:...END OF MESSAGE



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